Georgia State at Ball State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo   Georgia State Panthers vs Ball State Cardinals  Ball State logo
Saturday, December 25th 2021 (2:30 PM EST)
Georgia State -6 (52.5) (185)  Open: -3.5 | 49.5
Georgia State 51 - Ball State: 20  (TaxAct Camellia Bowl)

 
Panthers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (23 - 27)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ GAST -13)

Projected Score: GAST: 22 - BALL: 31 (53)
GAST Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
GAST Travel: 145 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cardinals (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (23 - 36)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Georgia State vs Army-2.550.0L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/11 Georgia State at North Carolina+26.065.0L 17 - 59ON
Sat 9/18 Georgia State vs Charlotte-4.562.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 9/25 Georgia State at Auburn+27.557.5L 24 - 34OY
Sat 10/2 Georgia State vs App State+10.554.5L 16 - 45ON
Sat 10/9 Georgia State at UL Monroe-16.049.5W 55 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Georgia State vs Texas State-10.058.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Georgia State at Georgia Southern-6.055.0W 21 - 14UY
Thu 11/4 Georgia State at Louisiana+13.553.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 11/13 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+12.553.5W 42 - 40OY
Sat 11/20 Georgia State vs Arkansas State-15.566.0W 28 - 20UN
Sat 11/27 Georgia State vs Troy-6.549.5W 37 - 10UY
Sat 12/25 Georgia State vs Ball State-6.052.5W 51 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Ball State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Ball State vs Western Illinois-31.058.5W 31 - 21UN
Sat 9/11 Ball State at Penn State+23.058.0L 13 - 44UN
Sat 9/18 Ball State at Wyoming+6.553.5L 12 - 45ON
Sat 9/25 Ball State vs Toledo+4.556.5L 12 - 22UN
Sat 10/2 Ball State vs Army+10.546.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/9 Ball State at Western Michigan+13.057.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Ball State at Eastern Michigan-1.554.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 10/23 Ball State vs Miami (OH)-3.553.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Ball State at Akron-20.058.0W 31 - 25UN
Wed 11/10 Ball State at Northern Illinois-3.059.5L 29 - 30UN
Wed 11/17 Ball State vs Central Michigan+2.557.0L 17 - 37UN
Tue 11/23 Ball State vs Buffalo-6.059.5W 20 - 3UY
Sat 12/25 Ball State vs Georgia State+6.052.5L 20 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST.1742%19.842%2.7219442%2304.55.1341%37.840%41%3.4558.322.1
BALL.2147%15.846%3.1617849%2693.65.1446%29.844%48%3.1348.91.12.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1019.81841.9%4.552214241942304.457%43%42%42%17%.17
BALL Defense829.821.646.4%3.132.3 - - - - - 45%55%44%48%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1037.845.340.6%3.452.1 - - - - - 43%57%40%41%20%.13
BALL Offense815.824.447.2%3.651.1244471782693.954%46%46%49%15%.21

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1028:3820.745%64%5.558.322.17.43.2134.4
Ball State829:5324.447%54%5.848.91.12.371.9232.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1057%42%44.1193.74.422.122.7264%11%1.05
BALL Defense845%44% - - - - .012.7459%12%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1043%40% - - - - .042.7556%12%0.99
BALL Offense854%46%45.81783.915.123.1666%9%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1043%42%17.930.7230.37.512.91810.241.730%35%.416%2
BALL Defense855%48% - - - - - - 10.261.427%32%.337%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1057%41% - - - - - - 12.191.732%34%.328%2.1
BALL Offense846%49%20.531.4269.38.613.1176.321.527%38%.426%2.1

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #71
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #78
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State:    Ball State: -5.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: 1.8   Ball State: -11.2




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -5.6 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #108
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #106
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ball State 31
Georgia State 22


Projected Total Points: 53
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.4
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Ball State's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202112/25Ball State20Georgia State51Georgia State -6Georgia State52.5Over
201609/02Georgia State21Ball State31Ball State -5.5Ball State56.0Under
201510/17Ball State19Georgia State31Ball State -16.5Georgia State63.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State111 Overs
Georgia State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 30 - 30 - 10 - 2
Road Teams3 - 03 - 02 - 01 - 0

Georgia State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Camellia Bowl Georgia State vs Ball State-6.052.5W 51 - 20
2020Lendingtree Bowl Georgia State vs Western Kentucky-3.550.5W 39 - 21
2019N/A Georgia State vs Wyoming+7.549.5L 17 - 38
2017Cure Bowl Georgia State vs Western Kentucky-5.054.5W 27 - 17
2015Cure Bowl Georgia State vs San José State+4.0L 16 - 27
Ball State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Camellia Bowl Ball State vs Georgia State+6.052.5L 20 - 51
2020Arizona Bowl Ball State vs San José State+9.563.0W 34 - 13
  
(#) GAST at (#) BALL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGASTBALL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #108
Perf GradeGrade #60 #108
OffenseOff #62 #114
DefenseDef #63 #83
Spec TeamsST #95 #45
TalentTal #102 #116
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Georgia State on Offense
CategoryCat
GAST OffBALL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #62 #83
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia State Run Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffBALL Def
Run GameRun #56 #83
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #36 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #25
Georgia State Pass Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffBALL Def
Pass GamePass #83 #105
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #110 #21
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCatBALL OffGAST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #114 #63
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffGAST Def
Run GameRun #116 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCatBALL OffGAST Def
Pass GamePass #93 #90
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #91 #27
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cramton Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Georgia State 6.0 (52.5)
Georgia State won at Ball State this year (51-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
GAST's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD