Georgia State at Georgia Southern Game Matchup

Georgia State Panthers at Georgia Southern Eagles

Thursday, October 26th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Georgia State -1.0 (63.0) (0) Open: -2.5
Georgia Southern 44 - Georgia State: 27 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 2nd straight Road Game
GASO 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia Southern -4.5 (SP+ GASO -5)
Projected Score: GAST: 28 - GASO: 32 (57)
GAST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
GAST Travel: 176 miles

Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (31 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Rhode Island	-18.0	61.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia State vs UConn	-3.0	54.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Charlotte	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 25	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	62.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	50.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia State vs Marshall	-2.0	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Georgia State at Louisiana	+3.0	62.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/26	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-1.0	63.0	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+6.0	53.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia State vs App State	-2.5	62.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia State at LSU	+32.5	73.5	L 14 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+2.0	49.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia Southern vs The Citadel	-34.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia Southern vs UAB	-7.0	63.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia Southern at Wisconsin	+20.5	65.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Southern at Ball State	-6.0	60.0	W 40 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	67.5	W 38 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+5.5	60.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-16.5	60.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Thu 10/26	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+1.0	63.0	W 44 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-2.0	69.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia Southern at Marshall	-1.5	56.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	-4.5	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia Southern at App State	+7.5	62.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/16	Georgia Southern vs Ohio	-1.5	48.5	L 21 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.17	39%	23.8	39%	3.09	216	40%	203	3.9	.16	43%	33.8	45%	41%	4.11	63.7	1.6	2.7
GASO	.25	46%	28	46%	3.13	137	47%	329	4.15	.25	45%	27.6	49%	42%	3.71	45.8	1.6	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	23.8	24	39.2%	3.9	1.6	22	418	216	203	4.5	62%	38%	39%	40%	19%	.17
GASO Defense	13	27.6	25.8	45.4%	3.71	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	42%	14%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	33.8	36.5	43%	4.11	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	41%	18%	.16
GASO Offense	13	28	31.3	46%	4.15	1.6	25	467	137	329	4.8	36%	62%	46%	47%	16%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	28:52	22.2	41%	58%	7	63.7	1.6	2.7	6.1	2.3	1	27.9
Georgia Southern	13	27:40	25.2	46%	57%	5.1	45.8	1.6	1.5	3.8	1.5	2	26.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	62%	39%	48.2	215.5	4.5	26	.13	3.09	75%	13%	1.06
GASO Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.57	69%	7%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	71%	12%	1.05
GASO Offense	13	36%	46%	28.5	137.2	4.8	23	.21	3.13	72%	6%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	38%	40%	14.4	24.8	202.6	8.2	14.1	18	7	.31	1.9	34%	30%	.26	6%	2.2
GASO Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.6	28%	34%	.34	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.6	30%	31%	.35	6%	2.2
GASO Offense	13	62%	47%	28.7	47	329.4	7	11.5	28	16	.32	1.4	29%	36%	.41	11%	2

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -7.09 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -7.09 Georgia Southern: -3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -9.4 Georgia Southern: -4.4

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -3.8 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 486.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 32
Georgia State 28

Projected Total Points: 57

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Georgia State	21	Georgia Southern	38	Georgia Southern	Georgia State -3.5	Georgia Southern	57.5	Over
2023	10/26	Georgia Southern	44	Georgia State	27	Georgia Southern	Georgia State -1.0	Georgia Southern	63.0	Over
2022	10/08	Georgia State	41	Georgia Southern	33	Georgia State	Georgia State -2.5	Georgia State	67.5	Over
2021	10/30	Georgia Southern	14	Georgia State	21	Georgia State	Georgia State -6	Georgia State	55.0	Under
2020	11/28	Georgia State	30	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia State	Georgia State -2.5	Georgia State	51.5	Over
2019	11/30	Georgia Southern	38	Georgia State	10	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -6.5	Georgia Southern	56.0	Under
2018	11/24	Georgia State	14	Georgia Southern	35	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -10	Georgia Southern	60.0	Under
2017	11/04	Georgia Southern	17	Georgia State	21	Georgia State	Georgia State -5.5	Georgia Southern	50.5	Under
2016	11/19	Georgia State	30	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia State	Georgia Southern -3.5	Georgia State	47.5	Over
2015	12/05	Georgia Southern	7	Georgia State	34	Georgia State	Georgia Southern -22	Georgia State	57.0	Under
2014	10/25	Georgia State	31	Georgia Southern	69	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -15	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	5	6	5 Overs
Georgia State	6	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 6	6 - 5	3 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 5	5 - 6	3 - 3	2 - 3

(#99) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.09 #99
Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Georgia State Ratings Matchup Georgia Southern

Power #99

#109

Off #76

#69

Def #96

#111

Talent #113

#96

SP+ #100

#80

SP+ Off #71

#40

SP+ Def #109

#120

Rematch from Week 9
Georgia State 1.0 (63.0)
Georgia Southern won vs Georgia State this year (44-27)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State last year (38-21)
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State in 2023 (44-27)
Georgia State beat Georgia Southern in 2022 (41-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 72° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | GASO
Depth Chart: GAST | GASO
Rosters: GAST | GASO

(#109) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.8 #109
Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120
Talent Rating: 486.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #68
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Team Profile

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Georgia State's OC Trent McKnight

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Carroll	140	595	12	4.3	35
KZ Adams	91	433	5	4.8	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Lewis	16	155	0	9.7	18
Ja'Cyais Credle	9	113	0	12.6	21
KZ Adams	10	69	1	6.9	11
Marcus Carroll	9	66	0	7.3	19

View Georgia State's Full Roster

Georgia State's DC Chad Staggs

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Justin Abraham	44	2	1	1	0
Gavin Pringle (Tr)	34	2	0	0	8
Anthony Blume	27	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Tylon Dunlap	22	5	3	2	2
Justin Abraham	44	2	1	1	0
Javon Denis	23	6	1	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Pringle (Tr)	34	2	0	0	8
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Tylon Dunlap	22	5	3	2	2

Georgia Southern's OC Bryan Ellis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	164	745	14	4.5	49
Derwin Burgess Jr.	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.	59	659	3	11.2	48
Beau Johnson	9	71	1	7.9	16
Jalen White	20	69	0	3.5	17
Parker Self	1	22	0	22.0	22

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore (Tr)	62	5	3	4	1
TJ Smith (Tr)	28	1	0	0	0
Cameron Williams (Tr)	26	3	1	0	1
Reid Dedman (Tr)	25	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore (Tr)	62	5	3	4	1
Cameron Williams (Tr)	26	3	1	0	1
Kristian Varner	6	2	1	2	0
TJ Smith (Tr)	28	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore (Tr)	62	5	3	4	1
Cameron Williams (Tr)	26	3	1	0	1
TJ Smith (Tr)	28	1	0	0	0