App State at Georgia State - 2023 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Georgia State -2.5 (62.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
App State 42 - Georgia State: 14  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GAST 2nd straight Home Game
GAST is playing their 5th straight game
APP is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: App State -7.5   (SP+ APP -12.5)

Projected Score: APP: 34 - GAST: 27 (58)
GAST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 230 miles
Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 App State vs Gardner-Webb-22.551.0W 45 - 24ON
Sat 9/9 App State at North Carolina+18.058.0L 34 - 40OY
Sat 9/16 App State vs East Carolina-7.548.5W 43 - 28OY
Sat 9/23 App State at Wyoming+3.045.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 App State at UL Monroe-13.550.5W 41 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10 App State vs Coastal Carolina-4.559.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 10/21 App State at Old Dominion-6.056.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 App State vs Southern Miss-16.055.5W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 App State vs Marshall-3.057.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 11/11 App State at Georgia State+2.562.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 App State at James Madison+10.056.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/25 App State vs Georgia Southern-7.562.5W 55 - 27OY
Sat 12/2 App State at Troy+6.551.5L 23 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 App State vs Miami (OH)-6.541.0W 13 - 9UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Georgia State vs Rhode Island-18.061.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Georgia State vs UConn-3.054.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 Georgia State at Charlotte-6.552.0W 41 - 25OY
Thu 9/21 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+4.562.5W 30 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia State vs Troy-1.050.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Georgia State vs Marshall-2.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 10/21 Georgia State at Louisiana+3.062.0W 20 - 17UY
Thu 10/26 Georgia State at Georgia Southern-1.063.0L 27 - 44ON
Sat 11/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+6.053.0L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 Georgia State vs App State-2.562.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 Georgia State at LSU+32.573.5L 14 - 56UN
Sat 11/25 Georgia State at Old Dominion+2.049.5L 24 - 25UY
Sat 12/23 Georgia State vs Utah State+2.058.0W 45 - 22OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP.2545%26.648%3.3720542%2504.17.2241%32.940%43%4.150.30.92.1
GAST.1739%23.839%3.0921640%2033.9.1643%33.845%41%4.1163.71.62.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1226.624.345.2%4.170.9234552052505.254%46%48%42%11%.25
GAST Defense1233.831.243%4.112.7 - - - - - 55%44%45%41%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1232.939.741.4%4.12.1 - - - - - 48%52%40%43%17%.22
GAST Offense1223.823.739.2%3.91.6224182162034.562%38%39%40%19%.17

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1230:352339%49%5.550.30.92.15.72.4132.1
Georgia State1228:5222.241%58%763.71.62.76.12.3127.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1254%48%39.5204.95.227.243.3769%7%0.99
GAST Defense1255%45% - - - - .133.0571%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1248%40% - - - - .132.9571%11%1.07
GAST Offense1262%39%48.2215.54.526.133.0975%13%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1246%42%18.829.8250.48.413.3286.311.729%30%.344%2.2
GAST Defense1244%41% - - - - - - 13.241.630%31%.356%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1252%43% - - - - - - 7.331.633%31%.436%2.3
GAST Offense1238%40%14.424.8202.68.214.1187.311.934%30%.266%2.2

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 0.14 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: 0.14   Georgia State: -5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 3.0   Georgia State: -9.4




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
App State 34
Georgia State 27


Projected Total Points: 58
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.2

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26App State33Georgia State26App StateApp State -7.5Georgia State59.0Push
202311/11Georgia State14App State42App StateGeorgia State -2.5App State62.5Under
202210/19App State42Georgia State17App StateAppalachian State -9.5App State60.5Under
202110/02Georgia State16App State45App StateAppalachian State -10.5App State54.5Over
202011/14App State17Georgia State13App StateAppalachian State -18Georgia State63.0Under
201911/16Georgia State27App State56App StateAppalachian State -15App State61.0Over
201811/17App State45Georgia State17App StateAppalachian State -27.5App State54.5Over
201711/25Georgia State10App State31App StateAppalachian State -6App State50.5Under
201610/01App State17Georgia State3App StateAppalachian State -21Georgia State52.0Under
201510/10Georgia State3App State37App StateAppalachian State -18App State61.0Under
201411/01App State44Georgia State0App StateAppalachian State -5.5App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State033 Overs
App State1186 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 53 - 83 - 40 - 4
Road Teams5 - 68 - 34 - 04 - 3

(#58) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.14 #58
Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






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App State     Ratings Matchup     Georgia State
Power #58
#99
Off #38
#76
Def #51
#96
Talent #75
#113
SP+ #55
#100
SP+ Off #24
#71
SP+ Def #102
#109

Rematch from Week 11
Georgia State -2.5 (62.5)
App State won at Georgia State this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
App State beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 51° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.008


Team Information
Injuries: APP | GAST
Depth Chart: APP | GAST
Rosters: APP | GAST
(#99) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Team Profile






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App State's OC Frank Ponce
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Burger81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel16381835.064
Ahmani Marshall14971374.829
Maquel Haywood (Tr)2914815.118
Ryan Burger177014.157
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christan Horn19367119.383
Eli Wilson25292511.734
Milan Tucker13145011.252
Ahmani Marshall117106.514

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC Scott Sloan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Sullivan351021
Ronald Clarke300010
Montez Kelley262100
Avarion Cole241001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Fletcher (Tr)164460
Trevor Moffitt184210
Kevon Haigler22101
Montez Kelley262100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Sullivan351021
Omari Philyaw100001
Kevon Haigler22101

Georgia State's OC Trent McKnight
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcus Carroll140595124.335
KZ Adams9143354.837
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Lewis1615509.718
Ja'Cyais Credle9113012.621
KZ Adams106916.911
Marcus Carroll96607.319

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Chad Staggs
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Swint (Tr)4810514
Justin Abraham442110
Gavin Pringle (Tr)342008
Anthony Blume270000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Swint (Tr)4810514
Tylon Dunlap225322
Justin Abraham442110
Javon Denis236140
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Pringle (Tr)342008
Kevin Swint (Tr)4810514
Tylon Dunlap225322