App State at Georgia State - 2023 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Georgia State -2.5 (62.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
App State 42 - Georgia State: 14  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (29 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GAST 2nd straight Home Game
GAST is playing their 5th straight game
APP is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: App State -7.5   (SP+ APP -12.5)

Projected Score: APP: 34 - GAST: 27 (61)
GAST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 230 miles
Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (26 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 App State vs Gardner-Webb-22.551.0W 45 - 24ON
Sat 9/9 App State at North Carolina+18.058.0L 34 - 40OY
Sat 9/16 App State vs East Carolina-7.548.5W 43 - 28OY
Sat 9/23 App State at Wyoming+3.045.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 App State at UL Monroe-13.550.5W 41 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10 App State vs Coastal Carolina-4.559.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 10/21 App State at Old Dominion-6.056.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 App State vs Southern Miss-16.055.5W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 App State vs Marshall-3.057.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 11/11 App State at Georgia State+2.562.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 App State at James Madison+10.056.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/25 App State vs Georgia Southern-7.562.5W 55 - 27OY
Sat 12/2 App State at Troy+6.551.5L 23 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 App State vs Miami (OH)-6.541.0W 13 - 9UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Georgia State vs Rhode Island-18.061.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Georgia State vs UConn-3.054.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 Georgia State at Charlotte-6.552.0W 41 - 25OY
Thu 9/21 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+4.562.5W 30 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia State vs Troy-1.050.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Georgia State vs Marshall-2.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 10/21 Georgia State at Louisiana+3.062.0W 20 - 17UY
Thu 10/26 Georgia State at Georgia Southern-1.063.0L 27 - 44ON
Sat 11/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+6.053.0L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 Georgia State vs App State-2.562.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 Georgia State at LSU+32.573.5L 14 - 56UN
Sat 11/25 Georgia State at Old Dominion+2.049.5L 24 - 25UY
Sat 12/23 Georgia State vs Utah State+2.058.0W 45 - 22OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#41 (.24)46% (28)33.243% (75)3.18 (55)17250% (11)2733.8 (77)#79 (.2)43% (76)2745% (93)41% (58)3.15 (17)40.51.61.8
GAST#68 (.19)42% (72)27.240% (105)2.84 (112)18844% (41)2063.92 (65)#94 (.22)42% (68)30.140% (43)45% (111)3.95 (83)57.51.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)42% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)49% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1433.229.445.6%3.81.6244451722734.551%48%43%50%16%.24
GAST Defense1330.130.842.1%3.951.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%45%15%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense142730.942.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 50%49%45%41%18%.2
GAST Offense1327.225.541.6%3.921.2203941882064.855%44%40%44%15%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1431:1523.742%64%4.440.51.61.862.5229.3
Georgia State1329:2619.546%47%6.457.51.21.35.52229.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1451% (58)43% (75)38.1171.64.523 (46).09 (99)3.18 (55)71% (92)9% (49)0.97 (83)
GAST Defense1347% (25)40% (43) - - - - .15 (72)3.05 (56)63% (19)10% (63)1.06 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1450% (59)45% (93) - - - - .23 (112)3.41 (120)79% (108)11% (40)1.1 (113)
GAST Offense1355% (29)40% (105)39.3188.14.825 (37).15 (74)2.84 (112)78% (30)11% (89)1.16 (7)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1448% (75)50% (11)21.433.6273.48.112.834 (9)10 (56).44 (19)1.6 (65)29% (28)37% (16).5 (19)7% (108)2.1 (45)
GAST Defense1352% (106)45% (111) - - - - - - 11 (53).37 (113)1.6 (76)33% (55)31% (89).42 (114)4% (122)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1449% (72)41% (58) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (30)1.5 (36)31% (81)33% (110).43 (117)7% (29)2.1 (89)
GAST Offense1344% (104)44% (41)19.228.2205.57.310.720 (70)7 (21).31 (61)1.5 (91)31% (45)33% (47).37 (58)4% (14)2.1 (38)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 0.14 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: 0.14   Georgia State: -5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 3.0   Georgia State: -9.4




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


App State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
App State 34
Georgia State 27


Total Points: 61

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.5
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.8

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26App State33Georgia State26App StateApp State -7.5Georgia State59.0Push
202311/11Georgia State14App State42App StateGeorgia State -2.5App State62.5Under
202210/19App State42Georgia State17App StateAppalachian State -9.5App State60.5Under
202110/02Georgia State16App State45App StateAppalachian State -10.5App State54.5Over
202011/14App State17Georgia State13App StateAppalachian State -18Georgia State63.0Under
201911/16Georgia State27App State56App StateAppalachian State -15App State61.0Over
201811/17App State45Georgia State17App StateAppalachian State -27.5App State54.5Over
201711/25Georgia State10App State31App StateAppalachian State -6App State50.5Under
201610/01App State17Georgia State3App StateAppalachian State -21Georgia State52.0Under
201510/10Georgia State3App State37App StateAppalachian State -18App State61.0Under
201411/01App State44Georgia State0App StateAppalachian State -5.5App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State033 Overs
App State1186 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 53 - 83 - 40 - 4
Road Teams5 - 68 - 34 - 04 - 3

(#58) App State Info
Power Rating: 0.14 #58
Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50


App State has won 2 straight
App State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )

App State Highlights
App State has Really Good Running Game (#63)
App State offense is efficent (#38)
App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

App State defense is really good in red zone (#96)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State commits very few Penalties (#121)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State has a bad defensive line (#32)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatGASTAPP
OverallOver#93#33
OffenseOff#78#25
DefenseDef#91#56
Special TeamsST#78#104
PassingPass#56#30
RushingRush#64#61
Run BlockRBLK#74#29
Pass BlockPBLK#13#89
Route RunningWR Rt#81#13
TacklingTkl#78#56
Run DefenseR Def#44#105
Pass Rush DefPRush#65#29
Coverage DefCov#115#22

Rematch from Week 11
Georgia State -2.5 (62.5)
App State won at Georgia State this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
App State beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | GAST
Depth Chart: APP | GAST
Rosters: APP | GAST
(#99) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30


Georgia State has lost 2 straight
Georgia State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State has Really Good Running Game (#86)
Georgia State offense is good on 3rd downs

Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Georgia State run game is really bad (#131)
Georgia State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#90)


  
App State's OC Frank Ponce
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar29245964%375433108.2
Ryan Burger71164%73106.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel17382554.868
Kanye Roberts12369675.761
Maquel Haywood (Tr)6031825.331
Anderson Castle5328325.329
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson679051013.552
Christan Horn36566615.752
Makai Jackson (Tr)27418215.567
Dalton Stroman20390319.577

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC Scott Sloan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Parker1096242
Nicholas Ross1014224
Caden Sullivan644111
Ethan Johnson5540011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Johnson429851
Michael Fletcher (Tr)225581
Santana Hopper337430
Shawn Collins (Tr)234380
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson5540011
Tyrek Funderburk (Tr)473108
E.J. Jackson (Tr)473007

Georgia State's OC Trent McKnight
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darren Grainger24435868%26252077.3
Mikele Colasurdo5863%47005.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcus Carroll2741350134.963
Darren Grainger159736104.665
Freddie Brock (Tr)30307110.260
KZ Adams356101.76
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Lewis70881712.697
Tailique Williams49615612.678
Jacari Carter (Tr)3827607.332
Cadarrius Thompson25266310.637

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Chad Staggs
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jontrey Hunter947224
Justin Abraham828412
Jeremiah Johnson765100
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javon Denis317560
Kevin Swint (Tr)328430
Justin Abraham828412
Henry Bryant (Tr)366310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryquice Brown341016
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
Jontrey Hunter947224