Utah State at San Diego State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -2.0 (56.5) (-135) Open: -2.5 | 56.0
Utah State 32 - San Diego State: 24 (Mountain West)

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USU coming off BYE
SDSU coming off BYE
Our Line: San Diego State -1.5 (SP+ USU -2)
Projected Score: USU: 28 - SDSU: 30 (61)
USU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
USU Travel: 685 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aztecs (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

San Diego State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San Diego State vs Ohio	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/2	San Diego State vs Idaho State	-34.5	51.0	W 36 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/9	San Diego State vs UCLA	+13.0	49.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	San Diego State at Oregon State	+24.5	48.5	L 9 - 26	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San Diego State vs Boise State	+6.5	46.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	San Diego State at Air Force	+10.5	43.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-6.0	51.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San Diego State vs Nevada	-11.0	48.5	L 0 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	San Diego State vs Utah State	+2.0	56.5	L 24 - 32	U	N
Sat 11/11	San Diego State at Colorado State	+3.5	46.5	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/18	San Diego State at San José State	+16.5	48.5	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	San Diego State vs Fresno State	+5.5	47.0	W 33 - 18	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.07	38%	31.9	39%	3.13	159	38%	195	3.15	.17	41%	37.8	44%	39%	4.05	77.5	2.1	1.7
SDSU	.14	39%	21.3	38%	2.81	143	41%	181	2.92	.06	38%	29.6	36%	40%	3.15	59.4	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	31.9	25.2	37.9%	3.15	2.1	20	354	159	195	3.8	55%	44%	39%	38%	17%	.07
SDSU Defense	13	29.6	23.3	37.5%	3.15	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	36%	40%	19%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	37.8	45.2	41.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	39%	17%	.17
SDSU Offense	13	21.3	22.3	38.8%	2.92	1.8	16	324	143	181	4	53%	46%	38%	41%	20%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	28:47	19.8	33%	53%	8.5	77.5	2.1	1.7	5.8	2.7	3	30.4
San Diego State	13	30:56	15.8	29%	75%	7.4	59.4	1.8	1.9	6.5	2.8	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	55%	39%	42.2	159.3	3.8	14	.08	3.13	72%	9%	0.92
SDSU Defense	13	44%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.84	62%	13%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	71%	11%	1.1
SDSU Offense	13	53%	38%	36.2	143.2	4	11	.08	2.81	58%	14%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	44%	38%	17.7	30.6	195.2	6.4	11	18	21	.13	1.5	32%	26%	.08	8%	1.7
SDSU Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.19	1.5	34%	28%	.18	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.7	31%	29%	.24	6%	2.2
SDSU Offense	13	46%	41%	14.2	26.3	180.6	6.9	12.7	15	14	.31	1.6	34%	31%	.37	6%	2.2

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -7.91 San Diego State: -6.495

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -8.5 San Diego State: -10.5

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -6.495 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
2023 Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
San Diego State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 30
Utah State 28

Projected Total Points: 61

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

San Diego State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Utah State	41	San Diego State	20	Utah State	Utah State -5	Utah State	60.0	Over
2023	11/04	San Diego State	24	Utah State	32	Utah State	Utah State -2.0	Utah State	56.5	Under
2021	12/04	San Diego State	13	Utah State	46	Utah State	San Diego State -6.5	Utah State	49.5	Over
2020	10/31	Utah State	7	San Diego State	38	San Diego State	San Diego State -7.5	San Diego State	0
2019	09/21	San Diego State	17	Utah State	23	Utah State	Utah State -4	Utah State	53.0	Under
2016	10/28	Utah State	13	San Diego State	40	San Diego State	San Diego State -3	San Diego State	45.0	Over
2015	10/23	San Diego State	48	Utah State	14	San Diego State	Utah State -5	San Diego State	44.5	Over
2010	09/25	San Diego State	41	Utah State	7	San Diego State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	4	3	4 Overs
Utah State	4	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 5	2 - 5	1 - 1	1 - 4
Road Teams	5 - 3	5 - 2	4 - 1	1 - 1

(#107) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129
Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Utah State Ratings Matchup San Diego State

Power #107

#104

Off #72

#106

Def #103

#86

Talent #119

#73

SP+ #97

#107

SP+ Off #49

#110

SP+ Def #129

#91

Rematch from Week 10
Utah State 2.0 (56.5)
Utah State won at San Diego State this year (32-24)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat San Diego State last year (41-20)
Utah State beat San Diego State in 2023 (32-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 69° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: USU | SDSU
Depth Chart: USU | SDSU
Rosters: USU | SDSU

(#104) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.495 #104
Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00

Team Profile

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Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cooper Legas	87	162	54%	1144	12	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davon Booth	152	759	5	5.0	43
Cooper Legas	79	201	1	2.5	33
Elliott Nimrod	1	10	0	10.0	10
Kyrese Rowan	2	4	1	2.0	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Royals	55	834	6	15.2	75
Kyrese Rowan	44	526	3	12.0	57
Davon Booth	13	164	4	12.6	54
Colby Bowman (Tr)	7	69	0	9.9	31

View Utah State's Full Roster

Utah State's DC Joe Cauthen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0
Sir Mells	8	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Seni Tuiaki	1	1	1	1	0
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0

San Diego State's OC Ryan Lindley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raphael Williams (Tr)	1	-3	0	-3.0	0
Josh Nicholson	1	-10	0	-10.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raphael Williams (Tr)	36	419	6	11.6	35
Mark Redman	23	251	3	10.9	32
Mekhi Shaw	15	160	2	10.7	30
Cameron Harpole	1	17	0	17.0	17

View San Diego State's Full Roster

San Diego State's DC Kurt Mattix

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Noah Avinger	82	2	0	5
Marcus Ratcliffe	48	4	1	0
J.D. Coffey III	42	0	0	1
Zyrus Fiaseu	34	3	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cooper McDonald	25	5	3	2	1
Noah Avinger	82	2	0	0	5
Marcus Ratcliffe	48	4	0	1	0
J.D. Coffey III	42	0	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Noah Avinger	82	2	5
Dezjhon Malone	27	2	3
Dallas Branch	23	0	3