James Madison at Georgia State - 2023 Matchup Preview
James Madison logo James Madison Dukes at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
James Madison -6.0 (53.0) (-220)  Open: -5.5 | 55.0
James Madison 42 - Georgia State: 14  (Sun Belt)

 
Dukes (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (44 - 8)
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (36 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GAST is playing their 4th straight game
JMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: James Madison -14   (SP+ JMU -22.5)

Projected Score: JMU: 34 - GAST: 20 (55)
JMU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
JMU Travel: 447 miles
Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (26 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
James Madison's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 James Madison vs Bucknell-47.053.5W 38 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 James Madison at Virginia-6.040.0W 36 - 35ON
Sat 9/16 James Madison at Troy+2.546.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 9/23 James Madison at Utah State-5.553.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/30 James Madison vs South Alabama-1.048.5W 31 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 James Madison vs Georgia Southern-5.560.0W 41 - 13UY
Thu 10/19 James Madison at Marshall-5.049.0W 20 - 9UY
Sat 10/28 James Madison vs Old Dominion-19.548.0W 30 - 27ON
Sat 11/4 James Madison at Georgia State-6.053.0W 42 - 14OY
Sat 11/11 James Madison vs UConn-24.547.5W 44 - 6OY
Sat 11/18 James Madison vs App State-10.056.5L 23 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 James Madison at Coastal Carolina-9.550.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 12/23 James Madison vs Air Force+2.544.5L 21 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule
Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Georgia State vs Rhode Island-18.061.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Georgia State vs UConn-3.054.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 Georgia State at Charlotte-6.552.0W 41 - 25OY
Thu 9/21 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+4.562.5W 30 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia State vs Troy-1.050.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Georgia State vs Marshall-2.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 10/21 Georgia State at Louisiana+3.062.0W 20 - 17UY
Thu 10/26 Georgia State at Georgia Southern-1.063.0L 27 - 44ON
Sat 11/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+6.053.0L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 Georgia State vs App State-2.562.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 Georgia State at LSU+32.573.5L 14 - 56UN
Sat 11/25 Georgia State at Old Dominion+2.049.5L 24 - 25UY
Sat 12/23 Georgia State vs Utah State+2.058.0W 45 - 22OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU#44 (.24)46% (27)34.140% (102)2.75 (121)13352% (7)2863.92 (64)#14 (.09)33% (4)19.529% (1)37% (19)2.86 (9)40.11.21.6
GAST#68 (.19)42% (72)27.240% (105)2.84 (112)18844% (41)2063.92 (65)#94 (.22)42% (68)30.140% (43)45% (111)3.95 (83)57.51.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)47% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)34% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)42% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)49% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Offense1334.135.845.6%3.921.2214191332863.947%52%40%52%17%.24
GAST Defense1330.130.842.1%3.951.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%45%15%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Defense1319.520.733.2%2.861.6 - - - - - 42%57%29%37%24%.09
GAST Offense1327.225.541.6%3.921.2203941882064.855%44%40%44%15%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
James Madison1331:1521.237%50%5.540.11.21.68.53.4333.4
Georgia State1329:2619.546%47%6.457.51.21.35.52229.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Offense1347% (94)40% (102)34.2133.23.917 (81).03 (121)2.75 (121)57% (131)10% (69)0.89 (114)
GAST Defense1347% (25)40% (43) - - - - .15 (72)3.05 (56)63% (19)10% (63)1.06 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Defense1342% (6)29% (1) - - - - -.04 (8)2.18 (1)61% (10)15% (2)1.13 (117)
GAST Offense1355% (29)40% (105)39.3188.14.825 (37).15 (74)2.84 (112)78% (30)11% (89)1.16 (7)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Offense1352% (43)52% (7)22.233285.88.712.936 (5)11 (68).48 (13)1.5 (90)29% (25)33% (51).38 (51)7% (98)2 (74)
GAST Defense1352% (106)45% (111) - - - - - - 11 (53).37 (113)1.6 (76)33% (55)31% (89).42 (114)4% (122)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Defense1357% (127)37% (19) - - - - - - 13 (26).24 (51)1.7 (115)38% (5)27% (24).28 (48)9% (4)2.1 (77)
GAST Offense1344% (104)44% (41)19.228.2205.57.310.720 (70)7 (21).31 (61)1.5 (91)31% (45)33% (47).37 (58)4% (14)2.1 (38)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 3.26 #48
James Madison's Offense Rating: 17.90 #55
James Madison's Defense Rating: -1.23 #4
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
James Madison's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
James Madison's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #18
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #19
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 3.26   Georgia State: -5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 13.3   Georgia State: -9.4




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


James Madison Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.8
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

James Madison's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 34
Georgia State 20


Total Points: 55

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.5
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.8

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09James Madison38Georgia State7James MadisonJames Madison -14.5James Madison53.5Under
202311/04Georgia State14James Madison42James MadisonJames Madison -6.0James Madison53.0Over
202211/19James Madison42Georgia State40James MadisonJames Madison -10Georgia State51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State012 Overs
James Madison321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#48) James Madison Info
Power Rating: 3.26 #48
Offense Rating: 17.90 #55
Defense Rating: -1.23 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #18
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80


James Madison has won 8 straight
James Madison has won 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

James Madison Highlights
James Madison offense is efficent (#68)
James Madison Defense Sacks the QB a lot

James Madison has a really good defense (#2)
James Madison defense is really good in red zone (#25)
James Madison has a good run defense (#5)
James Madison has a good pass defense (#5)
James Madison Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
James Madison Defensive Line is very good (#3)
James Madison Front 7 is disruptive (#35)
James Madison Secondary is very good (#2)
James Madison defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

James Madison Deficiencies
James Madison Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#66)
James Madison run game is really bad (#46)
James Madison gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatGASTJMU
OverallOver#93#18
OffenseOff#78#43
DefenseDef#91#11
Special TeamsST#78#17
PassingPass#56#24
RushingRush#64#79
Run BlockRBLK#74#54
Pass BlockPBLK#13#84
Route RunningWR Rt#81#18
TacklingTkl#78#74
Run DefenseR Def#44#17
Pass Rush DefPRush#65#13
Coverage DefCov#115#19

Rematch from Week 10
James Madison 6.0 (53.0)
James Madison won at Georgia State this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Georgia State last year (38-7)
James Madison beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
James Madison beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-40)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JMU | GAST
Depth Chart: JMU | GAST
Rosters: JMU | GAST
(#99) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30


Georgia State has lost 1 straight
Georgia State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State has Really Good Running Game (#86)
Georgia State offense is good on 3rd downs

Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Georgia State run game is really bad (#131)
Georgia State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#90)


  
James Madison's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)28241368%367035108.9
Alonza Barnett31127%15011.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaelon Black14263714.557
Ty Son Lawton12656854.528
Jordan McCloud (Tr)9627682.947
Latrele Palmer3211913.713
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Sarratt821191814.548
Reggie Brown531054919.980
Phoenix Sproles5244258.532
Zach Horton27275610.266

View James Madison's Full Roster
James Madison's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Fisher1075256
Jailin Walker616214
Jamree Kromah5820940
Jacob Thomas541006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Green50221671
Jamree Kromah5820940
Mikail Kamara5119852
James Carpenter5310473
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds5120011
Aiden Fisher1075256
Jacob Thomas541006

Georgia State's OC Trent McKnight
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darren Grainger24435868%26252077.3
Mikele Colasurdo5863%47005.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcus Carroll2741350134.963
Darren Grainger159736104.665
Freddie Brock (Tr)30307110.260
KZ Adams356101.76
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Lewis70881712.697
Tailique Williams49615612.678
Jacari Carter (Tr)3827607.332
Cadarrius Thompson25266310.637

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Chad Staggs
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jontrey Hunter947224
Justin Abraham828412
Jeremiah Johnson765100
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javon Denis317560
Kevin Swint (Tr)328430
Justin Abraham828412
Henry Bryant (Tr)366310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryquice Brown341016
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
Jontrey Hunter947224