James Madison at Georgia State - 2023 Matchup Preview
James Madison logo James Madison Dukes at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
James Madison -6.0 (53.0) (-220)  Open: -5.5 | 55.0
James Madison 42 - Georgia State: 14  (Sun Belt)

 
Dukes (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (44 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (34 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GAST is playing their 4th straight game
JMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: James Madison -14  (SP+ JMU -22.5)
Projected Score: JMU: 34 - GAST: 20 (54)
JMU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
JMU Travel: 447 miles
Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
James Madison's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 James Madison vs Bucknell-47.053.5W 38 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 James Madison at Virginia-6.040.0W 36 - 35ON
Sat 9/16 James Madison at Troy+2.546.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 9/23 James Madison at Utah State-5.553.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 9/30 James Madison vs South Alabama-1.048.5W 31 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 James Madison vs Georgia Southern-5.560.0W 41 - 13UY
Thu 10/19 James Madison at Marshall-5.049.0W 20 - 9UY
Sat 10/28 James Madison vs Old Dominion-19.548.0W 30 - 27ON
Sat 11/4 James Madison at Georgia State-6.053.0W 42 - 14OY
Sat 11/11 James Madison vs UConn-24.547.5W 44 - 6OY
Sat 11/18 James Madison vs App State-10.056.5L 23 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 James Madison at Coastal Carolina-9.550.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 12/23 James Madison vs Air Force+2.544.5L 21 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule
Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Georgia State vs Rhode Island-18.061.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Georgia State vs UConn-3.054.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 Georgia State at Charlotte-6.552.0W 41 - 25OY
Thu 9/21 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+4.562.5W 30 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia State vs Troy-1.050.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Georgia State vs Marshall-2.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 10/21 Georgia State at Louisiana+3.062.0W 20 - 17UY
Thu 10/26 Georgia State at Georgia Southern-1.063.0L 27 - 44ON
Sat 11/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+6.053.0L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 Georgia State vs App State-2.562.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 Georgia State at LSU+32.573.5L 14 - 56UN
Sat 11/25 Georgia State at Old Dominion+2.049.5L 24 - 25UY
Sat 12/23 Georgia State vs Utah State+2.058.0W 45 - 22OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU.2146%37.145%3.2618748%2654.4.0429%18.427%32%3.5339.91.82.8
GAST.1739%19.839%3.0921640%2033.9.1643%37.845%41%4.1163.71.62.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Offense1137.134.145.8%4.41.8234521872654.354%44%45%48%16%.21
GAST Defense1237.830.343%4.112.7 - - - - - 55%44%45%41%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Defense1118.421.729.4%3.532.8 - - - - - 45%54%27%32%25%.04
GAST Offense1219.821.539.2%3.91.6224182162034.562%38%39%40%19%.17

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
James Madison1133:3822.640%45%5.139.91.82.88.73.5233.1
Georgia State1228:5222.241%58%763.71.62.76.12.3127.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Offense1154%45%43.5187.24.324.093.2672%10%0.88
GAST Defense1255%45% - - - - .133.0571%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Defense1145%27% - - - - -.072.0658%17%1.19
GAST Offense1262%39%48.2215.54.526.133.0975%13%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Offense1144%48%18.229.7265.38.914.62710.441.630%34%.376%2
GAST Defense1244%41% - - - - - - 13.241.630%31%.356%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Defense1154%32% - - - - - - 11.171.941%23%.258%2.4
GAST Offense1238%40%14.424.8202.68.214.1187.311.934%30%.266%2.2

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 3.26  #48
James Madison's Offense Rating: 17.90  #55
James Madison's Defense Rating: -1.23  #4
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
James Madison's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
James Madison's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #18
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #19
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 3.26   Georgia State: -5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 13.3   Georgia State: -9.4




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -5.745  #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65  #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67  #96
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


James Madison Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.1
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

James Madison's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 34
Georgia State 20

Projected Total Points: 54
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Georgia State7James Madison14James Madison -19.5Georgia State52.5Under
202411/09James Madison38Georgia State7James Madison -14.5James Madison53.5Under
202311/04Georgia State14James Madison42James Madison -6.0James Madison53.0Over
202211/19James Madison42Georgia State40James Madison -10Georgia State51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State022 Overs
James Madison422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams2 - 22 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#48) JMU at (#99) GAST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatJMUGAST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #48 #99
SP+SP+ #18 #100
Perf GradeGrade #23 #112
OffenseOff #46 #89
DefenseDef #14 #118
Spec TeamsST #17 #99
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
James Madison on Offense
CategoryCat
JMU OffGAST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #46 #118
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #55 #96
SP+SP+ #19 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
James Madison Run Game
CategoryCat
JMU OffGAST Def
Run GameRun #110 #50
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #69 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #91
James Madison Pass Game
CategoryCat
JMU OffGAST Def
Pass GamePass #31 #136
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #99 #83
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Georgia State on Offense
CategoryCatGAST OffJMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #89 #14
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #76 #4
SP+SP+ #71 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia State Run Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffJMU Def
Run GameRun #91 #20
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #98 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #84
Georgia State Pass Game
CategoryCatGAST OffJMU Def
Pass GamePass #70 #22
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #15 #14
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
James Madison 6.0 (53.0)
James Madison won at Georgia State this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Georgia State last year (14-7)
James Madison beat Georgia State in 2024 (38-7)
James Madison beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)

  
JMU's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)28241368%367035108.9
Alonza Barnett31127%15011.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaelon Black14263714.557
Ty Son Lawton12656854.528
Jordan McCloud (Tr)9627682.947
Latrele Palmer3211913.713
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Sarratt821191814.548
Reggie Brown531054919.980
Phoenix Sproles5244258.532
Zach Horton27275610.266

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Fisher1075256
Jailin Walker616214
Jamree Kromah5820940
Jacob Thomas541006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Green50221671
Jamree Kromah5820940
Mikail Kamara5119852
James Carpenter5310473
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds5120011
Aiden Fisher1075256
Jacob Thomas541006

GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darren Grainger24435868%26252077.3
Mikele Colasurdo5863%47005.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcus Carroll2741350134.963
Darren Grainger159736104.665
Freddie Brock (Tr)30307110.260
KZ Adams356101.76
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Lewis70881712.697
Tailique Williams49615612.678
Jacari Carter (Tr)3827607.332
Cadarrius Thompson25266310.637

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Chad Staggs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jontrey Hunter947224
Justin Abraham828412
Jeremiah Johnson765100
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javon Denis317560
Kevin Swint (Tr)328430
Justin Abraham828412
Henry Bryant (Tr)366310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryquice Brown341016
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
Jontrey Hunter947224