Idaho State at Utah State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Idaho State Bengals at Utah State Aggies

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -24 (61.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Utah State 78 - Idaho State: 28

Bengals (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 57 (28 - 57 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IDST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ USU -9)
USU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 35 (41 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IDST Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Idaho State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Idaho State at San Diego State	+34.5	51.0	L 28 - 36	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Idaho State at Utah State	+24.0	61.0	L 28 - 78	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Idaho State's Schedule

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IDST		0%	28	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	57	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU	#50 (.22)	42% (67)	33.2	45% (52)	3.36 (19)	184	42% (68)	254	3.27 (109)	#98 (.23)	45% (114)	34.7	49% (124)	43% (82)	4.41 (119)	70.8	1.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IDST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IDST Offense	2	28	28	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USU Defense	13	34.7	33.8	45.4%	4.41	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	49%	43%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IDST Defense	2	57	57	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USU Offense	13	33.2	40.5	42.2%	3.27	1.9	22	439	184	254	4.8	48%	50%	45%	42%	20%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Idaho State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Utah State	13	26:56	21.7	36%	56%	7.5	70.8	1.9	1.5	5.5	1.8	3	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IDST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
USU Defense	13	54% (113)	49% (124)	-	-	-	-	.18 (93)	3.1 (68)	83% (118)	11% (39)	0.93 (34)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IDST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
USU Offense	13	48% (89)	45% (52)	38.2	184.5	4.8	18 (77)	.21 (33)	3.36 (19)	77% (40)	12% (104)	1 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IDST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USU Defense	13	45% (22)	43% (82)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.31 (95)	1.6 (71)	30% (108)	31% (77)	.31 (70)	7% (23)	1.9 (32)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IDST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USU Offense	13	50% (56)	42% (68)	20.7	33.5	254.2	7.6	12.3	35 (7)	19 (131)	.34 (48)	1.8 (19)	33% (87)	33% (53)	.42 (40)	8% (122)	2.2 (30)

Idaho State's Power Ratings
Idaho State's Power Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #232
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Idaho State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Idaho State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Idaho State: Utah State: -5.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Idaho State: Utah State: -8.5

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -5.705 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Idaho State Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 57 PPG
Defense on Road: 57

Idaho State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 42
Idaho State 28

Total Points: 70

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 38
Idaho State 25

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 47
Idaho State 31

Total Points: 78

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.8

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Utah State	78	Idaho State	28	Utah State -24	Utah State	61.0	Over
2017	09/07	Utah State	51	Idaho State	13	Utah State -35	Utah State	0
2014	09/06	Utah State	40	Idaho State	20	Utah State -35	Idaho State	0
2010	09/11	Utah State	38	Idaho State	17
2002	09/14	Utah State	38	Idaho State	33
2001	10/20	Utah State	28	Idaho State	27
2000	11/17	Utah State	24	Idaho State	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	6	2	1 Overs
Idaho State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 6	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#NR) IDST at (#107) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IDST	USU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#107
SP+SP+	NR	#97
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#113
OffenseOff	NR	#67
DefenseDef	NR	#131
Spec TeamsST	NR	#91
TalentTal	#232	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Idaho State Injury Report

Utah State Injury Report

Idaho State on Offense


CategoryCat	IDST Off	USU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	#114
ExplosiveExp	NR	#27
PPAPPA	NR	#98
PowerPwr	NR	#103
SP+SP+	NR	#129
Pts POPPO	NR	#119
HavocHav	NR	#24

Idaho State Run Game


CategoryCat	IDST Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#135
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#124
Run ExplRExp	NR	#34
PPAExp	NR	#93
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#68
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#45
TackleTak	-	#126

Idaho State Pass Game


CategoryCat	IDST Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#82
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#71
PPAExp	NR	#95
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#111
F7 HavocF7	NR	#39
DB HavocDB	NR	#23

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	IDST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	NR
SuccessSuc	#67	NR
ExplosiveExp	#22	NR
PPAPPA	#50	NR
PowerPwr	#72	NR
SP+SP+	#49	NR
Pts POPPO	#109	NR
HavocHav	#119	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	IDST Def
Run GameRun	#27	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	NR
Run ExplRExp	#68	NR
PPAExp	#33	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#19	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#57	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	IDST Def
Pass GamePass	#66	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#68	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#19	NR
PPAExp	#48	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#129	NR
F7 HavocF7	#104	NR
DB HavocDB	#122	NR

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

IDST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Utah State -24.0 (61.0)
Utah State won vs Idaho State this year (78-28)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Idaho State in 2023 (78-28)

IDST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chedon James	2	41	0	20.5	38

View Idaho State's Full Roster

IDST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Teilor Tuioti	8	0	0
Cortland Horton	8	0	0
Kris Sanchez	8	1	1
Mason Young	7	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Kris Sanchez	8	1	1
Logan George	3	1	1
Teilor Tuioti	8	0	0
Cortland Horton	8	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Teilor Tuioti	8	0	0
Cortland Horton	8	0	0
Kris Sanchez	8	1	1

USU's OC Kyle Cefalo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cooper Legas	138	213	65%	1815	19	8	8.5
McCae Hillstead	94	158	60%	1062	11	8	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davon Booth	120	805	6	6.7	65
Rahsul Faison	118	736	5	6.2	60
Robert Briggs	80	420	2	5.3	58
Levi Williams	45	209	3	4.6	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Royals	71	1080	15	15.2	71
Terrell Vaughn	90	937	11	10.4	76
Micah Davis	36	628	6	17.4	76
Colby Bowman (Tr)	11	247	2	22.5	63

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Joe Cauthen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
MJ Tafisi	142	9	0	2	1
Ike Larsen	102	5	0	1	6
Anthony Switzer	85	8	3	5	4
Devin Dye	82	2	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Paul Fitzgerald	46	9	7	1	1
Blaine Spires	26	8	5	10	1
Anthony Switzer	85	8	3	5	4
Hale Motu'apuaka	33	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Devin Dye	82	2	7
Jordan Drew	27	0	6
Avante Dickerson	17	0	6