Georgia State at Coastal Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Thursday, September 21st 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Coastal Carolina -4.5 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia State 30 - Coastal Carolina: 17 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 2nd straight Road Game
CCU 3rd straight Home Game
CCU is playing their 4th straight game
GAST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Coastal Carolina -8 (SP+ CCU -7)
Projected Score: GAST: 26 - CCU: 34 (60)
CCU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
GAST Travel: 309 miles

Chanticleers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck* (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (22 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#50)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
CCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Rhode Island	-18.0	61.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia State vs UConn	-3.0	54.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Charlotte	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 25	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	62.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	50.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia State vs Marshall	-2.0	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Georgia State at Louisiana	+3.0	62.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/26	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-1.0	63.0	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+6.0	53.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia State vs App State	-2.5	62.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia State at LSU	+32.5	73.5	L 14 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+2.0	49.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Coastal Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Coastal Carolina at UCLA	+15.5	66.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Coastal Carolina vs Jacksonville State	-13.5	61.0	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Coastal Carolina vs Duquesne	-35.0	55.5	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State	-4.5	62.5	L 17 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/30	Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.5	L 28 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	Coastal Carolina at App State	+4.5	59.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State	-8.5	59.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Coastal Carolina vs Marshall	+3.5	47.0	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion	-1.0	51.0	W 28 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Coastal Carolina vs Texas State	+2.5	55.5	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Coastal Carolina at Army	-1.5	40.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/25	Coastal Carolina vs James Madison	+9.5	50.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 12/23	Coastal Carolina vs San José State	+7.5	48.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.17	39%	19.8	39%	3.09	216	40%	203	3.9	.16	43%	37.8	45%	41%	4.11	63.7	1.6	2.7
CCU	.3	47%	22.2	45%	3.05	159	49%	246	3.78	.32	45%	33.1	43%	48%	4.1	56.8	1.5	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	19.8	18	39.2%	3.9	1.6	22	418	216	203	4.5	62%	38%	39%	40%	19%	.17
CCU Defense	13	33.1	26.5	45.1%	4.1	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	43%	48%	18%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	37.8	45.3	43%	4.11	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	41%	18%	.16
CCU Offense	13	22.2	21.7	46.9%	3.78	1.5	22	405	159	246	4	54%	46%	45%	49%	14%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	28:52	22.2	41%	58%	7	63.7	1.6	2.7	6.1	2.3	1	27.9
Coastal Carolina	13	32:23	21.8	43%	57%	6.2	56.8	1.5	2.2	6.1	2.6	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	62%	39%	48.2	215.5	4.5	26	.13	3.09	75%	13%	1.06
CCU Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.06	71%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	71%	12%	1.05
CCU Offense	13	54%	45%	39.5	159	4	22	.2	3.05	76%	11%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	38%	40%	14.4	24.8	202.6	8.2	14.1	18	7	.31	1.9	34%	30%	.26	6%	2.2
CCU Defense	13	52%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.48	1.7	32%	34%	.49	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.6	30%	31%	.35	6%	2.2
CCU Offense	13	46%	49%	18.2	27.8	246.2	8.9	13.5	27	6	.46	1.7	31%	34%	.4	3%	2.2

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -7.09 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 499.67 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -7.09 Coastal Carolina: -0.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -9.4 Coastal Carolina: -2.9

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -0.04 #78
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.94 #62
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 9.43 #65
2023 Talent Rating: 515.69 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Coastal Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 7.50 - 5.50
Coastal Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #62
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Coastal Carolina 34
Georgia State 26

Projected Total Points: 60

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.5

Coastal Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Coastal Carolina	40	Georgia State	27	Coastal Carolina -7	Coastal Carolina	56.5	Over
2024	11/30	Georgia State	27	Coastal Carolina	48	Georgia State -0.5	Coastal Carolina	52.5	Over
2023	09/21	Coastal Carolina	17	Georgia State	30	Coastal Carolina -4.5	Georgia State	62.5	Under
2022	09/22	Georgia State	24	Coastal Carolina	41	Coastal Carolina -2.5	Coastal Carolina	63.5	Over
2021	11/13	Coastal Carolina	40	Georgia State	42	Coastal Carolina -12.5	Georgia State	53.5	Over
2020	10/31	Georgia State	0	Coastal Carolina	51	Coastal Carolina -4	Coastal Carolina	60.5	Under
2019	10/12	Coastal Carolina	21	Georgia State	31	Coastal Carolina -3.5	Georgia State	64.5	Under
2018	10/27	Georgia State	34	Coastal Carolina	37	Coastal Carolina -2.5	Coastal Carolina	61.0	Over
2017	10/07	Coastal Carolina	21	Georgia State	27	Georgia State -1	Georgia State	52.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Coastal Carolina	5	5	5 Overs
Georgia State	4	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 8	1 - 8	1 - 4	0 - 4
Road Teams	8 - 1	8 - 1	4 - 0	4 - 1

(#99) GAST at (#78) CCU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	CCU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#99	#78
SP+SP+	#100	#76
Perf GradeGrade	#112	#71
OffenseOff	#89	#55
DefenseDef	#118	#83
Spec TeamsST	#99	#89
TalentTal	#87	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Georgia State Injury Report

Coastal Carolina Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	CCU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#76	#65
SP+SP+	#71	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	CCU Def
Run GameRun	#91	#106
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#29

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	CCU Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#15	#52
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	CCU Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#55	#118
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#62	#96
SP+SP+	#62	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#76	#50
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

Coastal Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#55	#83
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Coastal Carolina -4.5 (62.5)
Georgia State won at Coastal Carolina this year (30-17)

Previous Matchups
Coastal Carolina beat Georgia State last year (40-27)
Coastal Carolina beat Georgia State in 2024 (48-27)
Georgia State beat Coastal Carolina in 2023 (30-17)

GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darren Grainger	244	358	68%	2625	20	7	7.3
Mikele Colasurdo	5	8	63%	47	0	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Carroll	274	1350	13	4.9	63
Darren Grainger	159	736	10	4.6	65
Freddie Brock (Tr)	30	307	1	10.2	60
KZ Adams	35	61	0	1.7	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Lewis	70	881	7	12.6	97
Tailique Williams	49	615	6	12.6	78
Jacari Carter (Tr)	38	276	0	7.3	32
Cadarrius Thompson	25	266	3	10.6	37

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Chad Staggs (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jontrey Hunter	94	7	2	2	4
Justin Abraham	82	8	4	1	2
Jeremiah Johnson	76	5	1	0	0
TyGee Leach (Tr)	70	7	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javon Denis	31	7	5	6	0
Kevin Swint (Tr)	32	8	4	3	0
Justin Abraham	82	8	4	1	2
Henry Bryant (Tr)	36	6	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryquice Brown	34	1	0	1	6
TyGee Leach (Tr)	70	7	0	1	6
Jontrey Hunter	94	7	2	2	4

CCU's OC Travis Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson McCall	151	224	67%	1919	10	6	8.6
Ethan Vasko (Tr)	76	122	62%	779	7	1	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braydon Bennett	91	407	5	4.5	21
Ethan Vasko (Tr)	63	368	2	5.8	75
CJ Beasley	68	262	2	3.9	21
Reese White	77	252	2	3.3	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Pinckney	72	1027	8	14.3	52
Jared Brown	58	740	4	12.8	59
Jameson Tucker	20	423	3	21.2	51
Kyre Duplessis	16	242	1	15.1	64

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Craig Naivar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clayton Isbell	89	5	1	0	5
JT Killen	68	3	0	2	2
Micheal Mason	65	9	6	4	1
Juan Powell (Tr)	55	5	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Micheal Mason	65	9	6	4	1
Will Whitson	42	5	3	5	0
Clinton Anokwuru	23	5	3	0	0
Allen Henry	39	3	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Matthew McDoom	27	0	0	10
Keonte Lusk	37	1	1	6
Juan Powell (Tr)	55	5	1	6