Marshall at Georgia State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -2 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia State 41 - Marshall: 24 (Sun Belt)

Thundering Herd (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MRSH 2nd straight Road Game
GAST coming off BYE
MRSH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia State -1 (SP+ MRSH -1)
Projected Score: MRSH: 28 - GAST: 29 (56)
GAST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MRSH Travel: 342 miles

Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MRSH Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Marshall's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Marshall vs UAlbany	-22.0	47.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Marshall at East Carolina	-3.0	43.5	W 31 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Marshall vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	41.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Marshall vs Old Dominion	-14.5	47.0	W 41 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Marshall at NC State	+6.5	44.0	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/14	Marshall at Georgia State	+2.0	53.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Thu 10/19	Marshall vs James Madison	+5.0	49.0	L 9 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Marshall at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	47.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/4	Marshall at App State	+3.0	57.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Marshall vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	56.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Marshall at South Alabama	+10.5	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Marshall vs Arkansas State	-2.0	54.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Tue 12/19	Marshall vs UTSA	+7.0	47.0	L 17 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Rhode Island	-18.0	61.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia State vs UConn	-3.0	54.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Charlotte	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 25	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	62.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	50.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia State vs Marshall	-2.0	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Georgia State at Louisiana	+3.0	62.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/26	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-1.0	63.0	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+6.0	53.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia State vs App State	-2.5	62.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia State at LSU	+32.5	73.5	L 14 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+2.0	49.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	.06	40%	30.8	43%	2.91	205	36%	192	2.83	-.05	30%	30.3	32%	29%	2.67	66.1	1.5	2.8
GAST	.17	39%	19.8	39%	3.09	216	40%	203	3.9	.16	43%	37.8	45%	41%	4.11	63.7	1.6	2.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Offense	13	30.8	30.2	40.2%	2.83	1.5	21	397	205	192	4.5	61%	38%	43%	36%	20%	.06
GAST Defense	12	37.8	30.3	43%	4.11	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Defense	13	30.3	35.8	29.9%	2.67	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	32%	29%	24%	-.05
GAST Offense	12	19.8	21.5	39.2%	3.9	1.6	22	418	216	203	4.5	62%	38%	39%	40%	19%	.17

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Marshall	13	31:49	20.8	37%	29%	7.2	66.1	1.5	2.8	6.3	2.8	4	31.4
Georgia State	12	28:52	22.2	41%	58%	7	63.7	1.6	2.7	6.1	2.3	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense	13	61%	43%	45.8	205.2	4.5	20	.09	2.91	69%	14%	0.97
GAST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	71%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense	13	44%	32%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.6	62%	14%	1.07
GAST Offense	12	62%	39%	48.2	215.5	4.5	26	.13	3.09	75%	13%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense	13	38%	36%	17.3	28.2	192	6.8	11.1	16	10	.06	1.4	34%	25%	.12	6%	2
GAST Defense	12	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.6	30%	31%	.35	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense	13	55%	29%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	-.06	1.7	39%	19%	.02	10%	2.1
GAST Offense	12	38%	40%	14.4	24.8	202.6	8.2	14.1	18	7	.31	1.9	34%	30%	.26	6%	2.2

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -5.29 #91
Marshall's Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Marshall's Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
2023 Talent Rating: 478.59 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Marshall's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
Marshall's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -5.29 Georgia State: -5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -8.2 Georgia State: -9.4

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 499.67 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Marshall's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 29
Marshall 28

Projected Total Points: 56

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Georgia State	18	Marshall	30	Marshall -9.5	Marshall	59.5	Under
2024	10/17	Marshall	35	Georgia State	20	Marshall -9.5	Marshall	51.5	Over
2023	10/14	Georgia State	41	Marshall	24	Georgia State -2	Georgia State	53.5	Over
2022	11/26	Marshall	28	Georgia State	23	Marshall -6.5	Georgia State	45.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	1	2	3 Overs
Marshall	3	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2

(#91) MRSH at (#99) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MRSH	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#91	#99
SP+SP+	#94	#100
Perf GradeGrade	#63	#112
OffenseOff	#112	#89
DefenseDef	#13	#118
Spec TeamsST	#20	#99
TalentTal	#95	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Marshall Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

Marshall on Offense


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#112	#118
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#118	#96
SP+SP+	#78	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Marshall Run Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#113	#50
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

Marshall Pass Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#40	#83
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	MRSH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#13
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#76	#33
SP+SP+	#71	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#91	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#42

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#15	#16
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Georgia State -2.0 (53.5)
Georgia State won vs Marshall this year (41-24)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Georgia State last year (30-18)
Marshall beat Georgia State in 2024 (35-20)
Georgia State beat Marshall in 2023 (41-24)

MRSH's OC Clint Trickett (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher	202	308	66%	2162	11	11	7.0
Cole Pennington	64	112	57%	695	0	6	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rasheen Ali	212	1140	15	5.4	64
Ethan Payne	83	335	1	4.0	64
Cam Fancher	120	273	4	2.3	63
Caleb McMillan	1	21	1	21.0	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Harrison	28	410	1	14.6	52
DeMarcus Harris	24	396	1	16.5	65
Caleb Coombs	39	310	2	7.9	24
Caleb McMillan	18	275	2	15.3	75

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elias Neal	93	11	3	3	2
J.J. Roberts (Tr)	74	2	0	1	1
Owen Porter	62	14	4	13	2
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	62	7	2	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Burton	42	8	7	8	0
Elijah Alston	45	11	6	14	2
Owen Porter	62	14	4	13	2
Michael Green	41	8	4	6	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Micah Abraham	36	0	0	15
Dyoni Hill	54	1	0	10
Josh Moten	30	1	1	6

GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darren Grainger	244	358	68%	2625	20	7	7.3
Mikele Colasurdo	5	8	63%	47	0	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Carroll	274	1350	13	4.9	63
Darren Grainger	159	736	10	4.6	65
Freddie Brock (Tr)	30	307	1	10.2	60
KZ Adams	35	61	0	1.7	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Lewis	70	881	7	12.6	97
Tailique Williams	49	615	6	12.6	78
Jacari Carter (Tr)	38	276	0	7.3	32
Cadarrius Thompson	25	266	3	10.6	37

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Chad Staggs (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jontrey Hunter	94	7	2	2	4
Justin Abraham	82	8	4	1	2
Jeremiah Johnson	76	5	1	0	0
TyGee Leach (Tr)	70	7	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javon Denis	31	7	5	6	0
Kevin Swint (Tr)	32	8	4	3	0
Justin Abraham	82	8	4	1	2
Henry Bryant (Tr)	36	6	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryquice Brown	34	1	0	1	6
TyGee Leach (Tr)	70	7	0	1	6
Jontrey Hunter	94	7	2	2	4