Georgia State at Old Dominion - 2023 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Old Dominion Monarchs

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Old Dominion -2 (49.5) (-130) Open: -2.0
Old Dominion 25 - Georgia State: 24 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 2nd straight Road Game
ODU is playing their 6th straight game
GAST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Old Dominion -2 (SP+ GAST -1)
Projected Score: GAST: 25 - ODU: 27 (51)
ODU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
GAST Travel: 505 miles

Monarchs (6 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (10 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (34 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
ODU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Rhode Island	-18.0	61.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia State vs UConn	-3.0	54.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Charlotte	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 25	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	62.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	50.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia State vs Marshall	-2.0	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Georgia State at Louisiana	+3.0	62.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/26	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-1.0	63.0	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+6.0	53.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia State vs App State	-2.5	62.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia State at LSU	+32.5	73.5	L 14 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+2.0	49.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Old Dominion's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Old Dominion at Virginia Tech	+16.0	48.0	L 17 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/9	Old Dominion vs Louisiana	+6.0	51.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Old Dominion vs Wake Forest	+13.5	60.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Old Dominion vs East Texas A&M	-18.5
Sat 9/30	Old Dominion at Marshall	+14.5	47.0	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Old Dominion at Southern Miss	+3.0	56.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Old Dominion vs App State	+6.0	56.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Old Dominion at James Madison	+19.5	48.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina	+1.0	51.0	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/11	Old Dominion at Liberty	+13.5	58.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Old Dominion at Georgia Southern	+4.5	61.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Old Dominion vs Georgia State	-2.0	49.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Mon 12/18	Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky	-4.0	49.0	L 35 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.17	39%	19.8	39%	3.09	216	40%	203	3.9	.16	43%	37.8	45%	41%	4.11	63.7	1.6	2.7
ODU	.12	34%	32	36%	2.79	91	34%	248	3.35	.23	43%	18.5	43%	45%	3.21	63.8	1.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ODU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	19.8	18	39.2%	3.9	1.6	22	418	216	203	4.5	62%	38%	39%	40%	19%	.17
ODU Defense	12	18.5	8.5	43.3%	3.21	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	43%	45%	15%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	37.8	45.3	43%	4.11	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	41%	18%	.16
ODU Offense	12	32	34.3	34.3%	3.35	1.5	16	340	91	248	3.5	37%	62%	36%	34%	22%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	28:52	22.2	41%	58%	7	63.7	1.6	2.7	6.1	2.3	1	27.9
Old Dominion	12	24:07	15.8	30%	35%	6.9	63.8	1.5	1.9	6.2	2.6	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	62%	39%	48.2	215.5	4.5	26	.13	3.09	75%	13%	1.06
ODU Defense	12	57%	43%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.1	75%	10%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	71%	12%	1.05
ODU Offense	12	37%	36%	25.8	91.4	3.5	8	-.02	2.79	69%	12%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	38%	40%	14.4	24.8	202.6	8.2	14.1	18	7	.31	1.9	34%	30%	.26	6%	2.2
ODU Defense	12	42%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.39	1.6	30%	30%	.33	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.6	30%	31%	.35	6%	2.2
ODU Offense	12	62%	34%	19.8	34.8	248.1	7.1	12.6	19	7	.2	1.7	38%	24%	.24	9%	2.2

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -7.09 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 499.67 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -7.09 Old Dominion: -6.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -9.4 Old Dominion: -10.2

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -6.23 #102
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 11.50 #114
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 8.69 #56
2023 Talent Rating: 343.17 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Old Dominion's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Old Dominion's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #97
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Old Dominion 27
Georgia State 25

Projected Total Points: 51

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

Old Dominion's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Old Dominion	27	Georgia State	10	Old Dominion -29.0	Georgia State	58.5	Under
2024	10/12	Georgia State	14	Old Dominion	21	Georgia State -3	Old Dominion	53.0	Under
2023	11/25	Old Dominion	25	Georgia State	24	Old Dominion -2	Georgia State	49.5	Under
2022	10/29	Georgia State	31	Old Dominion	17	Georgia State -3.5	Georgia State	53.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Old Dominion	3	1	0 Overs
Georgia State	1	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	1 - 3	1 - 3	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	3 - 1	0 - 0	3 - 1

(#99) GAST at (#102) ODU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	ODU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#99	#102
SP+SP+	#100	#105
Perf GradeGrade	#112	#107
OffenseOff	#89	#131
DefenseDef	#118	#35
Spec TeamsST	#99	#101
TalentTal	#87	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Georgia State Injury Report

Old Dominion Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ODU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#35
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#76	#56
SP+SP+	#71	#92
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#91	#9
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#9

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#15	#129
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Old Dominion on Offense


CategoryCat	ODU Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#118
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#114	#96
SP+SP+	#97	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Old Dominion Run Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#67	#50
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

Old Dominion Pass Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	#83
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Old Dominion -2.0 (49.5)
Old Dominion won vs Georgia State this year (25-24)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Georgia State last year (27-10)
Old Dominion beat Georgia State in 2024 (21-14)
Old Dominion beat Georgia State in 2023 (25-24)

GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darren Grainger	244	358	68%	2625	20	7	7.3
Mikele Colasurdo	5	8	63%	47	0	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Carroll	274	1350	13	4.9	63
Darren Grainger	159	736	10	4.6	65
Freddie Brock (Tr)	30	307	1	10.2	60
KZ Adams	35	61	0	1.7	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Lewis	70	881	7	12.6	97
Tailique Williams	49	615	6	12.6	78
Jacari Carter (Tr)	38	276	0	7.3	32
Cadarrius Thompson	25	266	3	10.6	37

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Chad Staggs (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jontrey Hunter	94	7	2	2	4
Justin Abraham	82	8	4	1	2
Jeremiah Johnson	76	5	1	0	0
TyGee Leach (Tr)	70	7	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javon Denis	31	7	5	6	0
Kevin Swint (Tr)	32	8	4	3	0
Justin Abraham	82	8	4	1	2
Henry Bryant (Tr)	36	6	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryquice Brown	34	1	0	1	6
TyGee Leach (Tr)	70	7	0	1	6
Jontrey Hunter	94	7	2	2	4

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grant Wilson	178	312	57%	2149	17	8	6.9
Jack Shields	25	47	53%	353	2	3	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kadarius Calloway	88	623	5	7.1	75
Keshawn Wicks	120	588	4	4.9	36
Grant Wilson	130	292	4	2.2	79
Obasanjo Sanni	57	248	1	4.4	67

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Reymello Murphy	28	502	3	17.9	61
Kelby Williams	26	451	2	17.3	78
Isiah Paige	43	445	2	10.3	42
Javon Harvey	29	391	4	13.5	68

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Henderson	165	19	5	5	0
Wayne Matthews III	135	10	4	0	3
Terry Jones	104	4	0	3	4
Shawn Asbury II	95	6	0	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Henderson	165	19	5	5	0
Wayne Matthews III	135	10	4	0	3
Denzel Lowry	46	5	3	1	1
Mario Thompson	43	6	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Rasheed Reason	34	3	0	7
Lamareon James	60	1	0	7
Nolan Johnson	38	1	1	6