Western Kentucky at Georgia State - 2017 Matchup Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, December 16th 2017 (2:30 PM EST)
Georgia State -5 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia State 27 - Western Kentucky: 17 (AUTONATION CURE BOWL)

Hilltoppers (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (19 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ WKU -9)
Projected Score: WKU: 34 - GAST: 20 (54)
GAST Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
WKU Travel: 653 miles, 1 hrs behind

Panthers (7 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (12 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
WKU Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-39.0
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky at Illinois	-6.5	52.0	L 7 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech	-4.5	62.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky vs Ball State	-12.5	50.5	W 33 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-16.5	53.5	W 15 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/14	Western Kentucky vs Charlotte	-17.5	47.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Fri 10/20	Western Kentucky at Old Dominion	-6.5	50.0	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic	+6.5	67.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at Vanderbilt	+13.0	54.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky at Marshall	+10.5	53.0	L 23 - 30	U	Y
Fri 11/17	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	+1.0	56.0	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-3.0	56.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/16	Western Kentucky vs Georgia State	+5.0	54.5	L 17 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Georgia State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Tennessee State	-15.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Penn State	+37.5	54.5	L 0 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia State at Charlotte	+1.0	50.0	W 28 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	-1.0	52.0	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia State at UL Monroe	+3.5	57.0	W 47 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Georgia State vs Troy	+7.0	51.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Thu 10/26	Georgia State vs South Alabama	-1.0	50.5	W 21 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-5.5	50.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia State at Texas State	-5.5	51.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25	Georgia State vs App State	+6.0	50.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia State vs Idaho	-7.0	45.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/16	Georgia State vs Western Kentucky	-5.0	54.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.16	46%	25.5	44%	2.39	61	46%	335	3.15	.17	43%	26.8	41%	44%	3.33	48.7	1.8	1.2
GAST	.12	41%	20.3	35%	2.55	117	46%	271	2.15	.16	40%	24.8	36%	43%	2.71	47.4	1.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	13	25.5	19	45.8%	3.15	1.8	23	396	61	335	2	36%	64%	44%	46%	17%	.16
GAST Defense	12	24.8	23.8	40.3%	2.71	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	36%	43%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	13	26.8	27.8	43.5%	3.33	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	41%	44%	16%	.17
GAST Offense	12	20.3	12.2	41.4%	2.15	1.8	20	388	117	271	3.2	48%	51%	35%	46%	16%	.12

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	13	29:22	22.6	44%	41%	5.7	48.7	1.8	1.2	5.3	0.9	1	31.4
Georgia State	12	31:40	19.9	42%	50%	5.2	47.4	1.8	1.4	4.5	2	1	30.6

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	13	36%	44%	30.1	60.8	2	15	-.04	2.39	65%	13%	0.75
GAST Defense	12	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.68	66%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	13	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.7	71%	10%	1.04
GAST Offense	12	48%	35%	36.6	116.9	3.2	12	-.09	2.55	69%	11%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	13	64%	46%	29.3	44.4	335	7.6	11.4	27	10	.28	1.4	31%	37%	.46	5%	2
GAST Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.31	1.5	33%	33%	.33	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.27	1.4	33%	38%	.44	6%	1.8
GAST Offense	12	51%	46%	22.1	34.4	270.7	7.9	12.3	15	9	.32	1.5	32%	32%	.29	5%	1.9

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2017 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #88
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #87
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #83

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Georgia State: -7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -4.9 Georgia State: -14.0

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -7 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #110
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #121
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #74

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 25.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Western Kentucky's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 34
Georgia State 20

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 44
Georgia State 17

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 23
Georgia State 22

Total Points: 45

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

Georgia State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2020	12/26	Georgia State	39	Western Kentucky	21	Georgia State -3.5	Georgia State	50.5	Over
2017	12/16	Georgia State	27	Western Kentucky	17	Georgia State -5	Georgia State	54.5	Under
2013	11/02	Georgia State	28	Western Kentucky	44	Western Kentucky -19	Georgia State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	2	3	1 Overs
Western Kentucky	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 2

Western Kentucky Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	Cure Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Georgia State	+5.0	54.5	L 17 - 27
2016	Raton Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Memphis	-6.5	79.0	W 51 - 31
2015	Beach Bowl	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-3.0		W 45 - 35
2014	Bahamas Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan	-3.5	67.0	W 49 - 48
2012	Caesars Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan			L 21 - 24

Georgia State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	Cure Bowl	Georgia State vs Western Kentucky	-5.0	54.5	W 27 - 17
2015	Cure Bowl	Georgia State vs San José State	+4.0		L 16 - 27

(#) WKU at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WKU	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#110
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#107	#97
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#74
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	WKU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#83
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 71° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Georgia State -5.0 (54.5)
Georgia State won vs Western Kentucky this year (27-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD