Utah State at New Mexico - 2023 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Friday, November 24th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Utah State -4.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Utah State 44 - New Mexico: 41  (Mountain West)

 
Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 35 (28 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNM is playing their 7th straight game
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -0.5   (SP+ USU -8.5)

Projected Score: USU: 31 - UNM: 31 (62)
USU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 540 miles
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 27 - 35 (32 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Utah State at Iowa+24.043.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Utah State vs Idaho State-24.061.0W 78 - 28OY
Fri 9/15 Utah State at Air Force+9.045.5L 21 - 39ON
Sat 9/23 Utah State vs James Madison+5.553.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 9/30 Utah State at UConn-4.050.5W 34 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Utah State vs Colorado State+3.062.0W 44 - 24OY
Fri 10/13 Utah State vs Fresno State+5.556.0L 32 - 37OY
Sat 10/21 Utah State at San José State+4.065.0L 21 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Utah State at San Diego State-2.056.5W 32 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Utah State vs Nevada-14.554.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 11/18 Utah State vs Boise State+5.562.5L 10 - 45UN
Fri 11/24 Utah State at New Mexico-4.558.5W 44 - 41ON
Sat 12/23 Utah State vs Georgia State-2.058.0L 22 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#50 (.22)42% (67)33.245% (52)3.36 (19)18442% (68)2543.27 (109)#98 (.23)45% (114)34.749% (124)43% (82)4.41 (119)70.81.91.5
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)27.350% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)35.150% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1333.227.742.2%3.271.9224391842544.848%50%45%42%20%.22
UNM Defense1235.13548.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1334.733.845.4%4.411.5 - - - - - 54%45%49%43%18%.23
UNM Offense1227.332.348.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1326:5621.736%56%7.570.81.91.55.51.8329.2
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1348% (89)45% (52)38.2184.54.818 (77).21 (33)3.36 (19)77% (40)12% (104)1 (68)
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1354% (113)49% (124) - - - - .18 (93)3.1 (68)83% (118)11% (39)0.93 (34)
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1350% (56)42% (68)20.733.5254.27.612.335 (7)19 (131).34 (48)1.8 (19)33% (87)33% (53).42 (40)8% (122)2.2 (30)
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1345% (22)43% (82) - - - - - - 10 (67).31 (95)1.6 (71)30% (108)31% (77).31 (70)7% (23)1.9 (32)
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -7.91   New Mexico: -8.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -8.5   New Mexico: -16.8




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -8.65 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.7
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.8

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 31
New Mexico 31


Total Points: 62

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Utah State45New Mexico50New MexicoNew Mexico -1New Mexico78.5Over
202311/24New Mexico41Utah State44Utah StateUtah State -4.5New Mexico58.5Over
202211/05Utah State27New Mexico10Utah StateUtah State -14.5Utah State42.5Under
202111/26New Mexico10Utah State35Utah StateUtah State -17Utah State48.0Under
202011/26Utah State41New Mexico27Utah StateNew Mexico -6Utah State49.0Over
201911/30New Mexico25Utah State38Utah StateUtah State -12Utah State63.0Push
201810/27Utah State61New Mexico19Utah StateUtah State -20Utah State64.0Over
201711/04New Mexico10Utah State24Utah StateNew Mexico -3.5Utah State52.5Under
201611/12Utah State21New Mexico24New MexicoUtah State -2.5New Mexico57.0Under
201511/07New Mexico14Utah State13New MexicoUtah State -14.5New Mexico57.5Under
201411/15Utah State28New Mexico21Utah StateUtah State -16New Mexico0
201310/19New Mexico10Utah State45Utah StateUtah State -10Utah State0
200310/04New Mexico34Utah State7New Mexico
200210/19Utah State45New Mexico44Utah State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico454 Overs
Utah State1075 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 75 - 72 - 33 - 4
Road Teams7 - 77 - 54 - 33 - 2

(#107) Utah State Info
Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50


Utah State has lost 1 straight
Utah State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Utah State Highlights
Utah State offense is explosive (#17)
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State defense does not give up big plays (#12)
Utah State Secondary is very good (#94)

Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#21)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNMUSU
OverallOver#100#94
OffenseOff#27#61
DefenseDef#109#104
Special TeamsST#109#72
PassingPass#65#52
RushingRush#16#19
Run BlockRBLK#10#75
Pass BlockPBLK#26#112
Route RunningWR Rt#39#33
TacklingTkl#117#108
Run DefenseR Def#117#116
Pass Rush DefPRush#101#84
Coverage DefCov#108#65

Rematch from Week 13
Utah State 4.5 (58.5)
Utah State won at New Mexico this year (44-41)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Utah State last year (50-45)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2023 (44-41)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USU | UNM
Depth Chart: USU | UNM
Rosters: USU | UNM
(#94) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -8.65 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


New Mexico has won 1 straight
New Mexico has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico Secondary is very good (#131)

New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
New Mexico does not Sack the QB (#122)
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)


  
Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cooper Legas13821365%18151988.5
McCae Hillstead9415860%10621186.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davon Booth12080566.765
Rahsul Faison11873656.260
Robert Briggs8042025.358
Levi Williams4520934.629
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Royals7110801515.271
Terrell Vaughn909371110.476
Micah Davis36628617.476
Colby Bowman (Tr)11247222.563

View Utah State's Full Roster
Utah State's DC Joe Cauthen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
MJ Tafisi1429021
Ike Larsen1025016
Anthony Switzer858354
Devin Dye822007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Paul Fitzgerald469711
Blaine Spires2685101
Anthony Switzer858354
Hale Motu'apuaka336340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Dye822007
Jordan Drew270006
Avante Dickerson170006

New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Hopkins (Tr)15728256%20741197.4
Devon Dampier406463%525608.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacory Merritt1891185176.355
Andrew Henry (Tr)5235036.764
Devon Dampier5933345.637
Sherod White3715514.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Medford (Tr)30551218.459
Jeremiah Hixon39482512.459
D.J. Washington29336311.635
Andrew Erickson20263113.252

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alec Marenco644123
Christian Ellis580004
Dereck Moore510000
Syaire Riley484120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyler Drake256410
Gabriel Lopez (Tr)274210
Hunter Rapolla194211
Mihalis Santorineos203200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Morris332007
Donte Martin232006
Christian Ellis580004