Nevada at Utah State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
Utah State -14.5 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Utah State 41 - Nevada: 24 (Mountain West)

Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEV is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -13 (SP+ USU -14)
Projected Score: NEV: 22 - USU: 35 (61)
USU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
NEV Travel: 446 miles, 1 hrs behind

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEV Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Nevada at USC	+37.5	63.5	L 14 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/9	Nevada vs Idaho	+5.5	51.0	L 6 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nevada vs Kansas	+28.5	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Nevada at Texas State	+17.0	60.0	L 24 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Nevada at Fresno State	+25.5	50.5	L 9 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Nevada vs UNLV	+7.5	51.5	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/21	Nevada at San Diego State	+11.0	48.5	W 6 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Nevada vs New Mexico	+1.0	50.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nevada vs Hawai'i	-3.5	50.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Nevada at Utah State	+14.5	54.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/18	Nevada at Colorado State	+12.5	45.5	L 20 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Nevada vs Wyoming	+11.0	42.0	L 6 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	.04	35%	23.1	37%	2.89	119	33%	186	2.85	.26	43%	28.8	44%	42%	3.97	55.1	1.4	1.7
USU	.07	38%	31.9	39%	3.13	159	38%	195	3.15	.17	41%	37.8	44%	39%	4.05	77.5	2.1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	12	23.1	17.8	34.8%	2.85	1.4	17	305	119	186	3.3	47%	52%	37%	33%	23%	.04
USU Defense	13	37.8	30.3	41.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	39%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	12	28.8	31.3	42.9%	3.97	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	42%	19%	.26
USU Offense	13	31.9	38.7	37.9%	3.15	2.1	20	354	159	195	3.8	55%	44%	39%	38%	17%	.07

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	12	28:29	16.9	35%	50%	6	55.1	1.4	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	27.2
Utah State	13	28:47	19.8	33%	53%	8.5	77.5	2.1	1.7	5.8	2.7	3	30.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	12	47%	37%	35.6	118.9	3.3	19	.01	2.89	73%	15%	1.08
USU Defense	13	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	71%	11%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.46	90%	13%	0.95
USU Offense	13	55%	39%	42.2	159.3	3.8	14	.08	3.13	72%	9%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	12	52%	33%	18.1	33.2	185.6	5.6	10.3	7	8	.1	1.6	38%	27%	.19	8%	2.2
USU Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.7	31%	29%	.24	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.8	33%	30%	.44	6%	2.4
USU Offense	13	44%	38%	17.7	30.6	195.2	6.4	11	18	21	.13	1.5	32%	26%	.08	8%	1.7

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -15.41 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -15.41 Utah State: -5.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -22.4 Utah State: -8.5

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -5.705 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 35
Nevada 22

Projected Total Points: 61

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Utah State	41	Nevada	24	Utah State	Utah State -14.5	Utah State	54.5	Over
2020	11/05	Nevada	34	Utah State	9	Nevada	Nevada -17	Nevada	57.5	Under
2019	10/19	Utah State	36	Nevada	10	Utah State	Utah State -21	Utah State	59.0	Under
2016	11/19	Nevada	38	Utah State	37	Nevada	Utah State -5	Nevada	56.5	Over
2015	11/21	Utah State	31	Nevada	27	Utah State	Utah State -14	Nevada	54.5	Over
2011	11/26	Utah State	21	Nevada	17	Utah State
2010	10/30	Nevada	56	Utah State	42	Nevada
2009	10/17	Utah State	32	Nevada	35	Nevada
2008	10/18	Nevada	44	Utah State	17	Nevada
2007	10/20	Utah State	28	Nevada	31	Nevada
2006	11/11	Nevada	42	Utah State	0	Nevada
2005	11/19	Utah State	24	Nevada	30	Nevada

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	4	2	3 Overs
Nevada	8	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 3	4 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 9	1 - 4	0 - 1	1 - 3

(#131) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.41 #131
Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10

Team Profile

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Nevada Ratings Matchup Utah State

Power #131

#107

Off #128

#72

Def #110

#103

Talent #101

#119

SP+ #131

#97

SP+ Off #129

#49

SP+ Def #127

#129

Rematch from Week 11
Utah State -14.5 (54.5)
Utah State won vs Nevada this year (41-24)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Nevada in 2023 (41-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 47°

Team Information
Injuries: NEV | USU
Depth Chart: NEV | USU
Rosters: NEV | USU

(#107) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.705 #107
Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129
Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Nevada's OC Derek Sage

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chubba Purdy	18	25	72%	239	1	1	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chubba Purdy	13	60	0	4.6	19
Jamaal Bell	5	27	0	5.4	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keleki Latu (Tr)	40	371	1	9.3	36
Dalevon Campbell	12	312	0	26.0	60
Spencer Curtis	19	244	0	12.8	28
Chubba Purdy	2	10	0	5.0	11

View Nevada's Full Roster

Nevada's DC Kwame Agyeman

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Walker	56	8	6	7	2
Dion Washington	17	4	2	0	0
Isaiah Essissima	14	1	0	0	4
Richard Toney	9	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Walker	56	8	6	7	2
Dion Washington	17	4	2	0	0
James Hansen	3	1	1	0	0
Isaiah Essissima	14	1	0	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Essissima	14	1	0	0	4
Marcel Walker	56	8	6	7	2
Richard Toney	9	0	0	0	1

Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cooper Legas	87	162	54%	1144	12	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davon Booth	152	759	5	5.0	43
Cooper Legas	79	201	1	2.5	33
Elliott Nimrod	1	10	0	10.0	10
Kyrese Rowan	2	4	1	2.0	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Royals	55	834	6	15.2	75
Kyrese Rowan	44	526	3	12.0	57
Davon Booth	13	164	4	12.6	54
Colby Bowman (Tr)	7	69	0	9.9	31

View Utah State's Full Roster

Utah State's DC Joe Cauthen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0
Sir Mells	8	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Seni Tuiaki	1	1	1	1	0
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Anthony Switzer	22	2	0	0	0
Devin Dye	13	0	0	0	0