Utah State at Oregon State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, December 18th 2021 (7:30 PM EST)
Oregon State -7 (68.0) (240) Open: -7.5 | 64.5
Utah State 24 - Oregon State: 13 (Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl Presented by Stifel)

Aggies (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 24 (38 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ ORST -9)
Projected Score: USU: 27 - ORST: 30 (57)
ORST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 646 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Beavers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
USU Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Utah State at Washington State	+17.5	66.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/10	Utah State vs North Dakota	-6.5	53.5	W 48 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	54.0	W 49 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Utah State vs Boise State	+9.5	69.5	L 3 - 27	U	N
Fri 10/1	Utah State vs BYU	+9.0	66.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Utah State at UNLV	-7.5	64.0	W 28 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/22	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	58.5	W 26 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Utah State vs Hawai'i	-3.5	66.0	W 51 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Utah State at New Mexico State	-18.0	72.0	W 35 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Utah State at San José State	+4.5	58.0	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Utah State vs Wyoming	-6.0	52.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/26	Utah State at New Mexico	-17.0	48.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Utah State at San Diego State	+6.5	49.5	W 46 - 13	O	Y
Sat 12/18	Utah State vs Oregon State	+7.0	68.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Oregon State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon State at Purdue	+7.0	67.0	L 21 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon State vs Hawai'i	-11.0	65.0	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon State vs Idaho	-28.0	63.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Oregon State at USC	+11.0	62.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Oregon State vs Washington	-2.5	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Oregon State at Washington State	-4.0	59.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Oregon State vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon State at California	-2.5	56.5	L 25 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon State at Colorado	-11.5	55.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/13	Oregon State vs Stanford	-12.5	56.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon State vs Arizona State	+2.5	59.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oregon State at Oregon	+7.5	61.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/18	Oregon State vs Utah State	-7.0	68.0	L 13 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.23	40%	32.6	35%	2.72	144	45%	303	3.54	.17	43%	24.4	42%	44%	3.32	55.6	1.6	1.9
ORST	.33	50%	31.2	54%	3.65	212	46%	217	4.79	.21	43%	25.8	45%	42%	3.93	63.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)		47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)		50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	14	32.6	38.1	39.8%	3.54	1.6	24	447	144	303	3.6	49%	51%	35%	45%	18%	.23
ORST Defense	13	25.8	18.2	42.9%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	42%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	14	24.4	20.7	42.7%	3.32	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	44%	20%	.17
ORST Offense	13	31.2	35.8	50.5%	4.79	1.4	23	429	212	217	5.3	57%	42%	54%	46%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	14	29:16	23.7	44%	53%	6.2	55.6	1.6	1.9	7.6	2.3	2	28.9
Oregon State	13	30:29	23	50%	48%	6.8	63.1	1.4	1.5	4.9	1.5	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	14	49%	35%	40.3	143.8	3.6	13		2.72	60%	11%	1.03
ORST Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.08	80%	9%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	14	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.71	61%	14%	1.04
ORST Offense	13	57%	54%	40.1	212.4	5.3	33	.3	3.65	89%	7%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	14	51%	45%	21.6	36	303.4	8.4	14	41	15	.47	1.8	34%	33%	.41	7%	2.2
ORST Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	32%	33%	.28	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	14	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.5	34%	29%	.35	6%	2.2
ORST Offense	13	42%	46%	16.8	26.7	216.9	8.1	12.9	19	12	.39	1.6	29%	35%	.35	6%	1.8

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #80
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #69
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #78

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: Oregon State: 4.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: 0.1 Oregon State: 8.9

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 4.45 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #44
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #16
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.1
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Utah State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 30
Utah State 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 33
Utah State 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 29
Oregon State 28

Total Points: 57

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.8
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.2

Oregon State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/18	Oregon State	13	Utah State	24	Oregon State -7	Utah State	68.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	0	0	0 Overs
Utah State	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Utah State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	La Bowl	Utah State vs Oregon State	+7.0	68.0	W 24 - 13
2019	Frisco Bowl	Utah State vs Kent State	-7.5	71.5	L 41 - 51
2018	Mexico Bowl	Utah State vs North Texas	-7.0	67.5	W 52 - 13
2017	N/A	Utah State vs New Mexico State	+4.0	61.0	L 20 - 26
2015	Potato Bowl	Utah State vs Akron	-6.5		L 21 - 23

Oregon State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	La Bowl	Oregon State vs Utah State	-7.0	68.0	L 13 - 24

(#) USU at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#89	#37
OffenseOff	#72	#12
DefenseDef	#100	#93
Spec TeamsST	#71	#121
TalentTal	#107	#48
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#113	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#119

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#46	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#88	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#100
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#37	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#107	#54
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in SoFi Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 59°

Rematch from Week 1
Oregon State -7.0 (68.0)
Utah State won at Oregon State this year (24-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USU's OC Anthony Tucker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Ephraim Banda (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD