James Madison at Utah State - 2023 Matchup Preview

James Madison Dukes at Utah State Aggies

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
James Madison -5.5 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
James Madison 45 - Utah State: 38

Dukes (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (44 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (34 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

JMU 3rd straight Road Game
USU is playing their 4th straight game
JMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: James Madison -14 (SP+ JMU -22)
Projected Score: JMU: 35 - USU: 21 (56)
JMU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
JMU Travel: 1745 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (38 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JMU Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

James Madison's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	James Madison vs Bucknell	-47.0	53.5	W 38 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	James Madison at Virginia	-6.0	40.0	W 36 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/16	James Madison at Troy	+2.5	46.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/23	James Madison at Utah State	-5.5	53.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/30	James Madison vs South Alabama	-1.0	48.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	James Madison vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	60.0	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/19	James Madison at Marshall	-5.0	49.0	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/28	James Madison vs Old Dominion	-19.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/4	James Madison at Georgia State	-6.0	53.0	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/11	James Madison vs UConn	-24.5	47.5	W 44 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/18	James Madison vs App State	-10.0	56.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	James Madison at Coastal Carolina	-9.5	50.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/23	James Madison vs Air Force	+2.5	44.5	L 21 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	.21	46%	37.1	45%	3.26	187	48%	265	4.4	.04	29%	18.4	27%	32%	3.53	39.9	1.8	2.8
USU	.07	38%	30.9	39%	3.13	159	38%	195	3.15	.17	41%	28.7	44%	39%	4.05	77.5	2.1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Offense	11	37.1	34.1	45.8%	4.4	1.8	23	452	187	265	4.3	54%	44%	45%	48%	16%	.21
USU Defense	13	28.7	19.5	41.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	39%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Defense	11	18.4	21.7	29.4%	3.53	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	27%	32%	25%	.04
USU Offense	13	30.9	38.3	37.9%	3.15	2.1	20	354	159	195	3.8	55%	44%	39%	38%	17%	.07

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
James Madison	11	33:38	22.6	40%	45%	5.1	39.9	1.8	2.8	8.7	3.5	2	33.1
Utah State	13	28:47	19.8	33%	53%	8.5	77.5	2.1	1.7	5.8	2.7	3	30.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Offense	11	54%	45%	43.5	187.2	4.3	24	.09	3.26	72%	10%	0.88
USU Defense	13	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	71%	11%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Defense	11	45%	27%	-	-	-	-	-.07	2.06	58%	17%	1.19
USU Offense	13	55%	39%	42.2	159.3	3.8	14	.08	3.13	72%	9%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Offense	11	44%	48%	18.2	29.7	265.3	8.9	14.6	27	10	.44	1.6	30%	34%	.37	6%	2
USU Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.7	31%	29%	.24	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Defense	11	54%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.17	1.9	41%	23%	.25	8%	2.4
USU Offense	13	44%	38%	17.7	30.6	195.2	6.4	11	18	21	.13	1.5	32%	26%	.08	8%	1.7

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 3.26 #48
James Madison's Offense Rating: 17.90 #55
James Madison's Defense Rating: -1.23 #4
2023 Talent Rating: 196.53 #139
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
James Madison's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
James Madison's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #18
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #19
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 3.26 Utah State: -5.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 13.3 Utah State: -8.5

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -5.705 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 435.99 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.1
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

James Madison's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 35
Utah State 21

Projected Total Points: 56

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Utah State	38	James Madison	45	James Madison -5.5	James Madison	53.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	0	0	1 Overs
James Madison	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#48) JMU at (#107) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	JMU	USU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#48	#107
SP+SP+	#18	#97
Perf GradeGrade	#23	#113
OffenseOff	#46	#67
DefenseDef	#14	#131
Spec TeamsST	#17	#91
TalentTal	#139	#104
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

James Madison Injury Report

Utah State Injury Report

James Madison on Offense


CategoryCat	JMU Off	USU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#55	#103
SP+SP+	#19	#129
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

James Madison Run Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#110	#135
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

James Madison Pass Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#111
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	JMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#14
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#72	#4
SP+SP+	#49	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	JMU Def
Run GameRun	#27	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	JMU Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#129	#14
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
James Madison 5.5 (53.5)
James Madison won at Utah State this year (45-38)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Utah State in 2023 (45-38)

JMU's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	282	413	68%	3670	35	10	8.9
Alonza Barnett	3	11	27%	15	0	1	1.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaelon Black	142	637	1	4.5	57
Ty Son Lawton	126	568	5	4.5	28
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	96	276	8	2.9	47
Latrele Palmer	32	119	1	3.7	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Sarratt	82	1191	8	14.5	48
Reggie Brown	53	1054	9	19.9	80
Phoenix Sproles	52	442	5	8.5	32
Zach Horton	27	275	6	10.2	66

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Fisher	107	5	2	5	6
Jailin Walker	61	6	2	1	4
Jamree Kromah	58	20	9	4	0
Jacob Thomas	54	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Green	50	22	16	7	1
Jamree Kromah	58	20	9	4	0
Mikail Kamara	51	19	8	5	2
James Carpenter	53	10	4	7	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	51	2	0	0	11
Aiden Fisher	107	5	2	5	6
Jacob Thomas	54	1	0	0	6

USU's OC Kyle Cefalo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cooper Legas	138	213	65%	1815	19	8	8.5
McCae Hillstead	94	158	60%	1062	11	8	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davon Booth	120	805	6	6.7	65
Rahsul Faison	118	736	5	6.2	60
Robert Briggs	80	420	2	5.3	58
Levi Williams	45	209	3	4.6	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Royals	71	1080	15	15.2	71
Terrell Vaughn	90	937	11	10.4	76
Micah Davis	36	628	6	17.4	76
Colby Bowman (Tr)	11	247	2	22.5	63

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Joe Cauthen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
MJ Tafisi	142	9	0	2	1
Ike Larsen	102	5	0	1	6
Anthony Switzer	85	8	3	5	4
Devin Dye	82	2	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Paul Fitzgerald	46	9	7	1	1
Blaine Spires	26	8	5	10	1
Anthony Switzer	85	8	3	5	4
Hale Motu'apuaka	33	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Devin Dye	82	2	7
Jordan Drew	27	0	6
Avante Dickerson	17	0	6