Georgia State at LSU Game Matchup

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (8:00 PM EST)
LSU -32.5 (73.5) (0) Open: 0.0
LSU 56 - Georgia State: 14

Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LSU 2nd straight Home Game
GAST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: LSU -28.5 (SP+ LSU -28)
Projected Score: GAST: 18 - LSU: 47 (56)
LSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
GAST Travel: 459 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Rhode Island	-18.0	61.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia State vs UConn	-3.0	54.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Charlotte	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 25	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	62.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	50.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia State vs Marshall	-2.0	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Georgia State at Louisiana	+3.0	62.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/26	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-1.0	63.0	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+6.0	53.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia State vs App State	-2.5	62.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia State at LSU	+32.5	73.5	L 14 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+2.0	49.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

LSU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	LSU vs Florida State	-2.0	56.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	LSU vs Grambling	-56.5	61.5	W 72 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	LSU at Mississippi State	-9.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	LSU vs Arkansas	-17.5	55.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	LSU at Ole Miss	-3.0	67.0	L 49 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/7	LSU at Missouri	-6.0	63.5	W 49 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	LSU vs Auburn	-11.0	60.0	W 48 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/21	LSU vs Army	-33.0	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	LSU at Alabama	+3.0	61.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	LSU vs Florida	-14.0	68.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	LSU vs Georgia State	-32.5	73.5	W 56 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-10.5	67.5	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Mon 1/1	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.17	39%	23.8	39%	3.09	216	40%	203	3.9	.16	43%	33.8	45%	41%	4.11	63.7	1.6	2.7
LSU	.33	51%	30.5	55%	3.63	184	48%	269	4.6	.16	41%	24.3	45%	37%	3.34	52.1	1.4	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	23.8	24	39.2%	3.9	1.6	22	418	216	203	4.5	62%	38%	39%	40%	19%	.17
LSU Defense	14	24.3	21.4	40.8%	3.34	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	37%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	33.8	36.5	43%	4.11	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	41%	18%	.16
LSU Offense	14	30.5	31.9	51.3%	4.6	1.4	25	453	184	269	5	47%	53%	55%	48%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	28:52	22.2	41%	58%	7	63.7	1.6	2.7	6.1	2.3	1	27.9
LSU	14	31:01	24.6	49%	50%	6	52.1	1.4	2	4.8	1.9	2	27.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	62%	39%	48.2	215.5	4.5	26	.13	3.09	75%	13%	1.06
LSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.9	74%	10%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	71%	12%	1.05
LSU Offense	14	47%	55%	37	183.8	5	39	.35	3.63	80%	9%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	38%	40%	14.4	24.8	202.6	8.2	14.1	18	7	.31	1.9	34%	30%	.26	6%	2.2
LSU Defense	14	51%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.7	32%	32%	.38	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.6	30%	31%	.35	6%	2.2
LSU Offense	14	53%	48%	23	34.3	269.3	7.9	11.7	23	7	.32	1.4	27%	35%	.43	4%	2

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -7.09 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -7.09 LSU: 20.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -9.4 LSU: 18.7

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 20.385 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 47
Georgia State 18

Projected Total Points: 56

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	LSU	56	Georgia State	14	LSU	LSU -32.5	LSU	73.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	1	1	0 Overs
Georgia State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#99) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.09 #99
Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Georgia State Ratings Matchup LSU

Power #99

Off #76

Def #96

#122

Talent #113

SP+ #100

#10

SP+ Off #71

SP+ Def #109

#55

Rematch from Week 12
LSU -32.5 (73.5)
LSU won vs Georgia State this year (56-14)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Georgia State in 2023 (56-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 63°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | LSU
Depth Chart: GAST | LSU
Rosters: GAST | LSU

(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.385 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

Team Profile

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Georgia State's OC Trent McKnight

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Carroll	140	595	12	4.3	35
KZ Adams	91	433	5	4.8	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Lewis	16	155	0	9.7	18
Ja'Cyais Credle	9	113	0	12.6	21
KZ Adams	10	69	1	6.9	11
Marcus Carroll	9	66	0	7.3	19

View Georgia State's Full Roster

Georgia State's DC Chad Staggs

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Justin Abraham	44	2	1	1	0
Gavin Pringle (Tr)	34	2	0	0	8
Anthony Blume	27	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Tylon Dunlap	22	5	3	2	2
Justin Abraham	44	2	1	1	0
Javon Denis	23	6	1	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Pringle (Tr)	34	2	0	0	8
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Tylon Dunlap	22	5	3	2	2

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Williams	117	482	6	4.1	23
Armoni Goodwin	14	88	0	6.3	26
Emery Jones	0	17	0	0.0	17
Logan Diggs (Tr)	1	15	0	15.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyren Lacy	58	866	9	14.9	35
Mason Taylor	55	546	2	9.9	33
Josh Williams	31	263	0	8.5	23
Jalen Brown	8	75	0	9.4	21

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)	57	13	9	8	3
Major Burns	49	5	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)	57	13	9	8	3
Savion Jones	40	7	4	8	2
Paris Shand (Tr)	25	6	3	1	1
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laterrance Welch	19	0	0	1	7
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Zy Alexander (Tr)	33	3	1	0	4