New Mexico State at Utah State - 2017 Matchup Preview

New Mexico State Aggies vs Utah State Aggies

Friday, December 29th 2017 (5:30 PM EST)
New Mexico State -4 (61.0) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 26 - Utah State: 20

Aggies (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -3 (SP+ USU -6)
Projected Score: NMSU: 22 - USU: 33 (55)
NMSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 246 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (38 - 20 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
NMSU Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	New Mexico State at Arizona State	+24.0	69.0	L 31 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+7.0	69.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	New Mexico State vs Troy	+9.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/23	New Mexico State vs UTEP	-17.5	59.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/30	New Mexico State at Arkansas	+18.0	61.0	L 24 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/7	New Mexico State at App State	+13.5	55.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/14	New Mexico State at Georgia Southern	-5.5	59.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	New Mexico State vs Arkansas State	+3.5	71.0	L 21 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/4	New Mexico State at Texas State	-9.5	57.0	W 45 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	New Mexico State at Louisiana	-3.5	65.0	L 34 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/25	New Mexico State vs Idaho	-10.0	56.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/2	New Mexico State vs South Alabama	-11.5	54.0	W 22 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/29	New Mexico State vs Utah State	-4.0	61.0	W 26 - 20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Utah State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Utah State at Wisconsin	+27.5	52.0	L 10 - 59	O	N
Thu 9/7	Utah State vs Idaho State	-35.0
Sat 9/16	Utah State at Wake Forest	+14.0	51.5	L 10 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/23	Utah State at San José State	-1.5	55.0	W 61 - 10	O	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah State vs BYU	-1.0	48.5	W 40 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+9.5	65.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	Utah State vs Wyoming	-1.0	49.5	L 23 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/21	Utah State at UNLV	+3.5	60.5	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah State vs Boise State	+13.0	51.5	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/4	Utah State at New Mexico	+3.5	52.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Hawai'i	-10.5	56.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Utah State at Air Force	+2.5	57.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Fri 12/29	Utah State vs New Mexico State	+4.0	61.0	L 20 - 26	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.11	41%	21.6	46%	3.28	171	34%	244	3.17	.21	46%	27.6	45%	44%	3.87	50	1.8	1.8
USU	.15	40%	30.9	41%	2.88	171	37%	206	3.32	.16	44%	28.7	46%	37%	3.66	58	1.3	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	20	40.6%	3.17	1.8	22	415	171	244	4.5	46%	52%	46%	34%	19%	.11
USU Defense	12	28.7	19.5	43.6%	3.66	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	60%	38%	46%	37%	13%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	37.5	45.5%	3.87	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	45%	44%	15%	.21
USU Offense	12	30.9	38.3	40.2%	3.32	1.3	19	377	171	206	5	49%	50%	41%	37%	21%	.15

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	12	26:34	22.2	34%	54%	6.3	50	1.8	1.8	6.1	0.9	1	28.8
Utah State	12	26:44	18.9	39%	47%	7.1	58	1.3	0.8	5.6	1.8	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	12	46%	46%	37.8	170.9	4.5	13	.16	3.28	70%	11%	1.01
USU Defense	12	60%	46%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.98	75%	9%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	12	57%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.08	74%	11%	1.04
USU Offense	12	49%	41%	34.3	170.5	5	25	.16	2.88	75%	11%	1.24

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	12	52%	34%	21.1	38.3	243.8	6.4	11.6	22	15	.07	1.7	36%	34%	.32	8%	1.8
USU Defense	12	38%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.26	1.7	32%	32%	.34	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.7	30%	38%	.33	5%	1.8
USU Offense	12	50%	37%	18.4	31.9	206.2	6.5	11.2	10	9	.15	1.6	37%	34%	.27	10%	1.8

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2017 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #94
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #94

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: Utah State: -1.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -9.4 Utah State: -3.3

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -1.65 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #83
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #95
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #67

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 33
New Mexico State 22

Projected Total Points: 55

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	11/06	New Mexico State	13	Utah State	35	Utah State -18	Utah State	72.0	Under
2018	09/08	Utah State	60	New Mexico State	13	Utah State -23	Utah State	62.0	Over
2017	12/29	Utah State	20	New Mexico State	26	New Mexico State -4	New Mexico State	61.0	Under
2012	10/20	Utah State	41	New Mexico State	7
2011	12/03	New Mexico State	21	Utah State	24
2010	11/06	Utah State	27	New Mexico State	22
2009	10/10	New Mexico State	20	Utah State	17
2008	11/29	Utah State	47	New Mexico State	2
2007	11/17	New Mexico State	17	Utah State	35
2006	11/25	Utah State	20	New Mexico State	42
2005	11/26	New Mexico State	21	Utah State	24
2004	11/20	Utah State	34	New Mexico State	25
2003	11/06	New Mexico State	26	Utah State	21
2002	11/09	Utah State	32	New Mexico State	30
2000	11/03	New Mexico State	37	Utah State	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	11	2	1 Overs
New Mexico State	4	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 8	2 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 1

New Mexico State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	N/A	New Mexico State vs Utah State	-4.0	61.0	W 26 - 20

Utah State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	N/A	Utah State vs New Mexico State	+4.0	61.0	L 20 - 26
2015	Potato Bowl	Utah State vs Akron	-6.5		L 21 - 23
2014	Mexico Bowl	Utah State vs UTEP	-10.0	45.0	W 21 - 6
2013	Poinsettia Bowl	Utah State vs Northern Illinois	-2.0	55.5	W 21 - 14
2012	Potato Bowl	Utah State vs Toledo			W 41 - 15
2011	Potato Bowl	Utah State vs Ohio			L 23 - 24

(#) NMSU at (#) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	USU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#83
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#125	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

Utah State Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	USU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#67
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
New Mexico State 4.0 (61.0)
New Mexico State won at Utah State this year (26-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD