UConn at Georgia State - 2023 Matchup Preview
UConn logo UConn Huskies at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -3 (54.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Georgia State 35 - UConn: 14

 
Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (18 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GAST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia State -7   (SP+ GAST -7)

Projected Score: CONN: 24 - GAST: 31 (55)
GAST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CONN Travel: 848 miles
Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (26 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UConn vs NC State+14.547.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 UConn at Georgia State+3.054.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/16 UConn vs Florida International-7.043.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 UConn vs Duke+22.045.0L 7 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 UConn vs Utah State+4.050.5L 33 - 34OY
Sat 10/7 UConn at Rice+10.047.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UConn vs South Florida-1.057.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 UConn at Boston College+14.549.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/4 UConn at Tennessee+35.055.5L 3 - 59ON
Sat 11/11 UConn at James Madison+24.547.5L 6 - 44ON
Sat 11/18 UConn vs Sacred Heart-25.540.5W 31 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 UConn at Massachusetts+2.551.0W 31 - 18UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
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Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Georgia State vs Rhode Island-18.061.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Georgia State vs UConn-3.054.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 Georgia State at Charlotte-6.552.0W 41 - 25OY
Thu 9/21 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+4.562.5W 30 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia State vs Troy-1.050.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Georgia State vs Marshall-2.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 10/21 Georgia State at Louisiana+3.062.0W 20 - 17UY
Thu 10/26 Georgia State at Georgia Southern-1.063.0L 27 - 44ON
Sat 11/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+6.053.0L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 Georgia State vs App State-2.562.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 Georgia State at LSU+32.573.5L 14 - 56UN
Sat 11/25 Georgia State at Old Dominion+2.049.5L 24 - 25UY
Sat 12/23 Georgia State vs Utah State+2.058.0W 45 - 22OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#111 (.11)40% (96)19.143% (68)2.76 (120)13737% (108)1903.29 (106)#99 (.23)47% (124)29.845% (89)49% (133)3.88 (75)53.81.41.1
GAST#68 (.19)42% (72)27.240% (105)2.84 (112)18844% (41)2063.92 (65)#94 (.22)42% (68)30.140% (43)45% (111)3.95 (83)57.51.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)43% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)42% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)42% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)49% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1219.117.739.8%3.291.4183271371904.251%48%43%37%16%.11
GAST Defense1330.130.842.1%3.951.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%45%15%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense1229.834.746.6%3.881.1 - - - - - 51%49%45%49%16%.23
GAST Offense1327.225.541.6%3.921.2203941882064.855%44%40%44%15%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1231:1518.135%38%6.153.81.41.15.71.3127.5
Georgia State1329:2619.546%47%6.457.51.21.35.52229.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1251% (54)43% (68)32.8136.64.215 (100).01 (125)2.76 (120)77% (41)11% (93)0.9 (112)
GAST Defense1347% (25)40% (43) - - - - .15 (72)3.05 (56)63% (19)10% (63)1.06 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1251% (77)45% (89) - - - - .11 (48)2.9 (34)79% (103)11% (45)0.98 (59)
GAST Offense1355% (29)40% (105)39.3188.14.825 (37).15 (74)2.84 (112)78% (30)11% (89)1.16 (7)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1248% (79)37% (108)18.331.8190.3610.412 (113)7 (21).25 (78)1.6 (51)35% (112)28% (90).23 (98)5% (33)1.8 (122)
GAST Defense1352% (106)45% (111) - - - - - - 11 (53).37 (113)1.6 (76)33% (55)31% (89).42 (114)4% (122)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1249% (61)49% (133) - - - - - - 6 (120).4 (118)1.4 (17)30% (113)33% (112).35 (86)5% (110)1.8 (8)
GAST Offense1344% (104)44% (41)19.228.2205.57.310.720 (70)7 (21).31 (61)1.5 (91)31% (45)33% (47).37 (58)4% (14)2.1 (38)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -9.25 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -9.25   Georgia State: -5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -16.0   Georgia State: -9.4




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UConn Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia State 31
UConn 24


Total Points: 55

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.5
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.8

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/01UConn34Georgia State27UConnUConn -7Push48.0Over
202309/09Georgia State35UConn14Georgia StateGeorgia State -3Georgia State54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State111 Overs
UConn101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#115) UConn Info
Power Rating: -9.25 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40


UConn has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

UConn Highlights

UConn Deficiencies
UConn has a really bad Offense
UConn Fumbles a Lot (#1)
UConn offense is not Explosive (#53)
UConn Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#65)
UConn offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#47)
UConn pass game is really bad (#32)
UConn offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UConn does not Sack the QB (#97)
UConn has a bad defense (#79)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatGASTCONN
OverallOver#93#79
OffenseOff#78#77
DefenseDef#91#59
Special TeamsST#78#102
PassingPass#56#81
RushingRush#64#74
Run BlockRBLK#74#16
Pass BlockPBLK#13#34
Route RunningWR Rt#81#99
TacklingTkl#78#113
Run DefenseR Def#44#15
Pass Rush DefPRush#65#42
Coverage DefCov#115#104

Rematch from Week 2
Georgia State -3.0 (54.5)
Georgia State won vs UConn this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Georgia State last year (34-27)
Georgia State beat UConn in 2023 (35-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CONN | GAST
Depth Chart: CONN | GAST
Rosters: CONN | GAST
(#99) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30


Georgia State has won 1 straight
Georgia State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State has Really Good Running Game (#86)
Georgia State offense is good on 3rd downs

Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Georgia State run game is really bad (#131)
Georgia State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#90)


  
UConn's OC Nick Charlton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ta'Quan Roberson19733858%20751266.1
Joe Fagnano (Tr)183551%173014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards12261845.139
Victor Rosa11255034.971
Devontae Houston3416104.727
Ta'Quan Roberson4612022.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Ross44568212.946
Justin Joly56562210.059
Brett Buckman46488210.640
Geordon Porter (Tr)2221319.728

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Lou Spanos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Mitchell1137141
Durante Jones722101
Tui Faumuina-Brown614100
Noah Plack (Tr)495110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pryce Yates4214522
Dalmont Gourdine286323
Eric Watts347211
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)344103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcolm Bell282004
Chris Shearin361003
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)344103

Georgia State's OC Trent McKnight
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darren Grainger24435868%26252077.3
Mikele Colasurdo5863%47005.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcus Carroll2741350134.963
Darren Grainger159736104.665
Freddie Brock (Tr)30307110.260
KZ Adams356101.76
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Lewis70881712.697
Tailique Williams49615612.678
Jacari Carter (Tr)3827607.332
Cadarrius Thompson25266310.637

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Chad Staggs
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jontrey Hunter947224
Justin Abraham828412
Jeremiah Johnson765100
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javon Denis317560
Kevin Swint (Tr)328430
Justin Abraham828412
Henry Bryant (Tr)366310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryquice Brown341016
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
Jontrey Hunter947224