UConn at Georgia State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -3 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia State 35 - UConn: 14

Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (26 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia State -7 (SP+ GAST -7)
Projected Score: CONN: 25 - GAST: 32 (57)
GAST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CONN Travel: 848 miles

Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UConn vs NC State	+14.5	47.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UConn at Georgia State	+3.0	54.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	43.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	UConn vs Duke	+22.0	45.0	L 7 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	UConn vs Utah State	+4.0	50.5	L 33 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UConn at Rice	+10.0	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UConn vs South Florida	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	UConn at Boston College	+14.5	49.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UConn at Tennessee	+35.0	55.5	L 3 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/11	UConn at James Madison	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/18	UConn vs Sacred Heart	-25.5	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UConn at Massachusetts	+2.5	51.0	W 31 - 18	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Rhode Island	-18.0	61.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia State vs UConn	-3.0	54.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Charlotte	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 25	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	62.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	50.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia State vs Marshall	-2.0	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Georgia State at Louisiana	+3.0	62.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/26	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-1.0	63.0	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+6.0	53.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia State vs App State	-2.5	62.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia State at LSU	+32.5	73.5	L 14 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+2.0	49.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	.11	38%	31.9	43%	3.03	191	32%	112	3.67	.19	47%	23.1	49%	46%	3.69	60.8	1.6	2.3
GAST	.17	39%	23.8	39%	3.09	216	40%	203	3.9	.16	43%	33.8	45%	41%	4.11	63.7	1.6	2.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	31.9	26	38.2%	3.67	1.6	16	303	191	112	4.7	62%	36%	43%	32%	18%	.11
GAST Defense	12	33.8	31.2	43%	4.11	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	23.1	34.4	47.2%	3.69	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	46%	15%	.19
GAST Offense	12	23.8	23.7	39.2%	3.9	1.6	22	418	216	203	4.5	62%	38%	39%	40%	19%	.17

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	30:17	16.2	37%	39%	7.1	60.8	1.6	2.3	4.2	1.8	0	29.4
Georgia State	12	28:52	22.2	41%	58%	7	63.7	1.6	2.7	6.1	2.3	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	62%	43%	40.4	190.9	4.7	20	.21	3.03	64%	13%	1.17
GAST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	71%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.26	83%	9%	0.95
GAST Offense	12	62%	39%	48.2	215.5	4.5	26	.13	3.09	75%	13%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	36%	32%	12.1	21.2	112	5.3	9.3	10	10	.1	1.6	35%	26%	.16	5%	2.1
GAST Defense	12	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.6	30%	31%	.35	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.3	27%	31%	.21	6%	1.8
GAST Offense	12	38%	40%	14.4	24.8	202.6	8.2	14.1	18	7	.31	1.9	34%	30%	.26	6%	2.2

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -9.25 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 747
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -9.25 Georgia State: -5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -16.0 Georgia State: -9.4

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 32
UConn 25

Projected Total Points: 57

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.2

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/01	UConn	34	Georgia State	27	UConn	UConn -7	Push	48.0	Over
2023	09/09	Georgia State	35	UConn	14	Georgia State	Georgia State -3	Georgia State	54.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	1	1	1 Overs
UConn	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#115) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.25 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile

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UConn Ratings Matchup Georgia State

Power #115

#99

Off #102

#76

Def #109

#96

Talent #111

#113

SP+ #122

#100

SP+ Off #118

#71

SP+ Def #97

#109

Rematch from Week 2
Georgia State -3.0 (54.5)
Georgia State won vs UConn this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Georgia State last year (34-27)
Georgia State beat UConn in 2023 (35-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77°

Team Information
Injuries: CONN | GAST
Depth Chart: CONN | GAST
Rosters: CONN | GAST

(#99) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.745 #99
Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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UConn's OC Nick Charlton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano (Tr)	120	207	58%	1631	20	4	7.9
Ta'Quan Roberson	3	7	43%	18	0	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devontae Houston	119	648	3	5.4	80
Joe Fagnano (Tr)	30	60	1	2.0	19
Cameron Ross	4	56	0	14.0	41
Ta'Quan Roberson	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell	50	860	5	17.2	70
Justin Joly	43	661	4	15.4	40
Cameron Ross	37	443	3	12.0	43
Brett Buckman	7	91	0	13.0	32

View UConn's Full Roster

UConn's DC Lou Spanos

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malik Dixon	67	1	0	0	3
Chris Shearin	58	2	0	2	4
Jelani Stafford	39	6	0	7	1
Dalmont Gourdine	27	4	1	4	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalmont Gourdine	27	4	1	4	6
Malik Dixon	67	1	0	0	3
Chris Shearin	58	2	0	2	4
Jelani Stafford	39	6	0	7	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalmont Gourdine	27	4	1	4	6
Chris Shearin	58	2	0	2	4
Malik Dixon	67	1	0	0	3

Georgia State's OC Trent McKnight

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Carroll	140	595	12	4.3	35
KZ Adams	91	433	5	4.8	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Lewis	16	155	0	9.7	18
Ja'Cyais Credle	9	113	0	12.6	21
KZ Adams	10	69	1	6.9	11
Marcus Carroll	9	66	0	7.3	19

View Georgia State's Full Roster

Georgia State's DC Chad Staggs

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Justin Abraham	44	2	1	1	0
Gavin Pringle (Tr)	34	2	0	0	8
Anthony Blume	27	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Tylon Dunlap	22	5	3	2	2
Justin Abraham	44	2	1	1	0
Javon Denis	23	6	1	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Pringle (Tr)	34	2	0	0	8
Kevin Swint (Tr)	48	10	5	1	4
Tylon Dunlap	22	5	3	2	2