Georgia State at Charlotte - 2023 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo   Georgia State Panthers at Charlotte 49ers  Charlotte logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -6.5 (52.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Georgia State 41 - Charlotte: 25

 
Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Georgia State -7  (SP+ GAST -12.5)
Projected Score: GAST: 31 - CHAR: 24 (54)
GAST Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
GAST Travel: 235 miles
49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Georgia State vs Rhode Island-18.061.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Georgia State vs UConn-3.054.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 Georgia State at Charlotte-6.552.0W 41 - 25OY
Thu 9/21 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+4.562.5W 30 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia State vs Troy-1.050.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Georgia State vs Marshall-2.053.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 10/21 Georgia State at Louisiana+3.062.0W 20 - 17UY
Thu 10/26 Georgia State at Georgia Southern-1.063.0L 27 - 44ON
Sat 11/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+6.053.0L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 Georgia State vs App State-2.562.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 Georgia State at LSU+32.573.5L 14 - 56UN
Sat 11/25 Georgia State at Old Dominion+2.049.5L 24 - 25UY
Sat 12/23 Georgia State vs Utah State+2.058.0W 45 - 22OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Charlotte vs South Carolina State-24.044.5W 24 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Charlotte at Maryland+24.550.0L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/16 Charlotte vs Georgia State+6.552.0L 25 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Charlotte at Florida+28.048.5L 7 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 Charlotte at SMU+22.553.0L 16 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Charlotte vs Navy+3.544.0L 0 - 14UN
Sat 10/21 Charlotte at East Carolina+6.039.5W 10 - 7UY
Fri 10/27 Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic+3.545.5L 16 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Charlotte at Tulsa+4.547.5W 33 - 26OY
Sat 11/11 Charlotte vs Memphis+9.551.5L 38 - 44OY
Sat 11/18 Charlotte vs Rice-0.546.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/25 Charlotte at South Florida+7.556.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST.1739%19.839%3.0921640%2033.9.1643%37.845%41%4.1163.71.62.7
CHAR.1647%14.347%3.1911649%2714.07.3549%36.348%51%4.1158.51.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1219.81839.2%3.91.6224182162034.562%38%39%40%19%.17
CHAR Defense1236.335.748.7%4.111.3 - - - - - 56%42%48%51%13%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1237.845.343%4.112.7 - - - - - 55%44%45%41%18%.16
CHAR Offense1214.317.247%4.071.8213871162713.742%56%47%49%17%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1228:5222.241%58%763.71.62.76.12.3127.9
Charlotte1229:3221.240%35%6.758.51.81.34.91.4030.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1262%39%48.2215.54.526.133.0975%13%1.06
CHAR Defense1256%48% - - - - .253.2973%9%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1255%45% - - - - .133.0571%12%1.05
CHAR Offense1242%47%30.9115.83.713.093.1966%10%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1238%40%14.424.8202.68.214.1187.311.934%30%.266%2.2
CHAR Defense1242%51% - - - - - - 9.561.727%37%.744%2.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1244%41% - - - - - - 13.241.630%31%.356%2.2
CHAR Offense1256%49%21.435.8271.27.612.72714.311.529%33%.418%2.2

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -7.09  #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65  #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67  #96
2023 Talent Rating: 499.67  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -7.09   Charlotte: -15.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -9.4   Charlotte: -22.1




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -15.34  #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97  #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44  #77
2023 Talent Rating: 554.96  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1  #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia State 31
Charlotte 24

Projected Total Points: 54
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Charlotte25Georgia State41Georgia State -6.5Georgia State52.0Over
202209/17Georgia State41Charlotte42Georgia State -19.5Charlotte64.0Over
202109/18Georgia State20Charlotte9Georgia State -4.5Georgia State62.5Under
201709/23Charlotte0Georgia State28Charlotte -1Georgia State50.0Under
201509/04Georgia State20Charlotte23Georgia State -4Charlotte68.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte222 Overs
Georgia State333 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 41 - 41 - 30 - 1
Road Teams4 - 14 - 11 - 03 - 1

(#99) GAST at (#128) CHAR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGASTCHAR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #99 #128
SP+SP+ #100 #130
Perf GradeGrade #112 #120
OffenseOff #89 #124
DefenseDef #118 #88
Spec TeamsST #99 #29
TalentTal #87 #79
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Georgia State on Offense
CategoryCat
GAST OffCHAR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #89 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #76 #77
SP+SP+ #71 #113
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia State Run Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffCHAR Def
Run GameRun #91 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #98 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #83
Georgia State Pass Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePass #70 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #15 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Charlotte on Offense
CategoryCatCHAR OffGAST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #124 #118
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #130 #96
SP+SP+ #128 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Charlotte Run Game
CategoryCat
CHAR OffGAST Def
Run GameRun #111 #50
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #91
Charlotte Pass Game
CategoryCatCHAR OffGAST Def
Pass GamePass #128 #136
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #120 #83
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Georgia State 6.5 (52.0)
Georgia State won at Charlotte this year (41-25)

Previous Matchups
Georgia State beat Charlotte in 2023 (41-25)

  
GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darren Grainger24435868%26252077.3
Mikele Colasurdo5863%47005.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcus Carroll2741350134.963
Darren Grainger159736104.665
Freddie Brock (Tr)30307110.260
KZ Adams356101.76
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Lewis70881712.697
Tailique Williams49615612.678
Jacari Carter (Tr)3827607.332
Cadarrius Thompson25266310.637

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Chad Staggs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jontrey Hunter947224
Justin Abraham828412
Jeremiah Johnson765100
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javon Denis317560
Kevin Swint (Tr)328430
Justin Abraham828412
Henry Bryant (Tr)366310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryquice Brown341016
TyGee Leach (Tr)707016
Jontrey Hunter947224

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trexler Ivey11220355%12634106.2
Jalon Jones6710962%646245.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalon Jones11047644.358
Terron Kellman8232814.018
Hahsaun Wilson5432236.034
Shadrick Byrd6021103.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jairus Mack25453218.151
Colin Weber34362010.645
Jack Hestera28349312.537
Duane Thomas Jr.24244010.251

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demetrius Knight II896204
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Eyabi Anoma4810691
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eyabi Anoma4810691
Demon Clowney314340
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Jaren Handy276211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Demetrius Knight II896204
Dontez Fagan213004