Utah State at UConn - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -4 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Utah State 34 - UConn: 33

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 35 (28 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CONN 3rd straight Home Game
CONN is playing their 5th straight game
USU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -2 (SP+ USU -7.5)
Projected Score: USU: 28 - CONN: 26 (54)
USU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 2002 miles, 2 hrs behind

Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (21 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
CONN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

UConn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UConn vs NC State	+14.5	47.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UConn at Georgia State	+3.0	54.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	43.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	UConn vs Duke	+22.0	45.0	L 7 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	UConn vs Utah State	+4.0	50.5	L 33 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UConn at Rice	+10.0	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UConn vs South Florida	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	UConn at Boston College	+14.5	49.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UConn at Tennessee	+35.0	55.5	L 3 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/11	UConn at James Madison	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/18	UConn vs Sacred Heart	-25.5	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UConn at Massachusetts	+2.5	51.0	W 31 - 18	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#50 (.22)	42% (67)	33.2	45% (52)	3.36 (19)	184	42% (68)	254	3.27 (109)	#98 (.23)	45% (114)	34.7	49% (124)	43% (82)	4.41 (119)	70.8	1.9	1.5
CONN	#111 (.11)	40% (96)	19.1	43% (68)	2.76 (120)	137	37% (108)	190	3.29 (106)	#99 (.23)	47% (124)	29.8	45% (89)	49% (133)	3.88 (75)	53.8	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	33.2	27.7	42.2%	3.27	1.9	22	439	184	254	4.8	48%	50%	45%	42%	20%	.22
CONN Defense	12	29.8	25	46.6%	3.88	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	49%	16%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	34.7	33.8	45.4%	4.41	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	49%	43%	18%	.23
CONN Offense	12	19.1	20.5	39.8%	3.29	1.4	18	327	137	190	4.2	51%	48%	43%	37%	16%	.11

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	26:56	21.7	36%	56%	7.5	70.8	1.9	1.5	5.5	1.8	3	29.2
UConn	12	31:15	18.1	35%	38%	6.1	53.8	1.4	1.1	5.7	1.3	1	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	48% (89)	45% (52)	38.2	184.5	4.8	18 (77)	.21 (33)	3.36 (19)	77% (40)	12% (104)	1 (68)
CONN Defense	12	51% (77)	45% (89)	-	-	-	-	.11 (48)	2.9 (34)	79% (103)	11% (45)	0.98 (59)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	54% (113)	49% (124)	-	-	-	-	.18 (93)	3.1 (68)	83% (118)	11% (39)	0.93 (34)
CONN Offense	12	51% (54)	43% (68)	32.8	136.6	4.2	15 (100)	.01 (125)	2.76 (120)	77% (41)	11% (93)	0.9 (112)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	50% (56)	42% (68)	20.7	33.5	254.2	7.6	12.3	35 (7)	19 (131)	.34 (48)	1.8 (19)	33% (87)	33% (53)	.42 (40)	8% (122)	2.2 (30)
CONN Defense	12	49% (61)	49% (133)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.4 (118)	1.4 (17)	30% (113)	33% (112)	.35 (86)	5% (110)	1.8 (8)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	45% (22)	43% (82)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.31 (95)	1.6 (71)	30% (108)	31% (77)	.31 (70)	7% (23)	1.9 (32)
CONN Offense	12	48% (79)	37% (108)	18.3	31.8	190.3	6	10.4	12 (113)	7 (21)	.25 (78)	1.6 (51)	35% (112)	28% (90)	.23 (98)	5% (33)	1.8 (122)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -7.91 UConn: -10.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -8.5 UConn: -16.0

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.125 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.7
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.8

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 28
UConn 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 30
UConn 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 29
UConn 27

Total Points: 56

UConn Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.5
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	UConn	33	Utah State	34	Utah State -4	UConn	50.5	Over
2022	08/27	Utah State	31	UConn	20	Utah State -24	UConn	59.0	Under
2001	11/10	UConn	31	Utah State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UConn	0	2	1 Overs
Utah State	3	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#107) USU at (#115) CONN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	CONN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#107	#115
SP+SP+	#97	#122
Perf GradeGrade	#113	#95
OffenseOff	#67	#88
DefenseDef	#131	#76
Spec TeamsST	#91	#126
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Utah State Injury Report

UConn Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	CONN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#76
SuccessSuc	#67	#124
ExplosiveExp	#22	#33
PPAPPA	#50	#99
PowerPwr	#72	#109
SP+SP+	#49	#97
Pts POPPO	#109	#75
HavocHav	#119	#80

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#27	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	#89
Run ExplRExp	#68	#59
PPAExp	#33	#48
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#19	#34
Stuff RateStuff	#57	#41
TackleTak	-	#131

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	#68	#133
Pass ExplPExl	#19	#17
PPAExp	#48	#118
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#129	#50
F7 HavocF7	#104	#45
DB HavocDB	#122	#110

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#131
SuccessSuc	#96	#114
ExplosiveExp	#102	#27
PPAPPA	#111	#98
PowerPwr	#102	#103
SP+SP+	#118	#129
Pts POPPO	#106	#119
HavocHav	#75	#24

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#105	#135
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#124
Run ExplRExp	#112	#34
PPAExp	#125	#93
Run BlockR Blk	#17	-
OL YdsOLY	#120	#68
Stuff RateStuff	#125	#45
TackleTak	-	#126

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#108	#82
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#71
PPAExp	#78	#95
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#39	#111
F7 HavocF7	#93	#39
DB HavocDB	#33	#23

Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 59° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.012

Rematch from Week 5
Utah State 4.0 (50.5)
Utah State won at UConn this year (34-33)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat UConn in 2023 (34-33)
Utah State beat UConn in 2022 (31-20)

USU's OC Kyle Cefalo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cooper Legas	138	213	65%	1815	19	8	8.5
McCae Hillstead	94	158	60%	1062	11	8	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davon Booth	120	805	6	6.7	65
Rahsul Faison	118	736	5	6.2	60
Robert Briggs	80	420	2	5.3	58
Levi Williams	45	209	3	4.6	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Royals	71	1080	15	15.2	71
Terrell Vaughn	90	937	11	10.4	76
Micah Davis	36	628	6	17.4	76
Colby Bowman (Tr)	11	247	2	22.5	63

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Joe Cauthen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
MJ Tafisi	142	9	0	2	1
Ike Larsen	102	5	0	1	6
Anthony Switzer	85	8	3	5	4
Devin Dye	82	2	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Paul Fitzgerald	46	9	7	1	1
Blaine Spires	26	8	5	10	1
Anthony Switzer	85	8	3	5	4
Hale Motu'apuaka	33	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Devin Dye	82	2	7
Jordan Drew	27	0	6
Avante Dickerson	17	0	6

CONN's OC Nick Charlton (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ta'Quan Roberson	197	338	58%	2075	12	6	6.1
Joe Fagnano (Tr)	18	35	51%	173	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Edwards	122	618	4	5.1	39
Victor Rosa	112	550	3	4.9	71
Devontae Houston	34	161	0	4.7	27
Ta'Quan Roberson	46	120	2	2.6	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Ross	44	568	2	12.9	46
Justin Joly	56	562	2	10.0	59
Brett Buckman	46	488	2	10.6	40
Geordon Porter (Tr)	22	213	1	9.7	28

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Lou Spanos (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Mitchell	113	7	1	4	1
Durante Jones	72	2	1	0	1
Tui Faumuina-Brown	61	4	1	0	0
Noah Plack (Tr)	49	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Pryce Yates	42	14	5	2	2
Dalmont Gourdine	28	6	3	2	3
Eric Watts	34	7	2	1	1
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)	34	4	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Malcolm Bell	28	2	0	4
Chris Shearin	36	1	0	3
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)	34	4	1	3