Utah State at UConn Game Matchup
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -4 (50.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Utah State 34 - UConn: 33

 
Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CONN 3rd straight Home Game
CONN is playing their 5th straight game
USU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -2   (SP+ USU -7.5)

Projected Score: USU: 29 - CONN: 27 (63)
USU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 2002 miles, 2 hrs behind
Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Utah State at Iowa+24.043.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Utah State vs Idaho State-24.061.0W 78 - 28OY
Fri 9/15 Utah State at Air Force+9.045.5L 21 - 39ON
Sat 9/23 Utah State vs James Madison+5.553.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 9/30 Utah State at UConn-4.050.5W 34 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Utah State vs Colorado State+3.062.0W 44 - 24OY
Fri 10/13 Utah State vs Fresno State+5.556.0L 32 - 37OY
Sat 10/21 Utah State at San José State+4.065.0L 21 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Utah State at San Diego State-2.056.5W 32 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Utah State vs Nevada-14.554.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 11/18 Utah State vs Boise State+5.562.5L 10 - 45UN
Fri 11/24 Utah State at New Mexico-4.558.5W 44 - 41ON
Sat 12/23 Utah State vs Georgia State-2.058.0L 22 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
UConn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UConn vs NC State+14.547.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 UConn at Georgia State+3.054.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/16 UConn vs Florida International-7.043.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 UConn vs Duke+22.045.0L 7 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 UConn vs Utah State+4.050.5L 33 - 34OY
Sat 10/7 UConn at Rice+10.047.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UConn vs South Florida-1.057.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 UConn at Boston College+14.549.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/4 UConn at Tennessee+35.055.5L 3 - 59ON
Sat 11/11 UConn at James Madison+24.547.5L 6 - 44ON
Sat 11/18 UConn vs Sacred Heart-25.540.5W 31 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 UConn at Massachusetts+2.551.0W 31 - 18UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU.0738%31.939%3.1315938%1953.15.1741%37.844%39%4.0577.52.11.7
CONN.1138%31.943%3.0319132%1123.67.1947%23.149%46%3.6960.81.62.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1331.925.237.9%3.152.1203541591953.855%44%39%38%17%.07
CONN Defense1323.116.347.2%3.692.3 - - - - - 52%47%49%46%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1337.845.241.2%4.051.7 - - - - - 55%44%44%39%17%.17
CONN Offense1331.936.938.2%3.671.6163031911124.762%36%43%32%18%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1328:4719.833%53%8.577.52.11.75.82.7330.4
UConn1330:1716.237%39%7.160.81.62.34.21.8029.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1355%39%42.2159.33.814.083.1372%9%0.92
CONN Defense1352%49% - - - - .213.2683%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1355%44% - - - - .17371%11%1.1
CONN Offense1362%43%40.4190.94.720.213.0364%13%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1344%38%17.730.6195.26.4111821.131.532%26%.088%1.7
CONN Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 13.211.327%31%.216%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1344%39% - - - - - - 11.261.731%29%.246%2.2
CONN Offense1336%32%12.121.21125.39.31010.11.635%26%.165%2.1

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -7.91   UConn: -10.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -8.5   UConn: -16.0




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.125 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 747
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 29
UConn 27


Projected Total Points: 63
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30UConn33Utah State34Utah StateUtah State -4UConn50.5Over
202208/27Utah State31UConn20Utah StateUtah State -24UConn59.0Under
200111/10UConn31Utah State38Utah State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn021 Overs
Utah State301 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#107) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129
Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile






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Utah State     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #107
#115
Off #72
#102
Def #103
#109
Talent #119
#111
SP+ #97
#122
SP+ Off #49
#118
SP+ Def #129
#97

Rematch from Week 5
Utah State 4.0 (50.5)
Utah State won at UConn this year (34-33)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat UConn in 2023 (34-33)
Utah State beat UConn in 2022 (31-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 59° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.012


Team Information
Injuries: USU | CONN
Depth Chart: USU | CONN
Rosters: USU | CONN
(#115) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.125 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cooper Legas8716254%11441267.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davon Booth15275955.043
Cooper Legas7920112.533
Elliott Nimrod110010.010
Kyrese Rowan2412.05
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Royals55834615.275
Kyrese Rowan44526312.057
Davon Booth13164412.654
Colby Bowman (Tr)76909.931

View Utah State's Full Roster
Utah State's DC Joe Cauthen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Ward467341
Anthony Switzer222000
Devin Dye130000
Sir Mells80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Ward467341
Seni Tuiaki11110
Anthony Switzer222000
Devin Dye130000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Ward467341
Anthony Switzer222000
Devin Dye130000

UConn's OC Nick Charlton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Fagnano (Tr)12020758%16312047.9
Ta'Quan Roberson3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devontae Houston11964835.480
Joe Fagnano (Tr)306012.019
Cameron Ross456014.041
Ta'Quan Roberson1707.07
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell50860517.270
Justin Joly43661415.440
Cameron Ross37443312.043
Brett Buckman791013.032

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Lou Spanos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Dixon671003
Chris Shearin582024
Jelani Stafford396071
Dalmont Gourdine274146
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalmont Gourdine274146
Malik Dixon671003
Chris Shearin582024
Jelani Stafford396071
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalmont Gourdine274146
Chris Shearin582024
Malik Dixon671003