Texas A&M at Arkansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo Texas A&M Aggies at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field - Fayetteville, AR  (SEC)

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#23)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -10.5   (SP+ TA&M -10)
Projected Score: TA&M: 34 - ARK: 23 (55)
TA&M Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
TA&M Travel: 397 miles
Razorbacks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (24 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#93)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.056.5
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-41.5
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-7.5
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-4
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-10.5
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-9
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-46
Sat 11/29 Texas A&M at Texas+9

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-32.5
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.5
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+11
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-5
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+14
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+10
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+10.5
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn+5.5
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+19.5
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+22
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+1

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)30.446% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)22.240% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)30.952% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)2539% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1330.43244.8%3.631203721851884.957%43%46%43%12%.21
ARK Defense132528.741.5%3.311 - - - - - 50%50%39%44%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense1322.232.838.1%3.031.3 - - - - - 47%53%40%37%20%.16
ARK Offense1330.923.748.2%3.951.7234161682484.951%48%52%44%19%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1329:1319.645%41%6.960.711.36.61.8238.6
Arkansas1328:0722.643%59%6.456.31.714.41.9027.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1357% (21)46% (38)37.8184.54.926 (36).19 (37)3.29 (27)73% (68)7% (12)0.97 (66)
ARK Defense1350% (64)39% (32) - - - - -.01 (11)2.84 (42)79% (104)8% (123)0.82 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1347% (35)40% (38) - - - - .1 (60)2.55 (10)77% (89)11% (46)1.11 (117)
ARK Offense1351% (64)52% (5)34.4167.94.932 (14).21 (29)3.23 (38)82% (13)12% (109)0.97 (67)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1343% (112)43% (58)14.624.5187.87.712.916 (87)9 (48).25 (70)1.6 (72)30% (48)34% (43).35 (61)5% (28)1.9 (112)
ARK Defense1350% (70)44% (100) - - - - - - 8 (93).28 (92)1.5 (43)33% (48)27% (23).2 (25)7% (45)1.9 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1353% (105)37% (22) - - - - - - 13 (31).22 (62)1.8 (131)36% (11)30% (69).37 (94)8% (2)2.3 (131)
ARK Offense1348% (71)44% (41)18.830.2248.48.213.214 (108)9 (48).3 (46)1.6 (42)32% (72)37% (17).43 (25)7% (106)2.2 (25)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 27.48 #9
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 26.40 #10
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -1.08 #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1038.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #18
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 958.5
Average Power Five Talent: 866.84
Average FBS Talent: 686.54

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 27.48   Arkansas: 11.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 17.2   Arkansas: 7.0




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 11.74 #33
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 21.64 #28
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 10.16 #37
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #31
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.0 #38
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #40

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 958.5
Average Power Five Talent: 866.84
Average FBS Talent: 686.54


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 34
Arkansas 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Texas A&M21Arkansas17Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.5Arkansas50.5Under
202309/30Arkansas22Texas A&M34Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.5Texas A&M53.5Over
202209/24Texas A&M23Arkansas21Texas A&MTexas A&M -1.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202109/25Arkansas20Texas A&M10ArkansasTexas A&M -4.5Arkansas47.0Under
202010/31Texas A&M42Arkansas31Texas A&MTexas A&M -10.5Texas A&M0
201909/28Arkansas27Texas A&M31Texas A&MTexas A&M -23Arkansas59.5Under
201809/29Texas A&M24Arkansas17Texas A&MTexas A&M -20Arkansas56.5Under
201709/23Arkansas43Texas A&M50Texas A&MArkansas -2.5Texas A&M58.5Over
201609/24Texas A&M45Arkansas24Texas A&MTexas A&M -3Texas A&M52.0Over
201509/26Arkansas21Texas A&M28Texas A&MTexas A&M -3.5Texas A&M61.5Under
201409/27Texas A&M35Arkansas28Texas A&MTexas A&M -12.5Arkansas0
201309/28Arkansas33Texas A&M45Texas A&MTexas A&M -3Texas A&M0
201209/29Texas A&M58Arkansas10Texas A&M
201110/01Arkansas42Texas A&M38Arkansas
201010/09Texas A&M17Arkansas24Arkansas
200910/03Arkansas47Texas A&M19Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas453 Overs
Texas A&M1276 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 65 - 73 - 42 - 3
Road Teams6 - 107 - 53 - 24 - 3

(#9) Texas A&M Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 27.48 #9
Offense Rating: 26.40 #10
Defense Rating: -1.08 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18
Talent Rating: 1038.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great Field Position


Texas A&M Notes
(7/27) Run game has top 3 potential. Off could explode
(7/25) QB Reed led SEC in Fr QBR, but must elevate
(7/17) OL returns 5/5. PFF grades top 5, go 7 deep
(7/17) More I learn, the more I like this A&M team
(6/6) WR added Concepcion +3 others, PFF top 10 unit
(5/21) Elko says RB Moss is full go for fall camp
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp & all of it returning/no portal
(4/4) LB Taurean York a top 10 LB via PFF
(4/4) A. Reed-Adams (G) a top IOL via PFF
(3/20) WR Bussey a big croot, came on late (was CB)
Texas A&M     Ratings Matchup     Arkansas
Power #9
#33
Off #10
#28
Def #4
#37
Talent #10
#43
SP+ #15
#38
SP+ Off #18
#37
SP+ Def #18
#40

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Arkansas last year (21-17)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-22)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2022 (23-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TA&M | ARK
Depth Chart: TA&M | ARK
Rosters: TA&M | ARK
(#33) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.74 #33
Offense Rating: 21.64 #28
Defense Rating: 10.16 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.0 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #40
Talent Rating: 816.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #31
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.95 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Arkansas Notes
(5/23) Hogs getting picked clean by portal, NIL bad
(5/23) OL returns 3/5. 5 portals. Best left via portal
(5/18) WR J Anthony a track star, hasn't played much
(5/15) WR top 5 are portals, 7 total. Blake (Char) good
(5/12) WR core bolted due to T Green? DBs a big issue
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp, 63% returning, 37% portals
(3/18) QB Green back, electric but inconsistent LY
(3/18) RBs rebuild. Good Run game LY needs RB1
(3/18) Def lacked ballers, pressure, TO's
(3/18) HC Pittman hotseat again. Petrino stab coming?


  
Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed14724061%18641567.8
Jacob Zeno (Tr)8211870%819656.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss121765106.375
Amari Daniels13966184.871
Marcel Reed11654774.731
E.J. Smith5420703.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)5345968.742
Mario Craver (Tr)17368321.672
Terry Bussey17216012.733
Theo Melin Ohrstrom10184218.430

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York8310324
Dalton Brooks596132
Marcus Ratcliffe484010
Scooby Williams438024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell409487
T.J. Searcy (Tr)344310
Taurean York8310324
Dayon Hayes (Tr)164200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III4210010
Cashius Howell409487
Jordan Shaw (Tr)374016

Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green23038160%31531598.3
KJ Jackson44100%590014.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington15871384.547
Taylen Green15660283.941
Braylen Russell6735435.375
Rodney Hill2818426.670
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)32795924.875
Kameran Shanks62656610.667
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)51523310.338
Ismael Cisse (Tr)2624129.325

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.9910231
Stephen Dix Jr.703231
Quentavius Scandrett (Tr)540012
Larry Worth532102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phillip Lee (Tr)3011571
Xavian Sorey Jr.9910231
Stephen Dix Jr.703231
Ken Talley (Tr)62220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker (Tr)242006
Jordan Young (Tr)351005
Julian Neal (Tr)324104