Texas A&M at Arkansas - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 18th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -7.5 (57.5) (-285) Open: -8.5
Texas A&M 45 - Arkansas: 42 (SEC)

Aggies (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 1.4 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -13.5 (SP+ TA&M -15.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 37 - ARK: 24 (61)
TA&M Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 397 miles

Razorbacks (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TA&M Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Texas A&M vs UTSA	-21.5	56.5	W 42 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/6	Texas A&M vs Utah State	-34.5	57.5	W 44 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/13	Texas A&M at Notre Dame	+7.5	48.5	W 41 - 40	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-6.5	51.5	W 16 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/4	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-17.5	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Texas A&M vs Florida	-7.0	47.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Texas A&M at Arkansas	-7.5	57.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/25	Texas A&M at LSU	-1.5	50.5	W 49 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Texas A&M at Missouri	-7.0	48.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-16.5	49.5	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/22	Texas A&M vs Samford	-54.5	59.5	W 48 - 0	U	N
Fri 11/28	Texas A&M at Texas	-2.5	54.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/20	Texas A&M vs Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 3 - 10	U	N

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Arkansas vs Alabama A&M	-45.5	62.5	W 52 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Arkansas vs Arkansas State	-23.5	62.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+3.5	60.5	L 35 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/20	Arkansas at Memphis	-7.0	59.5	L 31 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/27	Arkansas vs Notre Dame	+5.5	64.5	L 13 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Arkansas at Tennessee	+10.0	68.5	L 31 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+7.5	57.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Arkansas vs Auburn	-2.5	55.5	L 24 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/1	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-5.5	66.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Arkansas at LSU	+4.0	58.5	L 22 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Arkansas at Texas	+10.5	57.5	L 37 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/29	Arkansas vs Missouri	+4.5	54.5	L 17 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)	33.8	46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)	21	40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)	32.9	52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)	33.8	39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Offense	13	33.8	38	44.8%	3.63	1	20	372	185	188	4.9	57%	43%	46%	43%	12%	.21
ARK Defense	13	33.8	35	41.5%	3.31	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	44%	14%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Defense	13	21	30.2	38.1%	3.03	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	40%	37%	20%	.16
ARK Offense	13	32.9	30.5	48.2%	3.95	1.7	23	416	168	248	4.9	51%	48%	52%	44%	19%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas A&M	13	29:13	19.6	45%	41%	6.9	60.7	1	1.3	6.6	1.8	2	38.6
Arkansas	13	28:07	22.6	43%	59%	6.4	56.3	1.7	1	4.4	1.9	0	27.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense	13	57% (21)	46% (38)	37.8	184.5	4.9	26 (36)	.19 (37)	3.29 (27)	73% (68)	7% (12)	0.97 (66)
ARK Defense	13	50% (64)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (11)	2.84 (42)	79% (104)	8% (123)	0.82 (8)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense	13	47% (35)	40% (38)	-	-	-	-	.1 (60)	2.55 (10)	77% (89)	11% (46)	1.11 (117)
ARK Offense	13	51% (64)	52% (5)	34.4	167.9	4.9	32 (14)	.21 (29)	3.23 (38)	82% (13)	12% (109)	0.97 (67)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense	13	43% (112)	43% (58)	14.6	24.5	187.8	7.7	12.9	16 (87)	9 (48)	.25 (70)	1.6 (72)	30% (48)	34% (43)	.35 (61)	5% (28)	1.9 (112)
ARK Defense	13	50% (70)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.28 (92)	1.5 (43)	33% (48)	27% (23)	.2 (25)	7% (45)	1.9 (37)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense	13	53% (105)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.22 (62)	1.8 (131)	36% (11)	30% (69)	.37 (94)	8% (2)	2.3 (131)
ARK Offense	13	48% (71)	44% (41)	18.8	30.2	248.4	8.2	13.2	14 (108)	9 (48)	.3 (46)	1.6 (42)	32% (72)	37% (17)	.43 (25)	7% (106)	2.2 (25)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 26.00 #5
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 26.80 #5
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.80 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 1.4
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #9
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #11
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 26.00 Arkansas: 9.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 20.7 Arkansas: 5.1

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 9.605 #43
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.32 #14
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 15.21 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 37
Arkansas 24

Projected Total Points: 61

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Arkansas	42	Texas A&M	45	Texas A&M -7.5	Arkansas	57.5	Over
2024	09/28	Texas A&M	21	Arkansas	17	Texas A&M -6.5	Arkansas	50.5	Under
2023	09/30	Arkansas	22	Texas A&M	34	Texas A&M -6.5	Texas A&M	53.5	Over
2022	09/24	Texas A&M	23	Arkansas	21	Texas A&M -1.5	Texas A&M	51.0	Under
2021	09/25	Arkansas	20	Texas A&M	10	Texas A&M -4.5	Arkansas	47.0	Under
2020	10/31	Texas A&M	42	Arkansas	31	Texas A&M -10.5	Texas A&M	0
2019	09/28	Arkansas	27	Texas A&M	31	Texas A&M -23	Arkansas	59.5	Under
2018	09/29	Texas A&M	24	Arkansas	17	Texas A&M -20	Arkansas	56.5	Under
2017	09/23	Arkansas	43	Texas A&M	50	Arkansas -2.5	Texas A&M	58.5	Over
2016	09/24	Texas A&M	45	Arkansas	24	Texas A&M -3	Texas A&M	52.0	Over
2015	09/26	Arkansas	21	Texas A&M	28	Texas A&M -3.5	Texas A&M	61.5	Under
2014	09/27	Texas A&M	35	Arkansas	28	Texas A&M -12.5	Arkansas	0
2013	09/28	Arkansas	33	Texas A&M	45	Texas A&M -3	Texas A&M	0
2012	09/29	Texas A&M	58	Arkansas	10
2011	10/01	Arkansas	42	Texas A&M	38
2010	10/09	Texas A&M	17	Arkansas	24
2009	10/03	Arkansas	47	Texas A&M	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	4	6	4 Overs
Texas A&M	13	7	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 7	6 - 7	3 - 4	3 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 10	7 - 6	3 - 3	4 - 3

(#5) TA&M at (#43) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TA&M	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#5	#43
SP+SP+	#9	#53
Perf GradeGrade	#25	#77
OffenseOff	#48	#42
DefenseDef	#17	#112
Spec TeamsST	#17	#116
TalentTal	#11	#48
Blue ChipsBC%	#6	#33

Texas A&M Notes(12/15) Hired Holmon Wiggins as OC, coached WR '24-'25
(12/12) Hired DC Lyle Memphill to replace Jay Bateman at DC
(11/28) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out for Texas, still unable to play
(11/15) WR3 Bethel-Roman non-contact inj vs S.Car
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
Texas A&M Injury Report

Arkansas Notes(11/30) Hired Ryan Silverfield (Memphis). Meh hire IMO
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off great
(10/18) Off great vs A&M, Def torched as usual. 9 flags hurt
(9/30) Def has no players, schematics almost don't matter
(9/30) Pittman fired, Petrino Interim, Def staff fired
(9/27) Damn break vs ND, Def mauled, Off awful. Green bad
(9/23) Have fumbled away 2 straight games, brutal
(9/23) QB Taylen Green leads CFB in total offense (Wk 5)
(9/19) Off hot start, QB Green great, WR Blake weapon
(9/19) Pass Def torched by Ole Miss, Run D held up
(8/17) OC & DC are fighting, nearly physically?
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
Arkansas Injury Report

Texas A&M on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#112
SuccessSuc	#41	#66
ExplosiveExp	#106	#29
PPAPPA	#54	#45
PowerPwr	#5	#81
SP+SP+	#11	#99
Pts POPPO	#93	#22
HavocHav	#13	#101

Texas A&M Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#45	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	#38	#32
Run ExplRExp	#66	#8
PPAExp	#37	#11
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	#27	#42
Stuff RateStuff	#29	#112
TackleTak	-	#19

Texas A&M Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#126
Pass SuccessPSuc	#58	#100
Pass ExplPExl	#72	#43
PPAExp	#70	#92
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#27	#69
F7 HavocF7	#12	#123
DB HavocDB	#28	#45

Arkansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TA&M Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#42	#17
SuccessSuc	#13	#23
ExplosiveExp	#80	#131
PPAPPA	#27	#67
PowerPwr	#14	#11
SP+SP+	#16	#14
Pts POPPO	#64	#9
HavocHav	#114	#17

Arkansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#2	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	#5	#38
Run ExplRExp	#67	#117
PPAExp	#29	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	#38	#10
Stuff RateStuff	#83	#8
TackleTak	-	#85

Arkansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	#41	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#42	#131
PPAExp	#46	#62
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#80	#14
F7 HavocF7	#109	#46
DB HavocDB	#106	#2

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Texas A&M 7.5 (57.5)
Texas A&M won at Arkansas this year (45-42)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Arkansas last year (45-42)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2024 (21-17)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-22)

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcel Reed	234	377	62%	3169	25	12	8.4
Miles O'Neill	7	14	50%	120	1	2	8.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rueben Owens	119	639	5	5.4	57
Marcel Reed	104	493	6	4.7	46
Le'Veon Moss	77	404	6	5.2	38
Amari Daniels	41	216	1	5.3	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)	61	919	9	15.1	48
Mario Craver (Tr)	58	911	4	15.7	86
Ashton Bethel-Roman	24	503	5	21.0	76
Nate Boerkircher (Tr)	20	204	3	10.2	28

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taurean York	72	7	1	5	3
Marcus Ratcliffe	66	3	0	2	3
Dalton Brooks	61	6	3	3	1
Daymion Sanford	57	10	4	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cashius Howell	32	15	13	5	6
Daymion Sanford	57	10	4	3	2
Dayon Hayes (Tr)	17	4	4	6	1
Dalton Brooks	61	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Lee III	50	2	1	0	7
Cashius Howell	32	15	13	5	6
Dezz Ricks	26	1	0	0	5

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green	198	326	61%	2714	19	11	8.3
KJ Jackson	33	54	61%	441	3	0	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Washington	168	1068	8	6.4	57
Taylen Green	138	779	8	5.6	64
Braylen Russell	55	286	5	5.2	23
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)	6	54	0	9.0	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)	57	760	5	13.3	36
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)	41	592	3	14.4	58
Rohan Jones (Tr)	19	519	4	27.3	62
CJ Brown	28	319	3	11.4	26

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavian Sorey Jr.	81	8	3	3	3
Stephen Dix Jr.	79	4	1	0	0
Larry Worth	64	1	0	0	1
Caleb Wooden (Tr)	59	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.	43	16	8	6	0
Phillip Lee (Tr)	31	6	4	4	0
Xavian Sorey Jr.	81	8	3	3	3
Bradley Shaw	50	5	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kani Walker (Tr)	52	3	1	0	11
Julian Neal (Tr)	55	2	0	0	10
Jordan Young (Tr)	28	0	0	1	6