Texas A&M at Notre Dame - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo (#16)Texas A&M Aggies at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#8)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -7.5 (48.5) (-250)  Open: -7.0 | 49.5
Texas A&M 41 - Notre Dame: 40

 
Aggies (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 1.4 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 8) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
ND coming off BYE
Our Line: Notre Dame -5  (SP+ ND -3)

Projected Score: TA&M: 22 - ND: 27 (49)
ND Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 950 miles, 1 hrs behind
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-6.551.5W 16 - 10UN
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-17.557.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-7.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-7.557.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU-1.550.5W 49 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7.048.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-16.549.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-54.559.5W 48 - 0UN
Fri 11/28 Texas A&M at Texas-2.554.5L 17 - 27UN
Sat 12/20 Texas A&M vs Miami-3.048.5L 3 - 10UN

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 8, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-10.560.5W 34 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-31.555.5W 25 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-30.554.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-12.555.5W 37 - 15UY
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-36.551.5W 70 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-32.550.5W 49 - 20ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#29 (.24)46% (28)33.847% (35)3.16 (30)18546% (27)2604.14 (33)#55 (.13)34% (5)2136% (9)33% (5)3.91 (95)60.71.50.8
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (25)3.05 (50)20451% (6)2554.79 (6)#12 (.04)36% (13)17.638% (20)36% (16)2.58 (6)53.10.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1333.83846.1%4.141.5234451852604.952%47%47%46%11%.24
ND Defense1217.61836.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense132130.234.1%3.910.8 - - - - - 46%52%36%33%21%.13
ND Offense124244.749%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1332:3022.541%71%7.260.71.50.88.53.3232.5
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1352% (49)47% (35)38.11854.928 (36).16 (47)3.16 (30)75% (47)6% (1)0.93 (83)
ND Defense1243% (6)38% (20) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (66)9% (77)0.89 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1346% (25)36% (9) - - - - .15 (96)2.67 (26)75% (97)16% (3)1.29 (136)
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (25)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (11)3.05 (50)62% (122)8% (36)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1347% (84)46% (27)19.131.4259.88.313.626 (22)14 (60).38 (26)1.5 (66)29% (30)29% (82).28 (75)5% (39)2 (67)
ND Defense1256% (132)36% (16) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (93)36% (9)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1352% (118)33% (5) - - - - - - 3 (123).1 (13)1.6 (91)39% (2)23% (4).22 (34)6% (75)2.3 (132)
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (10)1.7 (25)29% (37)44% (2).65 (3)5% (35)2 (65)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 26.00  #5
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 26.80  #5
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.80  #11
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65%  #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 1.4
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8  #8
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #8
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 26.00   Notre Dame: 29.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 21.8   Notre Dame: 24.3




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 29.015  #3
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 26.69  #6
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.21  #2
2025 Talent Rating: 1060.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 57  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.1  #7
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 27
Texas A&M 22


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 23
Texas A&M 15

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 35
Texas A&M 27

Total Points: 62
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Notre Dame40Texas A&M41Notre Dame -7.5Texas A&M48.5Over
202408/31Texas A&M13Notre Dame23Texas A&M -3.0Notre Dame47.0Under
200109/29Texas A&M24Notre Dame3
200009/01Notre Dame24Texas A&M10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame211 Overs
Texas A&M211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#5) TA&M at (#3) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MND
Net PPPPPP #31 #2
Power RatePwr #5 #3
SP+SP+ #8 #5
Perf GradeGrade #25 #5
OffenseOff #48 #5
DefenseDef #17 #5
Spec TeamsST #17 #23
TalentTal #11 #7
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #8
Texas A&M Notes
(12/15) Hired Holmon Wiggins as OC, coached WR '24-'25
(12/12) Hired DC Lyle Memphill to replace Jay Bateman at DC
(11/28) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out for Texas, still unable to play
(11/15) WR3 Bethel-Roman non-contact inj vs S.Car
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
Texas A&M Injury Report
Notre Dame Notes
(11/16) Killed Pitt, 10-2 finish likely. Get healthy for CFP?
(11/4) Huge issues at K, missed 2 XP, short FG vs BC
(10/20) OG Billy Schrauth out until at least Pitt/Cuse (3 OL)
(10/18) 300 yds rush vs USC, Pass Def torched, huge Win
(10/16) DL G Rubio out vs SC (best DT) & L Thomas (depth)
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
Notre Dame Injury Report
Texas A&M on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffND Def
PPPOffPPP #31 #1
Perf GradePerf #48 #5
SuccessSuc #28 #13
ExplosiveExp #81 #85
PPAPPA #29 #12
PowerPwr #5 #2
SP+SP+ #8 #11
Pts POPPO #33 #6
HavocHav #5 #19
Texas A&M Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffND Def
Run GameRun #45 #8
Run SuccessRSuc #35 #20
Run ExplRExp #83 #32
PPAExp #47 #37
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLY #30 #39
Stuff RateStuff #28 #74
TackleTak -  #9
Texas A&M Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffND Def
Pass GamePass #92 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #16
Pass ExplPExl #66 #93
PPAExp #26 #8
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #27 #25
F7 HavocF7 #1 #77
DB HavocDB #39 #3
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffTA&M Def
PPPDefPPP #54 #24
Perf GradePerf #5 #17
SuccessSuc #10 #5
ExplosiveExp #3 #135
PPAPPA #4 #55
PowerPwr #6 #11
SP+SP+ #7 #21
Pts POPPO #6 #95
HavocHav #36 #4
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #5 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #9
Run ExplRExp #8 #136
PPAExp #11 #96
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLY #50 #26
Stuff RateStuff #101 #40
TackleTak -  #85
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #10 #24
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #5
Pass ExplPExl #25 #91
PPAExp #10 #13
Pass Block/RushP Blk #59 #14
F7 HavocF7 #36 #3
DB HavocDB #35 #75
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Notre Dame -7.5 (48.5)
Texas A&M won at Notre Dame this year (41-40)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Texas A&M last year (23-13)

  
TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed23437762%316925128.4
Miles O'Neill71450%120128.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rueben Owens11963955.457
Marcel Reed10449364.746
Le'Veon Moss7740465.238
Amari Daniels4121615.341
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)61919915.148
Mario Craver (Tr)58911415.786
Ashton Bethel-Roman24503521.076
Nate Boerkircher (Tr)20204310.228

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York727153
Marcus Ratcliffe663023
Dalton Brooks616331
Daymion Sanford5710432
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell32151356
Daymion Sanford5710432
Dayon Hayes (Tr)174461
Dalton Brooks616331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III502107
Cashius Howell32151356
Dezz Ricks261005

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Kenny Minchey202677%196007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1991372186.994
Jadarian Price113674116.058
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Kenny Minchey784112.034
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Malachi Fields (Tr)36630517.566
Eli Raridon32482015.165
Will Pauling (Tr)26381614.744

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
Jaylen Sneed355330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125