Texas A&M at Notre Dame - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo (#16)Texas A&M Aggies at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#8)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -7.5 (48.5) (-250)  Open: -7.0 | 49.5
Texas A&M 41 - Notre Dame: 40

 
Aggies (9 - 0) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 38 - 23 (43 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.2 - 0.8 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 8) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
ND coming off BYE
Our Line: Notre Dame -2  (SP+ TA&M -0.5)

Projected Score: TA&M: 27 - ND: 29 (56)
ND Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 950 miles, 1 hrs behind
Fighting Irish (6 - 2) (3 - 5 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 20 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 2.2 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-6.551.5W 16 - 10UN
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-17.557.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-7.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-7.557.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU-1.550.5W 49 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7.048.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-22.5
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-48.5
Fri 11/28 Texas A&M at Texas-2.5

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 8, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-10.560.5W 34 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-31.555.5W 25 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-30.554.5
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-8.5
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-35.5
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-30.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#12 (.32)49% (17)37.848% (20)3.18 (23)17850% (14)2304.86 (10)#77 (.15)36% (13)22.936% (15)37% (24)5.06 (136)59.70.80.7
ND#11 (.32)49% (15)37.448% (27)2.94 (51)18950% (11)2744.51 (27)#54 (.12)39% (46)19.940% (43)40% (55)3.04 (18)57.912.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense937.843.348.7%4.860.8214091782305.156%44%48%50%9%.32
ND Defense819.921.839.5%3.042.3 - - - - - 42%57%40%40%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense922.93136.2%5.060.7 - - - - - 43%57%36%37%21%.15
ND Offense837.438.848.9%4.511234631892745.454%45%48%50%14%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M928:3620.842%67%759.70.80.77.33.6232.4
Notre Dame829:3623.444%40%6.357.912.34.92.6331.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense956% (23)48% (20)35178.35.119 (36).19 (30)3.18 (23)74% (60)5% (1)0.89 (102)
ND Defense842% (5)40% (43) - - - - .06 (58)2.82 (80)69% (49)8% (110)0.9 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense943% (8)36% (15) - - - - .16 (111)2.51 (41)71% (68)15% (4)1.31 (135)
ND Offense854% (42)48% (27)35.3189.15.422 (11).19 (29)2.94 (51)57% (131)9% (62)1.11 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense944% (106)50% (14)15.725.7230.3914.718 (22)7 (60).49 (7)1.6 (31)28% (30)29% (85).36 (54)5% (33)2.1 (35)
ND Defense857% (132)40% (55) - - - - - - 16 (1).18 (48)1.5 (79)34% (28)30% (76).32 (88)9% (5)2 (62)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense957% (133)37% (24) - - - - - - 2 (123).15 (39)1.5 (45)38% (8)24% (15).23 (48)6% (78)2.1 (103)
ND Offense845% (95)50% (11)18.527.52741014.816 (33)4 (34).44 (16)1.7 (20)29% (39)44% (2).58 (9)5% (30)1.9 (96)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 27.82  #5
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 32.14  #2
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -2.40  #21
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65%  #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.2 - 0.8
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8  #5
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6  #2
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 27.82   Notre Dame: 26.805

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 21.8   Notre Dame: 21.4




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 26.805  #8
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.55  #13
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -4.39  #15
2025 Talent Rating: 1060.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 57  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4  #6
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #7
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #18

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 37.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 0
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 29
Texas A&M 27


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 36
Texas A&M 28

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 32
Texas A&M 31

Total Points: 63
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 37.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.8

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Notre Dame40Texas A&M41Notre Dame -7.5Texas A&M48.5Over
202408/31Texas A&M13Notre Dame23Texas A&M -3.0Notre Dame47.0Under
200109/29Texas A&M24Notre Dame3
200009/01Notre Dame24Texas A&M10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame211 Overs
Texas A&M211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#5) TA&M at (#8) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MND
Power RatePwr #5 #8
SP+SP+ #5 #6
Perf GradeGrade #13 #9
OffenseOff #23 #4
DefenseDef #22 #18
Spec TeamsST #15 #25
TalentTal #11 #7
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #8
Texas A&M Notes
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out significant time (ankle)
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
(9/27) Beat ND with Off, beat Auburn with Def. Great start
(8/25) QB2 Fr. O'Neill beat out J Zeno for backup job
(7/27) DL dominated OL in spring? Good or bad sign?
Texas A&M Injury Report
Notre Dame Notes
(11/4) Huge issues at K, missed 2 XP, short FG vs BC
(10/20) OG Billy Schrauth out until at least Pitt/Cuse (3 OL)
(10/18) 300 yds rush vs USC, Pass Def torched, huge Win
(10/16) DL G Rubio out vs SC (best DT) & L Thomas (depth)
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
(9/15) Pass Def is awful. DB depth is huge issue
Notre Dame Injury Report
Texas A&M on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #23 #18
SuccessSuc #17 #46
ExplosiveExp #79 #90
PPAPPA #12 #54
PowerPwr #2 #15
SP+SP+ #2 #18
Pts POPPO #10 #18
HavocHav #4 #44
Texas A&M Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffND Def
Run GameRun #50 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #20 #43
Run ExplRExp #102 #46
PPAExp #30 #58
Run BlockR Blk #40 -
OL YdsOLY #23 #80
Stuff RateStuff #23 #74
TackleTak -  #25
Texas A&M Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffND Def
Pass GamePass #55 #41
Pass SuccessPSuc #14 #55
Pass ExplPExl #31 #79
PPAExp #7 #48
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #15 #18
F7 HavocF7 #1 #110
DB HavocDB #33 #5
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatND OffTA&M Def
Perf GradePerf #4 #22
SuccessSuc #15 #13
ExplosiveExp #9 #124
PPAPPA #11 #77
PowerPwr #13 #21
SP+SP+ #7 #21
Pts POPPO #27 #136
HavocHav #44 #6
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ND OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #11 #40
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #15
Run ExplRExp #17 #135
PPAExp #29 #111
Run BlockR Blk #40 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #41
Stuff RateStuff #108 #37
TackleTak -  #93
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatND OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #13 #45
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #24
Pass ExplPExl #20 #45
PPAExp #16 #39
Pass Block/RushP Blk #53 #7
F7 HavocF7 #62 #4
DB HavocDB #30 #78
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Notre Dame -7.5 (48.5)
Texas A&M won at Notre Dame this year (41-40)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Texas A&M last year (23-13)

  
TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed15725262%21931968.7
Miles O'Neill4757%1011114.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rueben Owens9154256.057
Le'Veon Moss7038965.638
Marcel Reed6937865.546
E.J. Smith2913924.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Craver (Tr)45769417.186
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)40629815.748
Ashton Bethel-Roman12242220.247
Terry Bussey12151112.634

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Ratcliffe493013
Taurean York474132
Dalton Brooks384130
Daymion Sanford389432
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell22131253
Daymion Sanford389432
DJ Hicks206310
Dayon Hayes (Tr)163331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III371005
Dezz Ricks190004
Marcus Ratcliffe493013

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr13920967%20571649.8
Kenny Minchey8989%950010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love141894116.394
Jadarian Price8552186.149
Nolan James Jr.83304.115
Aneyas Williams63015.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison39518213.348
Eli Raridon24406016.965
Malachi Fields (Tr)21400319.066
Will Pauling (Tr)19332517.544

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen503222
Adon Shuler431004
Tae Johnson390003
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa396311
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore307640
Jaylen Sneed235330
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa396311
Drayk Bowen503222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray171007
Adon Shuler431004
Tae Johnson390003