UTSA at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Texas A&M Aggies(#7)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -21.5 (56.5) (-1650)  Open: -21.5 | 56.5
Texas A&M 42 - UTSA: 24

 
Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
Wind: 17.3 MPH
Our Line: Texas A&M -27.5  (SP+ TA&M -20)

Projected Score: UTSA: 14 - TA&M: 41 (55)
TA&M Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 152 miles
Aggies (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 1.4 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.558.5W 17 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-6.558.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-8.548.5W 61 - 13OY
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+4.064.5L 17 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+5.554.5W 48 - 26OY
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+14.066.5L 23 - 55ON
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-16.557.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina+2.062.5W 58 - 24OY
Sat 11/29 UTSA vs Army-8.550.5L 24 - 27ON
Fri 12/26 UTSA vs Florida International-7.062.5W 57 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-6.551.5W 16 - 10UN
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-17.557.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-7.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-7.557.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU-1.550.5W 49 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7.048.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-16.549.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-54.559.5W 48 - 0UN
Fri 11/28 Texas A&M at Texas-2.554.5L 17 - 27UN
Sat 12/20 Texas A&M vs Miami-3.048.5L 3 - 10UN

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#33 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (49)2.81 (97)16047% (23)2254.23 (29)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.09 (108)58.50.91.2
TA&M#29 (.24)46% (28)33.847% (36)3.16 (31)18546% (27)2604.14 (35)#56 (.13)34% (6)2136% (10)33% (5)3.91 (96)60.71.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1335.521.745.4%4.230.9203841602255.146%52%45%47%16%.23
TA&M Defense132115.334.1%3.910.8 - - - - - 46%52%36%33%21%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1328.833.739.6%4.091.2 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
TA&M Offense1333.831.146.1%4.141.5234451852604.952%47%47%46%11%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1329:2819.840%42%6.558.50.91.25.31.6231.8
Texas A&M1332:3022.541%71%7.260.71.50.88.53.3232.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1346% (102)45% (49)31.1159.85.117 (49).19 (36)2.81 (97)73% (63)10% (102)1.17 (6)
TA&M Defense1346% (25)36% (10) - - - - .15 (96)2.67 (25)75% (99)16% (3)1.29 (136)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1350% (66)40% (44) - - - - .12 (83)2.86 (62)64% (21)11% (24)0.97 (72)
TA&M Offense1352% (50)47% (36)38.11854.928 (36).16 (46)3.16 (31)75% (49)6% (1)0.93 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1352% (38)47% (23)21.532224.5710.431 (33)7 (34).33 (42)1.5 (95)30% (46)36% (20).45 (20)6% (59)2.2 (12)
TA&M Defense1352% (116)33% (5) - - - - - - 3 (123).1 (15)1.6 (92)39% (2)23% (6).22 (37)6% (76)2.3 (132)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1349% (78)40% (49) - - - - - - 9 (75).29 (87)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (49).3 (70)7% (20)2.2 (122)
TA&M Offense1347% (83)46% (27)19.131.4259.88.313.626 (22)14 (60).38 (26)1.5 (66)29% (30)29% (83).28 (74)5% (39)2 (71)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -2.27  #78
UTSA's Offense Rating: 12.57  #49
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.84  #110
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6  #65
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #39
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -2.27   Texas A&M: 27.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.6   Texas A&M: 21.8




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 27.27  #7
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 27.53  #6
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -6.20  #11
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 1.4
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8  #8
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #8
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 41
UTSA 14


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas A&M 27
UTSA 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Texas A&M 32
UTSA 23

Total Points: 55
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Texas A&M42UTSA24Texas A&M -21.5UTSA56.5Over
201911/02Texas A&M45UTSA14Texas A&M -38UTSA55.0Over
201611/19Texas A&M23UTSA10Texas A&M -28UTSA56.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M302 Overs
UTSA031 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 30 - 30 - 0
Road Teams0 - 33 - 00 - 03 - 0

(#78) UTSA at (#7) TA&M
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSATA&M
Power RatePwr #78 #7
SP+SP+ #65 #8
Perf GradeGrade #105 #17
OffenseOff #70 #42
DefenseDef #120 #18
Spec TeamsST #121 #13
TalentTal #85 #11
Blue ChipsBC% #46 #6
UTSA Notes
(11/29) Wild season ends w/ loss to Army. 6-6 feels meh
(11/22) Killed ECU to get bowl eligible. Odd year 4 Meeps
(10/31) McCown was 31/33 for 370, 4 TD in Tulane rout
(10/5) Def is poor & Off isn't enough, danger of bowl miss
(9/24) Off good, RB Henry great, Def is really bad
(9/24) QB McCown & Pass Def awful vs CSU, lucky W
(7/28) Offense should be lethal, up to Def portals/dev
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
UTSA Injury Report
Texas A&M Notes
(12/15) Hired Holmon Wiggins as OC, coached WR '24-'25
(12/12) Hired DC Lyle Memphill to replace Jay Bateman at DC
(11/28) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out for Texas, still unable to play
(11/15) WR3 Bethel-Roman non-contact inj vs S.Car
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
Texas A&M Injury Report
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTA&M Def
Perf GradePerf #70 #18
SuccessSuc #35 #6
ExplosiveExp #24 #135
PPAPPA #33 #56
PowerPwr #49 #11
SP+SP+ #39 #21
Pts POPPO #29 #96
HavocHav #79 #4
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #51 #31
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #10
Run ExplRExp #6 #136
PPAExp #36 #96
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLY #97 #25
Stuff RateStuff #107 #41
TackleTak -  #82
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #54 #29
Pass SuccessPSuc #23 #5
Pass ExplPExl #95 #92
PPAExp #42 #15
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #112 #14
F7 HavocF7 #102 #3
DB HavocDB #59 #76
Texas A&M on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatTA&M OffUTSA Def
Perf GradePerf #42 #120
SuccessSuc #28 #46
ExplosiveExp #82 #126
PPAPPA #29 #82
PowerPwr #6 #110
SP+SP+ #8 #95
Pts POPPO #35 #108
HavocHav #7 #18
Texas A&M Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #47 #114
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #44
Run ExplRExp #83 #72
PPAExp #46 #83
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #31 #62
Stuff RateStuff #30 #77
TackleTak -  #117
Texas A&M Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatTA&M OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #82 #116
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #49
Pass ExplPExl #66 #131
PPAExp #26 #87
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #75
F7 HavocF7 #1 #24
DB HavocDB #39 #20
Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80°( - Hum: 84%)
- Wind: 17 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Texas A&M -21.5 (56.5)
Texas A&M won vs UTSA this year (42-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry151104596.976
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)4917733.614
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin65726811.252
AJ Wilson (Tr)30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
Houston Thomas34347210.232

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks938222
Jimmy Wyrick621008
Tyan Milton513013
Kendrick Blackshire441101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nnanna Anyanwu217541
Kenny Ozowalu166331
Chidera Otutu283300
Jonathan Jones158324
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Wyrick621008
KK Meier (Tr)250005
Jakevian Rodgers232004

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed23437762%316925128.4
Miles O'Neill71450%120128.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rueben Owens11963955.457
Marcel Reed10449364.746
Le'Veon Moss7740465.238
Amari Daniels4121615.341
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)61919915.148
Mario Craver (Tr)58911415.786
Ashton Bethel-Roman24503521.076
Nate Boerkircher (Tr)20204310.228

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York727153
Marcus Ratcliffe663023
Dalton Brooks616331
Daymion Sanford5710432
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell32151356
Daymion Sanford5710432
Dayon Hayes (Tr)174461
Dalton Brooks616331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III502107
Cashius Howell32151356
Dezz Ricks261005