UTSA at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Texas A&M Aggies(#19)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -21.5 (56.5) (-1650)  Open: -21.5 | 56.5
Texas A&M 42 - UTSA: 24

 
Roadrunners (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 35 (24 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Texas A&M -25.5   (SP+ TA&M -15)
Projected Score: UTSA: 19 - TA&M: 44 (63)
TA&M Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 152 miles
Aggies (3 - 0) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 42 - 29 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.559.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple+0.5
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.5
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+7
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+1.5
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+6
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-14.5
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina-1
Fri 11/28 UTSA vs Army-9.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-1
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-11
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-8
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-4.5
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri+3.5
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-13
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-46.5
Sat 11/29 Texas A&M at Texas+3.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#34 (.32)43% (74)3644% (72)3.17 (48)22842% (81)2094.8 (37)#118 (.28)41% (77)3537% (54)45% (101)6 (135)51.301.7
TA&M#32 (.33)46% (53)42.344% (74)3.25 (41)15848% (40)3235.35 (20)#69 (.13)35% (36)28.733% (25)37% (48)4.8 (116)63.30.70.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense3362442.9%4.80214372282096.844%56%44%42%17%.32
TA&M Defense328.72335.2%4.80.7 - - - - - 46%54%33%37%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense3354240.7%61.7 - - - - - 49%51%37%45%17%.28
TA&M Offense342.34345.9%5.350.7234811583234.847%53%44%48%7%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA332:4521.336%38%5.351.301.75.71.7029
Texas A&M329:0823.334%60%8.363.30.70.76.73131
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense344% (100)44% (72)33.7228.36.87 (38).38 (15)3.17 (48)75% (52)12% (117)1.61 (3)
TA&M Defense346% (41)33% (25) - - - - .14 (100)2.29 (28)63% (43)12% (38)1.5 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense349% (59)37% (54) - - - - .07 (68)2.17 (19)50% (19)10% (74)1.05 (89)
TA&M Offense347% (90)44% (74)33157.74.86 (49).17 (57)3.25 (41)55% (120)3% (3)0.92 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense356% (32)42% (81)24.337.32095.68.67 (23)0 (1).28 (71)1.5 (87)35% (114)39% (28).69 (19)5% (57)2.4 (18)
TA&M Defense354% (98)37% (48) - - - - - - 1 (87).13 (47)1.5 (67)40% (9)26% (49).17 (45)4% (107)2 (75)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense351% (80)45% (101) - - - - - - 3 (28).49 (119)2 (132)36% (38)33% (94).53 (115)7% (41)2.3 (113)
TA&M Offense353% (46)48% (40)20.735.7323.39.115.710 (7)2 (60).48 (27)1.7 (25)31% (79)28% (95).35 (64)3% (33)2.3 (24)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -0.49 #80
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
UTSA's Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -0.49   Texas A&M: 25.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.2   Texas A&M: 16.0




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 44
UTSA 19


Total Points: 63

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 42.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Texas A&M42UTSA24Texas A&MTexas A&M -21.5UTSA56.5Over
201911/02Texas A&M45UTSA14Texas A&MTexas A&M -38UTSA55.0Over
201611/19Texas A&M23UTSA10Texas A&MTexas A&M -28UTSA56.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M302 Overs
UTSA031 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 30 - 30 - 0
Road Teams0 - 33 - 00 - 03 - 0

(#80) UTSA Info
Power Rating: -0.49 #80
Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Awful in Scoring Position 6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UTSA Notes
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
(6/2) RB Henry returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?

UTSA Highlights
UTSA has Really Good Running Game (#17)
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA has a great TO Margin (#1)
UTSA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)
UTSA has a bad red zone defense (#135)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTA&MUTSA
OverallOver#26#88
OffenseOff#37#77
DefenseDef#41#101
Special TeamsST#5#111
PassingPass#76#42
RushingRush#67#33
Run BlockRBLK#42#106
Pass BlockPBLK#12#88
Route RunningWR Rt#13#70
TacklingTkl#105#104
Run DefenseR Def#50#94
Pass Rush DefPRush#34#97
Coverage DefCov#39#94

Rematch from Week 1
Texas A&M -21.5 (56.5)
Texas A&M won vs UTSA this year (42-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | TA&M
Depth Chart: UTSA | TA&M
Rosters: UTSA | TA&M
(#10) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32
Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.35 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas A&M Notes
(7/27) DL dominated OL in spring? Good or bad sign?
(7/27) Run game has top 3 potential. Off could explode
(7/25) QB Reed led SEC in Fr QBR, but must elevate
(7/17) OL returns 5/5. PFF grades top 5, go 7 deep
(7/17) More I learn, the more I like this A&M team
(6/6) WR added Concepcion +3 others, PFF top 10 unit
(5/21) Elko says RB Moss is full go for fall camp
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp & all of it returning/no portal
(4/4) LB Taurean York a top 10 LB via PFF
(4/4) A. Reed-Adams (G) a top IOL via PFF

Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M in Undefeated
Texas A&M is Undefeated at Home

Texas A&M offense is explosive (#30)
Texas A&M offense is good in red zone (#20)
Texas A&M Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas A&M has a good run defense (#25)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)

Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)
Texas A&M has a bad red zone defense (#116)


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown7111065%578605.3
Brandon Tennison22100%491024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry47480610.275
Will Henderson III239404.123
Owen McCown115705.222
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)133612.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin1816729.342
AJ Wilson (Tr)6151225.277
Houston Thomas98409.321
David Amador570014.022

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks212000
Jimmy Wyrick150000
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Brandon Tucker Jr.100010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Ozowalu54211
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Daemian Wimberly53100
Jonathan Jones43111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers70002
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Johnny Bowens III00011

Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed589959%869918.8
Miles O'Neill4757%1011114.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss3316845.121
Marcel Reed2514215.724
Rueben Owens158205.530
Jamarion Morrow43208.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Craver (Tr)20443422.286
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)13227317.545
Terry Bussey787112.434
Ashton Bethel-Roman468017.025

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Ratcliffe173003
Taurean York171000
Albert Regis151100
Will Lee III150002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell84301
Daymion Sanford82110
Albert Regis151100
Scooby Williams123110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Ratcliffe173003
Dezz Ricks20002
Will Lee III150002