Utah State at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at Texas A&M Aggies(#19)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:45 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -34.5 (57.5) (-20000)  Open: -29.5 | 55.5
Texas A&M 44 - Utah State: 22

 
Aggies (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 44 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
TA&M 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -38   (SP+ TA&M -25)

Projected Score: USU: 12 - TA&M: 50 (62)
TA&M Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%
USU Travel: 1153 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (3 - 0) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 42 - 29 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Utah State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah State vs UTEP-3.559.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 9/6 Utah State at Texas A&M+34.557.5L 22 - 44OY
Sat 9/13 Utah State vs Air Force+4.051.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 9/20 Utah State vs McNeese-11
Sat 9/27 Utah State at Vanderbilt+33.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah State at Hawai'i+6
Sat 10/18 Utah State vs San José State+1
Sat 10/25 Utah State at New Mexico+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Utah State vs Nevada-7
Sat 11/15 Utah State at UNLV+13.5
Sat 11/22 Utah State at Fresno State+9
Sat 11/29 Utah State vs Boise State+14.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-1
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-11
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-8
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-4.5
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri+3.5
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-13
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-46.5
Sat 11/29 Texas A&M at Texas+3.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#72 (.2)40% (101)3334% (121)2.49 (112)13045% (61)2315.31 (21)#94 (.18)47% (115)3050% (118)43% (91)5.38 (130)57.70.31.7
TA&M#32 (.33)46% (53)42.344% (74)3.25 (41)15848% (40)3235.35 (20)#69 (.13)35% (36)28.733% (25)37% (48)4.8 (116)63.30.70.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense3332239.8%5.310.3193601302313.947%53%34%45%19%.2
TA&M Defense328.72335.2%4.80.7 - - - - - 46%54%33%37%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense3304446.7%5.381.7 - - - - - 57%42%50%43%12%.18
TA&M Offense342.34345.9%5.350.7234811583234.847%53%44%48%7%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State326:0419.323%100%957.70.31.752029.7
Texas A&M329:0823.334%60%8.363.30.70.76.73131
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense347% (92)34% (121)33.3129.73.97 (38).18 (52)2.49 (112)50% (124)15% (131)1.56 (5)
TA&M Defense346% (41)33% (25) - - - - .14 (100)2.29 (28)63% (43)12% (38)1.5 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense357% (117)50% (118) - - - - .21 (113)2.9 (83)75% (80)7% (109)0.9 (61)
TA&M Offense347% (90)44% (74)33157.74.86 (49).17 (57)3.25 (41)55% (120)3% (3)0.92 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense353% (44)45% (61)17.327230.78.513.36 (34)0 (1).21 (86)1.4 (101)36% (120)28% (93).16 (107)4% (38)2 (60)
TA&M Defense354% (98)37% (48) - - - - - - 1 (87).13 (47)1.5 (67)40% (9)26% (49).17 (45)4% (107)2 (75)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense342% (20)43% (91) - - - - - - 4 (12).16 (54)1.2 (15)24% (130)20% (26)-.04 (16)5% (94)1.3 (4)
TA&M Offense353% (46)48% (40)20.735.7323.39.115.710 (7)2 (60).48 (27)1.7 (25)31% (79)28% (95).35 (64)3% (33)2.3 (24)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -15.70 #117
Utah State's Offense Rating: 8.15 #89
Utah State's Defense Rating: 23.85 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Utah State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Utah State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #68
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -15.70   Texas A&M: 25.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -9.3   Texas A&M: 16.0




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 44

Utah State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 50
Utah State 12


Total Points: 62

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 42.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Texas A&M44Utah State22Texas A&MTexas A&M -34.5Utah State57.5Over
200909/19Texas A&M38Utah State30Texas A&M
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M201 Overs
Utah State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#117) Utah State Info
Power Rating: -15.70 #117
Offense Rating: 8.15 #89
Defense Rating: 23.85 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Utah State has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Utah State Notes
(8/30) Def good vs UTEP, Run game meh, Barnes good
(8/1) 10 (of 29) portal adds from NM w/ Bronco
(8/1) WR 7 portal adds, no exp, TE room decent
(8/1) Def god awful LY. 13 portal adds, new DC
(8/1) Over bet watch, Off tempo + Def will be awful
(7/19) OL 2/5 back, good LY. Only 2 portal adds
(3/29) QB Barnes started early/late LY. Garcia (AZ) add
(3/29) RB rebuild Jacobs(NM), Davis(BYU), added
(3/29) New OC McGiven longtime OC, SJSU PGC LY
(3/22) New HC Mendenhall from NM (UVA/BYU)

Utah State Highlights
Utah State is Undefeated vs Spread

Utah State offense is explosive (#17)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State defense does not give up big plays (#12)
Utah State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Utah State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State offense is really bad (#101)
Utah State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#116)
Utah State run game is really bad (#121)
Utah State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTA&MUSU
OverallOver#26#57
OffenseOff#37#59
DefenseDef#41#60
Special TeamsST#5#103
PassingPass#76#33
RushingRush#67#90
Run BlockRBLK#42#70
Pass BlockPBLK#12#79
Route RunningWR Rt#13#43
TacklingTkl#105#70
Run DefenseR Def#50#61
Pass Rush DefPRush#34#99
Coverage DefCov#39#44

Rematch from Week 2
Texas A&M -34.5 (57.5)
Texas A&M won vs Utah State this year (44-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USU | TA&M
Depth Chart: USU | TA&M
Rosters: USU | TA&M
(#10) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32
Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.35 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Texas A&M has won 1 straight
Texas A&M has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas A&M Notes
(7/27) DL dominated OL in spring? Good or bad sign?
(7/27) Run game has top 3 potential. Off could explode
(7/25) QB Reed led SEC in Fr QBR, but must elevate
(7/17) OL returns 5/5. PFF grades top 5, go 7 deep
(7/17) More I learn, the more I like this A&M team
(6/6) WR added Concepcion +3 others, PFF top 10 unit
(5/21) Elko says RB Moss is full go for fall camp
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp & all of it returning/no portal
(4/4) LB Taurean York a top 10 LB via PFF
(4/4) A. Reed-Adams (G) a top IOL via PFF

Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M in Undefeated
Texas A&M is Undefeated at Home

Texas A&M offense is explosive (#30)
Texas A&M offense is good in red zone (#20)
Texas A&M Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas A&M has a good run defense (#25)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)

Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)
Texas A&M has a bad red zone defense (#116)


  
Utah State's OC Kevin McGiven
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Barnes518064%689508.6
Anthony Garcia (Tr)11100%3103.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Miles Davis (Tr)3119216.258
Javen Jacobs (Tr)2111515.552
Bryson Barnes466941.518
Anthony Garcia (Tr)117117.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braden Pegan (Tr)14208314.954
Brady Boyd (Tr)13190014.624
Miles Davis (Tr)97027.830
Javen Jacobs (Tr)75507.918

View Utah State's Full Roster
Utah State's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Miller335430
Noah Avinger (Tr)260000
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)230003
William Holmes192020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Miller335430
Bronson Olevao183211
Tyree Morris (Tr)152100
Mataira Brown40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)230003
Carl Nesmith40001
Dylan Tucker (Tr)100001

Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed589959%869918.8
Miles O'Neill4757%1011114.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss3316845.121
Marcel Reed2514215.724
Rueben Owens158205.530
Jamarion Morrow43208.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Craver (Tr)20443422.286
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)13227317.545
Terry Bussey787112.434
Ashton Bethel-Roman468017.025

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Ratcliffe173003
Taurean York171000
Albert Regis151100
Will Lee III150002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell84301
Daymion Sanford82110
Albert Regis151100
Scooby Williams123110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Ratcliffe173003
Dezz Ricks20002
Will Lee III150002