Utah State at Texas A&M Game Matchup
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at Texas A&M AggiesTexas A&M logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kyle Field - College Station, TX

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#120)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
TA&M 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -40.5   (SP+ TA&M -32)

Projected Score: USU: 10 - TA&M: 50 (61)
TA&M Win prob: 100% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 1153 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#24)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Utah State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Utah State vs UTEP-3.50.0
Sat 9/6 Utah State at Texas A&M+40.5
Sat 9/13 Utah State vs Air Force+1.5
Sat 9/20 Utah State vs McNeese-7.5
Sat 9/27 Utah State at Vanderbilt+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah State at Hawai'i+7
Sat 10/18 Utah State vs San José State+8.5
Sat 10/25 Utah State at New Mexico+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Utah State vs Nevada-4
Sat 11/15 Utah State at UNLV+13
Sat 11/22 Utah State at Fresno State+12
Sat 11/29 Utah State vs Boise State+23

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.00.0
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-40.5
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-7.5
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-23
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-5
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-10
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-8.5
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-45.5
Sat 11/29 Texas A&M at Texas+9

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)31.948% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)37.848% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)30.446% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)22.240% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1231.925.245.6%4.421.8234681992695.746%54%48%44%16%.24
TA&M Defense1322.215.138.1%3.031.3 - - - - - 47%53%40%37%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1237.845.247.4%4.441.3 - - - - - 51%49%48%48%15%.27
TA&M Offense1330.430.744.8%3.631203721851884.957%43%46%43%12%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1227:1922.540%50%7.873.81.81.362.3128.1
Texas A&M1329:1319.645%41%6.960.711.36.61.8238.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1246% (102)48% (24)35.1199.35.721 (59).26 (13)3.41 (12)65% (117)8% (39)1.11 (18)
TA&M Defense1347% (35)40% (38) - - - - .1 (60)2.55 (10)77% (89)11% (46)1.11 (117)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1251% (69)48% (112) - - - - .25 (124)3.45 (128)76% (85)10% (70)0.96 (56)
TA&M Offense1357% (21)46% (38)37.8184.54.926 (36).19 (37)3.29 (27)73% (68)7% (12)0.97 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1254% (36)44% (37)24.538.2269.17.11129 (12)17 (127).25 (69)1.5 (118)29% (30)33% (54).4 (38)8% (124)2.1 (31)
TA&M Defense1353% (105)37% (22) - - - - - - 13 (31).22 (62)1.8 (131)36% (11)30% (69).37 (94)8% (2)2.3 (131)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1249% (64)48% (123) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (106)1.5 (30)27% (129)32% (97).32 (75)5% (99)1.8 (21)
TA&M Offense1343% (112)43% (58)14.624.5187.87.712.916 (87)9 (48).25 (70)1.6 (72)30% (48)34% (43).35 (61)5% (28)1.9 (112)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -16.72 #114
Utah State's Offense Rating: 9.08 #99
Utah State's Defense Rating: 25.80 #122
2025 Talent Rating: 480.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Utah State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Utah State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -16.72   Texas A&M: 24.625

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -14.8   Texas A&M: 17.2




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 24.625 #9
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 26.08 #11
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -0.97 #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1016.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 55 #7
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #18
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 50
Utah State 10


Projected Total Points: 61
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200909/19Texas A&M38Utah State30Texas A&M
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M100 Overs
Utah State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#114) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -16.72 #114
Offense Rating: 9.08 #99
Defense Rating: 25.80 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #132
Talent Rating: 480.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Utah State Notes
(3/29) QB Barnes started early/late LY. Garcia (AZ) add
(3/29) RB rebuild Jacobs(NM), Davis(BYU), added
(3/29) WR 6 portal adds, Hestera exp. TE Sterzer OK
(3/29) OL 2/5 back, good LY. Only 1 portal add
(3/29) Def god awful LY. 8 portal adds, new DC
(3/29) New OC McGiven longtime OC, SJSU PGC LY
(3/22) New HC Mendenhall from NM (UVA/BYU)
(3/22) 7 (of 21) portal adds from NM w/ Bronco
Utah State     Ratings Matchup     Texas A&M
Power #114
#9
Off #99
#11
Def #122
#4
Talent #112
#10
SP+ #117
#15
SP+ Off #88
#18
SP+ Def #132
#18

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USU | TA&M
Depth Chart: USU | TA&M
Rosters: USU | TA&M
(#9) Texas A&M Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 24.625 #9
Offense Rating: 26.08 #11
Defense Rating: -0.97 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18
Talent Rating: 1016.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 55 #7
Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great Field Position


Texas A&M Notes
(5/21) Elko says RB Moss is full go for fall camp
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp & all of it returning/no portal
(4/30) WR should be better, Concepcion +3 portals
(4/30) DL dominated OL in spring, allowed no run game
(4/4) LB Taurean York a top 10 LB via PFF
(4/4) A. Reed-Adams (G) a top IOL via PFF
(3/20) WR Bussey a big croot, came on late (was CB)
(3/20) QB Reed decent, but need more in '25
(3/20) RBs should be loaded w/ Daniels/Moss/Owens
(3/19) Def v good, new pass rush needed. Top unit


  
Utah State's OC Kevin McGiven
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Barnes7712661%8561266.8
Jacob Conover2450%22005.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Barnes6853057.863
Javen Jacobs (Tr)4027736.950
Derrick Jameson1514029.372
Miles Davis (Tr)187604.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Sterzer20202410.137
Broc Lane19197210.426
Javen Jacobs (Tr)1713017.633
Miles Davis (Tr)568113.626

View Utah State's Full Roster
Utah State's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Ike Larsen802009
Bryson Taylor (Tr)5620010
John Miller526242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bronson Olevao234430
John Miller526242
William Holmes62210
Isaiah Bruce192102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Taylor (Tr)5620010
Ike Larsen802009
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005

Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed14724061%18641567.8
Jacob Zeno (Tr)8211870%819656.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss121765106.375
Amari Daniels13966184.871
Marcel Reed11654774.731
E.J. Smith5420703.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)5345968.742
Mario Craver (Tr)17368321.672
Terry Bussey17216012.733
Theo Melin Ohrstrom10184218.430

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York8310324
Dalton Brooks596132
Marcus Ratcliffe484010
Scooby Williams438024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell409487
T.J. Searcy (Tr)344310
Taurean York8310324
Dayon Hayes (Tr)164200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III4210010
Cashius Howell409487
Jordan Shaw (Tr)374016