Texas A&M at LSU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo Texas A&M Aggies at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -1.5 (50.5) (-122)  Open: -5.5
Texas A&M 49 - LSU: 25  (SEC)

 
Aggies (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 1.4 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Predicted
TA&M 2nd straight Road Game
TA&M is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -8  (SP+ TA&M -10.5)

Projected Score: TA&M: 30 - LSU: 22 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
TA&M Travel: 307 miles
Tigers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 5.3 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-6.551.5W 16 - 10UN
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-17.557.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-7.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-7.557.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU-1.550.5W 49 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7.048.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-16.549.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-54.559.5W 48 - 0UN
Fri 11/28 Texas A&M at Texas-2.554.5L 17 - 27UN
Sat 12/20 Texas A&M vs Miami-3.048.5L 3 - 10UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 LSU at Clemson+3.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-36.549.5W 23 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-5.547.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-49.060.0W 56 - 10ON
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss+2.557.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-8.544.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt+1.548.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M+1.550.5L 25 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+10.549.5L 9 - 20UN
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-4.058.5W 23 - 22UN
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-24.552.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma+11.536.5L 13 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 LSU vs Houston+1.543.5L 35 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)33.846% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)2140% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)22.842% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)19.841% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1333.83844.8%3.631203721851884.957%43%46%43%12%.21
LSU Defense1319.816.941.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense132130.238.1%3.031.3 - - - - - 47%53%40%37%20%.16
LSU Offense1322.825.744.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1329:1319.645%41%6.960.711.36.61.8238.6
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1357% (21)46% (38)37.8184.54.926 (36).19 (37)3.29 (27)73% (68)7% (12)0.97 (66)
LSU Defense1351% (67)41% (54) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (55)84% (125)12% (29)1.23 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1347% (35)40% (38) - - - - .1 (60)2.55 (10)77% (89)11% (46)1.11 (117)
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (89)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (79)2.92 (90)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1343% (112)43% (58)14.624.5187.87.712.916 (87)9 (48).25 (70)1.6 (72)30% (48)34% (43).35 (61)5% (28)1.9 (112)
LSU Defense1349% (69)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (75)1.6 (68)35% (28)31% (76).36 (93)7% (41)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1353% (105)37% (22) - - - - - - 13 (31).22 (62)1.8 (131)36% (11)30% (69).37 (94)8% (2)2.3 (131)
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (24)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (96)33% (89)37% (16).42 (28)7% (97)2 (84)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 26.00  #5
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 26.80  #5
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.80  #11
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65%  #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 1.4
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7  #9
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #11
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4  #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 26.00   LSU: 15.39

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 20.7   LSU: 10.3




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.39  #20
LSU's Offense Rating: 14.53  #60
LSU's Defense Rating: -0.95  #8
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71  #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 5.3
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #32
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #75
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 30
LSU 22


Projected Total Points: 51
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25LSU25Texas A&M49Texas A&M -1.5Texas A&M50.5Over
202410/26Texas A&M38LSU23Texas A&M -2Texas A&M54.5Over
202311/25LSU42Texas A&M30LSU -10.5LSU67.5Over
202211/26Texas A&M38LSU23LSU -10Texas A&M47.5Over
202111/27LSU27Texas A&M24Texas A&M -6LSU47.0Over
202011/28Texas A&M20LSU7Texas A&M -16LSU60.5Under
201911/30LSU50Texas A&M7LSU -17LSU63.0Under
201811/24Texas A&M74LSU72Texas A&M -3LSU46.5Over
201711/25LSU45Texas A&M21LSU -11LSU50.5Over
201611/24Texas A&M39LSU54LSU -4LSU48.5Over
201511/28LSU19Texas A&M7LSU -4LSU55.0Under
201411/27Texas A&M17LSU23LSU -2LSU0
201311/23LSU34Texas A&M10LSU -4LSU0
201210/20Texas A&M19LSU24
201001/07Texas A&M24LSU41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU10108 Overs
Texas A&M533 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 58 - 56 - 22 - 3
Road Teams5 - 105 - 83 - 22 - 6

(#5) TA&M at (#20) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MLSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #5 #20
SP+SP+ #9 #32
Perf GradeGrade #25 #63
OffenseOff #48 #96
DefenseDef #17 #30
Spec TeamsST #17 #65
TalentTal #11 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #4
Texas A&M Notes
(12/15) Hired Holmon Wiggins as OC, coached WR '24-'25
(12/12) Hired DC Lyle Memphill to replace Jay Bateman at DC
(11/28) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out for Texas, still unable to play
(11/15) WR3 Bethel-Roman non-contact inj vs S.Car
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
Texas A&M Injury Report
LSU Notes
(12/6) DC Blake Baker will stay on under Kiffin
(12/1) Hired Lane Kiffin, Weis will be OC, more to come
(11/26) Nussmeier doubtful vs OU, Van Buren gets 3rd start
(10/27) OC Joe Sloan fired, Alex Atkins (TE/RGC) int.
(10/26) Brian Kelly fired, AHS Frank Wilson interim
(10/25) OTs exposed vs A&M. 2 straight L's, Off sucks
(10/24) Have real issues at LT. May play BU C Chester, woof
(10/22) LB Whit Weeks out for A&M game (ankle)
(10/20) LT Tyree Adams out multiple games (A&M/Bama)
(10/18) Def was bad vs Vandy, Run Off bad, Nuss had no time
(10/18) Kelly now 11-11 on the road after Vandy loss.
(10/12) Cannot score +20 pts vs FBS teams, Def really good
LSU Injury Report
Texas A&M on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #48 #30
SuccessSuc #41 #60
ExplosiveExp #106 #118
PPAPPA #54 #92
PowerPwr #5 #8
SP+SP+ #11 #11
Pts POPPO #93 #30
HavocHav #13 #30
Texas A&M Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #45 #39
Run SuccessRSuc #38 #54
Run ExplRExp #66 #132
PPAExp #37 #97
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLY #27 #55
Stuff RateStuff #29 #50
TackleTak -  #72
Texas A&M Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #92 #21
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #73
Pass ExplPExl #72 #68
PPAExp #70 #75
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #27 #78
F7 HavocF7 #12 #29
DB HavocDB #28 #41
LSU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffTA&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #96 #17
SuccessSuc #38 #23
ExplosiveExp #57 #131
PPAPPA #30 #67
PowerPwr #60 #11
SP+SP+ #75 #14
Pts POPPO #60 #9
HavocHav #26 #17
LSU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #118 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #89 #38
Run ExplRExp #103 #117
PPAExp #79 #60
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLY #90 #10
Stuff RateStuff #52 #8
TackleTak -  #85
LSU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatLSU OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #30 #24
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #22
Pass ExplPExl #96 #131
PPAExp #37 #62
Pass Block/RushP Blk #71 #14
F7 HavocF7 #5 #46
DB HavocDB #97 #2
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 70° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.039
Rematch from Week 9
Texas A&M 1.5 (50.5)
Texas A&M won at LSU this year (49-25)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat LSU last year (49-25)
Texas A&M beat LSU in 2024 (38-23)
LSU beat Texas A&M in 2023 (42-30)

  
TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed23437762%316925128.4
Miles O'Neill71450%120128.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rueben Owens11963955.457
Marcel Reed10449364.746
Le'Veon Moss7740465.238
Amari Daniels4121615.341
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)61919915.148
Mario Craver (Tr)58911415.786
Ashton Bethel-Roman24503521.076
Nate Boerkircher (Tr)20204310.228

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York727153
Marcus Ratcliffe663023
Dalton Brooks616331
Daymion Sanford5710432
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell32151356
Daymion Sanford5710432
Dayon Hayes (Tr)174461
Dalton Brooks616331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III502107
Cashius Howell32151356
Dezz Ricks261005

LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier19428867%19271256.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)9415162%1010826.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham11150534.551
Harlem Berry10449124.743
Ju'Juan Johnson4115523.856
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)4812912.735
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Barion Brown (Tr)53532110.041
Zavion Thomas41488411.962
Trey'Dez Green33433713.142
Aaron Anderson33398012.139

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davhon Keys894162
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)881004
West Weeks768311
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)702012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harold Perkins558462
West Weeks768311
DJ Pickett353203
Damien Shanklin22200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mansoor Delane (Tr)4500111
P.J. Woodland382128
Patrick Payton (Tr)335126