Texas A&M at Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo (#3)Texas A&M Aggies at Texas Longhorns(#16)Texas logo
Friday, November 28th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Texas A&M -2.5 (54.5) (-142)  Open: -2.5
Texas 27 - Texas A&M: 17  (SEC)

 
Aggies (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 1.4 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 16.2 MPH
TEX 2nd straight Home Game
TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -5.5  (SP+ TA&M -7)

Projected Score: TA&M: 32 - TEX: 27 (59)
TA&M Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 86 miles
Longhorns (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-6.551.5W 16 - 10UN
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-17.557.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-7.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-7.557.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU-1.550.5W 49 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7.048.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-16.549.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-54.559.5W 48 - 0UN
Fri 11/28 Texas A&M at Texas-2.554.5L 17 - 27UN
Sat 12/20 Texas A&M vs Miami-3.048.5L 3 - 10UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-39.551.5W 55 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4.542.5L 21 - 29ON
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-2.544.5W 23 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.545.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-8.548.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-3.548.5W 34 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+3.550.5L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-10.557.5W 52 - 37OY
Fri 11/28 Texas vs Texas A&M+2.554.5W 27 - 17UY
Wed 12/31 Texas vs Michigan-7.050.0W 41 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#29 (.24)46% (28)33.847% (36)3.16 (31)18546% (27)2604.14 (35)#56 (.13)34% (6)2136% (10)33% (5)3.91 (96)60.71.50.8
TEX#77 (.16)40% (102)30.542% (90)2.83 (87)12039% (102)2343.4 (97)#44 (.11)40% (47)20.338% (25)41% (63)3.82 (85)61.80.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1333.83846.1%4.141.5234451852604.952%47%47%46%11%.24
TEX Defense1320.31739.8%3.821.5 - - - - - 44%55%38%41%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense132130.234.1%3.910.8 - - - - - 46%52%36%33%21%.13
TEX Offense1330.538.839.9%3.40.617354120234447%51%42%39%16%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1332:3022.541%71%7.260.71.50.88.53.3232.5
Texas1326:2517.240%47%7.461.80.61.55.72.8231.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1352% (50)47% (36)38.11854.928 (36).16 (46)3.16 (31)75% (49)6% (1)0.93 (83)
TEX Defense1344% (11)38% (25) - - - - -.02 (11)2.59 (15)50% (2)11% (20)0.82 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1346% (25)36% (10) - - - - .15 (96)2.67 (25)75% (99)16% (3)1.29 (136)
TEX Offense1347% (92)42% (90)30119.9414 (88).06 (97)2.83 (87)67% (102)10% (94)0.88 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1347% (83)46% (27)19.131.4259.88.313.626 (22)14 (60).38 (26)1.5 (66)29% (30)29% (83).28 (74)5% (39)2 (71)
TEX Defense1355% (127)41% (63) - - - - - - 13 (12).24 (66)1.5 (37)32% (57)29% (70).27 (64)7% (41)1.8 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1352% (116)33% (5) - - - - - - 3 (123).1 (15)1.6 (92)39% (2)23% (6).22 (37)6% (76)2.3 (132)
TEX Offense1351% (45)39% (102)18.229.7233.77.912.826 (50)7 (60).28 (56)1.8 (10)33% (93)32% (53).4 (32)6% (59)2.2 (19)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 27.74  #7
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 27.53  #6
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -6.20  #11
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65%  #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 1.4
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8  #8
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #8
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 27.74   Texas: 19.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 21.8   Texas: 14.8




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 19.445  #19
Texas's Offense Rating: 16.15  #33
Texas's Defense Rating: -2.94  #22
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #22
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #38
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 32
Texas 27


Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas A&M 39
Texas 29

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Texas 30
Texas A&M 27

Total Points: 57
Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Texas27Texas A&M17Texas A&M -2.5Texas54.5Under
202411/30Texas A&M7Texas17Texas -4.5Texas49.5Under
201111/24Texas A&M25Texas27
201011/25Texas17Texas A&M24
200911/26Texas A&M39Texas49
200811/27Texas49Texas A&M9
200711/23Texas A&M38Texas30
200611/24Texas7Texas A&M12
200511/25Texas A&M29Texas40
200411/26Texas26Texas A&M13
200311/28Texas A&M15Texas46
200111/23Texas A&M7Texas21
200011/23Texas43Texas A&M17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas1020 Overs
Texas A&M302 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 81 - 10 - 01 - 1
Road Teams8 - 51 - 11 - 10 - 0

(#7) TA&M at (#19) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MTEX
Power RatePwr #7 #19
SP+SP+ #8 #22
Perf GradeGrade #17 #14
OffenseOff #42 #30
DefenseDef #18 #22
Spec TeamsST #13 #42
TalentTal #11 #5
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #6
Texas A&M Notes
(12/15) Hired Holmon Wiggins as OC, coached WR '24-'25
(12/12) Hired DC Lyle Memphill to replace Jay Bateman at DC
(11/28) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out for Texas, still unable to play
(11/15) WR3 Bethel-Roman non-contact inj vs S.Car
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
Texas A&M Injury Report
Texas Notes
(12/18) DC Pete Kwiatkowski fired, Will Muschamp hired
(11/2) Manning getting hot, Run Off awful. Big W vs Vandy
(10/31) QB1 Manning will start vs Vandy, was ?
(10/25) Ryan Niblett best PR in CFB, saving Horns season
(10/18) Off only 179 yds in UK win, OG'd by 200+, lucky W
(10/14) RB2 Jerrick Gibson no longer w/ program
(10/9) RB1 CJ Baxter doubtful for OU game
(10/5) The Run Off is horrific & Arch looks lost. Bad vibes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
Texas Injury Report
Texas A&M on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffTEX Def
Perf GradePerf #42 #22
SuccessSuc #28 #47
ExplosiveExp #82 #27
PPAPPA #29 #44
PowerPwr #6 #22
SP+SP+ #8 #17
Pts POPPO #35 #85
HavocHav #7 #25
Texas A&M Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #47 #13
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #25
Run ExplRExp #83 #9
PPAExp #46 #11
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #31 #15
Stuff RateStuff #30 #30
TackleTak -  #18
Texas A&M Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #82 #50
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #63
Pass ExplPExl #66 #37
PPAExp #26 #66
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #24 #8
F7 HavocF7 #1 #20
DB HavocDB #39 #41
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffTA&M Def
Perf GradePerf #30 #18
SuccessSuc #102 #6
ExplosiveExp #16 #135
PPAPPA #77 #56
PowerPwr #33 #11
SP+SP+ #38 #21
Pts POPPO #97 #96
HavocHav #73 #4
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #78 #31
Run SuccessRSuc #90 #10
Run ExplRExp #106 #136
PPAExp #97 #96
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #87 #25
Stuff RateStuff #119 #41
TackleTak -  #82
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #20 #29
Pass SuccessPSuc #102 #5
Pass ExplPExl #10 #92
PPAExp #56 #15
Pass Block/RushP Blk #70 #14
F7 HavocF7 #94 #3
DB HavocDB #59 #76
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 63° - Wind: 16 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Texas A&M 2.5 (54.5)
Texas won vs Texas A&M this year (27-17)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Texas A&M last year (17-7)

  
TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed23437762%316925128.4
Miles O'Neill71450%120128.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rueben Owens11963955.457
Marcel Reed10449364.746
Le'Veon Moss7740465.238
Amari Daniels4121615.341
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)61919915.148
Mario Craver (Tr)58911415.786
Ashton Bethel-Roman24503521.076
Nate Boerkircher (Tr)20204310.228

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York727153
Marcus Ratcliffe663023
Dalton Brooks616331
Daymion Sanford5710432
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell32151356
Daymion Sanford5710432
Dayon Hayes (Tr)174461
Dalton Brooks616331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III502107
Cashius Howell32151356
Dezz Ricks261005

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning22737061%29422478.0
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)81173%85107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner13159734.648
Arch Manning8324482.936
CJ Baxter Jr.5419603.618
Jerrick Gibson3715214.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo50770715.475
DeAndre Moore Jr.38532414.046
Parker Livingstone26491618.983
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)23357315.540

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jelani McDonald734013
Michael Taaffe701101
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Liona Lefau682003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons411411152
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Brad Spence (Tr)185320
Trey Moore345363
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kade Phillips140005
Graceson Littleton403005
Malik Muhammad303114