Auburn at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies(#9)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -6.5 (51.5) (-238)  Open: -6.5
Texas A&M 16 - Auburn: 10  (SEC)

 
Tigers (3 - 3) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#67)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
AUB 2nd straight Road Game
TA&M coming off BYE
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -9.5  (SP+ TA&M -9)

Projected Score: AUB: 21 - TA&M: 30 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
AUB Travel: 653 miles
Aggies (6 - 0) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (33 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas-8
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-19
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-43.5
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+3.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-6.551.5W 16 - 10UN
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-17.557.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-7.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-7.561.5
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri+2
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.5
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-50.5
Fri 11/28 Texas A&M at Texas+0

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#86 (.16)43% (71)24.748% (39)3.01 (67)16438% (111)1674.7 (25)#31 (.07)36% (17)1728% (1)43% (88)3.24 (29)74.70.30.8
TA&M#35 (.27)46% (39)34.745% (59)3.09 (54)19449% (26)2654.57 (33)#33 (.08)34% (10)20.332% (10)35% (20)4.64 (124)67.50.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense624.721.743%4.70.3193321641674.551%48%48%38%16%.16
TA&M Defense620.316.433.9%4.641 - - - - - 44%56%32%35%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense61721.335.8%3.240.8 - - - - - 48%52%28%43%17%.07
TA&M Offense634.733.446.5%4.570.8224591942654.956%44%45%49%8%.27

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn630:2819.337%54%9.274.70.30.87.33126.5
Texas A&M632:1522.338%50%8.367.50.817.83.5131.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense651% (65)48% (39)36.5164.34.513 (35).24 (22)3.01 (67)89% (7)11% (102)1 (54)
TA&M Defense644% (21)32% (10) - - - - .04 (38)2.29 (8)69% (59)15% (3)1.15 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense648% (51)28% (1) - - - - -.15 (2)1.83 (1)70% (65)13% (22)0.92 (52)
TA&M Offense656% (29)45% (59)401944.912 (48).12 (71)3.09 (54)70% (87)5% (1)0.82 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense648% (73)38% (111)1828.5167.25.99.35 (116)0 (1).09 (123)1.2 (134)29% (40)21% (131).09 (128)5% (42)1.8 (113)
TA&M Defense656% (118)35% (20) - - - - - - 2 (114).11 (29)1.4 (32)39% (4)19% (4).05 (8)6% (69)2 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense652% (87)43% (88) - - - - - - 2 (114).29 (89)1.6 (83)35% (26)25% (27).21 (41)4% (127)2.2 (111)
TA&M Offense644% (107)49% (26)17.729.7265.28.91513 (27)5 (77).46 (21)1.6 (33)29% (34)23% (126).23 (101)4% (22)2.2 (29)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 26.71  #18
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.56  #47
Auburn's Defense Rating: -10.15  #6
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52%  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #27
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #62
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 26.71   Texas A&M: 29.61

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 13.4   Texas A&M: 22.2




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 29.61  #4
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 28.34  #10
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -5.75  #12
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.2  #5
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #11
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 17 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 30
Auburn 21


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 27
Texas A&M 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Texas A&M 27
Auburn 21

Total Points: 48
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.4
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Texas A&M16Auburn10Texas A&M -6.5Auburn51.5Under
202411/23Auburn43Texas A&M41Texas A&M -2.5Auburn47.0Over
202309/23Texas A&M27Auburn10Texas A&M -9.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202211/12Auburn13Texas A&M10Auburn -1.5Auburn48.0Under
202111/06Texas A&M20Auburn3Texas A&M -4.5Texas A&M49.5Under
202012/05Auburn20Texas A&M31Texas A&M -6.0Texas A&M49.0Over
201909/21Texas A&M20Auburn28Texas A&M -4Auburn48.5Under
201811/03Auburn28Texas A&M24Auburn -3.5Auburn47.0Over
201711/04Texas A&M27Auburn42Auburn -15NA51.5Over
201609/17Auburn16Texas A&M29Auburn -4Texas A&M55.5Under
201511/07Texas A&M10Auburn26Texas A&M -8.5Auburn58.5Under
201411/08Auburn38Texas A&M41Auburn -14.5Texas A&M0
201310/19Texas A&M41Auburn45Texas A&M -12Auburn0
201210/27Auburn21Texas A&M63
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M754 Overs
Auburn777 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 85 - 74 - 61 - 1
Road Teams8 - 67 - 51 - 16 - 4

(#18) AUB at (#4) TA&M
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBTA&M
Power RatePwr #18 #4
SP+SP+ #27 #5
Perf GradeGrade #95 #25
OffenseOff #94 #41
DefenseDef #90 #22
Spec TeamsST #131 #16
TalentTal #12 #11
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #6

Auburn Notes
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
(10/12) Freeze 5-14 in SEC games, 2-7 at home
(10/9) 59 car, 119 yds, 23 penalites, 154 yards in past 2
(9/27) OL penalized a lot, AU avgs 8.5 penalties per game
(9/24) WR H Fields out for the season (broken foot)
(9/20) Arnold bad vs OU, Run Off worse. Def fought
(9/18) Starting CB Jay Crawford doubtful for OU
(9/4) RB Damari Alston out week two (shoulder)
(8/29) Arnold much better, run off great, pass D awful
(7/16) WR2 (LY) Simmons arrested on serious charges
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, plus portal adds. PFF top 10 unit

Texas A&M Notes
(10/15) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out significant time (ankle)
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
(9/27) Beat ND with Off, beat Auburn with Def. Great start
(8/25) QB2 Fr. O'Neill beat out J Zeno for backup job
(7/27) DL dominated OL in spring? Good or bad sign?
(7/27) Run game has top 3 potential. Off could explode
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Perf GradePerf #94 #22
SuccessSuc #71 #10
ExplosiveExp #132 #102
PPAPPA #86 #33
PowerPwr #47 #12
SP+SP+ #62 #11
Pts POPPO #25 #124
HavocHav #77 #10
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #44 #31
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #10
Run ExplRExp #54 #119
PPAExp #22 #38
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLY #67 #8
Stuff RateStuff #32 #73
TackleTak -  #122
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #130 #38
Pass SuccessPSuc #111 #20
Pass ExplPExl #134 #32
PPAExp #123 #29
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #67 #18
F7 HavocF7 #102 #3
DB HavocDB #42 #69
Texas A&M on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatTA&M OffAUB Def
Perf GradePerf #41 #90
SuccessSuc #39 #17
ExplosiveExp #100 #107
PPAPPA #35 #31
PowerPwr #10 #6
SP+SP+ #11 #9
Pts POPPO #33 #29
HavocHav #1 #54
Texas A&M Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #89 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #59 #1
Run ExplRExp #118 #52
PPAExp #71 #2
Run BlockR Blk #65 -
OL YdsOLY #54 #1
Stuff RateStuff #31 #1
TackleTak -  #88
Texas A&M Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatTA&M OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #61 #135
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #88
Pass ExplPExl #33 #83
PPAExp #21 #89
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7 #62
F7 HavocF7 #1 #22
DB HavocDB #22 #127
Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 89° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 5
Texas A&M -6.5 (51.5)
Texas A&M won vs Auburn this year (16-10)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Texas A&M last year (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2022 (13-10)

  
AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)10616564%983506.0
Deuce Knight2540%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb7045346.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)8324763.027
Damari Alston3212814.015
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman24305212.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)3027929.337
Horatio Fields (Tr)1210618.814
Malcolm Simmons1210208.526

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Robert Woodyard Jr.273230
Keyron Crawford227420
Kaleb Harris191001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford227420
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Keldric Faulk113243
Robert Woodyard Jr.273230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk113243
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Demarcus Riddick111101

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed10217060%14901248.8
Miles O'Neill4757%1011114.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss7038965.638
Rueben Owens5632715.837
Marcel Reed4518634.124
Amari Daniels278303.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Craver (Tr)32634419.886
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)28447516.045
Terry Bussey9110112.234
Ashton Bethel-Roman586017.225

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York394131
Marcus Ratcliffe333003
Daymion Sanford276321
Albert Regis262212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell149823
Daymion Sanford276321
Albert Regis262212
Dayon Hayes (Tr)113230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell149823
Marcus Ratcliffe333003
Dezz Ricks90003