Auburn at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Texas A&M AggiesTexas A&M logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kyle Field - College Station, TX  (SEC)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#37)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
AUB 2nd straight Road Game
TA&M coming off BYE
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -7.5   (SP+ TA&M -5)
Projected Score: AUB: 20 - TA&M: 27 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 653 miles
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#24)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-2.556.5
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-42
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-22.5
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+4.5
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+8
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri-6.5
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas-5
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-14.5
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-40.5
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+10.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.056.5
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-40
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-7.5
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-23
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-4.5
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-10
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-6.5
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-8.5
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-45.5
Sat 11/29 Texas A&M at Texas+9

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)27.848% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)21.338% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)30.446% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)22.240% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1227.81744.9%3.421.821430166264548%52%48%42%17%.24
TA&M Defense1322.215.138.1%3.031.3 - - - - - 47%53%40%37%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1221.322.537.8%3.351.1 - - - - - 53%47%38%38%15%.09
TA&M Offense1330.430.744.8%3.631203721851884.957%43%46%43%12%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1227:1320.941%47%5.849.31.81.15.72.3127.9
Texas A&M1329:1319.645%41%6.960.711.36.61.8238.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1248% (85)48% (21)33.4165.7513 (105).16 (55)3.32 (23)69% (95)10% (67)0.92 (89)
TA&M Defense1347% (35)40% (38) - - - - .1 (60)2.55 (10)77% (89)11% (46)1.11 (117)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1253% (98)38% (19) - - - - -.02 (7)2.49 (6)80% (108)10% (81)0.93 (44)
TA&M Offense1357% (21)46% (38)37.8184.54.926 (36).19 (37)3.29 (27)73% (68)7% (12)0.97 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1252% (47)42% (67)19.230.8263.98.613.827 (20)13 (103).31 (45)1.6 (39)31% (55)32% (69).41 (34)7% (113)1.9 (101)
TA&M Defense1353% (105)37% (22) - - - - - - 13 (31).22 (62)1.8 (131)36% (11)30% (69).37 (94)8% (2)2.3 (131)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1247% (42)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (93).22 (63)1.7 (104)35% (19)28% (34).21 (31)6% (77)2.1 (85)
TA&M Offense1343% (112)43% (58)14.624.5187.87.712.916 (87)9 (48).25 (70)1.6 (72)30% (48)34% (43).35 (61)5% (28)1.9 (112)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 22.23 #11
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.09 #16
Auburn's Defense Rating: 0.86 #10
2025 Talent Rating: 974.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46% #13
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #25
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #48
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 22.23   Texas A&M: 24.455

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.8   Texas A&M: 17.2




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 24.455 #9
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 25.84 #11
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -0.87 #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1006.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 55 #7
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #18
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 27
Auburn 20

Projected Total Points: 51
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Auburn43Texas A&M41AuburnTexas A&M -2.5Auburn47.0Over
202309/23Texas A&M27Auburn10Texas A&MTexas A&M -9.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202211/12Auburn13Texas A&M10AuburnAuburn -1.5Auburn48.0Under
202111/06Texas A&M20Auburn3Texas A&MTexas A&M -4.5Texas A&M49.5Under
202012/05Auburn20Texas A&M31Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.0Texas A&M49.0Over
201909/21Texas A&M20Auburn28AuburnTexas A&M -4Auburn48.5Under
201811/03Auburn28Texas A&M24AuburnAuburn -3.5Auburn47.0Over
201711/04Texas A&M27Auburn42AuburnAuburn -15NA51.5Over
201609/17Auburn16Texas A&M29Texas A&MAuburn -4Texas A&M55.5Under
201511/07Texas A&M10Auburn26AuburnTexas A&M -8.5Auburn58.5Under
201411/08Auburn38Texas A&M41Texas A&MAuburn -14.5Texas A&M0
201310/19Texas A&M41Auburn45AuburnTexas A&M -12Auburn0
201210/27Auburn21Texas A&M63Texas A&M
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M654 Overs
Auburn766 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 85 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams8 - 56 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#11) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.23 #11
Offense Rating: 23.09 #16
Defense Rating: 0.86 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18
Talent Rating: 974.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46% #13
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.42 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Auburn Notes
(5/23) DE Faulk a star, duo w/ Crawford top unit
(5/23) Aub was 1-3 in 1 score games LY (1-3 in '23)
(5/23) Safeties Harris & Smith a top duo in CFB
(5/11) SEC most exp'd line, 67% returning, 33% portals
(4/4) QB Arnold (OU) likely starter, Daniels/Knight #2?
(4/4) RB rebuild, D. Robinson (UConn) added, talent
(4/4) WR a top CFB Unit, Singleton (GT) big add
(4/4) Connor Lew (C) a top IOL via PFF
(3/28) This is a playoff roster if QB is competent
(3/18) TO's killed AU LY. Too many, little forced
Auburn     Ratings Matchup     Texas A&M
Power #11
#9
Off #16
#11
Def #10
#4
Talent #15
#10
SP+ #25
#15
SP+ Off #48
#18
SP+ Def #18
#18

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Texas A&M last year (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | TA&M
Depth Chart: AUB | TA&M
Rosters: AUB | TA&M
(#9) Texas A&M Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 24.455 #9
Offense Rating: 25.84 #11
Defense Rating: -0.87 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18
Talent Rating: 1006.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 55 #7
Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great Field Position


Texas A&M Notes
(6/6) DL dominated OL in spring, no runs allowed
(5/31) OL returns 5/5. PFF grades as a top 5 OL
(5/21) Elko says RB Moss is full go for fall camp
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp & all of it returning/no portal
(4/4) LB Taurean York a top 10 LB via PFF
(4/4) A. Reed-Adams (G) a top IOL via PFF
(3/20) WR Bussey a big croot, came on late (was CB)
(3/20) QB Reed decent, but need more in '25
(3/20) RBs should be loaded w/ Daniels/Moss/Owens
(3/19) Def v good, new pass rush needed. Top unit


  
Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels (Tr)17027163%170010126.3
Jackson Arnold (Tr)15424663%14211235.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Durell Robinson (Tr)10773186.868
Ashton Daniels (Tr)14866934.567
Jackson Arnold (Tr)15044433.047
Damari Alston5227635.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)56754313.557
Cam Coleman37598816.263
Horatio Fields (Tr)39463411.942
Malcolm Simmons40451311.357

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader (Tr)5300017
Dallas Walker IV (Tr)514010
Keldric Faulk4511771
Taye Seymore (Tr)453002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk4511771
Chris Murray (Tr)3412620
Caleb Wheatland (Tr)427442
Demarcus Riddick275321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader (Tr)5300017
Kayin Lee320007
Jay Crawford150007

Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed14724061%18641567.8
Jacob Zeno (Tr)8211870%819656.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss121765106.375
Amari Daniels13966184.871
Marcel Reed11654774.731
E.J. Smith5420703.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)5345968.742
Mario Craver (Tr)17368321.672
Terry Bussey17216012.733
Theo Melin Ohrstrom10184218.430

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York8310324
Dalton Brooks596132
Marcus Ratcliffe484010
Scooby Williams438024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell409487
T.J. Searcy (Tr)344310
Taurean York8310324
Dayon Hayes (Tr)164200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III4210010
Cashius Howell409487
Jordan Shaw (Tr)374016