Auburn at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies(#9)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -6.5 (51.5) (-238)  Open: -6.5
Texas A&M 16 - Auburn: 10  (SEC)

 
Tigers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
AUB 2nd straight Road Game
TA&M coming off BYE
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -12  (SP+ TA&M -10)

Projected Score: AUB: 20 - TA&M: 32 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
AUB Travel: 653 miles
Aggies (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 1.4 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas+2.555.5W 33 - 24OY
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-11.544.5L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+6.046.5L 38 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-26.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+6.548.5L 20 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-6.551.5W 16 - 10UN
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-17.557.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-7.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-7.557.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU-1.550.5W 49 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7.048.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-16.549.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-54.559.5W 48 - 0UN
Fri 11/28 Texas A&M at Texas-2.554.5L 17 - 27UN
Sat 12/20 Texas A&M vs Miami-3.048.5L 3 - 10UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#72 (.17)43% (56)26.847% (30)3.19 (23)17740% (90)1973.9 (51)#19 (.07)38% (26)20.733% (5)44% (99)3.37 (42)63.70.71.4
TA&M#29 (.24)46% (28)33.847% (35)3.16 (30)18546% (27)2604.14 (33)#55 (.13)34% (5)2136% (9)33% (5)3.91 (95)60.71.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1226.827.243.4%3.90.7213741771974.751%48%47%40%17%.17
TA&M Defense132115.334.1%3.910.8 - - - - - 46%52%36%33%21%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1220.726.638.3%3.371.4 - - - - - 48%51%33%44%17%.07
TA&M Offense1333.831.146.1%4.141.5234451852604.952%47%47%46%11%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1229:2520.839%52%7.863.70.71.46.62.6326.8
Texas A&M1332:3022.541%71%7.260.71.50.88.53.3232.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1251% (61)47% (30)37.8176.94.723 (36).24 (13)3.19 (23)80% (17)11% (116)1 (54)
TA&M Defense1346% (25)36% (9) - - - - .15 (96)2.67 (26)75% (97)16% (3)1.29 (136)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1248% (44)33% (5) - - - - -.11 (3)2.25 (4)70% (59)11% (20)0.89 (29)
TA&M Offense1352% (49)47% (35)38.11854.928 (36).16 (47)3.16 (30)75% (47)6% (1)0.93 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1248% (78)40% (90)18.430.2197.16.510.711 (121)4 (3).13 (120)1.3 (134)31% (61)27% (106).21 (105)6% (52)2 (87)
TA&M Defense1352% (118)33% (5) - - - - - - 3 (123).1 (13)1.6 (91)39% (2)23% (4).22 (34)6% (75)2.3 (132)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1251% (97)44% (99) - - - - - - 11 (75).27 (80)1.6 (81)32% (54)31% (90).3 (70)5% (90)2 (59)
TA&M Offense1347% (84)46% (27)19.131.4259.88.313.626 (22)14 (60).38 (26)1.5 (66)29% (30)29% (82).28 (75)5% (39)2 (67)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 16.68  #16
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.79  #48
Auburn's Defense Rating: 0.11  #10
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52%  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #58
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 16.68   Texas A&M: 26.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.9   Texas A&M: 21.8




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 26.4  #5
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 26.80  #5
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.80  #11
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 1.4
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8  #8
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #8
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 32
Auburn 20


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas A&M 26
Auburn 26

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Texas A&M 28
Auburn 23

Total Points: 51
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Texas A&M16Auburn10Texas A&M -6.5Auburn51.5Under
202411/23Auburn43Texas A&M41Texas A&M -2.5Auburn47.0Over
202309/23Texas A&M27Auburn10Texas A&M -9.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202211/12Auburn13Texas A&M10Auburn -1.5Auburn48.0Under
202111/06Texas A&M20Auburn3Texas A&M -4.5Texas A&M49.5Under
202012/05Auburn20Texas A&M31Texas A&M -6.0Texas A&M49.0Over
201909/21Texas A&M20Auburn28Texas A&M -4Auburn48.5Under
201811/03Auburn28Texas A&M24Auburn -3.5Auburn47.0Over
201711/04Texas A&M27Auburn42Auburn -15NA51.5Over
201609/17Auburn16Texas A&M29Auburn -4Texas A&M55.5Under
201511/07Texas A&M10Auburn26Texas A&M -8.5Auburn58.5Under
201411/08Auburn38Texas A&M41Auburn -14.5Texas A&M0
201310/19Texas A&M41Auburn45Texas A&M -12Auburn0
201210/27Auburn21Texas A&M63
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M754 Overs
Auburn777 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 85 - 74 - 61 - 1
Road Teams8 - 67 - 51 - 16 - 4

(#16) AUB at (#5) TA&M
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBTA&M
Net PPPPPP #51 #31
Power RatePwr #16 #5
SP+SP+ #29 #8
Perf GradeGrade #81 #25
OffenseOff #95 #48
DefenseDef #48 #17
Spec TeamsST #91 #17
TalentTal #12 #11
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #6
Auburn Notes
(12/2) DC D. J. Durkin will remain on Golesh staff in '26
(11/30) Hired Alex Golesh (S Florida, former Tenn OC).
(11/20) QB1 Fr Deuce Knight will start vs Mercer, Bama
(11/2) HC Hugh Freeze fired after UK loss
(11/1) Home L to UK w/ 241 total yds. Freeze done
(10/31) Ashton Daniels will start vs UK, Arnold benched
(10/25) WR Coleman & Singleton both hurt vs Ark
(10/24) QB1 battle in week 9, Arnold still the starter. Yikes
(10/23) Auburn on a 3-11 run vs P4 teams since '24
(10/22) K A McPherson bad, longest FG is 34 yards
(10/20) Top OL Center Connor Lew out for season (ACL)
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
Auburn Injury Report
Texas A&M Notes
(12/15) Hired Holmon Wiggins as OC, coached WR '24-'25
(12/12) Hired DC Lyle Memphill to replace Jay Bateman at DC
(11/28) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out for Texas, still unable to play
(11/15) WR3 Bethel-Roman non-contact inj vs S.Car
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
Texas A&M Injury Report
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
PPPOffPPP #83 #31
Perf GradePerf #95 #17
SuccessSuc #56 #5
ExplosiveExp #131 #135
PPAPPA #72 #55
PowerPwr #48 #11
SP+SP+ #58 #21
Pts POPPO #51 #95
HavocHav #99 #4
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #46 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #30 #9
Run ExplRExp #54 #136
PPAExp #13 #96
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #23 #26
Stuff RateStuff #20 #40
TackleTak -  #85
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #105 #24
Pass SuccessPSuc #90 #5
Pass ExplPExl #134 #91
PPAExp #120 #13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #74 #14
F7 HavocF7 #116 #3
DB HavocDB #52 #75
Texas A&M on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatTA&M OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPP #18 #54
Perf GradePerf #48 #48
SuccessSuc #28 #26
ExplosiveExp #81 #89
PPAPPA #29 #19
PowerPwr #5 #10
SP+SP+ #8 #15
Pts POPPO #33 #42
HavocHav #5 #50
Texas A&M Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #45 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #35 #5
Run ExplRExp #83 #29
PPAExp #47 #3
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLY #30 #4
Stuff RateStuff #28 #5
TackleTak -  #65
Texas A&M Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatTA&M OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #92 #115
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #99
Pass ExplPExl #66 #81
PPAExp #26 #80
Pass Block/RushP Blk #27 #46
F7 HavocF7 #1 #20
DB HavocDB #39 #90
Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 89° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 5
Texas A&M -6.5 (51.5)
Texas A&M won vs Auburn this year (16-10)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Texas A&M last year (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2022 (13-10)

  
AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6811957%797326.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb17596955.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6328024.426
Deuce Knight13178413.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman57725512.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)5853439.248
Malcolm Simmons25457218.391
Perry Thompson1715409.134

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Robert Woodyard Jr.677251
Kaleb Harris502101
Keyron Crawford36105100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Keyron Crawford36105100
Chris Murray (Tr)154410
Keldric Faulk275264
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk275264
Jay Crawford151004
Kayin Lee310004

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed23437762%316925128.4
Miles O'Neill71450%120128.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rueben Owens11963955.457
Marcel Reed10449364.746
Le'Veon Moss7740465.238
Amari Daniels4121615.341
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)61919915.148
Mario Craver (Tr)58911415.786
Ashton Bethel-Roman24503521.076
Nate Boerkircher (Tr)20204310.228

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York727153
Marcus Ratcliffe663023
Dalton Brooks616331
Daymion Sanford5710432
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell32151356
Daymion Sanford5710432
Dayon Hayes (Tr)174461
Dalton Brooks616331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III502107
Cashius Howell32151356
Dezz Ricks261005