Texas A&M at Oklahoma State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Texas A&M Aggies vs Oklahoma State Cowboys

Wednesday, December 27th 2023 (9:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma State -4.0 (56.0) (130) Open: -3.5 | 53.0
Oklahoma State 31 - Texas A&M: 23 (TaxAct Texas Bowl)

Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Texas A&M -12.5 (SP+ TA&M -9.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 34 - OKST: 21 (55)
OKST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 85 miles

Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
TA&M Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas A&M vs New Mexico	-37.5	48.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Texas A&M at Miami	-3.0	50.5	L 33 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/16	Texas A&M vs UL Monroe	-36.5	53.5	W 47 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-9.5	51.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas A&M vs Alabama	+2.5	45.0	L 20 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/14	Texas A&M at Tennessee	+3.0	54.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-17.0	51.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/4	Texas A&M at Ole Miss	+3.0	52.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-16.5	40.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian	-40.5	54.5	W 38 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/25	Texas A&M at LSU	+10.5	67.5	L 30 - 42	O	N
Wed 12/27	Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State	+4.0	56.0	L 23 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas	-25.5	59.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma State at Arizona State	-2.5	53.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma State vs South Alabama	-7.0	49.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+3.5	36.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+11.5	53.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	+3.0	54.0	W 39 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	+3.0	48.0	W 48 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	53.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	+6.0	61.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma State at UCF	-2.5	63.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma State at Houston	-6.5	56.5	W 43 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Oklahoma State vs BYU	-15.5	55.5	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/2	Oklahoma State vs Texas	+14.0	55.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Wed 12/27	Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	.14	40%	33.8	45%	3.03	142	36%	219	3.78	.12	40%	21	43%	35%	3.04	49.1	1.5	1.9
OKST	.14	40%	14.2	40%	2.86	126	40%	280	4.08	.2	40%	33.3	41%	39%	3.77	33.5	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Offense	12	33.8	38	40.1%	3.78	1.5	19	362	142	219	4.7	46%	54%	45%	36%	19%	.14
OKST Defense	13	33.3	27.6	39.5%	3.77	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	39%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Defense	12	21	30.2	40%	3.04	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	60%	40%	43%	35%	16%	.12
OKST Offense	13	14.2	17	39.6%	4.08	1.8	22	405	126	280	3.4	45%	54%	40%	40%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas A&M	12	27:50	19.4	36%	36%	6.3	49.1	1.5	1.9	5.5	1.6	1	27.6
Oklahoma State	13	27:46	22.2	35%	31%	3.5	33.5	1.8	1.5	6.6	1.9	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense	12	46%	45%	30.6	142.3	4.7	12	.14	3.03	69%	11%	0.94
OKST Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.92	57%	10%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense	12	60%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.08	76%	10%	0.97
OKST Offense	13	45%	40%	36.6	125.6	3.4	20	.07	2.86	73%	9%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense	12	54%	36%	18.3	32.6	219.4	6.7	12	18	6	.18	1.6	34%	28%	.26	7%	2.2
OKST Defense	13	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.29	1.7	35%	32%	.48	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense	12	40%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.14	1.6	35%	27%	.27	5%	2.1
OKST Offense	13	54%	40%	22.5	40.3	279.5	6.9	12.5	24	18	.21	1.6	33%	31%	.32	9%	2.2

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 925.92 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 14.95 Oklahoma State: 2.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 15.4 Oklahoma State: 5.9

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 2.615 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 649.79 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 34
Oklahoma State 21

Projected Total Points: 55

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/27	Oklahoma State	31	Texas A&M	23	Oklahoma State -4.0	Oklahoma State	56.0	Under
2019	12/27	Texas A&M	24	Oklahoma State	21	Texas A&M -4.5	Oklahoma State	55.5	Under
2011	09/24	Texas A&M	29	Oklahoma State	30
2010	09/30	Oklahoma State	38	Texas A&M	35
2009	10/10	Texas A&M	31	Oklahoma State	36
2008	10/04	Oklahoma State	56	Texas A&M	28
2007	10/06	Texas A&M	24	Oklahoma State	23
2006	10/21	Oklahoma State	33	Texas A&M	34
2005	10/15	Texas A&M	62	Oklahoma State	23
2004	10/16	Oklahoma State	20	Texas A&M	36
2003	10/25	Texas A&M	10	Oklahoma State	38
2002	11/02	Oklahoma State	28	Texas A&M	23
2001	09/22	Texas A&M	21	Oklahoma State	7
2000	11/03	Oklahoma State	16	Texas A&M	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	7	2	0 Overs
Texas A&M	7	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 8	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

Texas A&M Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Texas Bowl	Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State	+4.0	56.0	L 23 - 31
2020	Orange Bowl	Texas A&M vs North Carolina	-7.0	67.5	W 41 - 27
2019	Texas Bowl	Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State	-4.5	55.5	W 24 - 21
2018	N/A	Texas A&M vs NC State	-7.5	58.5	W 52 - 13
2017	N/A	Texas A&M vs Wake Forest	+3.5	63.0	L 52 - 55

Oklahoma State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Texas Bowl	Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	56.0	W 31 - 23
2022	Rate Bowl	Oklahoma State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	45.0	L 17 - 24
2021	Fiesta Bowl	Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame	-1.5	45.5	W 37 - 35
2020	It Bowl	Oklahoma State vs Miami	-2.5	58.5	W 37 - 34
2019	Texas Bowl	Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M	+4.5	55.5	L 21 - 24
2018	N/A	Oklahoma State vs Missouri	+9.5	72.5	W 38 - 33
2017	World Bowl	Oklahoma State vs Virginia Tech	-6.0	60.0	W 30 - 21

(#13) TA&M at (#67) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TA&M	OKST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#13	#67
SP+SP+	#15	#42
Perf GradeGrade	#18	#59
OffenseOff	#32	#42
DefenseDef	#21	#97
Spec TeamsST	#27	#16
TalentTal	#4	#56
Blue ChipsBC%	#4	#43

Texas A&M Injury Report

Oklahoma State Injury Report

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	OKST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#63	#75
SP+SP+	#20	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#93	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#79

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#16	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#95	#61
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TA&M Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#42	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#82	#9
SP+SP+	#31	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#33	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#98

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#52	#48
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#25
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in NRG Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Oklahoma State -4.0 (56.0)
Oklahoma State won vs Texas A&M this year (31-23)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Texas A&M in 2023 (31-23)

TA&M's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Max Johnson	118	190	62%	1452	9	5	7.6
Conner Weigman	82	119	69%	979	8	2	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amari Daniels	105	532	6	5.1	79
Le'Veon Moss	96	484	5	5.0	36
Rueben Owens	101	385	3	3.8	28
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)	41	104	2	2.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ainias Smith	53	795	2	15.0	42
Jahdae Walker (Tr)	35	590	2	16.9	40
Evan Stewart	38	514	4	13.5	44
Noah Thomas	29	359	5	12.4	34

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Edgerrin Cooper	83	19	10	9	2
Taurean York	74	9	3	5	0
Demani Richardson	59	3	1	4	3
Bryce Anderson	56	8	3	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Edgerrin Cooper	83	19	10	9	2
Shemar Turner	31	9	5	3	0
Fadil Diggs	36	11	4	6	2
Walter Nolen	36	8	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deuce Harmon	18	1	0	0	7
Josh DeBerry (Tr)	39	5	1	1	7
Tyreek Chappell	21	1	0	0	6

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)	304	501	61%	3460	15	14	6.9
Gunnar Gundy	21	34	62%	202	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	285	1731	21	6.1	75
Jaden Nixon	50	197	1	3.9	34
Elijah Collins (Tr)	30	142	2	4.7	26
Gunnar Gundy	15	49	1	3.3	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brennan Presley	100	988	6	9.9	29
Rashod Owens	63	895	5	14.2	45
Leon Johnson III (Tr)	33	539	1	16.3	67
Jaden Bray	30	382	2	12.7	45

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Bob Clements (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Kendal Daniels	105	6	2	0	1
Trey Rucker	100	4	0	0	1
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)	42	7	3	1	0
Nathan Latu	31	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Dylahn McKinney	38	0	0	0	5
Korie Black	17	1	0	0	5