Florida at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -7 (47.5) (-258) Open: -9.5
Texas A&M 34 - Florida: 17 (SEC)

Gators (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

TA&M 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -19 (SP+ TA&M -19)
Projected Score: FLA: 13 - TA&M: 32 (46)
TA&M Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
FLA Travel: 838 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aggies (11 - 2) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.6 - 1.4 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Florida vs Long Island University	-46.5	56.5	W 55 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Florida vs South Florida	-18.5	58.0	L 16 - 18	U	N
Sat 9/13	Florida at LSU	+5.5	47.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/20	Florida at Miami	+8.5	51.5	L 7 - 26	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Florida vs Texas	+4.5	42.5	W 29 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Florida at Texas A&M	+7.0	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/18	Florida vs Mississippi State	-9.5	50.5	W 23 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Florida vs Georgia	+7.0	50.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Florida at Kentucky	-4.5	44.5	L 7 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/15	Florida at Ole Miss	+10.5	53.5	L 24 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Florida vs Tennessee	+3.5	57.5	L 11 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/29	Florida vs Florida State	+1.5	48.5	W 40 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Texas A&M vs UTSA	-21.5	56.5	W 42 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/6	Texas A&M vs Utah State	-34.5	57.5	W 44 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/13	Texas A&M at Notre Dame	+7.5	48.5	W 41 - 40	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-6.5	51.5	W 16 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/4	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-17.5	57.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Texas A&M vs Florida	-7.0	47.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Texas A&M at Arkansas	-7.5	57.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/25	Texas A&M at LSU	-1.5	50.5	W 49 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Texas A&M at Missouri	-7.0	48.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-16.5	49.5	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/22	Texas A&M vs Samford	-54.5	59.5	W 48 - 0	U	N
Fri 11/28	Texas A&M at Texas	-2.5	54.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/20	Texas A&M vs Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 3 - 10	U	N

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#87 (.14)	42% (83)	21.6	47% (36)	3.26 (19)	137	38% (112)	205	4 (41)	#84 (.18)	43% (90)	24	43% (71)	44% (109)	3.46 (53)	43.7	1.5	1.4
TA&M	#29 (.24)	46% (28)	33.8	47% (35)	3.16 (30)	185	46% (27)	260	4.14 (33)	#55 (.13)	34% (5)	21	36% (9)	33% (5)	3.91 (95)	60.7	1.5	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#72 (.18)	43% (64)		45% (54)	3.04 (66)	164	41% (82)	226	4.17 (46)	#53 (.14)	44% (95)		49% (118)	39% (44)	3.12 (14)	54	1.4	1.9
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	12	21.6	13	41.6%	4	1.5	19	341	137	205	4.3	47%	52%	47%	38%	15%	.14
TA&M Defense	13	21	15.3	34.1%	3.91	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	36%	33%	21%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	12	24	30.4	43.3%	3.46	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	44%	15%	.18
TA&M Offense	13	33.8	31.1	46.1%	4.14	1.5	23	445	185	260	4.9	52%	47%	47%	46%	11%	.24

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	12	29:46	19	34%	42%	5.1	43.7	1.5	1.4	5	2.1	0	27.7
Texas A&M	13	32:30	22.5	41%	71%	7.2	60.7	1.5	0.8	8.5	3.3	2	32.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	12	47% (87)	47% (36)	32	136.8	4.3	10 (122)	.14 (55)	3.26 (19)	76% (42)	10% (74)	0.8 (128)
TA&M Defense	13	46% (25)	36% (9)	-	-	-	-	.15 (96)	2.67 (26)	75% (97)	16% (3)	1.29 (136)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	12	53% (106)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.08 (57)	2.79 (50)	79% (115)	9% (86)	0.93 (52)
TA&M Offense	13	52% (49)	47% (35)	38.1	185	4.9	28 (36)	.16 (47)	3.16 (30)	75% (47)	6% (1)	0.93 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	12	52% (41)	38% (112)	19.5	31.2	204.6	6.6	10.5	18 (61)	14 (127)	.17 (110)	1.5 (83)	30% (42)	27% (103)	.24 (93)	6% (56)	1.9 (97)
TA&M Defense	13	52% (118)	33% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (123)	.1 (13)	1.6 (91)	39% (2)	23% (4)	.22 (34)	6% (75)	2.3 (132)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	12	45% (27)	44% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (38)	.3 (94)	1.6 (86)	31% (86)	28% (48)	.3 (72)	5% (90)	2.3 (131)
TA&M Offense	13	47% (84)	46% (27)	19.1	31.4	259.8	8.3	13.6	26 (22)	14 (60)	.38 (26)	1.5 (66)	29% (30)	29% (82)	.28 (75)	5% (39)	2 (67)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 11.89 #33
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.44 #41
Florida's Defense Rating: 5.55 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #62
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #45

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 11.89 Texas A&M: 26.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 2.7 Texas A&M: 21.8

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 26.4 #5
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 26.80 #5
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.80 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 11.6 - 1.4
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #8
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #8
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 32
Florida 13

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas A&M 27
Florida 15

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Texas A&M 30
Florida 18

Total Points: 48

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Texas A&M	34	Florida	17	Texas A&M -7	Texas A&M	47.5	Over
2024	09/14	Florida	20	Texas A&M	33	Texas A&M -4.5	Texas A&M	47.0	Over
2022	11/05	Texas A&M	24	Florida	41	Texas A&M -1.5	Florida	53.5	Over
2020	10/10	Texas A&M	41	Florida	38	Florida -5.5	Texas A&M	59.0	Over
2017	10/14	Florida	17	Texas A&M	19	Florida -3.5	Texas A&M	49.5	Under
2012	09/08	Texas A&M	17	Florida	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	4	4	4 Overs
Florida	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 4	2 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 2	3 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 1

(#33) FLA at (#5) TA&M

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	TA&M
Net PPPPPP	#82	#31
Power RatePwr	#33	#5
SP+SP+	#62	#8
Perf GradeGrade	#49	#25
OffenseOff	#51	#48
DefenseDef	#62	#17
Spec TeamsST	#86	#17
TalentTal	#15	#11
Blue ChipsBC%	#12	#6

Florida Notes(12/6) Jon Sumrall won 3 conf titles in 4 years at Tulane
(12/4) Hired Buster Faulkner (GT OC) as OC. Great Hire
(12/2) Hired Brad White at DC, was DC at UK '19-'25
(11/30) Hired Jon Sumrall (Tulane). Good hire for Gators
(11/16) Gators fought hard, Off no showed 2H vs Ole Miss
(11/9) Have the Gators quit? Killed by Kentucky, yikes
(11/6) Injury report long vs UK. Motivation ?'s now
(11/2) WR D Wilson is out for the season (foot)
(10/19) Napier fired, WR coach Billy Gonzales interim
(10/12) Napier now 0-14 vs ranked teams on the road
(10/6) OG'd Texas by 100 yds, held UT to 3-11 on 3rd down
(10/6) Who is UF? Great def vs UT, Fr WR D Wilson a threat
Florida Injury Report

Texas A&M Notes(12/15) Hired Holmon Wiggins as OC, coached WR '24-'25
(12/12) Hired DC Lyle Memphill to replace Jay Bateman at DC
(11/28) RB1 Le'Veon Moss out for Texas, still unable to play
(11/15) WR3 Bethel-Roman non-contact inj vs S.Car
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) Survived Ark, Off was great, Def was torched for 527
(10/15) Only have one SEC home game left (11/15 - S Car)
(10/12) Def has held opp to 2 of 33 on 3rd down in SEC play
(10/8) OL is highest graded via PFF, heavy Run Off 55%
(10/1) Most penalized team in CFB at 9.5 per game
(10/1) Last in SEC in 3rd down conversions at 31%
(9/27) Offense torched ND, WR are electric, Def not great
Texas A&M Injury Report

Florida on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	TA&M Def
PPPOffPPP	#95	#31
Perf GradePerf	#51	#17
SuccessSuc	#83	#5
ExplosiveExp	#130	#135
PPAPPA	#87	#55
PowerPwr	#41	#11
SP+SP+	#84	#21
Pts POPPO	#41	#95
HavocHav	#61	#4

Florida Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#34	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	#36	#9
Run ExplRExp	#128	#136
PPAExp	#55	#96
Run BlockR Blk	#13	-
OL YdsOLY	#19	#26
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#40
TackleTak	-	#85

Florida Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	#112	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#83	#91
PPAExp	#110	#13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#36	#14
F7 HavocF7	#74	#3
DB HavocDB	#56	#75

Texas A&M on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	#56	#54
Perf GradePerf	#48	#62
SuccessSuc	#28	#90
ExplosiveExp	#81	#68
PPAPPA	#29	#84
PowerPwr	#5	#25
SP+SP+	#8	#45
Pts POPPO	#33	#53
HavocHav	#5	#98

Texas A&M Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	#45	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#71
Run ExplRExp	#83	#52
PPAExp	#47	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	#30	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#28	#91
TackleTak	-	#11

Texas A&M Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#80
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#66	#86
PPAExp	#26	#94
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#27	#98
F7 HavocF7	#1	#86
DB HavocDB	#39	#90

Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84°

Rematch from Week 7
Texas A&M -7.0 (47.5)
Texas A&M won vs Florida this year (34-17)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Florida last year (33-20)
Florida beat Texas A&M in 2022 (41-24)

FLA's OC Rob Sale (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D.J. Lagway	213	337	63%	2264	16	14	6.7
Tramell Jones Jr.	21	35	60%	191	2	0	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jadan Baugh	220	1170	8	5.3	26
D.J. Lagway	71	136	1	1.9	38
KD Daniels	28	120	1	4.3	16
Ja'Kobi Jackson	27	98	0	3.6	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vernell Brown III	40	524	0	13.1	60
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)	27	406	3	15.0	57
Hayden Hansen	30	254	2	8.5	28
Eugene Wilson	27	239	3	8.9	40

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Graham	76	7	2	7	4
Bryce Thornton	56	3	1	5	6
Jordan Castell	54	0	0	2	0
Aaron Chiles	52	3	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Woods	27	5	4	3	1
Kamran James	44	5	3	3	2
Brendan Bett (Tr)	40	4	3	1	0
Myles Graham	76	7	2	7	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Thornton	56	3	1	5	6
Myles Graham	76	7	2	7	4
J'Vari Flowers	17	1	0	0	4

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcel Reed	234	377	62%	3169	25	12	8.4
Miles O'Neill	7	14	50%	120	1	2	8.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rueben Owens	119	639	5	5.4	57
Marcel Reed	104	493	6	4.7	46
Le'Veon Moss	77	404	6	5.2	38
Amari Daniels	41	216	1	5.3	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)	61	919	9	15.1	48
Mario Craver (Tr)	58	911	4	15.7	86
Ashton Bethel-Roman	24	503	5	21.0	76
Nate Boerkircher (Tr)	20	204	3	10.2	28

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taurean York	72	7	1	5	3
Marcus Ratcliffe	66	3	0	2	3
Dalton Brooks	61	6	3	3	1
Daymion Sanford	57	10	4	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cashius Howell	32	15	13	5	6
Daymion Sanford	57	10	4	3	2
Dayon Hayes (Tr)	17	4	4	6	1
Dalton Brooks	61	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Lee III	50	2	1	0	7
Cashius Howell	32	15	13	5	6
Dezz Ricks	26	1	0	0	5