Florida at Texas A&M - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida logo Florida Gators at Texas A&M Aggies(#10)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kyle Field - College Station, TX  (SEC)

 
Gators (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 27 - 13 (10 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
TA&M 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -8   (SP+ TA&M -4)

Projected Score: FLA: 22 - TA&M: 30 (52)
TA&M Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
FLA Travel: 838 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (3 - 0) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 42 - 29 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida vs Long Island University-46.556.5W 55 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Florida vs South Florida-18.558.0L 16 - 18UN
Sat 9/13 Florida at LSU+5.547.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 9/20 Florida at Miami+7.551.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida vs Texas+4
Sat 10/11 Florida at Texas A&M+8
Sat 10/18 Florida vs Mississippi State-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida vs Georgia+6.5
Sat 11/8 Florida at Kentucky-6
Sat 11/15 Florida at Ole Miss+7.5
Sat 11/22 Florida vs Tennessee+2.5
Sat 11/29 Florida vs Florida State-0.5

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA-21.556.5W 42 - 24ON
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State-34.557.5W 44 - 22ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn-1
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-11
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida-8
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-4.5
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri+3.5
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-13
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford-46.5
Sat 11/29 Texas A&M at Texas+3.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#91 (.13)45% (56)2751% (33)3.41 (32)13742% (77)2533.89 (72)#27 (-)32% (18)12.727% (7)38% (55)2.36 (29)53.321
TA&M#32 (.33)46% (53)42.344% (74)3.25 (41)15848% (40)3235.35 (20)#69 (.13)35% (36)28.733% (25)37% (48)4.8 (116)63.30.70.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)45% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)49% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense3271045.5%3.892233911372534.340%59%51%42%16%.13
TA&M Defense328.72335.2%4.80.7 - - - - - 46%54%33%37%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense312.72032.1%2.361 - - - - - 51%49%27%38%15%0
TA&M Offense342.34345.9%5.350.7234811583234.847%53%44%48%7%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida335:2823.340%100%653.3213.30.3030.3
Texas A&M329:0823.334%60%8.363.30.70.76.73131
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense340% (125)51% (33)32137.34.31 (127).21 (45)3.41 (32)100% (1)10% (88)0.83 (102)
TA&M Defense346% (41)33% (25) - - - - .14 (100)2.29 (28)63% (43)12% (38)1.5 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense351% (78)27% (7) - - - - -.21 (6)2.01 (11)63% (43)8% (96)0.9 (62)
TA&M Offense347% (90)44% (74)33157.74.86 (49).17 (57)3.25 (41)55% (120)3% (3)0.92 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense359% (12)42% (77)27.739.3253.36.49.27 (23)6 (132).13 (107)1.4 (106)30% (60)31% (72).12 (114)6% (92)1.8 (93)
TA&M Defense354% (98)37% (48) - - - - - - 1 (87).13 (47)1.5 (67)40% (9)26% (49).17 (45)4% (107)2 (75)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense349% (68)38% (55) - - - - - - 1 (87).22 (68)1.5 (59)35% (46)20% (27).18 (52)6% (56)2.2 (109)
TA&M Offense353% (46)48% (40)20.735.7323.39.115.710 (7)2 (60).48 (27)1.7 (25)31% (79)28% (95).35 (64)3% (33)2.3 (24)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 23.99 #18
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Florida's Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
2025 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 23.99   Texas A&M: 25.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 11.6   Texas A&M: 16.0




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Florida Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 12.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 30
Florida 22


Total Points: 52

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 42.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Florida20Texas A&M33Texas A&MTexas A&M -4.5Texas A&M47.0Over
202211/05Texas A&M24Florida41FloridaTexas A&M -1.5Florida53.5Over
202010/10Texas A&M41Florida38Texas A&MFlorida -5.5Texas A&M59.0Over
201710/14Florida17Texas A&M19Texas A&MFlorida -3.5Texas A&M49.5Under
201209/08Texas A&M17Florida20Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M333 Overs
Florida211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 41 - 30 - 21 - 1
Road Teams4 - 13 - 11 - 12 - 0

(#18) Florida Info
Power Rating: 23.99 #18
Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.36 PPO
Great Run Def Success 27%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Florida has lost 4 straight
Florida has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida Notes
(9/7) Allowed 18 TFL through two games, Off a mess
(8/20) QB2 uncertain, but massive drop off either way
(8/13) Lagway health an issue, missing camp w/ others.
(6/30) DT Banks game wrecker, top 10 PFF w/ DE Sapp
(6/6) DL a top 5 unit via PFF, front line + depth
(6/6) OL 2 starters, 2 w/ exp. PFF rates at top 5 OL
(5/23) Safety duo of Thorton & Castell a top unit in CFB
(5/6) Proj starting CB D Johnson arrested (serious)
(5/1) Fr WR D Wilson dominated spring ball, will play
(4/4) OT Jake Slaughter the top T via PFF

Florida Highlights
Florida has a really good defense (#18)
Florida defense is really good in red zone (#29)
Florida has a good run defense (#7)
Florida Defensive Line is very good (#11)

Florida Deficiencies
Florida has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Florida throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Florida offense is not Explosive (#103)
Florida does not Sack the QB (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTA&MFLA
OverallOver#26#19
OffenseOff#37#44
DefenseDef#41#15
Special TeamsST#5#61
PassingPass#76#50
RushingRush#67#76
Run BlockRBLK#42#22
Pass BlockPBLK#12#4
Route RunningWR Rt#13#57
TacklingTkl#105#14
Run DefenseR Def#50#3
Pass Rush DefPRush#34#80
Coverage DefCov#39#35

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Florida last year (33-20)
Florida beat Texas A&M in 2022 (41-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FLA | TA&M
Depth Chart: FLA | TA&M
Rosters: FLA | TA&M
(#10) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32
Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.35 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Texas A&M has lost 2 straight
Texas A&M has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas A&M Notes
(7/27) DL dominated OL in spring? Good or bad sign?
(7/27) Run game has top 3 potential. Off could explode
(7/25) QB Reed led SEC in Fr QBR, but must elevate
(7/17) OL returns 5/5. PFF grades top 5, go 7 deep
(7/17) More I learn, the more I like this A&M team
(6/6) WR added Concepcion +3 others, PFF top 10 unit
(5/21) Elko says RB Moss is full go for fall camp
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp & all of it returning/no portal
(4/4) LB Taurean York a top 10 LB via PFF
(4/4) A. Reed-Adams (G) a top IOL via PFF

Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M in Undefeated
Texas A&M is Undefeated at Home

Texas A&M offense is explosive (#30)
Texas A&M offense is good in red zone (#20)
Texas A&M Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas A&M has a good run defense (#25)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)

Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)
Texas A&M has a bad red zone defense (#116)


  
Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway7110071%629566.3
Tramell Jones Jr.121867%131207.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh3724316.626
Ja'Kobi Jackson205903.013
D.J. Lagway183101.710
Anthony Rubio52705.412
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Vernell Brown III16197012.341
Hayden Hansen1311719.028
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)771110.118
Eugene Wilson146624.732

View Florida's Full Roster
Florida's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Graham172022
Jaden Robinson132001
Brendan Bett (Tr)121010
George Gumbs103020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp82100
Myles Graham172022
Titus Bullard10000
Javion Toombs20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Thornton90013
Myles Graham172022
Devin Moore60002

Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed589959%869918.8
Miles O'Neill4757%1011114.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss3316845.121
Marcel Reed2514215.724
Rueben Owens158205.530
Jamarion Morrow43208.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Craver (Tr)20443422.286
Kevin Concepcion (Tr)13227317.545
Terry Bussey787112.434
Ashton Bethel-Roman468017.025

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Ratcliffe173003
Taurean York171000
Albert Regis151100
Will Lee III150002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell84301
Daymion Sanford82110
Albert Regis151100
Scooby Williams123110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Ratcliffe173003
Dezz Ricks20002
Will Lee III150002