Ole Miss at Georgia - 2025 Matchup Preview

Thursday, January 1st 2026 (8:00 PM EST)
Georgia -6 (53.5) (-218) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 39 - Georgia: 34 (CFP Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl)

Rebels (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Georgia -1 (SP+ UGA -0)
Projected Score: MISS: 27 - UGA: 28 (54)
UGA Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
MISS Travel: 306 miles

Bulldogs (12 - 2) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (35 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MISS Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Ole Miss vs Georgia State	-38.5	62.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Ole Miss at Kentucky	-8.0	51.5	W 30 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/13	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-12.5	61.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Ole Miss vs LSU	-2.5	57.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Ole Miss vs Washington State	-33.5	58.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/18	Ole Miss at Georgia	+7.5	56.5	L 35 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/25	Ole Miss at Oklahoma	+5.5	52.5	W 34 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Ole Miss vs South Carolina	-12.5	55.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Ole Miss vs The Citadel	-51.5	63.5	W 49 - 0	U	N
Sat 11/15	Ole Miss vs Florida	-10.5	53.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-7.5	62.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 12/20	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-17.5	57.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/1	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	W 39 - 34	O	Y
Thu 1/8	Ole Miss vs Miami	+3.0	52.5	L 27 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Georgia's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Georgia vs Marshall	-39.5	55.5	W 45 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Georgia vs Austin Peay	-47.0	55.5	W 28 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/13	Georgia at Tennessee	-3.5	50.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Georgia vs Alabama	-2.5	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/4	Georgia vs Kentucky	-19.5	48.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Georgia at Auburn	-4.5	45.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-7.5	56.5	W 43 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Georgia vs Florida	-7.0	50.5	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/8	Georgia at Mississippi State	-9.5	56.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Georgia vs Texas	-3.5	50.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Georgia vs Charlotte	-42.5	53.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Fri 11/28	Georgia vs Georgia Tech	-15.5	59.5	W 16 - 9	U	N
Sat 12/6	Georgia vs Alabama	-2.5	47.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Thu 1/1	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-6.0	53.5	L 34 - 39	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)	36.9	44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)	21.1	35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)	32.1	46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)	17.6	39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UGA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	36.9	34.3	47.4%	4	0.9	23	481	164	317	4.6	50%	50%	44%	51%	15%	.34
UGA Defense	14	17.6	14.1	38.8%	3.22	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	38%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	21.1	27.8	35.3%	2.98	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	35%	36%	25%	.04
UGA Offense	14	32.1	34.6	46.6%	4.68	1.3	21	385	121	264	4.3	43%	57%	46%	47%	15%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	26:04	22.7	41%	59%	6.8	68.5	0.9	1.6	8.9	4.1	0	29.7
Georgia	14	27:43	20.6	41%	75%	5.4	51.1	1.3	1.4	6.1	2.6	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	50% (75)	44% (76)	35.8	164.2	4.6	27 (30)	.15 (58)	3.02 (72)	71% (85)	10% (68)	1.09 (26)
UGA Defense	14	49% (48)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	.1 (59)	2.81 (39)	80% (107)	12% (21)	0.96 (53)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	47% (25)	35% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (4)	2.49 (7)	74% (71)	16% (1)	0.88 (23)
UGA Offense	14	43% (112)	46% (46)	28.1	120.6	4.3	24 (45)	.12 (76)	2.91 (91)	73% (67)	9% (47)	0.88 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	50% (59)	51% (3)	20.5	30.5	317.2	10.4	15.4	27 (20)	6 (10)	.53 (3)	1.6 (46)	29% (28)	38% (7)	.63 (2)	5% (54)	2.3 (12)
UGA Defense	14	51% (89)	38% (37)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.17 (37)	1.6 (59)	35% (27)	26% (13)	.23 (36)	5% (110)	2.1 (86)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	53% (115)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.12 (20)	1.6 (85)	37% (5)	23% (1)	.1 (3)	8% (3)	2.1 (68)
UGA Offense	14	57% (22)	47% (16)	22.6	34.4	264.3	7.7	11.7	28 (15)	13 (103)	.34 (31)	1.5 (111)	28% (15)	36% (19)	.39 (47)	7% (95)	1.8 (127)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 22.16 #9
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.65 #7
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 4.49 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 22.16 Georgia: 23.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 24.0 Georgia: 24.1

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 23.96 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 27.56 #3
Georgia's Defense Rating: 3.74 #17
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74 #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #14
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 28
Ole Miss 27

Projected Total Points: 54

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.1

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	01/01	Georgia	34	Ole Miss	39	Georgia -6	Ole Miss	53.5	Over
2025	10/18	Georgia	43	Ole Miss	35	Georgia -7.5	Georgia	56.5	Over
2024	11/09	Ole Miss	28	Georgia	10	Georgia -1.5	Ole Miss	54.5	Under
2023	11/11	Georgia	52	Ole Miss	17	Georgia -11.0	Georgia	59.0	Over
2016	09/24	Ole Miss	45	Georgia	14	Ole Miss -6	Ole Miss	61.0	Under
2012	11/03	Georgia	37	Ole Miss	10
2011	09/24	Ole Miss	13	Georgia	27
2007	09/29	Georgia	45	Ole Miss	17
2006	09/30	Ole Miss	9	Georgia	14
2002	11/09	Georgia	31	Ole Miss	17
2001	11/17	Ole Miss	15	Georgia	35
2000	11/17	Georgia	32	Ole Miss	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	9	2	3 Overs
Ole Miss	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	4 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 8	1 - 4	0 - 1	1 - 3

Ole Miss Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP Semifinal	Ole Miss vs Miami	+3.0	52.5	L 27 - 31
2025	CFP Quarterfinal	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	W 39 - 34
2025	CFP 1st Round	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-17.5	57.5	W 41 - 10
2024	Gator Bowl	Ole Miss vs Duke	-17.5	50.5	W 52 - 20
2023	Peach Bowl	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25
2022	Texas Bowl	Ole Miss vs Texas Tech	-4.5	73.0	L 25 - 42
2021	Sugar Bowl	Ole Miss vs Baylor	-1.0	60.5	L 7 - 21
2020	Outback Bowl	Ole Miss vs Indiana	+6.5	66.5	W 26 - 20

Georgia Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP Quarterfinal	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-6.0	53.5	L 34 - 39
2024	CFP Quarterfinal	Georgia vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	L 10 - 23
2023	Orange Bowl	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3
2022	CFP Nat'l Title	Georgia vs TCU	-13.5	62.0	W 65 - 7
2022	CFP Semifinal	Georgia vs Ohio State	-5.5	62.0	W 42 - 41
2021	CFP Nat'l Title	Georgia vs Alabama	-3.0	53.5	W 33 - 18
2021	CFP Semifinal	Georgia vs Michigan	-7.5	47.0	W 34 - 11
2020	Peach Bowl	Georgia vs Cincinnati	-7.0	50.0	W 24 - 21
2019	Sugar Bowl	Georgia vs Baylor	-4.0	44.0	W 26 - 14

(#9) MISS at (#7) UGA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	UGA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#9	#7
SP+SP+	#7	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#12	#13
OffenseOff	#9	#23
DefenseDef	#41	#29
Spec TeamsST	#18	#27
TalentTal	#33	#2
Blue ChipsBC%	#18	#1

Ole Miss Notes(12/9) Hired OC John David Baker (ECU). Decent hire
(12/1) Hired DC Pete Golding after Kiffin left for LSU
(10/19) Def torched by UGA, 500 yds. Run Def concerning
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
Ole Miss Injury Report

Georgia Notes(11/16) Killed Texas, Dawgs peaking. Def inj a concern
(10/20) Top WR Colbie Young out for season (fractured leg)
(10/19) Off torched Ole Miss, 500 yds, Rush Off improved
(10/18) At times playing 2 true Fr at OG vs Ole Miss
(9/30) DL cannot get pressure w/o LBs, have zero sacks
(9/15) Stockton, Off took huge leap in Tenn W.
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
Georgia Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	UGA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#29
SuccessSuc	#19	#32
ExplosiveExp	#8	#64
PPAPPA	#4	#49
PowerPwr	#7	#17
SP+SP+	#3	#8
Pts POPPO	#58	#19
HavocHav	#54	#57

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#14	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#34
Run ExplRExp	#26	#53
PPAExp	#58	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	#39
Stuff RateStuff	#92	#59
TackleTak	-	#5

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	#37
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#59
PPAExp	#3	#37
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#35	#126
F7 HavocF7	#68	#21
DB HavocDB	#54	#110

Georgia on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#23	#41
SuccessSuc	#25	#3
ExplosiveExp	#97	#78
PPAPPA	#37	#6
PowerPwr	#3	#21
SP+SP+	#14	#20
Pts POPPO	#12	#8
HavocHav	#60	#1

Georgia Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#35	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#6
Run ExplRExp	#109	#23
PPAExp	#76	#4
Run BlockR Blk	#55	-
OL YdsOLY	#91	#7
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#19
TackleTak	-	#81

Georgia Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	#16	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#85
PPAExp	#31	#20
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#5	#85
F7 HavocF7	#47	#1
DB HavocDB	#95	#3

Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Georgia -7.5 (56.5)
Georgia won vs Ole Miss this year (43-35)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Ole Miss last year (43-35)
Ole Miss beat Georgia in 2024 (28-10)
Georgia beat Ole Miss in 2023 (52-17)

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)	294	445	66%	3937	22	3	8.8
Austin Simmons	45	75	60%	744	4	5	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)	306	1567	24	5.1	73
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)	133	527	8	4.0	41
Logan Diggs	33	189	4	5.7	51
Damien Taylor (Tr)	28	130	2	4.6	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)	61	934	4	15.3	55
De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr)	55	811	6	14.7	75
Deuce Alexander (Tr)	44	684	2	15.5	88
Cayden Lee	44	635	3	14.4	62

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
TJ Dottery	98	6	2	1	2
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
Wydett Williams (Tr)	73	1	0	0	9
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)	45	13	9	13	1
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wydett Williams (Tr)	73	1	0	0	9
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Kapena Gushiken (Tr)	55	1	0	1	5

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gunner Stockton	269	386	70%	2894	24	5	7.5
Ryan Puglisi	16	27	59%	161	1	2	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Frazier	173	947	6	5.5	59
Chauncey Bowens	103	526	6	5.1	43
Gunner Stockton	129	462	10	3.6	22
Dwight Phillips Jr.	35	210	1	6.0	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)	81	811	6	10.0	47
Colbie Young	26	358	1	13.8	45
London Humphreys	18	276	3	15.3	36
Dillon Bell	27	268	2	9.9	36

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Allen	88	8	4	2	4
KJ Bolden	77	3	0	0	5
Raylen Wilson	74	7	2	3	1
Chris Cole	61	7	5	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Cole	61	7	5	0	2
C.J. Allen	88	8	4	2	4
Quintavius Johnson	34	6	2	3	5
Zayden Walker	6	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daylen Everette	48	0	0	1	8
Ellis Robinson IV	20	1	0	0	7
Quintavius Johnson	34	6	2	3	5