(#20)Ole Miss Rebels at Kentucky Wildcats
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -8.0 (51.5) (-330) Open: -8.5 | 51.5
Ole Miss 30 - Kentucky: 23 (SEC)
Rebels (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 45 - 22 (30 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 45 - 22 (30 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
UK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ole Miss -11.5 (SP+ MISS -13.5)
Projected Score: MISS: 33 - UK: 21 (54)
MISS Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 378 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Ole Miss -11.5 (SP+ MISS -13.5)
Projected Score: MISS: 33 - UK: 21 (54)
MISS Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 378 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 8) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 8) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
| Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Ole Miss vs Georgia State | -38.5 | 62.5 | W 63 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Ole Miss at Kentucky | -8.0 | 51.5 | W 30 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Ole Miss vs Arkansas | -3.5 | 60.5 | W 41 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Ole Miss vs Tulane | -11.5 | 61.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Ole Miss vs LSU | -2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Ole Miss vs Washington State | -33 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Ole Miss at Georgia | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Ole Miss at Oklahoma | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Ole Miss vs South Carolina | -13 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Ole Miss vs The Citadel | -46.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Ole Miss vs Florida | -7.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Ole Miss at Mississippi State | -6 | |||||
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Kentucky's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Kentucky vs Toledo | -10.0 | 48.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Kentucky vs Ole Miss | +8.0 | 51.5 | L 23 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan | -26.5 | 49.5 | W 48 - 23 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Kentucky at South Carolina | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Kentucky at Georgia | +20 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Kentucky vs Texas | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Kentucky vs Tennessee | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Kentucky at Auburn | +18 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Kentucky vs Florida | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech | -32.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Kentucky at Vanderbilt | +12 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Kentucky at Louisville | +10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 8, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 8, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 8, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | #22 (.38) | 55% (17) | 44.7 | 52% (30) | 2.76 (90) | 214 | 58% (9) | 331 | 5.25 (24) | #115 (.26) | 40% (75) | 21.7 | 47% (104) | 33% (33) | 3 (50) | 66.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| UK | #77 (.18) | 44% (65) | 31.7 | 54% (22) | 3.53 (24) | 215 | 29% (130) | 171 | 4.19 (60) | #82 (.16) | 40% (70) | 23 | 38% (65) | 41% (79) | 3.94 (88) | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | #4 (.34) | 47% (19) | 44% (76) | 3.02 (72) | 164 | 51% (3) | 317 | 4 (58) | #6 (.04) | 35% (3) | 35% (6) | 36% (13) | 2.98 (8) | 68.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | ||
| UK | #118 (.09) | 41% (89) | 47% (31) | 3.02 (71) | 146 | 35% (123) | 185 | 3.49 (104) | #62 (.16) | 46% (111) | 49% (122) | 42% (75) | 3.44 (31) | 52.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Offense | 3 | 44.7 | 30 | 54.5% | 5.25 | 1.3 | 26 | 544 | 214 | 331 | 5 | 58% | 41% | 52% | 58% | 14% | .38 |
| UK Defense | 3 | 23 | 23 | 39.6% | 3.94 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 38% | 41% | 12% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Defense | 3 | 21.7 | 23 | 40.2% | 3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 47% | 33% | 15% | .26 |
| UK Offense | 3 | 31.7 | 31.7 | 43.9% | 4.19 | 0.7 | 20 | 385 | 215 | 171 | 5.1 | 59% | 40% | 54% | 29% | 14% | .18 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | 3 | 27:10 | 26 | 50% | 100% | 7.3 | 66.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 28.3 |
| Kentucky | 3 | 31:16 | 20 | 43% | 33% | 5.3 | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 35.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Offense | 3 | 58% (24) | 52% (30) | 43 | 213.7 | 5 | 10 (10) | .18 (53) | 2.76 (90) | 85% (26) | 7% (45) | 0.79 (110) |
| UK Defense | 3 | 51% (75) | 38% (65) | - | - | - | - | - (46) | 2.52 (45) | 69% (66) | 8% (102) | 0.94 (71) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Defense | 3 | 53% (97) | 47% (104) | - | - | - | - | .38 (131) | 3.57 (132) | 89% (119) | 6% (125) | 1.29 (122) |
| UK Offense | 3 | 59% (20) | 54% (22) | 42 | 214.7 | 5.1 | 9 (17) | .3 (32) | 3.53 (24) | 57% (114) | 7% (38) | 0.92 (78) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Offense | 3 | 41% (113) | 58% (9) | 19.7 | 30.3 | 330.7 | 10.9 | 16.8 | 6 (34) | 4 (121) | .74 (5) | 1.8 (21) | 25% (21) | 46% (14) | .68 (20) | 6% (100) | 2 (65) |
| UK Defense | 3 | 49% (65) | 41% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .32 (104) | 1.7 (103) | 33% (62) | 30% (76) | .43 (104) | 4% (102) | 2.1 (80) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Defense | 3 | 47% (42) | 33% (33) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .12 (40) | 1.7 (101) | 37% (27) | 28% (60) | .34 (89) | 9% (20) | 2.4 (124) |
| UK Offense | 3 | 40% (118) | 29% (130) | 12.7 | 25.7 | 170.7 | 6.7 | 13.5 | 2 (102) | 1 (23) | .07 (122) | 1.9 (12) | 29% (55) | 20% (124) | -.01 (124) | 7% (102) | 1.9 (76) |
Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 23.36 #21
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 23.36 #21
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 23.36 Kentucky: 11.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 22.6 Kentucky: 9.1
Ole Miss: 23.36 Kentucky: 11.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 22.6 Kentucky: 9.1
Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Kentucky's Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 23
Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 23
Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 33
Kentucky 21
Total Points: 54
Ole Miss 33
Kentucky 21
Total Points: 54
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | Kentucky | 23 | Ole Miss | 30 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -8.0 | Kentucky | 51.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 09/28 | Ole Miss | 17 | Kentucky | 20 | Kentucky | Ole Miss -15 | Kentucky | 51.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Ole Miss | 22 | Kentucky | 19 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -6.5 | Kentucky | 55.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/03 | Kentucky | 41 | Ole Miss | 42 | Ole Miss | Kentucky -7.0 | Ole Miss | 63.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Kentucky | 34 | Ole Miss | 37 | Ole Miss | Kentucky -3.5 | Ole Miss | 63.5 | Over |
| 2011 | 11/05 | Kentucky | 30 | Ole Miss | 13 | Kentucky | ||||
| 2010 | 10/02 | Ole Miss | 42 | Kentucky | 35 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2006 | 09/16 | Kentucky | 31 | Ole Miss | 14 | Kentucky | ||||
| 2005 | 10/22 | Ole Miss | 13 | Kentucky | 7 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Kentucky | 31 | Ole Miss | 42 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2000 | 09/29 | Ole Miss | 35 | Kentucky | 17 | Ole Miss |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 3 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Ole Miss | 8 | 2 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 5 | 1 - 4 | 0 - 4 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 6 | 4 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 4 - 0 |
(#21) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 23.36 #21
Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.25 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 58%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Ole Miss has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Ole Miss Notes
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(9/13) QB Simmons out vs Ark, Chambliss starting
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
(6/2) WR has 5 players with 400+ yds, 4 are portals
(5/19) Kiffin & OC Weis Jr want to push tempo TY
(5/19) RB D Taylor (1k LY, Troy) added post spring
(5/19) OL rebuild 1/5. 5 portal adds (3 P5/2 G5).
(5/19) Def rebuild. DL talent is good, 8 DB portals!?
(5/11) OL bottom 1/3 in exp & 62% comes from portals
Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss in Undefeated
Ole Miss has Really Good Running Game (#25)
Ole Miss offense is efficent (#17)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Ole Miss Secondary is very good (#20)
Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Ole Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#113)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)
Ole Miss has a bad defensive line (#132)
Power Rating: 23.36 #21
Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.25 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 58%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Ole Miss has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Ole Miss Notes
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(9/13) QB Simmons out vs Ark, Chambliss starting
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
(6/2) WR has 5 players with 400+ yds, 4 are portals
(5/19) Kiffin & OC Weis Jr want to push tempo TY
(5/19) RB D Taylor (1k LY, Troy) added post spring
(5/19) OL rebuild 1/5. 5 portal adds (3 P5/2 G5).
(5/19) Def rebuild. DL talent is good, 8 DB portals!?
(5/11) OL bottom 1/3 in exp & 62% comes from portals
Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss in Undefeated
Ole Miss has Really Good Running Game (#25)
Ole Miss offense is efficent (#17)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Ole Miss Secondary is very good (#20)
Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Ole Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#113)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)
Ole Miss has a bad defensive line (#132)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UK | MISS |
| OverallOver | #37 | #48 |
| OffenseOff | #73 | #48 |
| DefenseDef | #20 | #65 |
| Special TeamsST | #31 | #68 |
| PassingPass | #98 | #57 |
| RushingRush | #33 | #22 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #44 | #95 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #31 | #89 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #94 | #20 |
| TacklingTkl | #75 | #81 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #58 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #9 | #107 |
| Coverage DefCov | #80 | #41 |
Rematch from Week 2
Ole Miss 8.0 (51.5)
Ole Miss won at Kentucky this year (30-23)
Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Ole Miss last year (20-17)
Ole Miss beat Kentucky in 2022 (22-19)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MISS | UK
Depth Chart: MISS | UK
Rosters: MISS | UK
(#57) Kentucky Info
Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kentucky has won 1 straight
Kentucky has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kentucky has won 1 straight
Kentucky has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Simmons | 34 | 56 | 61% | 580 | 4 | 4 | 10.4 |
| Trinidad Chambliss (Tr) | 25 | 35 | 71% | 412 | 2 | 0 | 11.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kewan Lacy (Tr) | 61 | 290 | 5 | 4.8 | 42 |
| Logan Diggs | 9 | 97 | 1 | 10.8 | 51 |
| Trinidad Chambliss (Tr) | 22 | 83 | 2 | 3.8 | 17 |
| Austin Simmons | 16 | 69 | 1 | 4.3 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wallace III (Tr) | 15 | 339 | 2 | 22.6 | 55 |
| Deuce Alexander (Tr) | 10 | 155 | 0 | 15.5 | 35 |
| Dae'Quan Wright | 5 | 142 | 1 | 28.4 | 64 |
| Cayden Lee | 6 | 96 | 0 | 16.0 | 62 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Dottery | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaden Yates (Tr) | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zxavian Harris | 17 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Kamarion Franklin | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zxavian Harris | 17 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| William Echoles | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Princewill Umanmielen (Tr) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| TJ Dottery | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wydett Williams (Tr) | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Nick Cull | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| TJ Dottery | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Calzada (Tr) | 25 | 53 | 47% | 234 | 0 | 1 | 4.4 |
| Cutter Boley | 13 | 24 | 54% | 278 | 2 | 0 | 11.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan (Tr) | 51 | 275 | 6 | 5.4 | 18 |
| Dante Dowdell (Tr) | 36 | 214 | 1 | 5.9 | 79 |
| Jason Patterson | 13 | 80 | 1 | 6.2 | 29 |
| Cutter Boley | 9 | 38 | 0 | 4.2 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kattus | 8 | 112 | 1 | 14.0 | 34 |
| Jay Maclin | 4 | 103 | 0 | 25.8 | 44 |
| Hardley Gilmore IV (Tr) | 6 | 97 | 0 | 16.2 | 38 |
| Kendrick Law (Tr) | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty Bryant | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Lovett | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daveren Rayner | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Mi'Quise Grace (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terhyon Nichols | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Quay'sheed Scott | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |