Ole Miss at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -5.5 (52.5) (-198) Open: -2.5
Ole Miss 34 - Oklahoma: 26 (SEC)

Rebels (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

MISS 2nd straight Road Game
OKLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -2 (SP+ MISS -5.5)
Projected Score: MISS: 27 - OKLA: 25 (52)
OKLA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
MISS Travel: 452 miles

Sooners (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Ole Miss vs Georgia State	-38.5	62.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Ole Miss at Kentucky	-8.0	51.5	W 30 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/13	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-12.5	61.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Ole Miss vs LSU	-2.5	57.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Ole Miss vs Washington State	-33.5	58.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/18	Ole Miss at Georgia	+7.5	56.5	L 35 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/25	Ole Miss at Oklahoma	+5.5	52.5	W 34 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Ole Miss vs South Carolina	-12.5	55.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Ole Miss vs The Citadel	-51.5	63.5	W 49 - 0	U	N
Sat 11/15	Ole Miss vs Florida	-10.5	53.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-7.5	62.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 12/20	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-17.5	57.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/1	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	W 39 - 34	O	Y
Thu 1/8	Ole Miss vs Miami	+3.0	52.5	L 27 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Oklahoma vs Illinois State	-39.5	61.0	W 35 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/6	Oklahoma vs Michigan	-3.0	47.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Oklahoma at Temple	-23.5	50.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Oklahoma vs Auburn	-6.5	47.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Oklahoma vs Kent State	-46.5	53.5	W 44 - 0	U	N
Sat 10/11	Oklahoma vs Texas	+2.5	44.5	L 6 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/18	Oklahoma at South Carolina	-4.5	42.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Oklahoma vs Ole Miss	-5.5	52.5	L 26 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/1	Oklahoma at Tennessee	+3.0	55.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Oklahoma at Alabama	+6.5	45.5	W 23 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Oklahoma vs Missouri	-4.5	42.5	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Oklahoma vs LSU	-11.5	36.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Fri 12/19	Oklahoma vs Alabama	-1.5	42.0	L 24 - 34	O	N

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)	36.9	44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)	21.1	35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)	26.2	43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)	15.5	33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	36.9	34.3	47.4%	4	0.9	23	481	164	317	4.6	50%	50%	44%	51%	15%	.34
OKLA Defense	13	15.5	15	35.7%	3.47	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	33%	39%	18%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	21.1	27.8	35.3%	2.98	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	35%	36%	25%	.04
OKLA Offense	13	26.2	26.4	39%	3.39	1.5	17	298	144	155	3.9	53%	46%	43%	35%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	26:04	22.7	41%	59%	6.8	68.5	0.9	1.6	8.9	4.1	0	29.7
Oklahoma	13	26:40	16.9	35%	52%	4.8	42	1.5	1.6	7.1	2.7	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	50% (75)	44% (76)	35.8	164.2	4.6	27 (30)	.15 (58)	3.02 (72)	71% (85)	10% (68)	1.09 (26)
OKLA Defense	13	53% (100)	33% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (1)	2.56 (11)	69% (43)	13% (12)	0.88 (25)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	47% (25)	35% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (4)	2.49 (7)	74% (71)	16% (1)	0.88 (23)
OKLA Offense	13	53% (45)	43% (85)	36.8	143.6	3.9	16 (90)	.07 (100)	2.99 (81)	75% (58)	14% (129)	0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	50% (59)	51% (3)	20.5	30.5	317.2	10.4	15.4	27 (20)	6 (10)	.53 (3)	1.6 (46)	29% (28)	38% (7)	.63 (2)	5% (54)	2.3 (12)
OKLA Defense	13	46% (34)	39% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.22 (61)	1.6 (83)	37% (6)	28% (33)	.25 (43)	5% (114)	1.9 (36)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	53% (115)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.12 (20)	1.6 (85)	37% (5)	23% (1)	.1 (3)	8% (3)	2.1 (68)
OKLA Offense	13	46% (94)	35% (122)	15.8	25.3	154.7	6.1	9.8	14 (108)	6 (10)	.07 (127)	1.5 (105)	33% (102)	27% (109)	.25 (99)	4% (9)	2.2 (24)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 22.16 #9
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.65 #7
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 4.49 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 22.16 Oklahoma: 20.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 24.0 Oklahoma: 18.3

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.87 #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 17.21 #44
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -1.23 #7
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3 #14
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 27
Oklahoma 25

Projected Total Points: 52

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Oklahoma	26	Ole Miss	34	Oklahoma -5.5	Ole Miss	52.5	Over
2024	10/26	Ole Miss	26	Oklahoma	14	Ole Miss -19	Oklahoma	50.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	0	1	1 Overs
Ole Miss	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#9) MISS at (#11) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	OKLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#9	#11
SP+SP+	#7	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#12	#45
OffenseOff	#9	#98
DefenseDef	#41	#15
Spec TeamsST	#18	#48
TalentTal	#33	#10
Blue ChipsBC%	#18	#15

Ole Miss Notes(12/9) Hired OC John David Baker (ECU). Decent hire
(12/1) Hired DC Pete Golding after Kiffin left for LSU
(10/19) Def torched by UGA, 500 yds. Run Def concerning
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
Ole Miss Injury Report

Oklahoma Notes(11/16) Def, Turnovers, clutch play. Off isn't good
(10/19) RBs had 159 yds vs SC, better. F7 best in SEC
(10/12) RBs avg 71 yards pg, 127th in CFB, next to last P4
(9/23) QB Mateer had surgery on his thumb, out weeks
(9/21) DL is top 3 in CFB. 10 sacks vs Auburn, wreckers
(9/20) Run Off bad, but Run Def great vs AU. Big win
(9/7) OL help up well vs Mich, Mateer is dynamic
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
Oklahoma Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	OKLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#15
SuccessSuc	#19	#5
ExplosiveExp	#8	#63
PPAPPA	#4	#12
PowerPwr	#7	#7
SP+SP+	#3	#4
Pts POPPO	#58	#34
HavocHav	#54	#43

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#14	#10
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#2
Run ExplRExp	#26	#25
PPAExp	#58	#1
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#92	#25
TackleTak	-	#52

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#83
PPAExp	#3	#61
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#35	#12
F7 HavocF7	#68	#12
DB HavocDB	#54	#114

Oklahoma on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#98	#41
SuccessSuc	#113	#3
ExplosiveExp	#112	#78
PPAPPA	#123	#6
PowerPwr	#44	#21
SP+SP+	#51	#20
Pts POPPO	#112	#8
HavocHav	#100	#1

Oklahoma Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#114	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#6
Run ExplRExp	#63	#23
PPAExp	#100	#4
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#7
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#19
TackleTak	-	#81

Oklahoma Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#85
PPAExp	#127	#20
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#85
F7 HavocF7	#129	#1
DB HavocDB	#9	#3

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Oklahoma -5.5 (52.5)
Ole Miss won at Oklahoma this year (34-26)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Oklahoma last year (34-26)
Ole Miss beat Oklahoma in 2024 (26-14)

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)	294	445	66%	3937	22	3	8.8
Austin Simmons	45	75	60%	744	4	5	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)	306	1567	24	5.1	73
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)	133	527	8	4.0	41
Logan Diggs	33	189	4	5.7	51
Damien Taylor (Tr)	28	130	2	4.6	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)	61	934	4	15.3	55
De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr)	55	811	6	14.7	75
Deuce Alexander (Tr)	44	684	2	15.5	88
Cayden Lee	44	635	3	14.4	62

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
TJ Dottery	98	6	2	1	2
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
Wydett Williams (Tr)	73	1	0	0	9
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)	45	13	9	13	1
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wydett Williams (Tr)	73	1	0	0	9
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Kapena Gushiken (Tr)	55	1	0	1	5

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Mateer (Tr)	247	397	62%	2885	14	11	7.3
Michael Hawkins Jr.	15	27	56%	167	3	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Blaylock	120	482	4	4.0	25
John Mateer (Tr)	149	431	8	2.9	51
Xavier Robinson	83	421	4	5.1	65
Jadyn Ott	21	68	0	3.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)	65	949	8	14.6	87
Deion Burks	57	620	4	10.9	45
Jaren Kanak	44	533	0	12.1	48
Keontez Lewis (Tr)	21	243	2	11.6	28

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Owen Heinecke	74	12	3	2	4
Robert Spears-Jennings	59	2	0	0	2
Kendal Daniels (Tr)	54	10	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Wein	39	15	7	6	1
R Mason Thomas	26	10	7	3	1
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Gracen Halton	33	7	4	7	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Courtland Guillory	41	1	0	1	7
Peyton Bowen	46	1	0	1	7
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4