Ole Miss at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#8)Ole Miss Rebels at Oklahoma Sooners(#13)Oklahoma logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -5.5 (52.5) (-198)  Open: -2.5
Ole Miss 34 - Oklahoma: 26  (SEC)

 
Rebels (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Golding (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 38 - 20 (34 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Predicted
MISS 2nd straight Road Game
OKLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -0  (SP+ MISS -3.5)

Projected Score: MISS: 26 - OKLA: 26 (52)
OKLA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
MISS Travel: 452 miles
Sooners (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia State-38.562.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Ole Miss at Kentucky-8.051.5W 30 - 23ON
Sat 9/13 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-3.560.5W 41 - 35OY
Sat 9/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-12.561.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Ole Miss vs LSU-2.557.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Ole Miss vs Washington State-33.558.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/18 Ole Miss at Georgia+7.556.5L 35 - 43ON
Sat 10/25 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+5.552.5W 34 - 26OY
Sat 11/1 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-12.555.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 11/8 Ole Miss vs The Citadel-51.563.5W 49 - 0UN
Sat 11/15 Ole Miss vs Florida-10.553.5W 34 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-7.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 12/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-17.557.5W 41 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Ole Miss vs Georgia+6.053.5W 39 - 34OY
Thu 1/8 Ole Miss vs Miami-2.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.547.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-46.553.5W 44 - 0UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas+2.544.5L 6 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-4.542.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-5.552.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee+3.055.5W 33 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+6.545.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-4.542.5W 17 - 6UY
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-11.536.5W 17 - 13UN
Fri 12/19 Oklahoma vs Alabama-1.542.0L 24 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#12 (.32)48% (17)37.645% (58)2.77 (104)17251% (5)2904.71 (9)#51 (.12)40% (49)20.444% (82)37% (24)2.94 (16)50.30.90.9
OKLA#109 (.1)40% (103)26.238% (115)2.71 (112)11941% (72)2363.77 (62)#5 ()32% (3)15.530% (1)34% (10)2.62 (8)61.21.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1437.634.347.9%4.710.9244621722904.652%47%45%51%13%.32
OKLA Defense1315.51532.1%2.621 - - - - - 44%54%30%34%23%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1420.427.839.8%2.940.9 - - - - - 50%49%44%37%17%.12
OKLA Offense1326.226.439.7%3.771.2193551192363.645%53%38%41%17%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1427:2123.945%69%5.450.30.90.94.91.9028.5
Oklahoma1329:4418.539%57%6.861.21.219.53.5131.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1452% (46)45% (58)37.2171.84.636 (11).15 (48)2.77 (104)80% (21)8% (29)0.98 (61)
OKLA Defense1344% (12)30% (1) - - - - -.06 (6)2.03 (2)65% (26)16% (2)1.08 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1450% (67)44% (82) - - - - .2 (120)3.12 (105)67% (42)10% (61)1.1 (125)
OKLA Offense1345% (104)38% (115)33.3118.73.618 (60) (123)2.71 (112)64% (116)10% (77)0.92 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1447% (84)51% (5)20.531.3290.19.314.223 (50)8 (60).49 (6)1.6 (50)28% (22)39% (6).6 (4)6% (50)2.2 (14)
OKLA Defense1354% (125)34% (10) - - - - - - 9 (100).09 (12)1.5 (46)37% (10)26% (20).22 (38)6% (49)2 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1449% (76)37% (24) - - - - - - 8 (100).1 (14)1.5 (49)33% (47)28% (56).23 (46)7% (41)2.1 (90)
OKLA Offense1353% (33)41% (72)20.433.2235.87.111.617 (75)11 (88).21 (94)1.5 (85)33% (105)28% (91).25 (93)7% (106)2.2 (10)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 26.52  #8
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 21.98  #16
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: -5.48  #12
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40%  #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.8  #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #8
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 26.52   Oklahoma: 24.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 22.8   Oklahoma: 19.3




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 24.795  #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 13.79  #46
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -11.52  #2
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51  #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.3  #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9  #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 26
Oklahoma 26


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma 31
Ole Miss 22

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 26
Oklahoma 25

Total Points: 51
Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Oklahoma26Ole Miss34Oklahoma -5.5Ole Miss52.5Over
202410/26Ole Miss26Oklahoma14Ole Miss -19Oklahoma50.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma011 Overs
Ole Miss211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#8) MISS at (#11) OKLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSOKLA
Power RatePwr #8 #11
SP+SP+ #7 #13
Perf GradeGrade #17 #37
OffenseOff #22 #92
DefenseDef #37 #12
Spec TeamsST #24 #43
TalentTal #33 #10
Blue ChipsBC% #18 #15
Ole Miss Notes
(12/9) Hired OC John David Baker (ECU). Decent hire
(12/1) Hired DC Pete Golding after Kiffin left for LSU
(10/19) Def torched by UGA, 500 yds. Run Def concerning
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
Ole Miss Injury Report
Oklahoma Notes
(11/16) Def, Turnovers, clutch play. Off isn't good
(10/19) RBs had 159 yds vs SC, better. F7 best in SEC
(10/12) RBs avg 71 yards pg, 127th in CFB, next to last P4
(9/23) QB Mateer had surgery on his thumb, out weeks
(9/21) DL is top 3 in CFB. 10 sacks vs Auburn, wreckers
(9/20) Run Off bad, but Run Def great vs AU. Big win
(9/7) OL help up well vs Mich, Mateer is dynamic
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
Oklahoma Injury Report
Ole Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffOKLA Def
Perf GradePerf #22 #12
SuccessSuc #17 #3
ExplosiveExp #38 #109
PPAPPA #12 #5
PowerPwr #16 #2
SP+SP+ #8 #3
Pts POPPO #9 #8
HavocHav #36 #3
Ole Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffOKLA Def
Run GameRun #15 #19
Run SuccessRSuc #58 #1
Run ExplRExp #61 #119
PPAExp #48 #6
Run BlockR Blk #101 -
OL YdsOLY #104 #2
Stuff RateStuff #109 #2
TackleTak -  #33
Ole Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePass #32 #25
Pass SuccessPSuc #5 #10
Pass ExplPExl #50 #46
PPAExp #6 #12
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #26 #14
F7 HavocF7 #29 #2
DB HavocDB #50 #49
Oklahoma on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffMISS Def
Perf GradePerf #92 #37
SuccessSuc #103 #49
ExplosiveExp #61 #85
PPAPPA #109 #51
PowerPwr #46 #12
SP+SP+ #51 #17
Pts POPPO #62 #16
HavocHav #95 #53
Oklahoma Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #91 #26
Run SuccessRSuc #115 #82
Run ExplRExp #86 #125
PPAExp #123 #120
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLY #112 #105
Stuff RateStuff #117 #86
TackleTak -  #31
Oklahoma Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #110 #63
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #24
Pass ExplPExl #85 #49
PPAExp #94 #14
Pass Block/RushP Blk #23 #89
F7 HavocF7 #77 #61
DB HavocDB #106 #41
Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.213
Rematch from Week 9
Oklahoma -5.5 (52.5)
Ole Miss won at Oklahoma this year (34-26)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Oklahoma last year (26-14)

  
MISS's OC TBD (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)24136267%32981939.1
Austin Simmons457560%744459.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)2731366215.059
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)12450684.141
Logan Diggs2917946.251
Deuce Alexander (Tr)1812306.831
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)48738315.455
Deuce Alexander (Tr)41664216.288
De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr)43612614.275
Dae'Quan Wright34553416.364

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Dottery835112
Suntarine Perkins6892114
Wydett Williams (Tr)601008
Kamarion Franklin5774142
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)34128131
William Echoles579563
Kamarion Franklin5774142
Zxavian Harris468362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams (Tr)601008
Kapena Gushiken (Tr)501015
Suntarine Perkins6892114

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)24739762%288514117.3
Michael Hawkins Jr.152756%167306.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock12048244.025
John Mateer (Tr)14943182.951
Xavier Robinson8342145.165
Jadyn Ott216803.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)65949814.687
Deion Burks57620410.945
Jaren Kanak44533012.148
Keontez Lewis (Tr)21243211.628

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Brent Venables (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kip Lewis7611444
Owen Heinecke7412324
Robert Spears-Jennings592002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)5410123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Wein3915761
R Mason Thomas2610731
Kip Lewis7611444
Gracen Halton337472
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtland Guillory411017
Peyton Bowen461017
Kip Lewis7611444