Ole Miss at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#13)Ole Miss Rebels at Oklahoma Sooners(#11)Oklahoma logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium - Norman, OK  (SEC)

 
Rebels (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 45 - 22 (30 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
MISS 2nd straight Road Game
OKLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -6.5   (SP+ MISS -1)

Projected Score: MISS: 22 - OKLA: 28 (50)
OKLA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 452 miles
Sooners (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 34 - 6 (30 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia State-38.562.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Ole Miss at Kentucky-8.051.5W 30 - 23ON
Sat 9/13 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-3.560.5W 41 - 35OY
Sat 9/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-11.561.5
Sat 9/27 Ole Miss vs LSU-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Ole Miss vs Washington State-33
Sat 10/18 Ole Miss at Georgia+6.5
Sat 10/25 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+6.5
Sat 11/1 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-13
Sat 11/8 Ole Miss vs The Citadel-46.5
Sat 11/15 Ole Miss vs Florida-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-6

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.548.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-49
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas-0
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-11.5
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-6.5
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+5
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-6

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#22 (.38)55% (17)44.752% (30)2.76 (90)21458% (9)3315.25 (24)#115 (.26)40% (75)21.747% (104)33% (33)3 (50)66.71.30.7
OKLA#29 (.34)49% (36)33.751% (37)3.17 (47)15648% (41)3165.36 (19)#15 (-.05)25% (4)6.333% (25)16% (1)1.5 (7)361.70
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense344.73054.5%5.251.326544214331558%41%52%58%14%.38
OKLA Defense36.3825.3%1.50 - - - - - 53%47%33%16%19%-.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense321.72340.2%30.7 - - - - - 53%47%47%33%15%.26
OKLA Offense333.729.548.8%5.361.7254731563164.151%48%51%48%14%.34

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss327:102650%100%7.366.71.30.73.71.3028.3
Oklahoma332:282548%75%4.7361.7082.3021.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense358% (24)52% (30)43213.7510 (10).18 (53)2.76 (90)85% (26)7% (45)0.79 (110)
OKLA Defense353% (95)33% (25) - - - - .09 (80)2.67 (55)60% (34)13% (36)1.22 (116)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense353% (97)47% (104) - - - - .38 (131)3.57 (132)89% (119)6% (125)1.29 (122)
OKLA Offense351% (65)51% (37)38156.34.18 (26).23 (42)3.17 (47)67% (86)10% (88)0.96 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense341% (113)58% (9)19.730.3330.710.916.86 (34)4 (121).74 (5)1.8 (21)25% (21)46% (14).68 (20)6% (100)2 (65)
OKLA Defense347% (45)16% (1) - - - - - - 0-.21 (6)1.8 (119)38% (16)11% (5)-.09 (11)6% (66)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense347% (42)33% (33) - - - - - - 1 (87).12 (40)1.7 (101)37% (27)28% (60).34 (89)9% (20)2.4 (124)
OKLA Offense348% (72)48% (41)2436316.38.813.25 (54)3 (92).47 (32)1.7 (37)26% (29)48% (6).88 (4)4% (45)2.2 (32)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 23.36 #21
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 23.36   Oklahoma: 29.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 22.6   Oklahoma: 21.8




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 29.405 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.06 #16
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -8.00 #6
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #21
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 28
Ole Miss 22


Total Points: 50

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 6.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Ole Miss26Oklahoma14Ole MissOle Miss -19Oklahoma50.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma010 Overs
Ole Miss101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#21) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 23.36 #21
Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.25 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 58%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ole Miss has lost 4 straight
Ole Miss has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Ole Miss Notes
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(9/13) QB Simmons out vs Ark, Chambliss starting
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
(6/2) WR has 5 players with 400+ yds, 4 are portals
(5/19) Kiffin & OC Weis Jr want to push tempo TY
(5/19) RB D Taylor (1k LY, Troy) added post spring
(5/19) OL rebuild 1/5. 5 portal adds (3 P5/2 G5).
(5/19) Def rebuild. DL talent is good, 8 DB portals!?
(5/11) OL bottom 1/3 in exp & 62% comes from portals

Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss in Undefeated

Ole Miss has Really Good Running Game (#25)
Ole Miss offense is efficent (#17)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Ole Miss Secondary is very good (#20)

Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Ole Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#113)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)
Ole Miss has a bad defensive line (#132)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOKLAMISS
OverallOver#25#48
OffenseOff#26#48
DefenseDef#21#65
Special TeamsST#50#68
PassingPass#27#57
RushingRush#25#22
Run BlockRBLK#80#95
Pass BlockPBLK#15#89
Route RunningWR Rt#19#20
TacklingTkl#52#81
Run DefenseR Def#49#58
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#107
Coverage DefCov#13#41

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Oklahoma last year (26-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MISS | OKLA
Depth Chart: MISS | OKLA
Rosters: MISS | OKLA
(#7) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 29.405 #7
Offense Rating: 26.06 #16
Defense Rating: -8.00 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #15
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.36 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 25%
Great in Scoring Position 1.5 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 16%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oklahoma has lost 4 straight
Oklahoma has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma Notes
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT Gracen Halton a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/24) Portal WR Gibson(Ak PB)/Lewis(S Ill) exciting
(3/20) Word is Mateer a great fit, and a real leader.
(3/18) QB1 Mateer w/ new OC Arbuckle (WSU)
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 but awful LY. Must improve

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma in Undefeated
Oklahoma is Undefeated at Home

Oklahoma offense is good in red zone (#19)
Oklahoma offense is good on 3rd downs
Oklahoma has a really good defense (#4)
Oklahoma defense is really good in red zone (#7)
Oklahoma has a good run defense (#25)
Oklahoma has a good pass defense (#1)
Oklahoma defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Oklahoma gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#111)


  
Ole Miss's OC Charlie Weis Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Simmons345661%5804410.4
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)253571%4122011.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)6129054.842
Logan Diggs997110.851
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)228323.817
Austin Simmons166914.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)15339222.655
Deuce Alexander (Tr)10155015.535
Dae'Quan Wright5142128.464
Cayden Lee696016.062

View Ole Miss's Full Roster
Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Dottery231002
Jaden Yates (Tr)180000
Zxavian Harris174221
Kamarion Franklin140030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zxavian Harris174221
William Echoles111120
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)72110
TJ Dottery231002
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams (Tr)121004
Nick Cull80003
TJ Dottery231002

Oklahoma's OC Ben Arbuckle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)7110568%944539.0
Michael Hawkins Jr.1333%5001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock3116835.425
John Mateer (Tr)3316144.951
Jovantae Barnes184512.510
Xavier Robinson134303.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaren Kanak14245017.548
Deion Burks17225213.234
Keontez Lewis (Tr)15181212.128
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)11141012.836

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Brent Venables
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Kip Lewis131001
Kobie McKinzie121020
Owen Heinecke112002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Taylor Wein83210
Wyatt Gilmore11100
Michael Boganowski41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Owen Heinecke112002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)83001