Notre Dame at Georgia - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#10)Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Georgia Bulldogs(#3)

Thursday, January 2nd 2025 (4:00 PM EST)
Notre Dame -1.5 (46.5) (-115) Open: -1.5 | 44.5
Notre Dame 23 - Georgia: 10 (CFP Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl - Rescheduled from Jan 1)

Fighting Irish (14 - 2) (13 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (46 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Notre Dame -1 (SP+ UGA -0)
Projected Score: ND: 27 - UGA: 26 (54)
ND Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ND Travel: 840 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ND Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Notre Dame's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Notre Dame at Texas A&M	+3.0	47.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Notre Dame vs Northern Illinois	-28.5	46.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/14	Notre Dame at Purdue	-11.5	45.5	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)	-27.5	44.0	W 28 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/28	Notre Dame vs Louisville	-6.5	45.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Notre Dame vs Stanford	-22.5	45.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech	-14.0	49.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Notre Dame vs Navy	-14.0	50.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Notre Dame vs Florida State	-25.5	44.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Notre Dame vs Virginia	-20.5	51.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Notre Dame vs Army	-14.5	44.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Notre Dame at USC	-6.5	52.5	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Notre Dame vs Indiana	-7.0	50.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Notre Dame vs Georgia	-1.5	46.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/9	Notre Dame vs Penn State	+1.5	45.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Mon 1/20	Notre Dame vs Ohio State	+8.5	45.5	L 23 - 34	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

Georgia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia vs Clemson	-10.5	49.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia vs Tennessee Tech	-54.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia at Kentucky	-24.0	45.0	W 13 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia at Alabama	-2.0	50.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Georgia vs Auburn	-21.0	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia vs Mississippi State	-34.0	53.5	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/19	Georgia at Texas	+4.0	57.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Georgia vs Florida	-14.5	52.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/9	Georgia at Ole Miss	-1.5	54.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Georgia vs Massachusetts	-42.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	48.5	W 44 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/7	Georgia vs Texas	+2.5	50.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Georgia vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	L 10 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)	36.1	47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)	15.5	43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)	31.5	46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)	20.6	39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)		47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)		43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Offense	16	36.1	46	47%	4.8	0.8	17	341	181	160	6.3	53%	47%	47%	47%	11%	.32
UGA Defense	14	20.6	21.2	38.8%	3.22	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	38%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Defense	16	15.5	18.3	36.4%	2.75	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	43%	29%	19%	-.02
UGA Offense	14	31.5	42.3	46.6%	4.68	1.3	21	385	121	264	4.3	43%	57%	46%	47%	15%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Notre Dame	16	24:34	16.8	39%	76%	4.8	42.4	0.8	1.8	4	2.1	5	33.2
Georgia	14	27:43	20.6	41%	75%	5.4	51.1	1.3	1.4	6.1	2.6	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Offense	16	53% (46)	47% (26)	28.6	181.3	6.3	42 (3)	.36 (2)	3.31 (24)	73% (71)	8% (26)	1.3 (1)
UGA Defense	14	49% (48)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	.1 (59)	2.81 (39)	80% (107)	12% (21)	0.96 (53)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Defense	16	51% (78)	43% (73)	-	-	-	-	.1 (58)	2.9 (49)	67% (29)	10% (57)	0.85 (12)
UGA Offense	14	43% (112)	46% (46)	28.1	120.6	4.3	24 (45)	.12 (76)	2.91 (91)	73% (67)	9% (47)	0.88 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Offense	16	47% (89)	47% (21)	14.9	22.4	159.9	7.2	10.8	20 (58)	6 (10)	.29 (50)	1.3 (133)	28% (19)	32% (58)	.45 (22)	3% (6)	2.1 (50)
UGA Defense	14	51% (89)	38% (37)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.17 (37)	1.6 (59)	35% (27)	26% (13)	.23 (36)	5% (110)	2.1 (86)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Defense	16	48% (59)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-	-	18 (4)	-.15 (1)	1.6 (67)	34% (29)	27% (24)	.1 (2)	8% (6)	1.6 (2)
UGA Offense	14	57% (22)	47% (16)	22.6	34.4	264.3	7.7	11.7	28 (15)	13 (103)	.34 (31)	1.5 (111)	28% (15)	36% (19)	.39 (47)	7% (95)	1.8 (127)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 24.66 #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.66 Georgia: 23.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 23.9 Georgia: 24.3

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 23.53 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 46
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 7
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Notre Dame 27
Georgia 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 33
Notre Dame 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 31
Georgia 27

Total Points: 58

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	01/02	Georgia	10	Notre Dame	23	Notre Dame -1.5	Notre Dame	46.5	Under
2019	09/21	Georgia	23	Notre Dame	17	Georgia -15.5	Notre Dame	58.5	Under
2017	09/09	Notre Dame	19	Georgia	20	Notre Dame -5.5	Georgia	57.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	2	1	0 Overs
Notre Dame	1	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	3 - 0	1 - 0	2 - 0

Notre Dame Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	CFP Nat'l Title	Notre Dame vs Ohio State	+8.5	45.5	L 23 - 34
2024	CFP Semifinal	Notre Dame vs Penn State	+1.5	45.5	W 27 - 24
2024	CFP Quarterfinal	Notre Dame vs Georgia	-1.5	46.5	W 23 - 10
2024	CFP 1st Round	Notre Dame vs Indiana	-7.0	50.0	W 27 - 17
2023	Sun Bowl	Notre Dame vs Oregon State	-5.5	40.5	W 40 - 8
2022	Gator Bowl	Notre Dame vs South Carolina	-5.0	50.5	W 45 - 38
2021	Fiesta Bowl	Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State	+1.5	45.5	L 35 - 37
2020	CFP Semifinal	Notre Dame vs Alabama	+20.0	66.0	L 14 - 31
2019	World Bowl	Notre Dame vs Iowa State	-4.0	55.0	W 33 - 9
2018	CFP Semifinal	Notre Dame vs Clemson	+10.5	58.0	L 3 - 30

Georgia Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	CFP Quarterfinal	Georgia vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	L 10 - 23
2023	Orange Bowl	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3
2022	CFP Nat'l Title	Georgia vs TCU	-13.5	62.0	W 65 - 7
2022	CFP Semifinal	Georgia vs Ohio State	-5.5	62.0	W 42 - 41
2021	CFP Nat'l Title	Georgia vs Alabama	-3.0	53.5	W 33 - 18
2021	CFP Semifinal	Georgia vs Michigan	-7.5	47.0	W 34 - 11
2020	Peach Bowl	Georgia vs Cincinnati	-7.0	50.0	W 24 - 21
2019	Sugar Bowl	Georgia vs Baylor	-4.0	44.0	W 26 - 14
2018	Sugar Bowl	Georgia vs Texas	-12.0	59.0	L 21 - 28

(#5) ND at (#7) UGA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ND	UGA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#5	#7
SP+SP+	#8	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#10	#19
OffenseOff	#11	#32
DefenseDef	#10	#22
Spec TeamsST	#5	#59
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#8	#3

Notre Dame Injury Report

Georgia Notes(11/30) Mauled by GT. Beck/Refs great comeback. D bad
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne
(7/30) Only 4 road games, only Tenn test @ home.
Georgia Injury Report

Notre Dame on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ND Off	UGA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#11	#22
SuccessSuc	#22	#32
ExplosiveExp	#35	#64
PPAPPA	#8	#49
PowerPwr	#24	#25
SP+SP+	#4	#9
Pts POPPO	#5	#19
HavocHav	#8	#57

Notre Dame Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ND Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#4	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	#26	#34
Run ExplRExp	#1	#53
PPAExp	#2	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#13	-
OL YdsOLY	#24	#39
Stuff RateStuff	#36	#59
TackleTak	-	#14

Notre Dame Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ND Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#21	#37
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#59
PPAExp	#50	#37
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#59	#51
F7 HavocF7	#26	#21
DB HavocDB	#6	#110

Georgia on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	ND Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#10
SuccessSuc	#25	#8
ExplosiveExp	#97	#14
PPAPPA	#37	#1
PowerPwr	#13	#2
SP+SP+	#10	#7
Pts POPPO	#12	#4
HavocHav	#60	#25

Georgia Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	ND Def
Run GameRun	#24	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#73
Run ExplRExp	#109	#12
PPAExp	#76	#58
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#91	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#89
TackleTak	-	#9

Georgia Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	ND Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	#16	#1
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#67
PPAExp	#31	#1
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#15
F7 HavocF7	#47	#57
DB HavocDB	#95	#6

Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 58° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Notre Dame 1.5 (46.5)
Notre Dame won at Georgia this year (23-10)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Georgia last year (23-10)

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Riley Leonard (Tr)	269	403	67%	2861	21	8	7.1
Steven Angeli	24	36	67%	268	3	0	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiyah Love	163	1124	17	6.9	98
Riley Leonard (Tr)	184	906	17	4.9	50
Jadarian Price	120	746	7	6.2	70
Aneyas Williams	34	219	2	6.4	58

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Greathouse	42	592	4	14.1	54
Beaux Collins (Tr)	41	490	3	12.0	53
Mitchell Evans	43	421	3	9.8	33
Jordan Faison	30	356	1	11.9	44

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Kiser	90	5	2	3	1
Xavier Watts	83	4	0	4	9
Drayk Bowen	78	4	1	2	2
Adon Shuler	59	3	0	2	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rylie Mills	37	9	8	4	0
Howard Cross III	27	5	4	3	1
Donovan Hinish	34	4	4	4	1
Junior Tuihalamaka	32	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Leonard Moore	48	2	1	11
Xavier Watts	83	4	4	9
Christian Gray	35	3	0	9

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	290	448	65%	3485	28	12	7.8
Gunner Stockton	45	64	70%	440	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Frazier	133	671	8	5.0	40
Trevor Etienne (Tr)	122	609	9	5.0	48
Dillon Bell	9	107	1	11.9	33
Branson Robinson	25	73	3	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Arian Smith	48	817	4	17.0	67
Dominic Lovett	59	607	6	10.3	38
Dillon Bell	43	466	4	10.8	67
Lawson Luckie	24	348	3	14.5	37

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	0	3
C.J. Allen	76	3	0	5	4
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	0	3
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chaz Chambliss	41	10	7	2	0
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2
Mykel Williams	21	9	5	3	1
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
C.J. Allen	76	3	5	4
Julian Humphrey	10	0	0	4
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	3