South Carolina at Ole Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Carolina logo South Carolina Gamecocks at Ole Miss Rebels(#7)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -12.5 (55.5) (-500)  Open: -13.5
Ole Miss 30 - South Carolina: 14  (SEC)

 
Gamecocks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (29 - 21)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
SC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -16.5  (SP+ MISS -18)

Projected Score: SC: 17 - MISS: 34 (51)
MISS Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
SC Travel: 487 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rebels (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
South Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 South Carolina vs Virginia Tech-8.548.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 South Carolina vs South Carolina State-43.054.0W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/13 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-3.048.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 South Carolina at Missouri+10.048.5L 20 - 29OY
Sat 9/27 South Carolina vs Kentucky-5.546.5W 35 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 South Carolina at LSU+8.544.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 South Carolina vs Oklahoma+4.542.5L 7 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 South Carolina vs Alabama+11.547.5L 22 - 29OY
Sat 11/1 South Carolina at Ole Miss+12.555.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Carolina at Texas A&M+16.549.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 11/22 South Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-24.050.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 South Carolina vs Clemson-2.545.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia State-38.562.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Ole Miss at Kentucky-8.051.5W 30 - 23ON
Sat 9/13 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-3.560.5W 41 - 35OY
Sat 9/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-12.561.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Ole Miss vs LSU-2.557.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Ole Miss vs Washington State-33.558.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/18 Ole Miss at Georgia+7.556.5L 35 - 43ON
Sat 10/25 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+5.552.5W 34 - 26OY
Sat 11/1 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-12.555.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 11/8 Ole Miss vs The Citadel-51.563.5W 49 - 0UN
Sat 11/15 Ole Miss vs Florida-10.553.5W 34 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-7.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 12/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-17.557.5W 41 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Ole Miss vs Georgia+6.053.5W 39 - 34OY
Thu 1/8 Ole Miss vs Miami+3.052.5L 27 - 31ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#109 (.1)37% (118)22.739% (107)2.89 (77)11236% (120)2252.61 (134)#30 (.09)42% (67)22.139% (39)44% (106)3.15 (29)57.31.51.8
MISS#14 (.3)48% (16)36.945% (52)2.79 (100)17751% (7)3134.44 (19)#57 (.13)40% (51)21.143% (77)38% (29)3.1 (23)52.40.91
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Offense1222.718.537.2%2.611.5183371122253.349%50%39%36%20%.1
MISS Defense1521.115.640%3.11 - - - - - 50%48%43%38%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Defense1222.127.541.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 51%47%39%44%16%.09
MISS Offense1536.93947.8%4.440.9254901773134.650%49%45%51%13%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina1227:5817.732%50%7.357.31.51.85.31.8426.6
Ole Miss1528:4525.443%68%5.552.40.915.52.2028.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Offense1249% (73)39% (107)34111.63.314 (107).09 (81)2.89 (77)62% (124)14% (132)1.07 (30)
MISS Defense1550% (68)43% (77) - - - - .19 (116)3.11 (105)70% (59)10% (57)1.08 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Defense1251% (86)39% (39) - - - - -.06 (8)2.7 (31)68% (42)10% (49)0.88 (24)
MISS Offense1550% (64)45% (52)38.1176.74.639 (11).15 (49)2.79 (100)78% (25)7% (21)0.96 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Offense1250% (63)36% (120)17.428.5225.37.912.913 (121)11 (60).17 (109)1.7 (30)36% (131)24% (127).14 (125)6% (81)1.8 (119)
MISS Defense1548% (68)38% (29) - - - - - - 9 (100).13 (21)1.6 (64)33% (41)30% (79).29 (67)7% (31)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Defense1247% (54)44% (106) - - - - - - 12 (22).25 (72)1.5 (40)31% (83)29% (68).14 (14)6% (69)1.9 (39)
MISS Offense1549% (65)51% (7)22.734.9313.3913.826 (50)8 (60).46 (8)1.6 (60)28% (19)38% (8).53 (7)6% (72)2.2 (23)

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 12.09  #32
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.51  #49
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.42  #20
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 36%  #20
South Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2  #51
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #85
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #28

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 12.09   Ole Miss: 24.98

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 5.2   Ole Miss: 22.8




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 24.98  #9
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.65  #7
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 4.49  #21
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40  #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.8  #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #8
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

South Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 34
South Carolina 17


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 24
South Carolina 19

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 32
South Carolina 20

Total Points: 52
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record at home: 9 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Ole Miss30South Carolina14Ole Miss -12.5Ole Miss55.5Under
202410/05South Carolina3Ole Miss27Ole Miss -10Ole Miss53.0Under
202011/14Ole Miss59South Carolina42Ole Miss -12.5Ole Miss73.0Over
201811/03Ole Miss44South Carolina48Ole Miss -2South Carolina70.0Over
200909/24South Carolina16Ole Miss10
200810/04Ole Miss24South Carolina31
200410/09South Carolina28Ole Miss31
200311/01Ole Miss43South Carolina40
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss532 Overs
South Carolina312 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 42 - 22 - 10 - 1
Road Teams4 - 42 - 21 - 01 - 2

(#32) SC at (#9) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCMISS
Net PPPPPP #65 #17
Power RatePwr #32 #9
SP+SP+ #51 #7
Perf GradeGrade #95 #12
OffenseOff #108 #9
DefenseDef #44 #41
Spec TeamsST #84 #18
TalentTal #24 #33
Blue ChipsBC% #20 #18
South Carolina Notes
(11/16) Blowing 30-3 lead vs A&M feels like the bottom
(11/2) OC Mike Shula fired after Ole Miss loss
(10/22) Bottom 5 in CFB in Off scoring opportunities
(10/19) Off Success #'s bottom 10 in all CFB. Not improving
(10/19) Scored 44 pts vs 4 SEC games not named UK
(10/12) OL coach Lonnie Teasley fired after LSU game.
(9/22) RB Faison has issues blocking/protecting
(9/21) Run Off is awful, Run Def run over by Mizzu
(9/21) 51 car, 77 yds in SEC play, 431 rush yds allowed
(9/15) Sellers left Vandy game (concussion), ? Mizzu
(8/26) RB Faison (USU) cleared by NCAA to play TY
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 51% is via portals
South Carolina Injury Report
Ole Miss Notes
(12/9) Hired OC John David Baker (ECU). Decent hire
(12/1) Hired DC Pete Golding after Kiffin left for LSU
(10/19) Def torched by UGA, 500 yds. Run Def concerning
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
Ole Miss Injury Report
South Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
SC OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPP #91 #19
Perf GradePerf #108 #41
SuccessSuc #118 #51
ExplosiveExp #19 #96
PPAPPA #109 #57
PowerPwr #49 #21
SP+SP+ #85 #17
Pts POPPO #134 #23
HavocHav #130 #46
South Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
SC OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #116 #18
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #77
Run ExplRExp #30 #120
PPAExp #81 #116
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLY #77 #105
Stuff RateStuff #44 #83
TackleTak -  #81
South Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
SC OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #50 #67
Pass SuccessPSuc #120 #29
Pass ExplPExl #30 #64
PPAExp #109 #21
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #85
F7 HavocF7 #132 #57
DB HavocDB #81 #31
Ole Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMISS OffSC Def
PPPDefPPP #34 #30
Perf GradePerf #9 #44
SuccessSuc #16 #67
ExplosiveExp #42 #36
PPAPPA #14 #30
PowerPwr #7 #20
SP+SP+ #8 #28
Pts POPPO #19 #29
HavocHav #34 #61
Ole Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffSC Def
Run GameRun #14 #25
Run SuccessRSuc #52 #39
Run ExplRExp #66 #24
PPAExp #49 #8
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLY #100 #31
Stuff RateStuff #107 #26
TackleTak -  #53
Ole Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMISS OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #14 #82
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #106
Pass ExplPExl #60 #40
PPAExp #8 #72
Pass Block/RushP Blk #35 #70
F7 HavocF7 #21 #49
DB HavocDB #72 #69
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

SC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 55°
Rematch from Week 10
Ole Miss -12.5 (55.5)
Ole Miss won vs South Carolina this year (30-14)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat South Carolina last year (27-3)

  
SC's OC Mike Shula (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers17829361%24371388.3
Luke Doty193063%153015.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison (Tr)9647034.946
Lanorris Sellers14927051.826
Matthew Fuller7226023.672
Oscar Adaway III4114013.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyck Harbor30618620.680
Vandrevious Jacobs32548417.174
Jayden Sellers22337115.375
Donovan Murph14197114.138

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DQ Smith642001
Justin Okoronkwo (Tr)634021
Fred Johnson624143
Jalon Kilgore5400110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Thomas Jr.40117121
Dylan Stewart3112462
Nick Barrett426211
Jatius Geer133220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalon Kilgore5400110
Vicari Swain281105
Brandon Cisse (Tr)272015

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)29444566%39372238.8
Austin Simmons457560%744459.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)3061567245.173
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)13352784.041
Logan Diggs3318945.751
Damien Taylor (Tr)2813024.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)61934415.355
De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr)55811614.775
Deuce Alexander (Tr)44684215.588
Cayden Lee44635314.462

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Dottery986212
Suntarine Perkins81135125
Wydett Williams (Tr)731009
Kamarion Franklin6995143
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)45139131
Kamarion Franklin6995143
William Echoles6812565
Suntarine Perkins81135125
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams (Tr)731009
Antonio Kite (Tr)330005
William Echoles6812565