Texas at Georgia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#10)Texas Longhorns at Georgia Bulldogs(#5)Georgia logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Georgia -3.5 (50.5) (-180)  Open: -2.5
Georgia 35 - Texas: 10  (SEC)

 
Longhorns (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
TEX coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -11  (SP+ UGA -9)

Projected Score: TEX: 21 - UGA: 32 (52)
UGA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TEX Travel: 877 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulldogs (12 - 2) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (35 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-39.551.5W 55 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4.542.5L 21 - 29ON
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-2.544.5W 23 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.545.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-8.548.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-3.548.5W 34 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+3.550.5L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-10.557.5W 52 - 37OY
Fri 11/28 Texas vs Texas A&M+2.554.5W 27 - 17UY
Wed 12/31 Texas vs Michigan-7.050.0W 41 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-2.553.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-19.548.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn-4.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-7.556.5W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-7.050.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-9.556.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-3.550.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-42.553.5W 35 - 3UN
Fri 11/28 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-15.559.5W 16 - 9UN
Sat 12/6 Georgia vs Alabama-2.547.5W 28 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Georgia vs Ole Miss-6.053.5L 34 - 39ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#66 (.18)40% (96)30.542% (83)2.83 (87)13839% (100)2513.52 (88)#39 (.1)39% (44)20.340% (45)39% (42)3.77 (76)69.70.71.8
UGA#23 (.26)48% (16)32.147% (27)3.08 (44)18248% (17)2204.79 (7)#35 (.1)39% (34)17.638% (17)41% (66)3.67 (70)43.50.90.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense1330.519.840.5%3.520.7193891382514.247%51%42%39%16%.18
UGA Defense1417.614.139.1%3.670.9 - - - - - 44%54%38%41%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1320.325.839.4%3.771.8 - - - - - 44%55%40%39%18%.1
UGA Offense1432.134.647.8%4.790.9244031822204.455%44%47%48%13%.26

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1328:291939%53%8.369.70.71.86.33231.3
Georgia1433:4024.243%75%4.643.50.90.94.11.4029.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1347% (91)42% (83)32.51384.217 (88).08 (82)2.83 (87)63% (116)10% (95)0.94 (79)
UGA Defense1444% (9)38% (17) - - - - -.01 (11)2.53 (12)71% (65)8% (113)0.74 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1344% (13)40% (45) - - - - .01 (19)2.69 (31)57% (4)11% (22)0.84 (13)
UGA Offense1455% (29)47% (27)41.1182.44.431 (16).16 (45)3.08 (44)75% (53)9% (42)0.92 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1351% (48)39% (100)19.832.3250.77.812.628 (50)7 (60).29 (50)1.7 (11)33% (99)33% (38).43 (26)6% (56)2.2 (21)
UGA Defense1454% (127)41% (66) - - - - - - 9 (75).23 (59)1.4 (14)30% (95)24% (11).17 (20)7% (28)2 (50)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1355% (129)39% (42) - - - - - - 16 (12).2 (51)1.5 (38)33% (49)28% (38).22 (40)7% (38)1.8 (21)
UGA Offense1444% (107)48% (17)20.529.8220.27.410.725 (61)7 (20).36 (34)1.4 (127)29% (33)32% (42).35 (49)5% (28)1.9 (109)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 19.09  #19
Texas's Offense Rating: 16.15  #33
Texas's Defense Rating: -2.94  #22
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65%  #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #22
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #38
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 19.09   Georgia: 28.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 14.8   Georgia: 23.4




Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 28.075  #6
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.47  #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: -5.30  #13
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74  #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4  #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #15
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 32
Texas 21


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 31
Texas 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 28
Texas 21

Total Points: 49
Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.1

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Georgia35Texas10Georgia -3.5Georgia50.5Under
202410/19Texas15Georgia30Texas -4Georgia57.0Under
202412/07Texas19Georgia22Texas -2.5Georgia50.5Under
201801/01Georgia21Texas28Georgia -12Texas59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia330 Overs
Texas114 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 31 - 31 - 30 - 0
Road Teams3 - 13 - 10 - 03 - 1

(#19) TEX at (#6) UGA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTEXUGA
Power RatePwr #19 #6
SP+SP+ #22 #6
Perf GradeGrade #14 #12
OffenseOff #30 #21
DefenseDef #22 #30
Spec TeamsST #42 #38
TalentTal #5 #2
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #1
Texas Notes
(12/18) DC Pete Kwiatkowski fired, Will Muschamp hired
(11/2) Manning getting hot, Run Off awful. Big W vs Vandy
(10/31) QB1 Manning will start vs Vandy, was ?
(10/25) Ryan Niblett best PR in CFB, saving Horns season
(10/18) Off only 179 yds in UK win, OG'd by 200+, lucky W
(10/14) RB2 Jerrick Gibson no longer w/ program
(10/9) RB1 CJ Baxter doubtful for OU game
(10/5) The Run Off is horrific & Arch looks lost. Bad vibes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
Texas Injury Report
Georgia Notes
(11/16) Killed Texas, Dawgs peaking. Def inj a concern
(10/20) Top WR Colbie Young out for season (fractured leg)
(10/19) Off torched Ole Miss, 500 yds, Rush Off improved
(10/18) At times playing 2 true Fr at OG vs Ole Miss
(9/30) DL cannot get pressure w/o LBs, have zero sacks
(9/15) Stockton, Off took huge leap in Tenn W.
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
Georgia Injury Report
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffUGA Def
Perf GradePerf #30 #30
SuccessSuc #96 #34
ExplosiveExp #15 #7
PPAPPA #66 #35
PowerPwr #33 #13
SP+SP+ #38 #8
Pts POPPO #88 #70
HavocHav #75 #80
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #78 #6
Run SuccessRSuc #83 #17
Run ExplRExp #79 #1
PPAExp #82 #11
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #87 #12
Stuff RateStuff #120 #49
TackleTak -  #1
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #20 #53
Pass SuccessPSuc #100 #66
Pass ExplPExl #11 #14
PPAExp #50 #59
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #70 #123
F7 HavocF7 #95 #113
DB HavocDB #56 #28
Georgia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatUGA OffTEX Def
Perf GradePerf #21 #22
SuccessSuc #16 #44
ExplosiveExp #128 #28
PPAPPA #23 #39
PowerPwr #4 #22
SP+SP+ #15 #17
Pts POPPO #7 #76
HavocHav #35 #24
Georgia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #26 #13
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #45
Run ExplRExp #85 #13
PPAExp #45 #19
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLY #44 #31
Stuff RateStuff #94 #33
TackleTak -  #18
Georgia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatUGA OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #22 #50
Pass SuccessPSuc #17 #42
Pass ExplPExl #127 #38
PPAExp #34 #51
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #8
F7 HavocF7 #42 #22
DB HavocDB #28 #38
Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 63°
Rematch from Week 12
Georgia -3.5 (50.5)
Georgia won vs Texas this year (35-10)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Texas last year (22-19)

  
TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning24840461%31632677.8
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)81173%85107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner13159734.648
Arch Manning92399104.360
Christian Clark5523624.322
CJ Baxter Jr.5419603.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo54834715.475
DeAndre Moore Jr.38532414.046
Parker Livingstone29516617.883
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)28408314.640

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jelani McDonald804013
Michael Taaffe701101
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Liona Lefau682003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons431612152
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Brad Spence (Tr)216320
Ethan Burke407321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kade Phillips222006
Graceson Littleton463006
Malik Muhammad303114

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton26938670%28942457.5
Ryan Puglisi162759%161126.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier17394765.559
Chauncey Bowens10352665.143
Gunner Stockton129462103.622
Dwight Phillips Jr.3521016.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)81811610.047
Colbie Young26358113.845
London Humphreys18276315.336
Dillon Bell2726829.936

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen888424
KJ Bolden773005
Raylen Wilson747231
Chris Cole617502
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Cole617502
C.J. Allen888424
Quintavius Johnson346235
Zayden Walker62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylen Everette480018
Ellis Robinson IV201007
Quintavius Johnson346235