Texas at Georgia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#10)Texas Longhorns at Georgia Bulldogs(#5)Georgia logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Georgia -6.5 (49.5) (-238)  Open: -2.5
Sanford Stadium - Athens, GA  (SEC)

 
Longhorns (7 - 2) (2 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 16 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
TEX coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -6.5  (SP+ UGA -2)

Projected Score: TEX: 23 - UGA: 29 (52)
UGA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
TEX Travel: 877 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulldogs (8 - 1) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (34 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-39.551.5W 55 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4.542.5L 21 - 29ON
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-2.544.5W 23 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.545.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-8.548.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-3.548.5W 34 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+6.549.5
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-12
Fri 11/28 Texas vs Texas A&M+2.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-2.553.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-19.548.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn-4.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-7.556.5W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-7.050.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-9.556.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-6.549.5
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-48
Fri 11/28 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-6

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#95 (.14)40% (104)29.642% (82)2.91 (74)13638% (108)2463.23 (110)#21 (.06)38% (27)16.436% (17)40% (58)3.29 (36)66.10.81.7
UGA#25 (.29)50% (11)33.449% (18)3.11 (39)19851% (8)2394.75 (12)#58 (.13)40% (44)19.837% (21)43% (86)4.28 (116)46.210.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense929.622.340%3.230.8193821362463.948%51%42%38%15%.14
UGA Defense919.817.239.7%4.280.8 - - - - - 49%50%37%43%13%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense916.423.538.5%3.291.7 - - - - - 44%55%36%40%19%.06
UGA Offense933.434.450.2%4.751264371982394.756%44%49%51%12%.29

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas929:2818.641%42%8.166.10.81.76.73.6231.9
Georgia932:4425.647%73%546.210.83.81.1028.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense948% (87)42% (82)34.4135.73.911 (88).05 (100)2.91 (74)68% (103)10% (89)0.84 (119)
UGA Defense949% (63)37% (21) - - - - .02 (26)2.58 (21)74% (86)7% (123)0.84 (18)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense944% (11)36% (17) - - - - -.1 (4)2.34 (7)41% (1)13% (10)0.71 (1)
UGA Offense956% (25)49% (18)41.7197.64.722 (16).19 (32)3.11 (39)65% (116)8% (28)0.92 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense951% (54)38% (108)19.731.2246.17.912.519 (50)6 (60).23 (77)1.7 (22)32% (76)31% (59).39 (43)5% (38)2.1 (41)
UGA Defense950% (80)43% (86) - - - - - - 4 (75).26 (74)1.4 (12)30% (90)26% (27).3 (76)6% (68)2 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense955% (128)40% (58) - - - - - - 9 (12).21 (56)1.5 (44)33% (53)27% (36).18 (28)7% (46)1.7 (13)
UGA Offense944% (110)51% (8)20.930.6239.17.811.516 (61)4 (20).38 (34)1.3 (128)26% (11)34% (41).35 (57)4% (21)1.8 (111)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 21.74  #17
Texas's Offense Rating: 14.45  #42
Texas's Defense Rating: -7.29  #8
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65%  #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3  #13
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #42
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7  #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 21.74   Georgia: 26.31

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 18.3   Georgia: 20.2




Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 26.31  #9
Georgia's Offense Rating: 30.11  #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: -1.03  #27
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74  #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.2  #10
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0  #14
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #12

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.3
Defense: 16.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 29
Texas 23


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 31
Texas 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 27
Texas 22

Total Points: 49
Georgia Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 1
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Texas15Georgia30Texas -4Georgia57.0Under
202412/07Texas19Georgia22Texas -2.5Georgia50.5Under
201801/01Georgia21Texas28Georgia -12Texas59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia220 Overs
Texas113 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 30 - 30 - 30 - 0
Road Teams3 - 03 - 00 - 03 - 0

(#17) TEX at (#9) UGA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTEXUGA
Power RatePwr #17 #9
SP+SP+ #13 #10
Perf GradeGrade #12 #18
OffenseOff #39 #13
DefenseDef #10 #48
Spec TeamsST #44 #38
TalentTal #5 #2
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #1
Texas Notes
(11/2) Manning getting hot, Run Off awful. Big W vs Vandy
(10/31) QB1 Manning will start vs Vandy, was ?
(10/25) Ryan Niblett best PR in CFB, saving Horns season
(10/18) Off only 179 yds in UK win, OG'd by 200+, lucky W
(10/14) RB2 Jerrick Gibson no longer w/ program
(10/9) RB1 CJ Baxter doubtful for OU game
(10/5) The Run Off is horrific & Arch looks lost. Bad vibes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Top 10 via PFF?
Texas Injury Report
Georgia Notes
(10/20) Top WR Colbie Young out for season (fractured leg)
(10/19) Off torched Ole Miss, 500 yds, Rush Off improved
(10/18) At times playing 2 true Fr at OG vs Ole Miss
(9/30) DL cannot get pressure w/o LBs, have zero sacks
(9/15) Stockton, Off took huge leap in Tenn W.
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
(6/6) Def still v good LY, DL rebuild still top 10 via PFF
Georgia Injury Report
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TEX OffUGA Def
Perf GradePerf #39 #48
SuccessSuc #104 #44
ExplosiveExp #50 #12
PPAPPA #95 #58
PowerPwr #42 #27
SP+SP+ #42 #12
Pts POPPO #110 #116
HavocHav #63 #114
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TEX OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #71 #17
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #21
Run ExplRExp #119 #18
PPAExp #100 #26
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLY #74 #21
Stuff RateStuff #110 #87
TackleTak -  #2
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TEX OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #22 #83
Pass SuccessPSuc #108 #86
Pass ExplPExl #22 #12
PPAExp #77 #74
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #78 #128
F7 HavocF7 #89 #123
DB HavocDB #38 #68
Georgia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUGA OffTEX Def
Perf GradePerf #13 #10
SuccessSuc #11 #27
ExplosiveExp #124 #19
PPAPPA #25 #21
PowerPwr #4 #8
SP+SP+ #14 #7
Pts POPPO #12 #36
HavocHav #16 #12
Georgia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UGA OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #35 #6
Run SuccessRSuc #18 #17
Run ExplRExp #86 #1
PPAExp #32 #4
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLY #39 #7
Stuff RateStuff #90 #16
TackleTak -  #15
Georgia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUGA OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #11 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #58
Pass ExplPExl #128 #44
PPAExp #34 #56
Pass Block/RushP Blk #16 #4
F7 HavocF7 #28 #10
DB HavocDB #21 #46
Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 64° - Wind: 11 mph
Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Texas last year (22-19)

  
TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning16826863%21231867.9
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)81173%85107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner8833833.837
Arch Manning6920362.936
CJ Baxter Jr.4015904.018
Jerrick Gibson3715214.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo31593519.175
DeAndre Moore Jr.29379113.142
Parker Livingstone21351516.783
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)15201313.431

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.646451
Jelani McDonald553013
Michael Taaffe511100
Liona Lefau502003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons3010881
Anthony Hill Jr.646451
Brad Spence (Tr)145320
Ethan Burke257310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Muhammad202114
Jelani McDonald553013
Liona Lefau502003

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton17925869%20401527.9
Ryan Puglisi91656%112127.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier10157535.759
Chauncey Bowens8647465.543
Gunner Stockton7732174.222
Dwight Phillips Jr.2716616.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)53542310.247
Colbie Young23336114.645
London Humphreys16221213.836
Dillon Bell18204111.336

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen756413
Raylen Wilson545221
KJ Bolden482002
Chris Cole334302
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen756413
Chris Cole334302
Raylen Wilson545221
Nnamdi Ogboko71100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylen Everette280005
Ellis Robinson IV121004
C.J. Allen756413