Texas at Georgia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#8)Texas Longhorns at Georgia Bulldogs(#5)Georgia logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Sanford Stadium - Athens, GA  (SEC)

 
Longhorns (2 - 1) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 10 (7 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TEX coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -5   (SP+ UGA -3)

Projected Score: TEX: 17 - UGA: 22 (39)
UGA Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TEX Travel: 877 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulldogs (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 18 (37 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-40.551.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma+0
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.5
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-7
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+5
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-11
Sat 11/29 Texas vs Texas A&M-3.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-0
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-20
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn+0
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-6.5
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-9.5
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-5
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-46
Sat 11/29 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-12

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#130 (-.01)42% (86)2449% (44)3.25 (40)18232% (122)2003.25 (107)#11 (-.09)33% (25)10.335% (38)31% (24)2.58 (38)811.32
UGA#44 (.29)53% (20)3954% (26)3.34 (34)20953% (22)2615.42 (15)#46 (.06)38% (58)1830% (14)47% (110)4.11 (94)261.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense324741.6%3.251.3193831822004.458%41%49%32%10%-.01
UGA Defense3186.537.8%4.111 - - - - - 52%48%30%47%14%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense310.31433.1%2.582 - - - - - 47%53%35%31%15%-.09
UGA Offense33936.553.4%5.421.3274702092614.556%44%54%53%11%.29

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas331:391929%42%8.3811.323.31.3035.9
Georgia335:222748%83%3.3261.3141028.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense358% (23)49% (44)41.7182.34.43 (95).1 (86)3.25 (40)68% (84)6% (16)0.72 (125)
UGA Defense352% (88)30% (14) - - - - -.14 (14)2.29 (27)78% (100)9% (93)0.62 (6)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense347% (49)35% (38) - - - - -.19 (8)2.11 (16)45% (17)7% (110)0.44 (2)
UGA Offense356% (34)54% (26)46.32094.510 (10).21 (46)3.34 (34)74% (62)7% (31)0.8 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense341% (114)32% (122)16.329.3200.36.812.36 (34)3 (92)-.11 (132)1.5 (78)27% (38)21% (121).13 (111)5% (57)1.8 (100)
UGA Defense348% (48)47% (110) - - - - - - 3 (28).29 (99)1.4 (45)28% (119)10% (2)-.02 (18)5% (80)2.6 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense353% (90)31% (24) - - - - - - 3 (28)- (21)1.2 (14)31% (88)13% (7)-.13 (7)8% (26)1.2 (1)
UGA Offense344% (96)53% (22)2333.3261.37.811.45 (54)1 (23).39 (48)1.2 (121)24% (17)31% (73).29 (82)4% (39)1.7 (106)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Texas's Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 29.65   Georgia: 29.31

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 18.8   Georgia: 21.4




Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 29.31 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 30.86 #5
Georgia's Defense Rating: -4.15 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74 #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4 #8
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #8
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Texas Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 22
Texas 17


Total Points: 39

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.5

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Texas15Georgia30GeorgiaTexas -4Georgia57.0Under
202412/07Texas19Georgia22GeorgiaTexas -2.5Georgia50.5Under
201801/01Georgia21Texas28TexasGeorgia -12Texas59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia220 Overs
Texas113 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 30 - 30 - 30 - 0
Road Teams3 - 03 - 00 - 03 - 0

(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.25 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.58 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas has lost 6 straight
Texas has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas Notes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Top 10 via PFF?
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF

Texas Highlights
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas offense is not Explosive (#132)
Texas offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#107)
Texas pass game is really bad (#122)
Texas offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUGATEX
OverallOver#31#29
OffenseOff#32#66
DefenseDef#42#6
Special TeamsST#12#58
PassingPass#19#56
RushingRush#63#45
Run BlockRBLK#34#59
Pass BlockPBLK#47#54
Route RunningWR Rt#47#74
TacklingTkl#5#24
Run DefenseR Def#11#8
Pass Rush DefPRush#92#5
Coverage DefCov#72#18

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Texas last year (22-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TEX | UGA
Depth Chart: TEX | UGA
Rosters: TEX | UGA
(#4) Georgia Info
Power Rating: 29.31 #4
Offense Rating: 30.86 #5
Defense Rating: -4.15 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4 #8
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1140.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74 #1
Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Great Pass Success 53%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Georgia has lost 6 straight
Georgia has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia Notes
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
(6/6) Def still v good LY, DL rebuild still top 10 via PFF
(6/2) Watch So QB Ryan Puglisi. Getting player hype
(5/23) CBs Everette & Harris a top duo in CFB
(5/16) TE duo of Delp & Luckie is a CFB top unit

Georgia Highlights
Georgia in Undefeated
Georgia is Undefeated at Home

Georgia has Really Good Running Game (#27)
Georgia offense is efficent (#20)
Georgia offense is good in red zone (#15)
Georgia offense is good on 3rd downs
Georgia defense does not give up big plays (#29)
Georgia has a good run defense (#14)
Georgia Defensive Line is very good (#27)
Georgia commits very few Penalties (#13)
Georgia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Georgia Deficiencies
Georgia Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Georgia offense is not Explosive (#129)
Georgia does not Sack the QB (#112)


  
Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning478555%579636.8
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)2367%22007.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Arch Manning2311234.920
CJ Baxter Jr.2411004.618
Jerrick Gibson2510204.114
Tre Wisner168005.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Livingstone8198324.883
Jack Endries (Tr)7106215.136
Ryan Wingo997110.828
DeAndre Moore Jr.63606.017

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Taaffe230000
Liona Lefau202001
Anthony Hill Jr.150000
Ty'Anthony Smith121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maraad Watson (Tr)92200
Zina Umeozulu31110
Hero Kanu (Tr)72131
Colin Simmons51120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Muhammad80002
Xavier Filsaime00001
Liona Lefau202001

Georgia's OC Mike Bobo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton638971%721408.1
Ryan Puglisi61155%63115.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier3918924.821
Dwight Phillips Jr.1714418.523
Gunner Stockton2812434.414
Chauncey Bowens2912124.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)11181216.547
Colbie Young13179013.845
London Humphreys896212.031
Cash Jones65709.518

View Georgia's Full Roster
Georgia's DC Glenn Schumann
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raylen Wilson233010
C.J. Allen222101
KJ Bolden170001
Kyron Jones140000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Cole143201
C.J. Allen222101
Raylen Wilson233010
Rasean Dinkins20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joenel Aguero60002
KJ Bolden170001
C.J. Allen222101