Georgia at Florida - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia logo Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -7 (50.5) (-278)  Open: -7.5
Georgia 24 - Florida: 20  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (12 - 2) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (35 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
UGA coming off BYE
FLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -16.5  (SP+ UGA -20.5)

Projected Score: UGA: 33 - FLA: 17 (50)
UGA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UGA Travel: 270 miles
Gators (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-2.553.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-19.548.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn-4.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-7.556.5W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-7.050.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-9.556.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-3.550.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-42.553.5W 35 - 3UN
Fri 11/28 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-15.559.5W 16 - 9UN
Sat 12/6 Georgia vs Alabama-2.547.5W 28 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Georgia vs Ole Miss-6.053.5L 34 - 39ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida vs Long Island University-46.556.5W 55 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Florida vs South Florida-18.558.0L 16 - 18UN
Sat 9/13 Florida at LSU+5.547.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 9/20 Florida at Miami+8.551.5L 7 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida vs Texas+4.542.5W 29 - 21OY
Sat 10/11 Florida at Texas A&M+7.047.5L 17 - 34ON
Sat 10/18 Florida vs Mississippi State-9.550.5W 23 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida vs Georgia+7.050.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/8 Florida at Kentucky-4.544.5L 7 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Florida at Ole Miss+10.553.5L 24 - 34OY
Sat 11/22 Florida vs Tennessee+3.557.5L 11 - 31UN
Sat 11/29 Florida vs Florida State+1.548.5W 40 - 21OY

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)32.146% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)17.639% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)21.645% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)2449% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Offense1432.13546.6%4.681.3213851212644.343%57%46%47%15%.24
FLA Defense132418.743.9%3.121.9 - - - - - 51%49%49%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Defense1417.62438.8%3.221.4 - - - - - 49%51%39%38%17%.14
FLA Offense1321.62943%4.171.4193891642264.654%46%45%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia1427:4320.641%75%5.451.11.31.46.12.6029.7
Florida1328:3519.239%47%5.9541.41.96.43.1130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Offense1443% (112)46% (46)28.1120.64.324 (45).12 (76)2.91 (91)73% (67)9% (47)0.88 (109)
FLA Defense1351% (71)49% (118) - - - - .13 (73)3.06 (78)67% (29)11% (37)0.84 (10)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Defense1449% (48)39% (34) - - - - .1 (59)2.81 (39)80% (107)12% (21)0.96 (53)
FLA Offense1354% (42)45% (54)35.4163.74.626 (36).14 (63)3.04 (66)79% (27)9% (56)0.94 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Offense1457% (22)47% (16)22.634.4264.37.711.728 (15)13 (103).34 (31)1.5 (111)28% (15)36% (19).39 (47)7% (95)1.8 (127)
FLA Defense1349% (67)39% (44) - - - - - - 14 (23).16 (34)1.6 (87)31% (86)37% (124).42 (108)7% (43)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Defense1451% (89)38% (37) - - - - - - 8 (93).17 (37)1.6 (59)35% (27)26% (13).23 (36)5% (110)2.1 (86)
FLA Offense1346% (91)41% (82)1626.1225.78.714.118 (68)14 (115).25 (73)1.6 (48)31% (54)28% (105).22 (107)7% (90)1.8 (118)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 23.82  #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 27.56  #3
Georgia's Defense Rating: 3.74  #17
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74%  #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1  #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0  #14
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 23.82   Florida: 7.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 24.1   Florida: 3.5




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 7.695  #33
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.44  #41
Florida's Defense Rating: 5.55  #25
2025 Talent Rating: 976.00  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5  #63
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #89
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #43

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 33
Florida 17


Projected Total Points: 50
Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Florida20Georgia24Georgia -7Florida50.5Under
202411/02Georgia34Florida20Georgia -14.5Florida52.5Over
202310/28Florida20Georgia43Georgia -14Georgia50.0Over
202210/29Georgia42Florida20Georgia -23Florida56.5Over
202110/30Florida7Georgia34Georgia -14Georgia50.0Under
202011/07Georgia28Florida44Georgia -3.5Florida54.0Over
201911/02Florida17Georgia24Georgia -6.5Georgia47.5Under
201810/27Georgia36Florida17Georgia -7Georgia53.0Push
201710/28Florida7Georgia42Georgia -13.5Georgia43.5Over
201610/29Georgia10Florida24Florida -7.5Florida43.0Under
201510/31Florida27Georgia3Florida -2.5Florida49.0Under
201411/01Georgia20Florida38Georgia -10Florida0
201311/02Florida20Georgia23Georgia -2.5Georgia0
201210/27Georgia17Florida9
201110/29Florida20Georgia24
201010/30Georgia31Florida34
200910/31Florida41Georgia17
200811/01Georgia10Florida49
200710/27Florida30Georgia42
200610/28Georgia14Florida21
200510/29Florida14Georgia10
200410/30Georgia31Florida24
200311/01Florida16Georgia13
200211/02Georgia13Florida20
200110/27Florida24Georgia10
200010/27Florida34Georgia23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida1375 Overs
Georgia1365 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 153 - 102 - 41 - 6
Road Teams15 - 1110 - 36 - 14 - 2

(#7) UGA at (#33) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUGAFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #7 #33
SP+SP+ #6 #63
Perf GradeGrade #13 #49
OffenseOff #23 #51
DefenseDef #29 #62
Spec TeamsST #27 #86
TalentTal #2 #15
Blue ChipsBC% #1 #12
Georgia Notes
(11/16) Killed Texas, Dawgs peaking. Def inj a concern
(10/20) Top WR Colbie Young out for season (fractured leg)
(10/19) Off torched Ole Miss, 500 yds, Rush Off improved
(10/18) At times playing 2 true Fr at OG vs Ole Miss
(9/30) DL cannot get pressure w/o LBs, have zero sacks
(9/15) Stockton, Off took huge leap in Tenn W.
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
Georgia Injury Report
Florida Notes
(12/6) Jon Sumrall won 3 conf titles in 4 years at Tulane
(12/4) Hired Buster Faulkner (GT OC) as OC. Great Hire
(12/2) Hired Brad White at DC, was DC at UK '19-'25
(11/30) Hired Jon Sumrall (Tulane). Good hire for Gators
(11/16) Gators fought hard, Off no showed 2H vs Ole Miss
(11/9) Have the Gators quit? Killed by Kentucky, yikes
(11/6) Injury report long vs UK. Motivation ?'s now
(11/2) WR D Wilson is out for the season (foot)
(10/19) Napier fired, WR coach Billy Gonzales interim
(10/12) Napier now 0-14 vs ranked teams on the road
(10/6) OG'd Texas by 100 yds, held UT to 3-11 on 3rd down
(10/6) Who is UF? Great def vs UT, Fr WR D Wilson a threat
Florida Injury Report
Georgia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #62
SuccessSuc #25 #95
ExplosiveExp #97 #32
PPAPPA #37 #53
PowerPwr #3 #25
SP+SP+ #14 #43
Pts POPPO #12 #14
HavocHav #60 #36
Georgia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffFLA Def
Run GameRun #35 #47
Run SuccessRSuc #46 #118
Run ExplRExp #109 #10
PPAExp #76 #73
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #91 #78
Stuff RateStuff #104 #84
TackleTak -  #11
Georgia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffFLA Def
Pass GamePass #19 #80
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #44
Pass ExplPExl #111 #87
PPAExp #31 #34
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #5 #98
F7 HavocF7 #47 #37
DB HavocDB #95 #43
Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatFLA OffUGA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #51 #29
SuccessSuc #64 #32
ExplosiveExp #93 #64
PPAPPA #72 #49
PowerPwr #41 #17
SP+SP+ #89 #8
Pts POPPO #46 #19
HavocHav #68 #57
Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
FLA OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #34 #6
Run SuccessRSuc #54 #34
Run ExplRExp #82 #53
PPAExp #63 #59
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLY #66 #39
Stuff RateStuff #77 #59
TackleTak -  #5
Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatFLA OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #86 #43
Pass SuccessPSuc #82 #37
Pass ExplPExl #48 #59
PPAExp #73 #37
Pass Block/RushP Blk #36 #126
F7 HavocF7 #56 #21
DB HavocDB #90 #110
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in EverBank Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 69°
Rematch from Week 10
Georgia 7.0 (50.5)
Georgia won at Florida this year (24-20)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Florida last year (24-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2024 (34-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2023 (43-20)

  
UGA's OC Mike Bobo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton26938670%28942457.5
Ryan Puglisi162759%161126.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier17394765.559
Chauncey Bowens10352665.143
Gunner Stockton129462103.622
Dwight Phillips Jr.3521016.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)81811610.047
Colbie Young26358113.845
London Humphreys18276315.336
Dillon Bell2726829.936

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen888424
KJ Bolden773005
Raylen Wilson747231
Chris Cole617502
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Cole617502
C.J. Allen888424
Quintavius Johnson346235
Zayden Walker62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylen Everette480018
Ellis Robinson IV201007
Quintavius Johnson346235

FLA's OC Rob Sale (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway21333763%226416146.7
Tramell Jones Jr.213560%191205.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh220117085.326
D.J. Lagway7113611.938
KD Daniels2812014.316
Ja'Kobi Jackson279803.627
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Vernell Brown III40524013.160
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)27406315.057
Hayden Hansen3025428.528
Eugene Wilson2723938.940

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Graham767274
Bryce Thornton563156
Jordan Castell540020
Aaron Chiles523111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Woods275431
Kamran James445332
Brendan Bett (Tr)404310
Myles Graham767274
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Thornton563156
Myles Graham767274
J'Vari Flowers171004