The Citadel at Ole Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 8th 2025 (1:00 PM EST)
Ole Miss -51.5 (63.5) (0) Open: -51.5
Ole Miss 49 - The Citadel: 0

Bulldogs (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 49 (0 - 49 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS 2nd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -25.5 (SP+ MISS -24)
MISS Win prob: 100% | Cover: 60%

Rebels (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIT Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

The Citadel's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	The Citadel at Ole Miss	+51.5	63.5	L 0 - 49	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for The Citadel's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Ole Miss vs Georgia State	-38.5	62.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Ole Miss at Kentucky	-8.0	51.5	W 30 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/13	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-12.5	61.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Ole Miss vs LSU	-2.5	57.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Ole Miss vs Washington State	-33.5	58.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/18	Ole Miss at Georgia	+7.5	56.5	L 35 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/25	Ole Miss at Oklahoma	+5.5	52.5	W 34 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Ole Miss vs South Carolina	-12.5	55.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Ole Miss vs The Citadel	-51.5	63.5	W 49 - 0	U	N
Sat 11/15	Ole Miss vs Florida	-10.5	53.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-7.5	62.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 12/20	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-17.5	57.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/1	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	W 39 - 34	O	Y
Thu 1/8	Ole Miss vs Miami	+3.0	52.5	L 27 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIT		0%	0	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	49	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)	36.9	44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)	21.1	35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIT Offense	1	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MISS Defense	13	21.1	15.6	35.3%	2.98	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	35%	36%	25%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIT Defense	1	49	49	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MISS Offense	13	36.9	39	47.4%	4	0.9	23	481	164	317	4.6	50%	50%	44%	51%	15%	.34

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
The Citadel	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Ole Miss	13	26:04	22.7	41%	59%	6.8	68.5	0.9	1.6	8.9	4.1	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIT Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MISS Defense	13	47% (25)	35% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (4)	2.49 (7)	74% (71)	16% (1)	0.88 (23)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIT Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MISS Offense	13	50% (75)	44% (76)	35.8	164.2	4.6	27 (30)	.15 (58)	3.02 (72)	71% (85)	10% (68)	1.09 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIT Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MISS Defense	13	53% (115)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.12 (20)	1.6 (85)	37% (5)	23% (1)	.1 (3)	8% (3)	2.1 (68)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIT Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MISS Offense	13	50% (59)	51% (3)	20.5	30.5	317.2	10.4	15.4	27 (20)	6 (10)	.53 (3)	1.6 (46)	29% (28)	38% (7)	.63 (2)	5% (54)	2.3 (12)

The Citadel's Power Ratings
The Citadel's Power Rating: NR
The Citadel's Offense Rating: NR
The Citadel's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
The Citadel's 2025 Expected Record: -
The Citadel's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
The Citadel's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
The Citadel's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
The Citadel: Ole Miss: 25.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
The Citadel: Ole Miss: 24.0

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 25.58 #9
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.65 #7
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 4.49 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

The Citadel Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 49 PPG
Defense on Road: 49

The Citadel's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 42
The Citadel 16

Projected Total Points: 58

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record at home: 9 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Ole Miss	49	The Citadel	0	Ole Miss -51.5	The Citadel	63.5	Under
2005	10/08	Ole Miss	27	The Citadel	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	2	0	0 Overs
The Citadel	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) CIT at (#9) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIT	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#9
SP+SP+	NR	#7
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#12
OffenseOff	NR	#9
DefenseDef	NR	#41
Spec TeamsST	NR	#18
TalentTal	NR	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#18

The Citadel Injury Report

Ole Miss Notes(12/9) Hired OC John David Baker (ECU). Decent hire
(12/1) Hired DC Pete Golding after Kiffin left for LSU
(10/19) Def torched by UGA, 500 yds. Run Def concerning
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
Ole Miss Injury Report

The Citadel on Offense


CategoryCat	CIT Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#41
SuccessSuc	NR	#3
ExplosiveExp	NR	#78
PPAPPA	NR	#6
PowerPwr	NR	#21
SP+SP+	NR	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	#8
HavocHav	NR	#1

The Citadel Run Game


CategoryCat	CIT Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#6
Run ExplRExp	NR	#23
PPAExp	NR	#4
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#7
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#19
TackleTak	-	#81

The Citadel Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIT Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#13
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#85
PPAExp	NR	#20
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#85
F7 HavocF7	NR	#1
DB HavocDB	NR	#3

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	CIT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	NR
SuccessSuc	#19	NR
ExplosiveExp	#8	NR
PPAPPA	#4	NR
PowerPwr	#7	NR
SP+SP+	#3	NR
Pts POPPO	#58	NR
HavocHav	#54	NR

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	CIT Def
Run GameRun	#14	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	NR
Run ExplRExp	#26	NR
PPAExp	#58	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#92	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	CIT Def
Pass GamePass	#14	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#46	NR
PPAExp	#3	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#35	NR
F7 HavocF7	#68	NR
DB HavocDB	#54	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

CIT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71°

Rematch from Week 11
Ole Miss -51.5 (63.5)
Ole Miss won vs The Citadel this year (49-0)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat The Citadel last year (49-0)

CIT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quentin Hayes (Tr)	58	92	63%	897	8	4	9.8
Cobey Thompkins	35	56	63%	503	4	1	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quentin Hayes (Tr)	152	683	7	4.5	33
Cobey Thompkins	94	501	1	5.3	38
Garrison Johnson	94	467	6	5.0	63
Beau Herrington	70	334	2	4.8	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jihad Marks	14	464	7	33.1	72
Jay Graves-Billips	34	395	2	11.6	51
Braylon Knauth	16	240	2	15.0	61
Malachi Taylor	6	90	0	15.0	40

View The Citadel's Full Roster

CIT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Temarcus Elam	10	1	0	0
J'hari Mosley	7	0	0	0
Darryle Ware	7	1	1	0
Mikey Rosa	6	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Lee Alexander Jr.	2	1	1
Chris Benton	2	1	1
Darryle Ware	7	1	1
Josh Cole	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Bradlee Jones	5	0	0	1
Mikey Rosa	6	1	0	1
Jeremiah Holmes	3	1	1	1

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)	294	445	66%	3937	22	3	8.8
Austin Simmons	45	75	60%	744	4	5	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)	306	1567	24	5.1	73
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)	133	527	8	4.0	41
Logan Diggs	33	189	4	5.7	51
Damien Taylor (Tr)	28	130	2	4.6	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)	61	934	4	15.3	55
De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr)	55	811	6	14.7	75
Deuce Alexander (Tr)	44	684	2	15.5	88
Cayden Lee	44	635	3	14.4	62

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
TJ Dottery	98	6	2	1	2
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
Wydett Williams (Tr)	73	1	0	0	9
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)	45	13	9	13	1
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wydett Williams (Tr)	73	1	0	0	9
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Kapena Gushiken (Tr)	55	1	0	1	5