The Citadel at Ole Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview
The Citadel logo The Citadel Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels(#13)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium - Oxford, MS

 
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 0 (0 - 0 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS 2nd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -25.5   (SP+ MISS -23)
MISS Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
Rebels (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 45 - 22 (52 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
The Citadel's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 The Citadel at Ole Miss+25.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for The Citadel's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia State-38.562.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Ole Miss at Kentucky-8.051.5W 30 - 23ON
Sat 9/13 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-3.560.5W 41 - 35OY
Sat 9/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-11.561.5
Sat 9/27 Ole Miss vs LSU-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Ole Miss vs Washington State-33
Sat 10/18 Ole Miss at Georgia+6.5
Sat 10/25 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+6.5
Sat 11/1 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-13
Sat 11/8 Ole Miss vs The Citadel-46.5
Sat 11/15 Ole Miss vs Florida-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-6

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIT0%00%000%000%00%0%0000
MISS#22 (.38)55% (17)44.752% (30)2.76 (90)21458% (9)3315.25 (24)#115 (.26)40% (75)21.747% (104)33% (33)3 (50)66.71.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIT Offense0000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MISS Defense321.72140.2%30.7 - - - - - 53%47%47%33%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIT Defense0000%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MISS Offense344.75254.5%5.251.326544214331558%41%52%58%14%.38

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
The Citadel00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Ole Miss327:102650%100%7.366.71.30.73.71.3028.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIT Offense00%0%000000%0%0
MISS Defense353% (97)47% (104) - - - - .38 (131)3.57 (132)89% (119)6% (125)1.29 (122)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIT Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MISS Offense358% (24)52% (30)43213.7510 (10).18 (53)2.76 (90)85% (26)7% (45)0.79 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIT Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
MISS Defense347% (42)33% (33) - - - - - - 1 (87).12 (40)1.7 (101)37% (27)28% (60).34 (89)9% (20)2.4 (124)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIT Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MISS Offense341% (113)58% (9)19.730.3330.710.916.86 (34)4 (121).74 (5)1.8 (21)25% (21)46% (14).68 (20)6% (100)2 (65)

The Citadel's Power Ratings
The Citadel's Power Rating: #NR
The Citadel's Offense Rating: #NR
The Citadel's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
The Citadel's 2025 Expected Record: -
The Citadel's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
The Citadel's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
The Citadel's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
The Citadel:    Ole Miss: 25.48

SP+ Ratings Matchup
The Citadel:    Ole Miss: 22.6




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 25.48 #21
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


The Citadel Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 0 PPG
Defense on Road: 0

The Citadel's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 30
The Citadel 5

Total Points: 35

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200510/08Ole Miss27The Citadel7Ole Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss100 Overs
The Citadel000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#NR) The Citadel Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

The Citadel Highlights

The Citadel Deficiencies
The Citadel has a really bad Offense

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMISSCIT
OverallOver#48—
OffenseOff#48—
DefenseDef#65—
Special TeamsST#68—
PassingPass#57—
RushingRush#22—
Run BlockRBLK#95—
Pass BlockPBLK#89—
Route RunningWR Rt#20—
TacklingTkl#81—
Run DefenseR Def#58—
Pass Rush DefPRush#107—
Coverage DefCov#41—

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIT | MISS
Depth Chart: CIT | MISS
Rosters: CIT | MISS
(#21) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 25.48 #21
Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.25 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 58%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ole Miss has lost 6 straight
Ole Miss has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Ole Miss Notes
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(9/13) QB Simmons out vs Ark, Chambliss starting
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
(6/2) WR has 5 players with 400+ yds, 4 are portals
(5/19) Kiffin & OC Weis Jr want to push tempo TY
(5/19) RB D Taylor (1k LY, Troy) added post spring
(5/19) OL rebuild 1/5. 5 portal adds (3 P5/2 G5).
(5/19) Def rebuild. DL talent is good, 8 DB portals!?
(5/11) OL bottom 1/3 in exp & 62% comes from portals

Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss in Undefeated
Ole Miss is Undefeated at Home
Ole Miss is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Ole Miss has Really Good Running Game (#25)
Ole Miss offense is efficent (#17)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Ole Miss Secondary is very good (#20)

Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Ole Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#113)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)
Ole Miss has a bad defensive line (#132)


  
The Citadel's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cobey Thompkins162467%2602010.8
Quentin Hayes (Tr)2633%27104.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cobey Thompkins3614103.925
Israel Benjamin288102.914
Garrison Johnson247503.127
Quentin Hayes (Tr)216112.933
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Graves-Billips8156219.551
Braylon Knauth562112.424
Malachi Taylor140040.040
Sebastien Boyle110010.010

View The Citadel's Full Roster
The Citadel's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

Ole Miss's OC Charlie Weis Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Simmons345661%5804410.4
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)253571%4122011.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)6129054.842
Logan Diggs997110.851
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)228323.817
Austin Simmons166914.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)15339222.655
Deuce Alexander (Tr)10155015.535
Dae'Quan Wright5142128.464
Cayden Lee696016.062

View Ole Miss's Full Roster
Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Dottery231002
Jaden Yates (Tr)180000
Zxavian Harris174221
Kamarion Franklin140030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zxavian Harris174221
William Echoles111120
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)72110
TJ Dottery231002
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams (Tr)121004
Nick Cull80003
TJ Dottery231002