Georgia at Auburn - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia logo (#10)Georgia Bulldogs at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -4.5 (45.5) (-210)  Open: -7.0 | 50.5
Georgia 20 - Auburn: 10  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (5 - 1) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 17 (32 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
AUB coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -3.5  (SP+ UGA -7.5)

Projected Score: UGA: 26 - AUB: 22 (48)
UGA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UGA Travel: 154 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (3 - 3) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (28 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#67)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-2.553.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-19.548.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn-4.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-7.554.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-6.5
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-8.5
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-3.5
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-48
Fri 11/28 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-7

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas-8
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-19
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-43.5
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+3.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#50 (.23)48% (26)32.248% (37)3.03 (60)18649% (24)2295.11 (10)#39 (.11)39% (34)1734% (14)44% (97)3.7 (63)441.21
AUB#86 (.16)43% (71)24.748% (39)3.01 (67)16438% (111)1674.7 (25)#31 (.07)36% (17)1728% (1)43% (88)3.24 (29)74.70.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Offense632.23248.5%5.111.2244151862294.655%45%48%49%13%.23
AUB Defense61712.735.8%3.240.8 - - - - - 48%52%28%43%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Defense61725.538.7%3.71 - - - - - 49%51%34%44%15%.11
AUB Offense624.727.743%4.70.3193321641674.551%48%48%38%16%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia631:5524.245%70%4.8441.214.31.2028.3
Auburn630:2819.337%54%9.274.70.30.87.33126.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Offense655% (34)48% (37)40.51864.618 (13).19 (43)3.03 (60)64% (110)9% (56)0.96 (69)
AUB Defense648% (51)28% (1) - - - - -.15 (2)1.83 (1)70% (65)13% (22)0.92 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Defense649% (60)34% (14) - - - - -.05 (14)2.54 (26)75% (88)8% (108)0.78 (10)
AUB Offense651% (65)48% (39)36.5164.34.513 (35).24 (22)3.01 (67)89% (7)11% (102)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Offense645% (103)49% (24)20.730.8229.37.411.17 (99)3 (26).29 (65)1.3 (132)26% (17)33% (47).29 (79)5% (39)1.7 (126)
AUB Defense652% (87)43% (88) - - - - - - 2 (114).29 (89)1.6 (83)35% (26)25% (27).21 (41)4% (127)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Defense651% (74)44% (97) - - - - - - 4 (62).27 (86)1.4 (14)30% (96)24% (23).22 (44)7% (47)1.9 (55)
AUB Offense648% (73)38% (111)1828.5167.25.99.35 (116)0 (1).09 (123)1.2 (134)29% (40)21% (131).09 (128)5% (42)1.8 (113)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 30.96  #11
Georgia's Offense Rating: 25.44  #16
Georgia's Defense Rating: -5.82  #11
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74%  #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.8  #12
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #19
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 30.96   Auburn: 22.555

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 20.8   Auburn: 13.4




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 22.555  #18
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.56  #47
Auburn's Defense Rating: -10.15  #6
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #27
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #62
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 17 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 26
Auburn 22


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 31
Georgia 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 24
Auburn 24

Total Points: 48
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 17 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.7

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Auburn10Georgia20Georgia -4.5Georgia45.5Under
202410/05Georgia31Auburn13Georgia -21Auburn50.0Under
202309/30Auburn20Georgia27Georgia -14Auburn44.5Over
202210/08Georgia42Auburn10Georgia -27.5Georgia49.5Over
202110/09Auburn10Georgia34Georgia -14.5Georgia45.5Under
202010/03Georgia27Auburn6Georgia -8Georgia44.5Under
201911/16Auburn14Georgia21Georgia -3Georgia42.5Under
201811/10Georgia27Auburn10Georgia -12.5Georgia52.5Under
201712/02Auburn7Georgia28Georgia -1.5Georgia48.0Under
201711/11Auburn40Georgia17Georgia -2.5Auburn48.0Over
201611/12Georgia13Auburn7Auburn -8Georgia51.0Under
201511/14Auburn13Georgia20Georgia -2Georgia53.0Under
201411/15Georgia34Auburn7Georgia -2Georgia0
201311/16Auburn43Georgia38Auburn -3Auburn0
201211/10Auburn0Georgia38
201111/12Georgia45Auburn7
201011/13Auburn49Georgia31
200911/14Georgia31Auburn24
200811/15Auburn13Georgia17
200711/10Georgia45Auburn20
200611/11Auburn15Georgia37
200511/12Georgia30Auburn31
200411/13Auburn24Georgia6
200311/15Georgia26Auburn7
200111/10Georgia17Auburn24
200011/10Auburn29Georgia26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn743 Overs
Georgia19109 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 118 - 65 - 13 - 5
Road Teams11 - 156 - 85 - 31 - 5

(#11) UGA at (#18) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUGAAUB
Power RatePwr #11 #18
SP+SP+ #12 #27
Perf GradeGrade #35 #95
OffenseOff #40 #94
DefenseDef #31 #90
Spec TeamsST #25 #131
TalentTal #2 #12
Blue ChipsBC% #1 #12

Georgia Notes
(9/30) DL cannot get pressure w/o LBs, have zero sacks
(9/15) Stockton, Off took huge leap in Tenn W.
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
(6/6) Def still v good LY, DL rebuild still top 10 via PFF
(6/2) Watch So QB Ryan Puglisi. Getting player hype
(5/23) CBs Everette & Harris a top duo in CFB

Auburn Notes
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
(10/12) Freeze 5-14 in SEC games, 2-7 at home
(10/9) 59 car, 119 yds, 23 penalites, 154 yards in past 2
(9/27) OL penalized a lot, AU avgs 8.5 penalties per game
(9/24) WR H Fields out for the season (broken foot)
(9/20) Arnold bad vs OU, Run Off worse. Def fought
(9/18) Starting CB Jay Crawford doubtful for OU
(9/4) RB Damari Alston out week two (shoulder)
(8/29) Arnold much better, run off great, pass D awful
(7/16) WR2 (LY) Simmons arrested on serious charges
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, plus portal adds. PFF top 10 unit
Georgia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat
UGA OffAUB Def
Perf GradePerf #40 #90
SuccessSuc #26 #17
ExplosiveExp #129 #107
PPAPPA #50 #31
PowerPwr #16 #6
SP+SP+ #19 #9
Pts POPPO #10 #29
HavocHav #41 #54
Georgia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat
UGA OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #72 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #37 #1
Run ExplRExp #69 #52
PPAExp #43 #2
Run BlockR Blk #44 -
OL YdsOLY #60 #1
Stuff RateStuff #97 #1
TackleTak -  #88
Georgia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat
UGA OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #34 #135
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #88
Pass ExplPExl #132 #83
PPAExp #65 #89
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #24 #62
F7 HavocF7 #56 #22
DB HavocDB #39 #127
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffUGA Def
Perf GradePerf #94 #31
SuccessSuc #71 #34
ExplosiveExp #132 #18
PPAPPA #86 #39
PowerPwr #47 #11
SP+SP+ #62 #11
Pts POPPO #25 #63
HavocHav #77 #98
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #44 #3
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #14
Run ExplRExp #54 #10
PPAExp #22 #14
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLY #67 #26
Stuff RateStuff #32 #69
TackleTak -  #2
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #130 #68
Pass SuccessPSuc #111 #97
Pass ExplPExl #134 #14
PPAExp #123 #86
Pass Block/RushP Blk #67 #122
F7 HavocF7 #102 #108
DB HavocDB #42 #47
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Georgia 4.5 (45.5)
Georgia won at Auburn this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Auburn last year (31-13)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2023 (27-20)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2022 (42-10)

  
UGA's OC Mike Bobo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton11516968%1264617.5
Ryan Puglisi91560%112127.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chauncey Bowens6031545.343
Nate Frazier6027724.624
Gunner Stockton4822064.621
Dwight Phillips Jr.1914217.523
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Colbie Young22300113.645
Zachariah Branch (Tr)27291210.847
London Humphreys13165212.731
Oscar Delp696016.036

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen466303
Raylen Wilson383010
KJ Bolden310002
Kyron Jones240000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen466303
Chris Cole234302
Nnamdi Ogboko31100
Darren Ikinnagbon10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen466303
Daylen Everette190003
Ellis Robinson IV91003

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)10616564%983506.0
Deuce Knight2540%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb7045346.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)8324763.027
Damari Alston3212814.015
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman24305212.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)3027929.337
Horatio Fields (Tr)1210618.814
Malcolm Simmons1210208.526

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Robert Woodyard Jr.273230
Keyron Crawford227420
Kaleb Harris191001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford227420
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Keldric Faulk113243
Robert Woodyard Jr.273230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk113243
Xavier Atkins (Tr)377331
Demarcus Riddick111101