Georgia at Auburn - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia logo (#10)Georgia Bulldogs at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -4.5 (45.5) (-210)  Open: -7.0 | 50.5
Georgia 20 - Auburn: 10  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (12 - 2) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (35 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
AUB coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -7  (SP+ UGA -11.5)

Projected Score: UGA: 28 - AUB: 21 (49)
UGA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UGA Travel: 154 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-2.553.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-19.548.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn-4.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-7.556.5W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-7.050.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-9.556.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-3.550.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-42.553.5W 35 - 3UN
Fri 11/28 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-15.559.5W 16 - 9UN
Sat 12/6 Georgia vs Alabama-2.547.5W 28 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Georgia vs Ole Miss-6.053.5L 34 - 39ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas+2.555.5W 33 - 24OY
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-11.544.5L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+6.046.5L 38 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-26.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+6.548.5L 20 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#23 (.26)48% (14)32.147% (27)3.08 (44)18248% (17)2204.79 (7)#34 (.1)39% (34)17.638% (16)41% (66)3.67 (68)43.50.90.9
AUB#72 (.17)43% (56)26.847% (30)3.19 (23)17740% (90)1973.9 (51)#19 (.07)38% (26)20.733% (5)44% (99)3.37 (42)63.70.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Offense1432.13547.8%4.790.9244031822204.455%44%47%48%13%.26
AUB Defense1220.716.438.3%3.371.4 - - - - - 48%51%33%44%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Defense1417.62439.1%3.670.9 - - - - - 44%54%38%41%15%.1
AUB Offense1226.826.443.4%3.90.7213741771974.751%48%47%40%17%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia1433:4024.243%75%4.643.50.90.94.11.4029.3
Auburn1229:2520.839%52%7.863.70.71.46.62.6326.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Offense1455% (30)47% (27)41.1182.44.431 (16).16 (45)3.08 (44)75% (52)9% (42)0.92 (85)
AUB Defense1248% (44)33% (5) - - - - -.11 (3)2.25 (4)70% (59)11% (20)0.89 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Defense1444% (9)38% (16) - - - - -.01 (12)2.53 (12)71% (65)8% (113)0.74 (1)
AUB Offense1251% (61)47% (30)37.8176.94.723 (36).24 (13)3.19 (23)80% (17)11% (116)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Offense1444% (106)48% (17)20.529.8220.27.410.725 (61)7 (20).36 (34)1.4 (127)29% (33)32% (43).35 (51)5% (28)1.9 (109)
AUB Defense1251% (97)44% (99) - - - - - - 11 (75).27 (80)1.6 (81)32% (54)31% (90).3 (70)5% (90)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Defense1454% (128)41% (66) - - - - - - 9 (75).23 (59)1.4 (14)30% (95)24% (11).17 (19)7% (27)2 (50)
AUB Offense1248% (78)40% (90)18.430.2197.16.510.711 (121)4 (3).13 (120)1.3 (134)31% (61)27% (106).21 (105)6% (52)2 (87)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 23.82  #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 27.56  #3
Georgia's Defense Rating: 3.74  #17
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74%  #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4  #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #15
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 23.82   Auburn: 16.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 23.4   Auburn: 11.9




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 16.79  #16
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.79  #48
Auburn's Defense Rating: 0.11  #10
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #58
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 28
Auburn 21


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 31
Georgia 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 26
Auburn 24

Total Points: 50
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Auburn10Georgia20Georgia -4.5Georgia45.5Under
202410/05Georgia31Auburn13Georgia -21Auburn50.0Under
202309/30Auburn20Georgia27Georgia -14Auburn44.5Over
202210/08Georgia42Auburn10Georgia -27.5Georgia49.5Over
202110/09Auburn10Georgia34Georgia -14.5Georgia45.5Under
202010/03Georgia27Auburn6Georgia -8Georgia44.5Under
201911/16Auburn14Georgia21Georgia -3Georgia42.5Under
201811/10Georgia27Auburn10Georgia -12.5Georgia52.5Under
201712/02Auburn7Georgia28Georgia -1.5Georgia48.0Under
201711/11Auburn40Georgia17Georgia -2.5Auburn48.0Over
201611/12Georgia13Auburn7Auburn -8Georgia51.0Under
201511/14Auburn13Georgia20Georgia -2Georgia53.0Under
201411/15Georgia34Auburn7Georgia -2Georgia0
201311/16Auburn43Georgia38Auburn -3Auburn0
201211/10Auburn0Georgia38
201111/12Georgia45Auburn7
201011/13Auburn49Georgia31
200911/14Georgia31Auburn24
200811/15Auburn13Georgia17
200711/10Georgia45Auburn20
200611/11Auburn15Georgia37
200511/12Georgia30Auburn31
200411/13Auburn24Georgia6
200311/15Georgia26Auburn7
200111/10Georgia17Auburn24
200011/10Auburn29Georgia26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn743 Overs
Georgia19109 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 118 - 65 - 13 - 5
Road Teams11 - 156 - 85 - 31 - 5

(#7) UGA at (#16) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUGAAUB
Net PPPPPP #26 #51
Power RatePwr #7 #16
SP+SP+ #6 #29
Perf GradeGrade #13 #81
OffenseOff #23 #95
DefenseDef #29 #48
Spec TeamsST #27 #91
TalentTal #2 #12
Blue ChipsBC% #1 #12
Georgia Notes
(11/16) Killed Texas, Dawgs peaking. Def inj a concern
(10/20) Top WR Colbie Young out for season (fractured leg)
(10/19) Off torched Ole Miss, 500 yds, Rush Off improved
(10/18) At times playing 2 true Fr at OG vs Ole Miss
(9/30) DL cannot get pressure w/o LBs, have zero sacks
(9/15) Stockton, Off took huge leap in Tenn W.
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
Georgia Injury Report
Auburn Notes
(12/2) DC D. J. Durkin will remain on Golesh staff in '26
(11/30) Hired Alex Golesh (S Florida, former Tenn OC).
(11/20) QB1 Fr Deuce Knight will start vs Mercer, Bama
(11/2) HC Hugh Freeze fired after UK loss
(11/1) Home L to UK w/ 241 total yds. Freeze done
(10/31) Ashton Daniels will start vs UK, Arnold benched
(10/25) WR Coleman & Singleton both hurt vs Ark
(10/24) QB1 battle in week 9, Arnold still the starter. Yikes
(10/23) Auburn on a 3-11 run vs P4 teams since '24
(10/22) K A McPherson bad, longest FG is 34 yards
(10/20) Top OL Center Connor Lew out for season (ACL)
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
Auburn Injury Report
Georgia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPP #45 #83
Perf GradePerf #23 #48
SuccessSuc #14 #26
ExplosiveExp #129 #89
PPAPPA #23 #19
PowerPwr #3 #10
SP+SP+ #15 #15
Pts POPPO #7 #42
HavocHav #36 #50
Georgia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #35 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #5
Run ExplRExp #85 #29
PPAExp #45 #3
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #44 #4
Stuff RateStuff #95 #5
TackleTak -  #65
Georgia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #19 #115
Pass SuccessPSuc #17 #99
Pass ExplPExl #127 #81
PPAExp #34 #80
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #5 #46
F7 HavocF7 #42 #20
DB HavocDB #28 #90
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffUGA Def
PPPDefPPP #22 #18
Perf GradePerf #95 #29
SuccessSuc #56 #34
ExplosiveExp #131 #7
PPAPPA #72 #34
PowerPwr #48 #17
SP+SP+ #58 #8
Pts POPPO #51 #68
HavocHav #99 #80
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #46 #6
Run SuccessRSuc #30 #16
Run ExplRExp #54 #1
PPAExp #13 #12
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #23 #12
Stuff RateStuff #20 #49
TackleTak -  #5
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #105 #43
Pass SuccessPSuc #90 #66
Pass ExplPExl #134 #14
PPAExp #120 #59
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #126
F7 HavocF7 #116 #113
DB HavocDB #52 #27
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 67° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Georgia 4.5 (45.5)
Georgia won at Auburn this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Auburn last year (31-13)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2023 (27-20)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2022 (42-10)

  
UGA's OC Mike Bobo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton26938670%28942457.5
Ryan Puglisi162759%161126.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier17394765.559
Chauncey Bowens10352665.143
Gunner Stockton129462103.622
Dwight Phillips Jr.3521016.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)81811610.047
Colbie Young26358113.845
London Humphreys18276315.336
Dillon Bell2726829.936

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen888424
KJ Bolden773005
Raylen Wilson747231
Chris Cole617502
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Cole617502
C.J. Allen888424
Quintavius Johnson346235
Zayden Walker62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylen Everette480018
Ellis Robinson IV201007
Quintavius Johnson346235

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6811957%797326.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb17596955.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6328024.426
Deuce Knight13178413.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman57725512.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)5853439.248
Malcolm Simmons25457218.391
Perry Thompson1715409.134

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Robert Woodyard Jr.677251
Kaleb Harris502101
Keyron Crawford36105100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Keyron Crawford36105100
Chris Murray (Tr)154410
Keldric Faulk275264
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk275264
Jay Crawford151004
Kayin Lee310004