Ole Miss at Georgia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#13)Ole Miss Rebels at Georgia Bulldogs(#5)Georgia logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Sanford Stadium - Athens, GA  (SEC)

 
Rebels (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 45 - 22 (30 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 2.5 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
UGA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -6.5   (SP+ MISS -1)

Projected Score: MISS: 24 - UGA: 31 (55)
UGA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 353 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulldogs (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 18 (37 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia State-38.562.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Ole Miss at Kentucky-8.051.5W 30 - 23ON
Sat 9/13 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-3.560.5W 41 - 35OY
Sat 9/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-11.561.5
Sat 9/27 Ole Miss vs LSU-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Ole Miss vs Washington State-33
Sat 10/18 Ole Miss at Georgia+6.5
Sat 10/25 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+6.5
Sat 11/1 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-13
Sat 11/8 Ole Miss vs The Citadel-46.5
Sat 11/15 Ole Miss vs Florida-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-6

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-0
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-20
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn+0
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-6.5
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-9.5
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-5
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-46
Sat 11/29 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-12

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#22 (.38)55% (17)44.752% (30)2.76 (90)21458% (9)3315.25 (24)#115 (.26)40% (75)21.747% (104)33% (33)3 (50)66.71.30.7
UGA#44 (.29)53% (20)3954% (26)3.34 (34)20953% (22)2615.42 (15)#46 (.06)38% (58)1830% (14)47% (110)4.11 (94)261.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense344.73054.5%5.251.326544214331558%41%52%58%14%.38
UGA Defense3186.537.8%4.111 - - - - - 52%48%30%47%14%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense321.72340.2%30.7 - - - - - 53%47%47%33%15%.26
UGA Offense33936.553.4%5.421.3274702092614.556%44%54%53%11%.29

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss327:102650%100%7.366.71.30.73.71.3028.3
Georgia335:222748%83%3.3261.3141028.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense358% (24)52% (30)43213.7510 (10).18 (53)2.76 (90)85% (26)7% (45)0.79 (110)
UGA Defense352% (88)30% (14) - - - - -.14 (14)2.29 (27)78% (100)9% (93)0.62 (6)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense353% (97)47% (104) - - - - .38 (131)3.57 (132)89% (119)6% (125)1.29 (122)
UGA Offense356% (34)54% (26)46.32094.510 (10).21 (46)3.34 (34)74% (62)7% (31)0.8 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense341% (113)58% (9)19.730.3330.710.916.86 (34)4 (121).74 (5)1.8 (21)25% (21)46% (14).68 (20)6% (100)2 (65)
UGA Defense348% (48)47% (110) - - - - - - 3 (28).29 (99)1.4 (45)28% (119)10% (2)-.02 (18)5% (80)2.6 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense347% (42)33% (33) - - - - - - 1 (87).12 (40)1.7 (101)37% (27)28% (60).34 (89)9% (20)2.4 (124)
UGA Offense344% (96)53% (22)2333.3261.37.811.45 (54)1 (23).39 (48)1.2 (121)24% (17)31% (73).29 (82)4% (39)1.7 (106)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 23.36 #21
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 23.36   Georgia: 29.31

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 22.6   Georgia: 21.4




Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 29.31 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 30.86 #5
Georgia's Defense Rating: -4.15 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74 #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4 #8
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #8
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 31
Ole Miss 24


Total Points: 55

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.5

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Ole Miss28Georgia10Ole MissGeorgia -1.5Ole Miss54.5Under
202311/11Georgia52Ole Miss17GeorgiaGeorgia -11.0Georgia59.0Over
201609/24Ole Miss45Georgia14Ole MissOle Miss -6Ole Miss61.0Under
201211/03Georgia37Ole Miss10Georgia
201109/24Ole Miss13Georgia27Georgia
200709/29Georgia45Ole Miss17Georgia
200609/30Ole Miss9Georgia14Georgia
200211/09Georgia31Ole Miss17Georgia
200111/17Ole Miss15Georgia35Georgia
200011/17Georgia32Ole Miss14Georgia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia811 Overs
Ole Miss222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 33 - 02 - 01 - 0
Road Teams3 - 70 - 30 - 10 - 2

(#21) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 23.36 #21
Offense Rating: 26.64 #14
Defense Rating: 3.29 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Expected Record: 9.5 - 2.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.25 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 58%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ole Miss has lost 3 straight
Ole Miss has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Ole Miss Notes
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(9/13) QB Simmons out vs Ark, Chambliss starting
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
(6/2) WR has 5 players with 400+ yds, 4 are portals
(5/19) Kiffin & OC Weis Jr want to push tempo TY
(5/19) RB D Taylor (1k LY, Troy) added post spring
(5/19) OL rebuild 1/5. 5 portal adds (3 P5/2 G5).
(5/19) Def rebuild. DL talent is good, 8 DB portals!?
(5/11) OL bottom 1/3 in exp & 62% comes from portals

Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss in Undefeated

Ole Miss has Really Good Running Game (#25)
Ole Miss offense is efficent (#17)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Ole Miss Secondary is very good (#20)

Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Ole Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#113)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)
Ole Miss has a bad defensive line (#132)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUGAMISS
OverallOver#31#48
OffenseOff#32#48
DefenseDef#42#65
Special TeamsST#12#68
PassingPass#19#57
RushingRush#63#22
Run BlockRBLK#34#95
Pass BlockPBLK#47#89
Route RunningWR Rt#47#20
TacklingTkl#5#81
Run DefenseR Def#11#58
Pass Rush DefPRush#92#107
Coverage DefCov#72#41

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Georgia last year (28-10)
Georgia beat Ole Miss in 2023 (52-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MISS | UGA
Depth Chart: MISS | UGA
Rosters: MISS | UGA
(#4) Georgia Info
Power Rating: 29.31 #4
Offense Rating: 30.86 #5
Defense Rating: -4.15 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4 #8
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1140.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74 #1
Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Great Pass Success 53%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Georgia has lost 3 straight
Georgia has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia Notes
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
(6/6) Def still v good LY, DL rebuild still top 10 via PFF
(6/2) Watch So QB Ryan Puglisi. Getting player hype
(5/23) CBs Everette & Harris a top duo in CFB
(5/16) TE duo of Delp & Luckie is a CFB top unit

Georgia Highlights
Georgia in Undefeated
Georgia is Undefeated at Home

Georgia has Really Good Running Game (#27)
Georgia offense is efficent (#20)
Georgia offense is good in red zone (#15)
Georgia offense is good on 3rd downs
Georgia defense does not give up big plays (#29)
Georgia has a good run defense (#14)
Georgia Defensive Line is very good (#27)
Georgia commits very few Penalties (#13)
Georgia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Georgia Deficiencies
Georgia Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Georgia offense is not Explosive (#129)
Georgia does not Sack the QB (#112)


  
Ole Miss's OC Charlie Weis Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Simmons345661%5804410.4
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)253571%4122011.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)6129054.842
Logan Diggs997110.851
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)228323.817
Austin Simmons166914.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)15339222.655
Deuce Alexander (Tr)10155015.535
Dae'Quan Wright5142128.464
Cayden Lee696016.062

View Ole Miss's Full Roster
Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Dottery231002
Jaden Yates (Tr)180000
Zxavian Harris174221
Kamarion Franklin140030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zxavian Harris174221
William Echoles111120
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)72110
TJ Dottery231002
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams (Tr)121004
Nick Cull80003
TJ Dottery231002

Georgia's OC Mike Bobo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton638971%721408.1
Ryan Puglisi61155%63115.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier3918924.821
Dwight Phillips Jr.1714418.523
Gunner Stockton2812434.414
Chauncey Bowens2912124.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)11181216.547
Colbie Young13179013.845
London Humphreys896212.031
Cash Jones65709.518

View Georgia's Full Roster
Georgia's DC Glenn Schumann
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raylen Wilson233010
C.J. Allen222101
KJ Bolden170001
Kyron Jones140000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Cole143201
C.J. Allen222101
Raylen Wilson233010
Rasean Dinkins20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joenel Aguero60002
KJ Bolden170001
C.J. Allen222101