Tulane at Ole Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at Ole Miss RebelsOle Miss logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium - Oxford, MS

 
Green Wave (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#27)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 8)
MISS 2nd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
TULN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -17   (SP+ MISS -17)

Projected Score: TULN: 19 - MISS: 36 (55)
MISS Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
TULN Travel: 307 miles
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-4
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-0.5
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+17
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-18.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-13.5
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-9.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-0
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+0.5
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-20
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-19.5
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-26.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia State-37.062.5
Sat 9/6 Ole Miss at Kentucky-10.5
Sat 9/13 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-11
Sat 9/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-17
Sat 9/27 Ole Miss vs LSU+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Ole Miss vs Washington State-30.5
Sat 10/18 Ole Miss at Georgia+12
Sat 10/25 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+3.5
Sat 11/1 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-4.5
Sat 11/8 Ole Miss vs The Citadel-41.5
Sat 11/15 Ole Miss vs Florida-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-14

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)35.145% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)20.638% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)38.644% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)14.435% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1435.13745.5%4.51.1214061972094.960%40%45%47%11%.27
MISS Defense1314.410.635.3%2.981.6 - - - - - 47%53%35%36%25%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1420.623.138.3%3.531.6 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%16%.07
MISS Offense1338.639.647.4%40.9234811643174.650%50%44%51%15%.34

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1432:1320.850%45%6.150.11.11.65.42.4734.5
Ole Miss1326:0422.741%59%6.868.50.91.68.94.1029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1460% (10)45% (61)40.1196.64.932 (14).14 (65)3.15 (47)75% (57)7% (14)0.94 (80)
MISS Defense1347% (25)35% (6) - - - - -.04 (4)2.49 (7)74% (71)16% (1)0.88 (23)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1450% (62)38% (14) - - - - .07 (41)2.97 (59)76% (80)11% (47)1.05 (99)
MISS Offense1350% (75)44% (76)35.8164.24.627 (30).15 (58)3.02 (72)71% (85)10% (68)1.09 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1440% (125)47% (23)14.823.5209.48.914.225 (31)9 (48).48 (4)1.8 (12)32% (76)36% (22).49 (12)4% (11)2.1 (34)
MISS Defense1353% (115)36% (13) - - - - - - 11 (52).12 (20)1.6 (85)37% (5)23% (1).1 (3)8% (3)2.1 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1450% (75)39% (45) - - - - - - 14 (23).07 (9)1.5 (21)32% (62)28% (31).18 (20)6% (85)1.9 (28)
MISS Offense1350% (59)51% (3)20.530.5317.210.415.427 (20)6 (10).53 (3)1.6 (46)29% (28)38% (7).63 (2)5% (54)2.3 (12)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 3.79 #56
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.72 #61
Tulane's Defense Rating: 10.93 #45
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3 #48
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 529.86
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 3.79   Ole Miss: 20.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 3.3   Ole Miss: 19.8




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 20.485 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.57 #18
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 6.40 #23
2025 Talent Rating: 878.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 35 #19
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8 #11
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #20
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 36
Tulane 19


Projected Total Points: 55
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Tulane20Ole Miss37Ole MissOle Miss -8Ole Miss64.0Under
202109/18Ole Miss61Tulane21Ole MissOle Miss -14Ole Miss77.0Over
201209/22Tulane0Ole Miss39Ole Miss
201009/11Tulane13Ole Miss27Ole Miss
200009/01Ole Miss49Tulane20Ole Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss521 Overs
Tulane001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 31 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams3 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#56) Tulane Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.79 #56
Offense Rating: 14.72 #61
Defense Rating: 10.93 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66
Talent Rating: 686.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tulane Notes
(5/29) Added QB Sullivan (Iowa) post spring, QB1 battle
(5/29) Off added 19 portals, 3 QB, 2RB, 4 WR, 6 OL
(5/29) WR rebuild. 4 portals. Hayes (FAU) good one
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. 2 portal starters + 4 more.
(5/29) Def decent LY, returns good prod. 10 DL portals
(4/20) Defense dominated spring. Front 7 looks good
(4/20) QBs Semonza(BSU)/Leary(Ill) split spring reps
(3/23) RB rebuild. Mobley/Turner portals, Barnes exp
(3/23) Sumrall decent 1st year, but 0-3 finish brutal
Tulane     Ratings Matchup     Ole Miss
Power #56
#18
Off #61
#18
Def #45
#23
Talent #72
#22
SP+ #48
#11
SP+ Off #34
#20
SP+ Def #66
#9

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Tulane in 2023 (37-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | MISS
Depth Chart: TULN | MISS
Rosters: TULN | MISS
(#18) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.485 #18
Offense Rating: 22.57 #18
Defense Rating: 6.40 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8 #9
Talent Rating: 878.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 35 #19
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 51%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 2.98 PPO
Great Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Ole Miss Notes
(6/2) WR has 5 players with 400+ yds, 4 are portals
(5/19) Kiffin & OC Weis Jr want to push tempo TY
(5/19) RB D Taylor (1k LY, Troy) added post spring
(5/19) OL rebuild 1/5. 5 portal adds (3 P5/2 G5).
(5/19) Def rebuild. DL talent is good, 8 DB portals!?
(5/11) OL bottom 1/3 in exp & 62% comes from portals
(4/4) Portal TE Hasz (Ark) top 10 via PFF, athletic
(3/19) QB Simmons new but exciting. High hopes
(3/19) RB rebuild, 2 portal adds. Who breaks out?
(3/19) Talented, but won 10 w/ loads more LY


  
Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kadin Semonza (Tr)27542764%290025106.8
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)385372%474338.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zuberi Mobley (Tr)9147145.272
Arnold Barnes8339664.827
Ty Thompson4024366.150
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)4715143.230
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes (Tr)39590315.171
Justyn Reid (Tr)7145020.759
Tre Shackelford (Tr)10144114.439
Bryce Bohanon10121012.131

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Howard564201
Bailey Despanie493001
Jack Tchienchou471000
Maurice Westmoreland (Tr)459861
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland (Tr)459861
Kameron Hamilton216540
Santana Hopper (Tr)308400
Gerrod Henderson204300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LJ Green (Tr)272016
Javion White92003
Jaheim Johnson40002

Ole Miss's OC Charlie Weis Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maealiuaki Smith (Tr)447559%499246.7
Austin Simmons193259%282208.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Taylor (Tr)173101075.856
Domonique Thomas4219714.722
Kewan Lacy (Tr)2310404.513
Cayden Lee21809.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr)52892617.277
Cayden Lee57874215.358
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)47732415.650
Traylon Ray (Tr)28426415.254

View Ole Miss's Full Roster
Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Yates (Tr)1147162
Wydett Williams (Tr)904114
TJ Dottery776341
Suntarine Perkins60141180
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Suntarine Perkins60141180
TJ Dottery776341
Kamarion Franklin115330
Zxavian Harris315220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kapena Gushiken (Tr)483006
Da'Shawn Womack (Tr)81124
Sage Ryan (Tr)422104