Washington State at Ole Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo   Washington State Cougars at Ole Miss Rebels  Ole Miss logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:45 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -33.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: -32.5
Ole Miss 24 - Washington State: 21

 
Cougars (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
WSU coming off BYE
MISS coming off BYE
Our Line: Ole Miss -27.5  (SP+ MISS -20)

Projected Score: WSU: 13 - MISS: 41 (54)
MISS Win prob: 100% | Cover: 46%
WSU Travel: 1671 miles, 2 hrs behind
Rebels (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Washington State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington State vs Idaho-16.550.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Washington State vs San Diego State-2.046.5W 36 - 13OY
Sat 9/13 Washington State at North Texas+6.557.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 9/20 Washington State vs Washington+21.051.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 9/27 Washington State at Colorado State+4.548.5W 20 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Washington State at Ole Miss+33.558.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Washington State at Virginia+16.556.5L 20 - 22UY
Sat 10/25 Washington State vs Toledo+1.544.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/1 Washington State at Oregon State-3.547.5L 7 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Washington State vs Louisiana Tech-10.043.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/22 Washington State at James Madison+15.044.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/29 Washington State vs Oregon State-14.042.5W 32 - 8UY
Mon 12/22 Washington State vs Utah State+1.050.0W 34 - 21OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia State-38.562.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Ole Miss at Kentucky-8.051.5W 30 - 23ON
Sat 9/13 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-3.560.5W 41 - 35OY
Sat 9/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-12.561.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Ole Miss vs LSU-2.557.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Ole Miss vs Washington State-33.558.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/18 Ole Miss at Georgia+7.556.5L 35 - 43ON
Sat 10/25 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+5.552.5W 34 - 26OY
Sat 11/1 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-12.555.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 11/8 Ole Miss vs The Citadel-51.563.5W 49 - 0UN
Sat 11/15 Ole Miss vs Florida-10.553.5W 34 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-7.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 12/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-17.557.5W 41 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Ole Miss vs Georgia+6.053.5W 39 - 34OY
Thu 1/8 Ole Miss vs Miami+3.052.5L 27 - 31ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)22.547% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)20.251% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)36.944% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)21.135% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1322.516.348.1%4.430.8214071592484.751%49%47%49%14%.29
MISS Defense1321.115.635.3%2.981.6 - - - - - 47%53%35%36%25%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1320.223.746%4.181.7 - - - - - 44%55%51%43%15%.22
MISS Offense1336.93947.4%40.9234811643174.650%50%44%51%15%.34

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1326:1921.141%54%5.954.80.81.74.61.5330.1
Ole Miss1326:0422.741%59%6.868.50.91.68.94.1029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1351% (66)47% (27)33.6158.84.727 (30).23 (22)3.1 (54)67% (108)10% (72)1.12 (14)
MISS Defense1347% (25)35% (6) - - - - -.04 (4)2.49 (7)74% (71)16% (1)0.88 (23)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1344% (7)51% (129) - - - - .25 (123)3.28 (110)69% (45)9% (102)1.03 (89)
MISS Offense1350% (75)44% (76)35.8164.24.627 (30).15 (58)3.02 (72)71% (85)10% (68)1.09 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1349% (69)49% (8)17.827.4248.29.113.930 (9)7 (26).37 (20)1.6 (68)27% (13)37% (14).43 (27)4% (19)2.1 (44)
MISS Defense1353% (115)36% (13) - - - - - - 11 (52).12 (20)1.6 (85)37% (5)23% (1).1 (3)8% (3)2.1 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1355% (126)43% (91) - - - - - - 14 (23).24 (74)1.5 (54)30% (98)32% (93).35 (87)6% (64)2.2 (114)
MISS Offense1350% (59)51% (3)20.530.5317.210.415.427 (20)6 (10).53 (3)1.6 (46)29% (28)38% (7).63 (2)5% (54)2.3 (12)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -7.66  #92
Washington State's Offense Rating: 6.10  #114
Washington State's Defense Rating: 13.76  #69
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8  #61
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #86
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -7.66   Ole Miss: 25.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 3.8   Ole Miss: 24.0




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 25.58  #9
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.65  #7
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 4.49  #21
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40  #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0  #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4  #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3  #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 41
Washington State 13


Projected Total Points: 54
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record at home: 9 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Ole Miss24Washington State21Ole Miss -33.5Washington State58.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss100 Overs
Washington State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#92) WSU at (#9) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWSUMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #92 #9
SP+SP+ #61 #7
Perf GradeGrade #88 #12
OffenseOff #101 #9
DefenseDef #40 #41
Spec TeamsST #97 #18
TalentTal #70 #33
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #18
Washington State Notes
(12/13) Hired Kirby Moore (Mizzu OC) as HC ijn '26
(12/6) HC Rogers leaving for Iowa St. Another 1 yr HC
(10/19) 2 straight close L's @ Ole Miss & UVA. Improving
(10/7) Sched has been sneaky brutal and gets worse in Oct
(9/3) QB1 Potter, but Ekhaus didn't play as #2?
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
Washington State Injury Report
Ole Miss Notes
(12/9) Hired OC John David Baker (ECU). Decent hire
(12/1) Hired DC Pete Golding after Kiffin left for LSU
(10/19) Def torched by UGA, 500 yds. Run Def concerning
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
Ole Miss Injury Report
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #101 #41
SuccessSuc #15 #3
ExplosiveExp #24 #78
PPAPPA #19 #6
PowerPwr #114 #21
SP+SP+ #86 #20
Pts POPPO #23 #8
HavocHav #43 #1
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #81 #18
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #6
Run ExplRExp #14 #23
PPAExp #22 #4
Run BlockR Blk #133 -
OL YdsOLY #54 #7
Stuff RateStuff #99 #19
TackleTak -  #81
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #79 #67
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #13
Pass ExplPExl #68 #85
PPAExp #20 #20
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #131 #85
F7 HavocF7 #72 #1
DB HavocDB #19 #3
Ole Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMISS OffWSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #40
SuccessSuc #19 #112
ExplosiveExp #8 #82
PPAPPA #4 #99
PowerPwr #7 #69
SP+SP+ #3 #32
Pts POPPO #58 #107
HavocHav #54 #88
Ole Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #14 #84
Run SuccessRSuc #76 #129
Run ExplRExp #26 #89
PPAExp #58 #123
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLY #72 #110
Stuff RateStuff #92 #82
TackleTak -  #136
Ole Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMISS OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #14 #40
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #91
Pass ExplPExl #46 #54
PPAExp #3 #74
Pass Block/RushP Blk #35 #36
F7 HavocF7 #68 #102
DB HavocDB #54 #64
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Ole Miss -33.5 (58.5)
Ole Miss won vs Washington State this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Washington State last year (24-21)

  
WSU's OC Danny Freund (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zevi Eckhaus19230663%209215126.8
Jaxon Potter679571%604436.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kirby Vorhees (Tr)13857654.246
Zevi Eckhaus11437183.322
Angel Johnson (Tr)7525213.450
Maxwell Woods (Tr)3622506.348
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Meredith57725312.748
Tony Freeman54588310.948
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)20221111.135
Trey Leckner2317437.632

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker McKenna835211
Caleb Francl (Tr)826253
Tucker Large (Tr)713006
Anthony Palano (Tr)651142
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Terrell2812761
Buddha Peleti (Tr)227450
Soni Finau (Tr)124430
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)174332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Large (Tr)713006
Jamorri Colson221003
Caleb Francl (Tr)826253

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)29444566%39372238.8
Austin Simmons457560%744459.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)3061567245.173
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)13352784.041
Logan Diggs3318945.751
Damien Taylor (Tr)2813024.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)61934415.355
De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr)55811614.775
Deuce Alexander (Tr)44684215.588
Cayden Lee44635314.462

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Dottery986212
Suntarine Perkins81135125
Wydett Williams (Tr)731009
Kamarion Franklin6995143
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)45139131
Kamarion Franklin6995143
William Echoles6812565
Suntarine Perkins81135125
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams (Tr)731009
William Echoles6812565
Kapena Gushiken (Tr)551015