Washington State at Ole Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars at Ole Miss Rebels(#4)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:45 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -33.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: -32.5
Ole Miss 24 - Washington State: 21

 
Cougars (3 - 3) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (17 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
WSU coming off BYE
MISS coming off BYE
Our Line: Ole Miss -33  (SP+ MISS -26)

Projected Score: WSU: 12 - MISS: 45 (56)
MISS Win prob: 100% | Cover: 46%
WSU Travel: 1671 miles, 2 hrs behind
Rebels (6 - 0) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 38 - 19 (39 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Washington State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington State vs Idaho-16.550.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Washington State vs San Diego State-2.046.5W 36 - 13OY
Sat 9/13 Washington State at North Texas+6.557.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 9/20 Washington State vs Washington+21.051.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 9/27 Washington State at Colorado State+4.548.5W 20 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Washington State at Ole Miss+33.558.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Washington State at Virginia+17.556.5
Sat 10/25 Washington State vs Toledo+13.5
Sat 11/1 Washington State at Oregon State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Washington State vs Louisiana Tech-1
Sat 11/22 Washington State at James Madison+14.5
Sat 11/29 Washington State vs Oregon State-6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia State-38.562.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Ole Miss at Kentucky-8.051.5W 30 - 23ON
Sat 9/13 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-3.560.5W 41 - 35OY
Sat 9/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-12.561.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Ole Miss vs LSU-2.557.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Ole Miss vs Washington State-33.558.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/18 Ole Miss at Georgia+7.554.5
Sat 10/25 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+4
Sat 11/1 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-16
Sat 11/8 Ole Miss vs The Citadel-48.5
Sat 11/15 Ole Miss vs Florida-11
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-8

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#105 (.12)42% (82)20.739% (107)2.33 (130)8844% (58)2274.11 (63)#94 (.21)47% (121)2850% (127)44% (94)4.31 (106)46.21.50.7
MISS#26 (.31)50% (16)37.849% (29)2.8 (87)20551% (8)3114.74 (23)#63 (.16)41% (64)19.247% (114)35% (18)3.28 (31)73.81.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)47% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)51% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense620.71742.2%4.111.518314882273.143%57%39%44%17%.12
MISS Defense619.218.440.8%3.280.7 - - - - - 50%50%47%35%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense62828.746.8%4.310.7 - - - - - 55%45%50%44%14%.21
MISS Offense637.839.450%4.741.3265162053114.857%43%49%51%14%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State631:5218.337%80%5.846.21.50.762.3026.4
Ole Miss628:2325.751%83%7.873.81.30.74.21.5027.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense643% (117)39% (107)28.587.53.14 (125)-.04 (129)2.33 (130)58% (124)11% (102)0.71 (134)
MISS Defense650% (71)47% (114) - - - - .25 (126)3.31 (128)74% (83)8% (117)1.09 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense655% (113)50% (127) - - - - .18 (112)3.18 (120)71% (73)11% (41)0.93 (59)
MISS Offense657% (25)49% (29)42.7205.34.816 (20).13 (66)2.8 (87)83% (18)8% (26)0.83 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense657% (20)44% (58)23.233.8226.76.79.810 (60)5 (77).25 (80)1.3 (126)30% (54)25% (116).03 (133)6% (70)1.6 (131)
MISS Defense650% (70)35% (18) - - - - - - 3 (93).07 (18)1.5 (42)34% (32)29% (68).27 (65)8% (21)2 (84)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense645% (25)44% (94) - - - - - - 0.26 (78)1.5 (53)29% (108)34% (114).29 (74)3% (135)1.9 (37)
MISS Offense643% (110)51% (8)19.8313111015.711 (49)5 (77).58 (6)1.7 (24)26% (19)41% (6).56 (18)6% (74)2 (77)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -6.49  #99
Washington State's Offense Rating: 5.47  #103
Washington State's Defense Rating: 11.96  #87
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #82
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #74
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #94

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -6.49   Ole Miss: 27.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -4.4   Ole Miss: 21.5




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 27.65  #12
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.40  #14
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: -2.40  #25
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40  #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.5  #6
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #13
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6  #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 20.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 45
Washington State 12


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 34
Washington State 20

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 34
Washington State 19

Total Points: 53
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 37.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.4
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.4

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Ole Miss24Washington State21Ole Miss -33.5Washington State58.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss100 Overs
Washington State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#99) WSU at (#12) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWSUMISS
Power RatePwr #99 #12
SP+SP+ #82 #6
Perf GradeGrade #102 #41
OffenseOff #94 #36
DefenseDef #109 #57
Spec TeamsST #93 #98
TalentTal #70 #33
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #18

Washington State Notes
(10/7) Sched has been sneaky brutal and gets worse in Oct
(9/3) QB1 Potter, but Ekhaus didn't play as #2?
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
(3/22) WR rebuild, #'s look rough, very young
(3/22) OL returns 3/5, OK LY. Only 1 portal add.

Ole Miss Notes
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
(6/2) WR has 5 players with 400+ yds, 4 are portals
(5/19) Kiffin & OC Weis Jr want to push tempo TY
Washington State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
WSU OffMISS Def
Perf GradePerf #94 #57
SuccessSuc #82 #64
ExplosiveExp #131 #64
PPAPPA #105 #63
PowerPwr #103 #25
SP+SP+ #74 #16
Pts POPPO #63 #31
HavocHav #90 #84
Washington State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
WSU OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #131 #67
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #114
Run ExplRExp #134 #110
PPAExp #129 #126
Run BlockR Blk #101 -
OL YdsOLY #130 #128
Stuff RateStuff #123 #125
TackleTak -  #74
Washington State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
WSU OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #64 #40
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #18
Pass ExplPExl #126 #42
PPAExp #80 #18
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #92
F7 HavocF7 #102 #117
DB HavocDB #70 #21
Ole Miss on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMISS OffWSU Def
Perf GradePerf #36 #109
SuccessSuc #16 #121
ExplosiveExp #81 #30
PPAPPA #26 #94
PowerPwr #14 #87
SP+SP+ #13 #94
Pts POPPO #23 #106
HavocHav #48 #115
Ole Miss Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MISS OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #20 #103
Run SuccessRSuc #29 #127
Run ExplRExp #117 #59
PPAExp #66 #112
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #87 #120
Stuff RateStuff #92 #89
TackleTak -  #135
Ole Miss Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMISS OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #50 #124
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #94
Pass ExplPExl #24 #53
PPAExp #6 #78
Pass Block/RushP Blk #60 #45
F7 HavocF7 #26 #41
DB HavocDB #74 #135
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76°
Rematch from Week 7
Ole Miss -33.5 (58.5)
Ole Miss won vs Washington State this year (24-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WSU's OC Danny Freund (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zevi Eckhaus7210569%756627.2
Jaxon Potter679571%604436.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kirby Vorhees (Tr)4824415.146
Leo Pulalasi159706.545
Angel Johnson (Tr)479602.012
Zevi Eckhaus326121.922
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tony Freeman30302110.123
Josh Meredith24285111.948
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)12141111.835
Carter Pabst5108021.643

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker McKenna453100
Anthony Palano (Tr)371101
Caleb Francl (Tr)333110
Tucker Large (Tr)311002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Terrell1710531
Soni Finau (Tr)62200
Buddha Peleti (Tr)82220
Parker McKenna453100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamorri Colson120002
Tucker Large (Tr)311002
Isaac Terrell1710531

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)8513065%1286719.9
Austin Simmons345661%5804410.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)12658784.742
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)6128134.641
Logan Diggs1813837.751
Deuce Alexander (Tr)127806.531
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)17361221.255
Dae'Quan Wright16359322.464
Deuce Alexander (Tr)20349117.535
Cayden Lee15282218.862

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Dottery372012
Jaden Yates (Tr)361000
Kamarion Franklin3132121
William Echoles285332
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
William Echoles285332
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)154270
Zxavian Harris255231
Kamarion Franklin3132121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams (Tr)251004
Sage Ryan (Tr)140003
Nick Cull100003