Kentucky at Georgia Game Matchup
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Georgia BulldogsGeorgia logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Sanford Stadium - Athens, GA  (SEC)

 
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#107)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
UK 2nd straight Road Game
UGA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia -25   (SP+ UGA -22)
Projected Score: UK: 14 - UGA: 39 (48)
UGA Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 288 miles
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 2.2 (#11)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Kentucky vs Toledo-11.50.0
Sat 9/6 Kentucky vs Ole Miss+10.5
Sat 9/13 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kentucky at South Carolina+13.5
Sat 10/4 Kentucky at Georgia+25
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Kentucky vs Texas+21
Sat 10/25 Kentucky vs Tennessee+9.5
Sat 11/1 Kentucky at Auburn+14.5
Sat 11/8 Kentucky vs Florida+12
Sat 11/15 Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech-28.5
Sat 11/22 Kentucky at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 11/29 Kentucky at Louisville+9.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia vs Marshall-39.50.0
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-51
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-0
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-25
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn-8
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-12
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-5.5
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-1.5
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-50.5
Sat 11/29 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-17.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)20.647% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)22.149% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)31.546% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)20.639% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UGA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1220.61841.5%3.491.919331146185454%46%47%35%19%.09
UGA Defense1420.621.238.8%3.221.4 - - - - - 49%51%39%38%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1222.13146%3.441.3 - - - - - 58%42%49%42%17%.16
UGA Offense1431.542.346.6%4.681.3213851212644.343%57%46%47%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1229:3219.434%44%6.352.11.91.35.61.8227
Georgia1427:4320.641%75%5.451.11.31.46.12.6029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1254% (37)47% (31)36.7146.4411 (116).05 (107)3.02 (71)73% (71)13% (120)0.73 (133)
UGA Defense1449% (48)39% (34) - - - - .1 (59)2.81 (39)80% (107)12% (21)0.96 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1258% (129)49% (122) - - - - .14 (75)3 (67)78% (101)12% (32)0.88 (24)
UGA Offense1443% (112)46% (46)28.1120.64.324 (45).12 (76)2.91 (91)73% (67)9% (47)0.88 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1246% (97)35% (123)13.926184.87.113.315 (98)17 (127).13 (117)1.9 (10)33% (92)28% (104).18 (114)7% (103)2.1 (46)
UGA Defense1451% (89)38% (37) - - - - - - 8 (93).17 (37)1.6 (59)35% (27)26% (13).23 (36)5% (110)2.1 (86)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1242% (7)42% (75) - - - - - - 10 (66).19 (46)1.5 (27)29% (109)31% (83).3 (68)5% (95)2 (61)
UGA Offense1457% (22)47% (16)22.634.4264.37.711.728 (15)13 (103).34 (31)1.5 (111)28% (15)36% (19).39 (47)7% (95)1.8 (127)

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 5.54 #52
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 16.20 #54
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.66 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 5.54   Georgia: 30.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 4.7   Georgia: 26.9




Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 30.015 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.29 #8
Georgia's Defense Rating: 0.16 #7
2025 Talent Rating: 1190.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66 #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.9 #4
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.0 #8
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.1 #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 39
Kentucky 14

Projected Total Points: 48
Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Kentucky12Georgia13GeorgiaGeorgia -24Kentucky45.0Under
202310/07Georgia51Kentucky13GeorgiaGeorgia -14.5Georgia47.0Over
202211/19Kentucky6Georgia16GeorgiaGeorgia -22.5Kentucky47.5Under
202110/16Georgia30Kentucky13GeorgiaGeorgia -21.5Kentucky44.5Under
202010/31Kentucky3Georgia14GeorgiaGeorgia -17Kentucky42.0Under
201910/19Georgia21Kentucky0GeorgiaGeorgia -23.5Kentucky45.5Under
201811/03Kentucky17Georgia34GeorgiaGeorgia -9.5Georgia47.5Over
201711/18Georgia42Kentucky13GeorgiaGeorgia -23.5Georgia51.0Over
201611/05Kentucky24Georgia27GeorgiaGeorgia -2.5Georgia52.0Under
201511/07Georgia27Kentucky3GeorgiaGeorgia -17Georgia58.0Under
201411/08Kentucky31Georgia63GeorgiaGeorgia -13Georgia0
201311/23Georgia59Kentucky17GeorgiaGeorgia -26Georgia0
201210/20Kentucky24Georgia29Georgia
201111/19Georgia19Kentucky10Georgia
201010/23Kentucky31Georgia44Georgia
200911/21Georgia27Kentucky34Kentucky
200811/08Kentucky38Georgia42Georgia
200711/17Georgia24Kentucky13Georgia
200611/04Kentucky24Georgia20Kentucky
200511/19Georgia45Kentucky13Georgia
200411/06Kentucky17Georgia62Georgia
200311/22Georgia30Kentucky10Georgia
200210/26Kentucky24Georgia52Georgia
200110/20Georgia43Kentucky29Georgia
200010/20Kentucky30Georgia34Georgia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia2373 Overs
Kentucky257 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 137 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams13 - 125 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#52) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.54 #52
Offense Rating: 16.20 #54
Defense Rating: 10.66 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 876.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Kentucky Notes
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
(4/4) OG Joshua Braun a top G via PFF
(3/24) Portal DL Gusta (WSU)/Grace (S Dak) big
(3/22) Added 13 players that started LY via portal
(3/18) Portal QB Calzada (Inc Word/A&M) can sling
(3/18) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell (Neb) added
(3/18) WR rebuild, bad LY. 4 Portals. Big jump TY?
(3/18) OL rebuild 1/5 back, 5 portal adds. No clue
(3/18) Def good LY, new DE's. DB's OK LY, better TY?
(3/18) Tons of new faces, portals. Awful QB play LY
Kentucky     Ratings Matchup     Georgia
Power #52
#7
Off #54
#8
Def #43
#7
Talent #25
#1
SP+ #43
#4
SP+ Off #79
#8
SP+ Def #31
#4

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Kentucky last year (13-12)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2023 (51-13)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2022 (16-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UK | UGA
Depth Chart: UK | UGA
Rosters: UK | UGA
(#7) Georgia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 30.015 #7
Offense Rating: 28.29 #8
Defense Rating: 0.16 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.9 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.0 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.1 #4
Talent Rating: 1190.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66 #1
Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Georgia Notes
(5/16) TE duo of Delp & Luckie is a CFB top unit
(5/2) Still an unquestioned CFP team, but natty?
(4/7) QB Stockton CFP starter, team rallied for him
(4/7) LB CJ Allen/DT C. Miler top 10 via PFF
(4/7) Kirby sticking w/ Bobo at OC is a choice
(3/22) Run game awful LY, WR drops. Lots to correct
(3/18) RB Frazier good LY, talented/unproven depth
(3/18) WR - Branch/Thomas (portals), FR must hit
(3/18) OL returns 3/5. Underperf LY. Lots of talent
(3/18) Def still v good LY, DL rebuild, talent all over


  
Kentucky's OC Bush Hamdan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zach Calzada (Tr)31247166%34323297.3
Cutter Boley265349%338246.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan (Tr)15381335.338
Dante Dowdell (Tr)143614124.338
Jamarion Wilcox9259026.450
Zach Calzada (Tr)8323052.833
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javian Hester14315122.590
Jay Maclin13313424.183
Seth McGowan (Tr)23277312.043
Troy Stellato (Tr)26266110.234

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landyn Watson (Tr)664030
Jordan Lovett631001
Alex Afari Jr.6211211
J.Q. Hardaway470003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Olds (Tr)427621
Alex Afari Jr.6211211
Sam Greene (Tr)153120
David Gusta (Tr)203163
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terhyon Nichols100005
David Gusta (Tr)203163
J.Q. Hardaway470003

Georgia's OC Mike Bobo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton456470%440116.9
Drew Bobo11100%9009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier13367185.040
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Dillon Bell9107111.933
Chauncey Bowens165803.611
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Thomas (Tr)39574814.773
Zachariah Branch (Tr)47503110.742
Dillon Bell43466410.867
Lawson Luckie24348314.537

View Georgia's Full Roster
Georgia's DC Glenn Schumann
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen763054
KJ Bolden592111
Daylen Everette582113
Raylen Wilson477211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elo Modozie (Tr)308671
Gabe Harris144200
Christen Miller274211
Raylen Wilson477211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adrian Maddox (Tr)442017
C.J. Allen763054
Daniel Harris221003