Georgia at Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia logo (#6)Georgia Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers(#15)Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -3.5 (50.5) (-170)  Open: -7.0 | 50.5
Georgia 44 - Tennessee: 41  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (12 - 2) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (35 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
TENN 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia -5  (SP+ UGA -8)

Projected Score: UGA: 29 - TENN: 24 (54)
UGA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UGA Travel: 142 miles
Volunteers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-2.553.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-19.548.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn-4.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-7.556.5W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-7.050.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-9.556.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-3.550.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-42.553.5W 35 - 3UN
Fri 11/28 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-15.559.5W 16 - 9UN
Sat 12/6 Georgia vs Alabama-2.547.5W 28 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Georgia vs Ole Miss-6.053.5L 34 - 39ON

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tennessee vs Syracuse-13.553.5W 45 - 26OY
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-39.558.5W 72 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+3.550.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-39.569.5W 56 - 24ON
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-7.563.5W 41 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-10.068.5W 34 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+8.560.5L 20 - 37UN
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-7.555.5W 56 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma-3.055.5L 27 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-41.559.5W 42 - 9UN
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida-3.557.5W 31 - 11UY
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-2.066.5L 24 - 45ON
Tue 12/30 Tennessee vs Illinois-3.062.5L 28 - 30UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#24 (.27)49% (13)32.148% (21)3.11 (38)17449% (15)2054.81 (6)#28 (.08)37% (22)17.635% (9)40% (52)3.66 (68)40.80.90.9
TENN#7 (.34)51% (6)39.852% (4)3.04 (52)16450% (9)2844.66 (11)#68 (.16)44% (97)28.846% (111)41% (67)4.16 (115)51.31.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Offense1432.13548.6%4.810.9233781742054.556%43%48%49%13%.27
TENN Defense1328.82943.7%4.161.5 - - - - - 50%49%46%41%19%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Defense1417.62437.4%3.660.9 - - - - - 45%54%35%40%15%.08
TENN Offense1339.842.351%4.661.1244481642844.749%49%52%50%12%.34

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia1431:2122.645%76%4.340.80.90.93.91.4029.4
Tennessee1325:3023.850%73%5.851.31.11.56.22.6328.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Offense1456% (27)48% (21)38.5173.54.529 (16).18 (40)3.11 (38)74% (56)8% (34)0.93 (81)
TENN Defense1350% (71)46% (111) - - - - .09 (65)2.81 (56)81% (123)12% (12)0.85 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Defense1445% (14)35% (9) - - - - -.02 (10)2.47 (10)71% (66)8% (108)0.77 (4)
TENN Offense1349% (71)52% (4)34.9164.14.732 (16).26 (10)3.04 (52)84% (3)7% (18)0.95 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Offense1443% (108)49% (15)19.127.4204.67.510.724 (61)7 (20).36 (35)1.3 (132)28% (20)32% (45).34 (56)5% (22)1.8 (122)
TENN Defense1349% (80)41% (67) - - - - - - 10 (75).23 (59)1.6 (67)31% (70)27% (29).26 (58)7% (46)2.2 (124)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Defense1454% (123)40% (52) - - - - - - 9 (75).21 (55)1.4 (10)31% (78)24% (11).18 (27)7% (34)2 (65)
TENN Offense1349% (67)50% (9)21.432.2283.58.813.326 (14)10 (88).43 (18)1.6 (57)26% (15)35% (22).48 (15)5% (33)2.2 (11)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 27.75  #6
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.47  #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: -5.30  #13
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74%  #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4  #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #15
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 27.75   Tennessee: 20.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 23.4   Tennessee: 15.2




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 20.64  #15
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 27.97  #5
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 6.89  #59
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53  #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2  #21
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #5
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #61

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 29
Tennessee 24


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Tennessee 34
Georgia 18

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 32
Tennessee 31

Total Points: 63
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tennessee41Georgia44Georgia -3.5Tennessee50.5Over
202411/16Georgia31Tennessee17Georgia -8.5Georgia47.0Over
202311/18Tennessee10Georgia38Georgia -9.0Georgia59.0Under
202211/05Georgia27Tennessee13Georgia -9.5Georgia65.5Under
202111/13Tennessee17Georgia41Georgia -19Georgia56.0Over
202010/10Georgia44Tennessee21Georgia -12.0Georgia43.0Over
201910/05Tennessee14Georgia43Georgia -24Georgia51.0Over
201809/29Georgia38Tennessee12Georgia -30.5Tennessee55.0Under
201709/30Tennessee0Georgia41Georgia -10Georgia47.0Under
201610/01Georgia31Tennessee34Tennessee -2.5Tennessee51.5Over
201510/10Tennessee38Georgia31Georgia -2.5Tennessee59.5Over
201409/27Georgia35Tennessee32Georgia -18Tennessee0
201310/05Tennessee31Georgia34Georgia -10.5Tennessee0
201209/29Georgia51Tennessee44
201110/08Tennessee12Georgia20
201010/09Georgia41Tennessee14
200910/10Tennessee45Georgia19
200810/11Georgia26Tennessee14
200710/06Tennessee35Georgia14
200610/07Georgia33Tennessee51
200510/08Tennessee14Georgia27
200410/09Georgia14Tennessee19
200310/11Tennessee14Georgia41
200210/12Georgia18Tennessee13
200110/06Tennessee24Georgia26
200010/06Georgia21Tennessee10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee667 Overs
Georgia2074 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 23 - 5
Road Teams13 - 137 - 65 - 32 - 3

(#6) UGA at (#15) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUGATENN
Power RatePwr #6 #15
SP+SP+ #6 #21
Perf GradeGrade #12 #17
OffenseOff #21 #17
DefenseDef #30 #35
Spec TeamsST #38 #53
TalentTal #2 #20
Blue ChipsBC% #1 #10
Georgia Notes
(11/16) Killed Texas, Dawgs peaking. Def inj a concern
(10/20) Top WR Colbie Young out for season (fractured leg)
(10/19) Off torched Ole Miss, 500 yds, Rush Off improved
(10/18) At times playing 2 true Fr at OG vs Ole Miss
(9/30) DL cannot get pressure w/o LBs, have zero sacks
(9/15) Stockton, Off took huge leap in Tenn W.
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
Georgia Injury Report
Tennessee Notes
(12/30) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (27-57)
(12/10) Hiring DC Jim Knowles (PSU/OSU). Good hire?
(12/8) Fired DC Tim Banks after 3 years, Def awful in '25
(11/30) Outrushed by Vandy 314-83. Vols Def fell off a cliff
(11/30) Zero wins vs teams w/ a winning record in '25
(11/16) CB Boo Carter no longer with team. Again.
(10/30) Vols have beaten 3 SEC teams all w/ 0 wins
(10/20) Mistakes killed vs Bama, 10 flags, pick six, safety
(10/20) OG'd Bama, Rush Off good, tackling was nightmare
(9/15) Great perf vs UGA, brutal loss. Off brilliant
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
Tennessee Injury Report
Georgia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffTENN Def
Perf GradePerf #21 #35
SuccessSuc #13 #97
ExplosiveExp #131 #25
PPAPPA #24 #68
PowerPwr #4 #59
SP+SP+ #15 #61
Pts POPPO #6 #115
HavocHav #23 #18
Georgia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #26 #47
Run SuccessRSuc #21 #111
Run ExplRExp #81 #16
PPAExp #40 #65
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLY #38 #56
Stuff RateStuff #86 #39
TackleTak -  #63
Georgia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #22 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #15 #67
Pass ExplPExl #132 #67
PPAExp #35 #59
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #8 #24
F7 HavocF7 #34 #12
DB HavocDB #22 #46
Tennessee on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffUGA Def
Perf GradePerf #17 #30
SuccessSuc #6 #22
ExplosiveExp #52 #10
PPAPPA #7 #28
PowerPwr #5 #13
SP+SP+ #5 #8
Pts POPPO #11 #68
HavocHav #17 #77
Tennessee Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TENN OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #12 #6
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #9
Run ExplRExp #74 #4
PPAExp #10 #10
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLY #52 #10
Stuff RateStuff #15 #45
TackleTak -  #1
Tennessee Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTENN OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #3 #53
Pass SuccessPSuc #9 #52
Pass ExplPExl #57 #10
PPAExp #18 #55
Pass Block/RushP Blk #34 #123
F7 HavocF7 #18 #108
DB HavocDB #33 #34
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 82°
Rematch from Week 3
Georgia 3.5 (50.5)
Georgia won at Tennessee this year (44-41)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Tennessee last year (31-17)
Georgia beat Tennessee in 2023 (38-10)
Georgia beat Tennessee in 2022 (27-13)

  
UGA's OC Mike Bobo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton25135571%26912357.6
Ryan Puglisi162759%161126.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier15886165.459
Chauncey Bowens9851665.343
Gunner Stockton11644283.822
Dwight Phillips Jr.3521016.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)73744510.247
Colbie Young23336114.645
Dillon Bell27279210.336
London Humphreys18276315.336

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen858424
Raylen Wilson706231
KJ Bolden673004
Chris Cole547502
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Cole547502
C.J. Allen858424
Quintavius Johnson336233
Zayden Walker62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ellis Robinson IV171007
Daylen Everette390016
Demello Jones231005

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)25838667%344424108.9
Jake Merklinger132454%173207.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeSean Bishop163983146.050
Star Thomas (Tr)9552975.652
Peyton Lewis7029074.132
Daune Morris3513313.819
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II621017916.472
Braylon Staley64806612.673
Mike Matthews50770415.462
Ethan Davis21257212.240

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter756221
Edwin Spillman744332
Jeremiah Telander716120
Edrees Farooq710002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey257530
Tyre West227411
Caleb Herring156452
Daevin Hobbs283322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Redmond391009
Colton Hood (Tr)505008
Jalen Mcmurray546223