Georgia at Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia logo (#6)Georgia Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers(#15)Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -3.5 (50.5) (-170)  Open: -7.0 | 50.5
Georgia 44 - Tennessee: 41  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (105 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 18 (44 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
TENN 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia -1.5   (SP+ TENN -0)

Projected Score: UGA: 33 - TENN: 31 (64)
UGA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UGA Travel: 142 miles
Volunteers (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 53 - 29 (57 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#37)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Georgia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia vs Marshall-39.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Georgia vs Austin Peay-47.055.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia at Tennessee-3.550.5W 44 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Georgia vs Alabama-0
Sat 10/4 Georgia vs Kentucky-20
Sat 10/11 Georgia at Auburn+0
Sat 10/18 Georgia vs Ole Miss-6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Georgia vs Florida-6.5
Sat 11/8 Georgia at Mississippi State-9.5
Sat 11/15 Georgia vs Texas-5
Sat 11/22 Georgia vs Charlotte-46
Sat 11/29 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-12

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tennessee vs Syracuse-13.553.5W 45 - 26OY
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-39.558.5W 72 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+3.550.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-39.569.5
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-9
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+9
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-11
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-39.5
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida-2.5
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-7

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#44 (.29)53% (20)3954% (26)3.34 (34)20953% (22)2615.42 (15)#46 (.06)38% (58)1830% (14)47% (110)4.11 (94)261.31
TENN#17 (.43)53% (22)52.751% (35)3.07 (61)21654% (21)3595.22 (26)#73 (.14)43% (89)2947% (102)39% (62)5.13 (124)6411.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Offense3394453.4%5.421.3274702092614.556%44%54%53%11%.29
TENN Defense32930.542.6%5.131.3 - - - - - 51%49%47%39%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Defense3184137.8%4.111 - - - - - 52%48%30%47%14%.06
TENN Offense352.756.552.6%5.221295742163595.449%51%51%54%8%.43

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia335:222748%83%3.3261.3141028.4
Tennessee327:2028.758%0%7.76411.364030
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Offense356% (34)54% (26)46.32094.510 (10).21 (46)3.34 (34)74% (62)7% (31)0.8 (106)
TENN Defense351% (84)47% (102) - - - - .06 (67)2.69 (58)79% (106)10% (76)0.64 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Defense352% (88)30% (14) - - - - -.14 (14)2.29 (27)78% (100)9% (93)0.62 (6)
TENN Offense349% (76)51% (35)40215.75.48 (26).26 (38)3.07 (61)76% (51)4% (5)0.94 (73)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Offense344% (96)53% (22)2333.3261.37.811.45 (54)1 (23).39 (48)1.2 (121)24% (17)31% (73).29 (82)4% (39)1.7 (106)
TENN Defense349% (61)39% (62) - - - - - - 2 (56).23 (74)1.6 (80)28% (114)16% (17).17 (44)8% (30)3 (136)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Defense348% (48)47% (110) - - - - - - 3 (28).29 (99)1.4 (45)28% (119)10% (2)-.02 (18)5% (80)2.6 (129)
TENN Offense351% (58)54% (21)2638.7358.79.313.811 (5)2 (60).6 (15)1.6 (47)26% (27)33% (62).58 (28)4% (45)2.5 (15)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 32.22 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 30.86 #5
Georgia's Defense Rating: -4.15 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 1140.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74% #1
Georgia's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Georgia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4 #8
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #8
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 32.22   Tennessee: 25.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 21.4   Tennessee: 21.8




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 25.19 #20
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Georgia Scoring
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense on Road: 44
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Georgia's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 33
Tennessee 31


Total Points: 64

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 52.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 56.5
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.5

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tennessee41Georgia44GeorgiaGeorgia -3.5Tennessee50.5Over
202411/16Georgia31Tennessee17GeorgiaGeorgia -8.5Georgia47.0Over
202311/18Tennessee10Georgia38GeorgiaGeorgia -9.0Georgia59.0Under
202211/05Georgia27Tennessee13GeorgiaGeorgia -9.5Georgia65.5Under
202111/13Tennessee17Georgia41GeorgiaGeorgia -19Georgia56.0Over
202010/10Georgia44Tennessee21GeorgiaGeorgia -12.0Georgia43.0Over
201910/05Tennessee14Georgia43GeorgiaGeorgia -24Georgia51.0Over
201809/29Georgia38Tennessee12GeorgiaGeorgia -30.5Tennessee55.0Under
201709/30Tennessee0Georgia41GeorgiaGeorgia -10Georgia47.0Under
201610/01Georgia31Tennessee34TennesseeTennessee -2.5Tennessee51.5Over
201510/10Tennessee38Georgia31TennesseeGeorgia -2.5Tennessee59.5Over
201409/27Georgia35Tennessee32GeorgiaGeorgia -18Tennessee0
201310/05Tennessee31Georgia34GeorgiaGeorgia -10.5Tennessee0
201209/29Georgia51Tennessee44Georgia
201110/08Tennessee12Georgia20Georgia
201010/09Georgia41Tennessee14Georgia
200910/10Tennessee45Georgia19Tennessee
200810/11Georgia26Tennessee14Georgia
200710/06Tennessee35Georgia14Tennessee
200610/07Georgia33Tennessee51Tennessee
200510/08Tennessee14Georgia27Georgia
200410/09Georgia14Tennessee19Tennessee
200310/11Tennessee14Georgia41Georgia
200210/12Georgia18Tennessee13Georgia
200110/06Tennessee24Georgia26Georgia
200010/06Georgia21Tennessee10Georgia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee667 Overs
Georgia2074 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 23 - 5
Road Teams13 - 137 - 65 - 32 - 3

(#4) Georgia Info
Power Rating: 32.22 #4
Offense Rating: 30.86 #5
Defense Rating: -4.15 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4 #8
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1140.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 74% #1
Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Great Pass Success 53%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Georgia has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Georgia Notes
(9/13) Pass Def torched by Tennessee, DB's beat 1-1
(9/8) Young talent on Def loaded w/ future NFL'ers
(8/16) CAMP: Skill players are massive upgrade TY
(8/13) 7 home games, only 3 on road (2 neutral)
(8/12) WR - upgrade w/ Branch/Thomas, top 10 PFF
(7/19) QB Stockton CFP starter, but watch So. Puglisi
(6/6) Def still v good LY, DL rebuild still top 10 via PFF
(6/2) Watch So QB Ryan Puglisi. Getting player hype
(5/23) CBs Everette & Harris a top duo in CFB
(5/16) TE duo of Delp & Luckie is a CFB top unit

Georgia Highlights
Georgia in Undefeated

Georgia has Really Good Running Game (#27)
Georgia offense is efficent (#20)
Georgia offense is good in red zone (#15)
Georgia offense is good on 3rd downs
Georgia defense does not give up big plays (#29)
Georgia has a good run defense (#14)
Georgia Defensive Line is very good (#27)
Georgia commits very few Penalties (#13)
Georgia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Georgia Deficiencies
Georgia Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Georgia offense is not Explosive (#129)
Georgia does not Sack the QB (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTENNUGA
OverallOver#13#31
OffenseOff#13#32
DefenseDef#40#42
Special TeamsST#52#12
PassingPass#7#19
RushingRush#10#63
Run BlockRBLK#64#34
Pass BlockPBLK#35#47
Route RunningWR Rt#10#47
TacklingTkl#35#5
Run DefenseR Def#55#11
Pass Rush DefPRush#7#92
Coverage DefCov#67#72

Rematch from Week 3
Georgia 3.5 (50.5)
Georgia won at Tennessee this year (44-41)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Tennessee last year (31-17)
Georgia beat Tennessee in 2023 (38-10)
Georgia beat Tennessee in 2022 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UGA | TENN
Depth Chart: UGA | TENN
Rosters: UGA | TENN
(#20) Tennessee Info
Power Rating: 25.19 #20
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: 3.59 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #10
Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.22 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 54%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.13 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Tennessee has won 2 straight
Tennessee has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Tennessee Notes
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
(9/1) Starting CB R Gibson out until Oct (arm inj)
(8/30) 500+ yds vs Cuse, Aguilar good on deep shots
(8/17) QB1 Aguliar (App St) wins battle for starter
(7/25) TE Kitselman a top TE, but injured in spring
(7/25) CB duo McCoy/Gibson great, is McCoy healthy?
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)

Tennessee Highlights
Tennessee is Undefeated vs Spread
Tennessee is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Tennessee is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Tennessee has Really Good Running Game (#21)
Tennessee offense is efficent (#22)
Tennessee offense is good in red zone (#26)
Tennessee offense is good on 3rd downs
Tennessee Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tennessee defense does not give up big plays (#18)
Tennessee Secondary is very good (#30)

Tennessee Deficiencies
Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Tennessee Does Not Stuff Runs (#111)
Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#124)


  
Georgia's OC Mike Bobo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunner Stockton638971%721408.1
Ryan Puglisi61155%63115.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier3918924.821
Dwight Phillips Jr.1714418.523
Gunner Stockton2812434.414
Chauncey Bowens2912124.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachariah Branch (Tr)11181216.547
Colbie Young13179013.845
London Humphreys896212.031
Cash Jones65709.518

View Georgia's Full Roster
Georgia's DC Glenn Schumann
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raylen Wilson233010
C.J. Allen222101
KJ Bolden170001
Kyron Jones140000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Cole143201
C.J. Allen222101
Raylen Wilson233010
Rasean Dinkins20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joenel Aguero60002
KJ Bolden170001
C.J. Allen222101

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)639566%906929.5
Jake Merklinger91464%118208.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)3322136.727
DeSean Bishop2920417.050
Peyton Lewis217623.68
Daune Morris115014.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II20364518.272
Braylon Staley18231212.873
Mike Matthews13199115.353
Miles Kitselman87919.918

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter262100
Jalen Mcmurray171101
Andre Turrentine150000
Edrees Farooq140002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Josephs123201
Caleb Herring54210
Tyre West101110
Charles House III22100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Hood (Tr)110005
Ty Redmond90003
Edrees Farooq140002