Tulane at Ole Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo (#20)Tulane Green Wave at Ole Miss Rebels(#6)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, December 20th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Ole Miss -17.5 (57.5) (0)  Open: -17.0 | 57.0
Ole Miss 41 - Tulane: 10  (CFP First Round Game)

 
Green Wave (11 - 3) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Ole Miss -22  (SP+ MISS -16)

Projected Score: TULN: 17 - MISS: 39 (55)
MISS Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
TULN Travel: 307 miles
Rebels (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Golding (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 38 - 20 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+12.561.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-14.552.5W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-7.053.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-10.044.5W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-5.554.5L 26 - 48ON
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+3.053.5W 38 - 32OY
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-16.560.5W 35 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-7.554.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-31.552.5W 27 - 0UN
Fri 12/5 Tulane vs North Texas+1.566.5W 34 - 21UY
Sat 12/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+17.557.5L 10 - 41UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia State-38.562.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Ole Miss at Kentucky-8.051.5W 30 - 23ON
Sat 9/13 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-3.560.5W 41 - 35OY
Sat 9/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-12.561.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Ole Miss vs LSU-2.557.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Ole Miss vs Washington State-33.558.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/18 Ole Miss at Georgia+7.556.5L 35 - 43ON
Sat 10/25 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+5.552.5W 34 - 26OY
Sat 11/1 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-12.555.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 11/8 Ole Miss vs The Citadel-51.563.5W 49 - 0UN
Sat 11/15 Ole Miss vs Florida-10.553.5W 34 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-7.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 12/20 Ole Miss vs Tulane-17.557.5W 41 - 10UY
Thu 1/1 Ole Miss vs Georgia+6.053.5W 39 - 34OY
Thu 1/8 Ole Miss vs Miami-2.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 4, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#35 (.22)46% (34)27.744% (60)3.18 (27)16648% (16)2453.88 (54)#63 (.15)45% (113)23.944% (90)46% (121)3.69 (72)63.91.21.8
MISS#12 (.32)48% (17)37.645% (58)2.77 (104)17251% (5)2904.71 (9)#51 (.12)40% (49)20.444% (82)37% (24)2.94 (16)50.30.90.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1427.726.445.5%3.881.2224121662454.553%45%44%48%13%.22
MISS Defense1420.415.639.8%2.940.9 - - - - - 50%49%44%37%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1423.93245.1%3.691.8 - - - - - 46%52%44%46%17%.15
MISS Offense1437.63947.9%4.710.9244621722904.652%47%45%51%13%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1430:5121.942%52%6.963.91.21.85.62.6134.5
Ole Miss1427:2123.945%69%5.450.30.90.94.91.9028.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1453% (39)44% (60)36.7166.44.526 (49).11 (68)3.18 (27)78% (30)7% (15)0.89 (101)
MISS Defense1450% (67)44% (82) - - - - .2 (120)3.12 (105)67% (42)10% (61)1.1 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1446% (18)44% (90) - - - - .09 (64)2.97 (86)71% (65)10% (47)0.9 (36)
MISS Offense1452% (46)45% (58)37.2171.84.636 (11).15 (48)2.77 (104)80% (21)8% (29)0.98 (61)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1445% (96)48% (16)18.730.4245.18.113.118 (106)9 (7).38 (27)1.5 (75)29% (33)34% (25).39 (37)5% (48)1.9 (95)
MISS Defense1449% (76)37% (24) - - - - - - 8 (100).1 (14)1.5 (49)33% (47)28% (56).23 (46)7% (41)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1452% (113)46% (121) - - - - - - 15 (38).26 (75)1.4 (13)28% (124)33% (106).32 (83)6% (49)1.9 (36)
MISS Offense1447% (84)51% (5)20.531.3290.19.314.223 (50)8 (60).49 (6)1.6 (50)28% (22)39% (6).6 (4)6% (50)2.2 (14)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 3.37  #58
Tulane's Offense Rating: 13.46  #48
Tulane's Defense Rating: 10.09  #79
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 11.1 - 2.9
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #44
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #35
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 3.37   Ole Miss: 27.16

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.8   Ole Miss: 22.8




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 27.16  #8
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 21.98  #16
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: -5.48  #12
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40  #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.8  #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #8
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 39
Tulane 17


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 26
Tulane 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 33
Tulane 23

Total Points: 56
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 9 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/20Ole Miss41Tulane10Ole Miss -17.5Ole Miss57.5Under
202509/20Ole Miss45Tulane10Ole Miss -12.5Ole Miss61.5Under
202309/09Tulane20Ole Miss37Ole Miss -8Ole Miss64.0Under
202109/18Ole Miss61Tulane21Ole Miss -14Ole Miss77.0Over
201209/22Tulane0Ole Miss39
201009/11Tulane13Ole Miss27
200009/01Ole Miss49Tulane20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss741 Overs
Tulane003 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 33 - 13 - 00 - 1
Road Teams3 - 41 - 31 - 00 - 3

Tulane Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP 1st Round Tulane vs Ole Miss+17.557.5L 10 - 41
2024Gasparilla Bowl Tulane vs Florida+10.050.5L 8 - 33
2023Military Bowl Tulane vs Virginia Tech+13.543.5L 20 - 41
2022Cotton Bowl Tulane vs USC+1.567.0W 46 - 45
2020Potato Bowl Tulane vs Nevada-1.556.5L 27 - 38
2019Forces Bowl Tulane vs Southern Miss-7.558.0W 30 - 13
Ole Miss Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Quarterfinal Ole Miss vs Georgia+6.053.5W 39 - 34
2025CFP 1st Round Ole Miss vs Tulane-17.557.5W 41 - 10
2024Gator Bowl Ole Miss vs Duke-17.550.5W 52 - 20
2023Peach Bowl Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25
2022Texas Bowl Ole Miss vs Texas Tech-4.573.0L 25 - 42
2021Sugar Bowl Ole Miss vs Baylor-1.060.5L 7 - 21
2020Outback Bowl Ole Miss vs Indiana+6.566.5W 26 - 20
  
(#58) TULN at (#8) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTULNMISS
Power RatePwr #58 #8
SP+SP+ #44 #7
Perf GradeGrade #44 #17
OffenseOff #41 #22
DefenseDef #75 #37
Spec TeamsST #34 #24
TalentTal #73 #33
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #18
Tulane Notes
(12/9) Hired HC Will Hall? Fired from So Miss, was PGC?
(12/6) AAC Champs after beating North Texas
(11/29) 4th straight W to finish 10-2 and in the AAC title game
(10/31) Overrated, bad in last 3 games. Could be 4-4
(10/30) Def, esp tackling absolutely atrocious vs UTSA
(10/7) By far best Field Position team in CFB
(9/20) Mauled by Ole Miss. Off was worse than awful
(9/15) Huge W over Duke, Off methodical but effective
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
Tulane Injury Report
Ole Miss Notes
(12/9) Hired OC John David Baker (ECU). Decent hire
(12/1) Hired DC Pete Golding after Kiffin left for LSU
(10/19) Def torched by UGA, 500 yds. Run Def concerning
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
Ole Miss Injury Report
Tulane on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffMISS Def
Perf GradePerf #41 #37
SuccessSuc #34 #49
ExplosiveExp #105 #85
PPAPPA #35 #51
PowerPwr #48 #12
SP+SP+ #35 #17
Pts POPPO #54 #16
HavocHav #21 #53
Tulane Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #80 #26
Run SuccessRSuc #60 #82
Run ExplRExp #101 #125
PPAExp #68 #120
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #27 #105
Stuff RateStuff #41 #86
TackleTak -  #31
Tulane Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #13 #63
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #24
Pass ExplPExl #75 #49
PPAExp #27 #14
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #43 #89
F7 HavocF7 #15 #61
DB HavocDB #48 #41
Ole Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMISS OffTULN Def
Perf GradePerf #22 #75
SuccessSuc #17 #113
ExplosiveExp #38 #19
PPAPPA #12 #63
PowerPwr #16 #79
SP+SP+ #8 #67
Pts POPPO #9 #72
HavocHav #36 #50
Ole Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffTULN Def
Run GameRun #15 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #58 #90
Run ExplRExp #61 #36
PPAExp #48 #64
Run BlockR Blk #101 -
OL YdsOLY #104 #86
Stuff RateStuff #109 #92
TackleTak -  #71
Ole Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMISS OffTULN Def
Pass GamePass #32 #80
Pass SuccessPSuc #5 #121
Pass ExplPExl #50 #13
PPAExp #6 #75
Pass Block/RushP Blk #26 #26
F7 HavocF7 #29 #47
DB HavocDB #50 #49
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Ole Miss -12.5 (61.5)
Ole Miss won vs Tulane this year (45-10)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Tulane in 2023 (37-20)

  
TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff24239162%31681578.1
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)193063%222227.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff129634164.969
Jamauri McClure8354026.530
Javin Gordon12851654.025
Arnold Barnes5121704.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shazz Preston43723416.869
Anthony Brown41523212.854
Omari Hayes (Tr)39515113.242
Bryce Bohanon31417213.542

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Tchienchou802103
Chris Rodgers807321
Bailey Despanie512005
Sam Howard509420
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harvey Dyson III3110701
Jordan Norman (Tr)278620
Santana Hopper (Tr)259540
Kameron Hamilton305453
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson381009
E'zaiah Shine352007
Javion White444006

MISS's OC TBD (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)24136267%32981939.1
Austin Simmons457560%744459.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)2731366215.059
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)12450684.141
Logan Diggs2917946.251
Deuce Alexander (Tr)1812306.831
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)48738315.455
Deuce Alexander (Tr)41664216.288
De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr)43612614.275
Dae'Quan Wright34553416.364

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Dottery835112
Suntarine Perkins6892114
Wydett Williams (Tr)601008
Kamarion Franklin5774142
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)34128131
William Echoles579563
Kamarion Franklin5774142
Zxavian Harris468362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams (Tr)601008
Kapena Gushiken (Tr)501015
Suntarine Perkins6892114