Tulane at Ole Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 20th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Ole Miss -17.5 (57.5) (0) Open: -17.0 | 57.0
Ole Miss 41 - Tulane: 10 (CFP First Round Game)

Green Wave (11 - 3) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Ole Miss -21.5 (SP+ MISS -18)
Projected Score: TULN: 18 - MISS: 39 (57)
MISS Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
TULN Travel: 307 miles

Rebels (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
TULN Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulane's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tulane vs Northwestern	-6.5	47.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Tulane at South Alabama	-13.5	51.5	W 33 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/13	Tulane vs Duke	-1.5	52.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Tulane at Ole Miss	+12.5	61.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/27	Tulane at Tulsa	-14.5	52.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Tulane vs East Carolina	-7.0	53.5	W 26 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/18	Tulane vs Army	-10.0	44.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30	Tulane at UTSA	-5.5	54.5	L 26 - 48	O	N
Fri 11/7	Tulane at Memphis	+3.0	53.5	W 38 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Tulane vs Florida Atlantic	-16.5	60.5	W 35 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/22	Tulane at Temple	-7.5	54.5	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Tulane vs Charlotte	-31.5	52.5	W 27 - 0	U	N
Fri 12/5	Tulane vs North Texas	+1.5	66.5	W 34 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/20	Tulane at Ole Miss	+17.5	57.5	L 10 - 41	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Ole Miss vs Georgia State	-38.5	62.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Ole Miss at Kentucky	-8.0	51.5	W 30 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/13	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-12.5	61.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Ole Miss vs LSU	-2.5	57.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Ole Miss vs Washington State	-33.5	58.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/18	Ole Miss at Georgia	+7.5	56.5	L 35 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/25	Ole Miss at Oklahoma	+5.5	52.5	W 34 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Ole Miss vs South Carolina	-12.5	55.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Ole Miss vs The Citadel	-51.5	63.5	W 49 - 0	U	N
Sat 11/15	Ole Miss vs Florida	-10.5	53.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-7.5	62.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 12/20	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-17.5	57.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/1	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	W 39 - 34	O	Y
Thu 1/8	Ole Miss vs Miami	+3.0	52.5	L 27 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	#20 (.27)	45% (32)	27.7	45% (61)	3.15 (47)	197	47% (23)	209	4.5 (18)	#14 (.07)	38% (29)	23.9	38% (14)	39% (45)	3.53 (42)	50.1	1.1	1.6
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)	36.9	44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)	21.1	35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Offense	14	27.7	26.4	45.5%	4.5	1.1	21	406	197	209	4.9	60%	40%	45%	47%	11%	.27
MISS Defense	13	21.1	15.6	35.3%	2.98	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	35%	36%	25%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Defense	14	23.9	32	38.3%	3.53	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	38%	39%	16%	.07
MISS Offense	13	36.9	39	47.4%	4	0.9	23	481	164	317	4.6	50%	50%	44%	51%	15%	.34

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulane	14	32:13	20.8	50%	45%	6.1	50.1	1.1	1.6	5.4	2.4	7	34.5
Ole Miss	13	26:04	22.7	41%	59%	6.8	68.5	0.9	1.6	8.9	4.1	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Offense	14	60% (10)	45% (61)	40.1	196.6	4.9	32 (14)	.14 (65)	3.15 (47)	75% (57)	7% (14)	0.94 (80)
MISS Defense	13	47% (25)	35% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (4)	2.49 (7)	74% (71)	16% (1)	0.88 (23)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Defense	14	50% (62)	38% (14)	-	-	-	-	.07 (41)	2.97 (59)	76% (80)	11% (47)	1.05 (99)
MISS Offense	13	50% (75)	44% (76)	35.8	164.2	4.6	27 (30)	.15 (58)	3.02 (72)	71% (85)	10% (68)	1.09 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Offense	14	40% (125)	47% (23)	14.8	23.5	209.4	8.9	14.2	25 (31)	9 (48)	.48 (4)	1.8 (12)	32% (76)	36% (22)	.49 (12)	4% (11)	2.1 (34)
MISS Defense	13	53% (115)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.12 (20)	1.6 (85)	37% (5)	23% (1)	.1 (3)	8% (3)	2.1 (68)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Defense	14	50% (75)	39% (45)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.07 (9)	1.5 (21)	32% (62)	28% (31)	.18 (20)	6% (85)	1.9 (28)
MISS Offense	13	50% (59)	51% (3)	20.5	30.5	317.2	10.4	15.4	27 (20)	6 (10)	.53 (3)	1.6 (46)	29% (28)	38% (7)	.63 (2)	5% (54)	2.3 (12)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.53 #61
Tulane's Offense Rating: 16.29 #51
Tulane's Defense Rating: 14.76 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 11.1 - 2.9
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #45
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #71

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.53 Ole Miss: 25.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.3 Ole Miss: 24.0

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 25.58 #9
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.65 #7
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 4.49 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 39
Tulane 18

Projected Total Points: 57

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record at home: 9 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/20	Ole Miss	41	Tulane	10	Ole Miss -17.5	Ole Miss	57.5	Under
2025	09/20	Ole Miss	45	Tulane	10	Ole Miss -12.5	Ole Miss	61.5	Under
2023	09/09	Tulane	20	Ole Miss	37	Ole Miss -8	Ole Miss	64.0	Under
2021	09/18	Ole Miss	61	Tulane	21	Ole Miss -14	Ole Miss	77.0	Over
2012	09/22	Tulane	0	Ole Miss	39
2010	09/11	Tulane	13	Ole Miss	27
2000	09/01	Ole Miss	49	Tulane	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	7	4	1 Overs
Tulane	0	0	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 3	3 - 1	3 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 0	0 - 3

Tulane Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP 1st Round	Tulane vs Ole Miss	+17.5	57.5	L 10 - 41
2024	Gasparilla Bowl	Tulane vs Florida	+10.0	50.5	L 8 - 33
2023	Military Bowl	Tulane vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	43.5	L 20 - 41
2022	Cotton Bowl	Tulane vs USC	+1.5	67.0	W 46 - 45
2020	Potato Bowl	Tulane vs Nevada	-1.5	56.5	L 27 - 38
2019	Forces Bowl	Tulane vs Southern Miss	-7.5	58.0	W 30 - 13

Ole Miss Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	CFP Semifinal	Ole Miss vs Miami	+3.0	52.5	L 27 - 31
2025	CFP Quarterfinal	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	W 39 - 34
2025	CFP 1st Round	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-17.5	57.5	W 41 - 10
2024	Gator Bowl	Ole Miss vs Duke	-17.5	50.5	W 52 - 20
2023	Peach Bowl	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25
2022	Texas Bowl	Ole Miss vs Texas Tech	-4.5	73.0	L 25 - 42
2021	Sugar Bowl	Ole Miss vs Baylor	-1.0	60.5	L 7 - 21
2020	Outback Bowl	Ole Miss vs Indiana	+6.5	66.5	W 26 - 20

(#61) TULN at (#9) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TULN	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#61	#9
SP+SP+	#45	#7
Perf GradeGrade	#55	#12
OffenseOff	#46	#9
DefenseDef	#86	#41
Spec TeamsST	#35	#18
TalentTal	#73	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#18

Tulane Notes(12/9) Hired HC Will Hall? Fired from So Miss, was PGC?
(12/6) AAC Champs after beating North Texas
(11/29) 4th straight W to finish 10-2 and in the AAC title game
(10/31) Overrated, bad in last 3 games. Could be 4-4
(10/30) Def, esp tackling absolutely atrocious vs UTSA
(10/7) By far best Field Position team in CFB
(9/20) Mauled by Ole Miss. Off was worse than awful
(9/15) Huge W over Duke, Off methodical but effective
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
Tulane Injury Report

Ole Miss Notes(12/9) Hired OC John David Baker (ECU). Decent hire
(12/1) Hired DC Pete Golding after Kiffin left for LSU
(10/19) Def torched by UGA, 500 yds. Run Def concerning
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
Ole Miss Injury Report

Tulane on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#41
SuccessSuc	#32	#3
ExplosiveExp	#62	#78
PPAPPA	#20	#6
PowerPwr	#51	#21
SP+SP+	#35	#20
Pts POPPO	#18	#8
HavocHav	#5	#1

Tulane Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#85	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	#61	#6
Run ExplRExp	#80	#23
PPAExp	#65	#4
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#7
Stuff RateStuff	#32	#19
TackleTak	-	#81

Tulane Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#26	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	#23	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#12	#85
PPAExp	#4	#20
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#85
F7 HavocF7	#14	#1
DB HavocDB	#11	#3

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	TULN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#86
SuccessSuc	#19	#29
ExplosiveExp	#8	#60
PPAPPA	#4	#14
PowerPwr	#7	#75
SP+SP+	#3	#71
Pts POPPO	#58	#42
HavocHav	#54	#63

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#14	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#14
Run ExplRExp	#26	#99
PPAExp	#58	#41
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	#59
Stuff RateStuff	#92	#57
TackleTak	-	#82

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	#45
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#21
PPAExp	#3	#9
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#35	#16
F7 HavocF7	#68	#47
DB HavocDB	#54	#85

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Ole Miss -12.5 (61.5)
Ole Miss won vs Tulane this year (45-10)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Tulane last year (45-10)
Ole Miss beat Tulane in 2023 (37-20)

TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jake Retzlaff	242	391	62%	3168	15	7	8.1
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	19	30	63%	222	2	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jake Retzlaff	129	634	16	4.9	69
Jamauri McClure	83	540	2	6.5	30
Javin Gordon	128	516	5	4.0	25
Arnold Barnes	51	217	0	4.3	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shazz Preston	43	723	4	16.8	69
Anthony Brown	41	523	2	12.8	54
Omari Hayes (Tr)	39	515	1	13.2	42
Bryce Bohanon	31	417	2	13.5	42

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Tchienchou	80	2	1	0	3
Chris Rodgers	80	7	3	2	1
Bailey Despanie	52	2	0	0	5
Sam Howard	50	9	4	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Harvey Dyson III	31	10	7	0	1
Jordan Norman (Tr)	27	8	6	2	0
Santana Hopper (Tr)	25	9	5	4	0
Kameron Hamilton	30	5	4	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaheim Johnson	38	1	9
E'zaiah Shine	35	2	7
Javion White	44	4	6

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)	294	445	66%	3937	22	3	8.8
Austin Simmons	45	75	60%	744	4	5	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kewan Lacy (Tr)	306	1567	24	5.1	73
Trinidad Chambliss (Tr)	133	527	8	4.0	41
Logan Diggs	33	189	4	5.7	51
Damien Taylor (Tr)	28	130	2	4.6	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Wallace III (Tr)	61	934	4	15.3	55
De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr)	55	811	6	14.7	75
Deuce Alexander (Tr)	44	684	2	15.5	88
Cayden Lee	44	635	3	14.4	62

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
TJ Dottery	98	6	2	1	2
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
Wydett Williams (Tr)	73	1	0	0	9
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)	45	13	9	13	1
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wydett Williams (Tr)	73	1	0	0	9
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Kapena Gushiken (Tr)	55	1	0	1	5