Auburn at Georgia - 2024 Matchup Preview

Auburn Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs

Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -21 (50.0) (-1650) Open: -23.5
Georgia 31 - Auburn: 13 (SEC)

Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -16 (SP+ UGA -15)
Projected Score: AUB: 17 - UGA: 33 (50)
UGA Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
AUB Travel: 154 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (35 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AUB Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Auburn's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Auburn vs Alabama A&M	-48.5	58.5	W 73 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Auburn vs California	-11.5	52.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/14	Auburn vs New Mexico	-25.5	58.5	W 45 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Auburn vs Arkansas	-2.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/28	Auburn vs Oklahoma	-2.0	43.0	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/5	Auburn at Georgia	+21.0	50.0	L 13 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Auburn at Missouri	+3.5	49.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	Auburn at Kentucky	+2.0	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Auburn vs Vanderbilt	-7.5	48.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Auburn vs UL Monroe	-24.5	46.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Auburn vs Texas A&M	+2.5	47.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Auburn at Alabama	+10.5	50.5	L 14 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Georgia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia vs Clemson	-10.5	49.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia vs Tennessee Tech	-54.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia at Kentucky	-24.0	45.0	W 13 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia at Alabama	-2.0	50.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Georgia vs Auburn	-21.0	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia vs Mississippi State	-34.0	53.5	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/19	Georgia at Texas	+4.0	57.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Georgia vs Florida	-14.5	52.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/9	Georgia at Ole Miss	-1.5	54.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Georgia vs Massachusetts	-42.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	48.5	W 44 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/7	Georgia vs Texas	+2.5	50.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Georgia vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	L 10 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	#93 (.14)	41% (80)	26.8	45% (44)	3.01 (86)	189	37% (110)	162	3.99 (58)	#48 (.15)	40% (42)	20.7	43% (72)	37% (20)	3.65 (56)	43.8	1.5	1.4
UGA	#4 (.4)	53% (5)	32.1	51% (8)	3.34 (25)	191	54% (4)	305	5.02 (3)	#25 (.11)	38% (28)	17.6	45% (86)	34% (5)	3.45 (41)	42.9	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UGA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Offense	13	26.8	27.2	41.3%	3.99	1.5	19	351	189	162	4.8	56%	43%	45%	37%	16%	.14
UGA Defense	14	17.6	14.1	38.2%	3.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	34%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Defense	13	20.7	26.6	40%	3.65	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	37%	17%	.15
UGA Offense	14	32.1	34.6	52.5%	5.02	1	26	496	191	305	5.3	49%	51%	51%	54%	12%	.4

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Auburn	13	29:03	18.5	33%	50%	5.5	43.8	1.5	1.4	5.5	2.1	2	29.4
Georgia	14	33:27	26	55%	73%	4.4	42.9	1	1.2	4.9	2	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Offense	13	56% (20)	45% (44)	39.5	189	4.8	22 (51)	.19 (47)	3.01 (86)	74% (69)	11% (85)	1.02 (58)
UGA Defense	14	45% (12)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.02 (51)	66% (26)	9% (94)	1.03 (86)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Defense	13	52% (103)	43% (72)	-	-	-	-	.13 (63)	2.95 (40)	86% (126)	10% (57)	0.94 (39)
UGA Offense	14	49% (74)	51% (8)	35.8	191.1	5.3	40 (1)	.31 (5)	3.34 (25)	75% (58)	7% (19)	1.04 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Offense	13	43% (114)	37% (110)	14.5	24.4	162.2	6.7	11.2	18 (81)	13 (97)	.12 (120)	1.6 (74)	32% (76)	25% (117)	.14 (121)	5% (41)	1.9 (112)
UGA Defense	14	54% (119)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.08 (6)	1.5 (37)	35% (35)	24% (7)	.14 (5)	7% (35)	2 (49)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Defense	13	47% (30)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.2 (33)	1.8 (125)	35% (22)	31% (79)	.29 (57)	7% (49)	2.2 (97)
UGA Offense	14	51% (52)	54% (4)	23.4	32.6	305.3	9.4	13	29 (18)	7 (21)	.52 (7)	1.4 (120)	25% (5)	45% (2)	.7 (3)	5% (17)	2 (93)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 10.97 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 440.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 10.97 Georgia: 26.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 9.5 Georgia: 24.3

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 26.03 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
2024 Talent Rating: 729.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 33
Auburn 17

Projected Total Points: 50

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.1

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Auburn	10	Georgia	20	Georgia -4.5	Georgia	45.5	Under
2024	10/05	Georgia	31	Auburn	13	Georgia -21	Auburn	50.0	Under
2023	09/30	Auburn	20	Georgia	27	Georgia -14	Auburn	44.5	Over
2022	10/08	Georgia	42	Auburn	10	Georgia -27.5	Georgia	49.5	Over
2021	10/09	Auburn	10	Georgia	34	Georgia -14.5	Georgia	45.5	Under
2020	10/03	Georgia	27	Auburn	6	Georgia -8	Georgia	44.5	Under
2019	11/16	Auburn	14	Georgia	21	Georgia -3	Georgia	42.5	Under
2018	11/10	Georgia	27	Auburn	10	Georgia -12.5	Georgia	52.5	Under
2017	12/02	Auburn	7	Georgia	28	Georgia -1.5	Georgia	48.0	Under
2017	11/11	Auburn	40	Georgia	17	Georgia -2.5	Auburn	48.0	Over
2016	11/12	Georgia	13	Auburn	7	Auburn -8	Georgia	51.0	Under
2015	11/14	Auburn	13	Georgia	20	Georgia -2	Georgia	53.0	Under
2014	11/15	Georgia	34	Auburn	7	Georgia -2	Georgia	0
2013	11/16	Auburn	43	Georgia	38	Auburn -3	Auburn	0
2012	11/10	Auburn	0	Georgia	38
2011	11/12	Georgia	45	Auburn	7
2010	11/13	Auburn	49	Georgia	31
2009	11/14	Georgia	31	Auburn	24
2008	11/15	Auburn	13	Georgia	17
2007	11/10	Georgia	45	Auburn	20
2006	11/11	Auburn	15	Georgia	37
2005	11/12	Georgia	30	Auburn	31
2004	11/13	Auburn	24	Georgia	6
2003	11/15	Georgia	26	Auburn	7
2001	11/10	Georgia	17	Auburn	24
2000	11/10	Auburn	29	Georgia	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	19	10	3 Overs
Auburn	7	4	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	8 - 6	5 - 1	3 - 5
Road Teams	11 - 15	6 - 8	5 - 3	1 - 5

(#27) AUB at (#7) UGA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AUB	UGA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#27	#7
SP+SP+	#33	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#28	#19
OffenseOff	#48	#32
DefenseDef	#20	#22
Spec TeamsST	#55	#59
TalentTal	#23	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#18	#3

Auburn Injury Report

Georgia Notes(11/30) Mauled by GT. Beck/Refs great comeback. D bad
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne
(7/30) Only 4 road games, only Tenn test @ home.
Georgia Injury Report

Auburn on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	UGA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#22
SuccessSuc	#80	#28
ExplosiveExp	#100	#49
PPAPPA	#93	#25
PowerPwr	#40	#25
SP+SP+	#63	#9
Pts POPPO	#58	#41
HavocHav	#70	#67

Auburn Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#73	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	#44	#86
Run ExplRExp	#58	#86
PPAExp	#47	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#86	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#94	#29
TackleTak	-	#14

Auburn Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#110	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#74	#37
PPAExp	#120	#6
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#61	#51
F7 HavocF7	#85	#94
DB HavocDB	#41	#35

Georgia on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	AUB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#20
SuccessSuc	#5	#42
ExplosiveExp	#91	#84
PPAPPA	#4	#48
PowerPwr	#13	#32
SP+SP+	#10	#17
Pts POPPO	#3	#56
HavocHav	#12	#51

Georgia Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#24	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#72
Run ExplRExp	#46	#39
PPAExp	#5	#63
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#40
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#51
TackleTak	-	#43

Georgia Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#20
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#125
PPAExp	#7	#33
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#29
F7 HavocF7	#19	#57
DB HavocDB	#17	#49

Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Georgia -21.0 (50.0)
Georgia won vs Auburn this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Auburn last year (20-10)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2024 (31-13)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2023 (27-20)

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Payton Thorne	199	317	63%	2713	21	9	8.6
Hank Brown	27	43	63%	403	6	3	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jarquez Hunter	187	1201	8	6.4	50
Payton Thorne	112	283	2	2.5	31
Damari Alston	52	276	3	5.3	36
Jeremiah Cobb	29	142	0	4.9	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keandre Lambert	50	981	8	19.6	67
Cam Coleman	37	598	8	16.2	63
Malcolm Simmons	40	451	3	11.3	57
Rivaldo Fairweather	31	372	2	12.0	43

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)	65	2	1	0	5
Jalen McLeod	56	14	8	2	1
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen McLeod	56	14	8	2	1
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1
Demarcus Riddick	27	5	3	2	1
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kayin Lee	32	0	0	7
Jay Crawford	15	0	0	7
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)	65	2	1	5

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	290	448	65%	3485	28	12	7.8
Gunner Stockton	45	64	70%	440	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Frazier	133	671	8	5.0	40
Trevor Etienne (Tr)	122	609	9	5.0	48
Dillon Bell	9	107	1	11.9	33
Branson Robinson	25	73	3	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Arian Smith	48	817	4	17.0	67
Dominic Lovett	59	607	6	10.3	38
Dillon Bell	43	466	4	10.8	67
Lawson Luckie	24	348	3	14.5	37

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	0	3
C.J. Allen	76	3	0	5	4
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	0	3
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chaz Chambliss	41	10	7	2	0
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2
Mykel Williams	21	9	5	3	1
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
C.J. Allen	76	3	5	4
Julian Humphrey	10	0	0	4
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	3