Auburn at Georgia - 2024 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo (#22)Auburn Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs(#5)Georgia logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -21 (50.0) (-1650)  Open: -23.5
Georgia 31 - Auburn: 13  (SEC)

 
Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
AUB is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -16   (SP+ UGA -15)

Projected Score: AUB: 17 - UGA: 33 (51)
UGA Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
AUB Travel: 154 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Auburn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Auburn vs Alabama A&M-48.558.5W 73 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Auburn vs California-11.552.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Auburn vs New Mexico-25.558.5W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Auburn vs Arkansas-2.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/28 Auburn vs Oklahoma-2.043.0L 21 - 27ON
Sat 10/5 Auburn at Georgia+21.050.0L 13 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Auburn at Missouri+3.549.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Auburn at Kentucky+2.043.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Auburn vs Vanderbilt-7.548.0L 7 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Auburn vs UL Monroe-24.546.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Auburn vs Texas A&M+2.547.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 11/30 Auburn at Alabama+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Georgia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia vs Clemson-10.549.0W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia vs Tennessee Tech-54.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia at Kentucky-24.045.0W 13 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia at Alabama-2.050.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Georgia vs Auburn-21.050.0W 31 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia vs Mississippi State-34.053.5W 41 - 31ON
Sat 10/19 Georgia at Texas+4.057.0W 30 - 15UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Georgia vs Florida-14.552.5W 34 - 20ON
Sat 11/9 Georgia at Ole Miss-1.554.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia vs Tennessee-8.547.0W 31 - 17OY
Sat 11/23 Georgia vs Massachusetts-42.555.5W 59 - 21ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-17.548.5W 44 - 42ON
Sat 12/7 Georgia vs Texas+2.550.5W 22 - 19UY
Thu 1/2 Georgia vs Notre Dame+1.546.5L 10 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)27.848% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)21.338% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)31.546% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)20.639% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1227.81744.9%3.421.821430166264548%52%48%42%17%.24
UGA Defense1420.621.238.8%3.221.4 - - - - - 49%51%39%38%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1221.322.537.8%3.351.1 - - - - - 53%47%38%38%15%.09
UGA Offense1431.542.346.6%4.681.3213851212644.343%57%46%47%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1227:1320.941%47%5.849.31.81.15.72.3127.9
Georgia1427:4320.641%75%5.451.11.31.46.12.6029.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1248% (85)48% (21)33.4165.7513 (105).16 (55)3.32 (23)69% (95)10% (67)0.92 (89)
UGA Defense1449% (48)39% (34) - - - - .1 (59)2.81 (39)80% (107)12% (21)0.96 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1253% (98)38% (19) - - - - -.02 (7)2.49 (6)80% (108)10% (81)0.93 (44)
UGA Offense1443% (112)46% (46)28.1120.64.324 (45).12 (76)2.91 (91)73% (67)9% (47)0.88 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1252% (47)42% (67)19.230.8263.98.613.827 (20)13 (103).31 (45)1.6 (39)31% (55)32% (69).41 (34)7% (113)1.9 (101)
UGA Defense1451% (89)38% (37) - - - - - - 8 (93).17 (37)1.6 (59)35% (27)26% (13).23 (36)5% (110)2.1 (86)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1247% (42)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (93).22 (63)1.7 (104)35% (19)28% (34).21 (31)6% (77)2.1 (85)
UGA Offense1457% (22)47% (16)22.634.4264.37.711.728 (15)13 (103).34 (31)1.5 (111)28% (15)36% (19).39 (47)7% (95)1.8 (127)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 10.97 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 10.97   Georgia: 26.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 9.5   Georgia: 24.3




Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 26.03 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 33
Auburn 17


Total Points: 51

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Georgia31Auburn13GeorgiaGeorgia -21Auburn50.0Under
202309/30Auburn20Georgia27GeorgiaGeorgia -14Auburn44.5Over
202210/08Georgia42Auburn10GeorgiaGeorgia -27.5Georgia49.5Over
202110/09Auburn10Georgia34GeorgiaGeorgia -14.5Georgia45.5Under
202010/03Georgia27Auburn6GeorgiaGeorgia -8Georgia44.5Under
201911/16Auburn14Georgia21GeorgiaGeorgia -3Georgia42.5Under
201811/10Georgia27Auburn10GeorgiaGeorgia -12.5Georgia52.5Under
201712/02Auburn7Georgia28GeorgiaGeorgia -1.5Georgia48.0Under
201711/11Auburn40Georgia17AuburnGeorgia -2.5Auburn48.0Over
201611/12Georgia13Auburn7GeorgiaAuburn -8Georgia51.0Under
201511/14Auburn13Georgia20GeorgiaGeorgia -2Georgia53.0Under
201411/15Georgia34Auburn7GeorgiaGeorgia -2Georgia0
201311/16Auburn43Georgia38AuburnAuburn -3Auburn0
201211/10Auburn0Georgia38Georgia
201111/12Georgia45Auburn7Georgia
201011/13Auburn49Georgia31Auburn
200911/14Georgia31Auburn24Georgia
200811/15Auburn13Georgia17Georgia
200711/10Georgia45Auburn20Georgia
200611/11Auburn15Georgia37Georgia
200511/12Georgia30Auburn31Auburn
200411/13Auburn24Georgia6Auburn
200311/15Georgia26Auburn7Georgia
200111/10Georgia17Auburn24Auburn
200011/10Auburn29Georgia26Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia1893 Overs
Auburn748 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 108 - 55 - 13 - 4
Road Teams10 - 155 - 84 - 31 - 5

(#27) Auburn Info
Power Rating: 10.97 #27
Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.42 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Auburn has lost 2 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Auburn Highlights
Auburn has a top Offensive Line (#21)
Auburn has a really good defense (#16)
Auburn defense is really good in red zone (#63)
Auburn has a good run defense (#3)
Auburn Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#9)
Auburn Defensive Line is very good (#6)

Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Auburn Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Auburn throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Auburn offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#8)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUGAAUB
OverallOver#15#21
OffenseOff#28#42
DefenseDef#17#15
Special TeamsST#50#46
PassingPass#18#55
RushingRush#17#52
Run BlockRBLK#26#34
Pass BlockPBLK#12#55
Route RunningWR Rt#66#37
TacklingTkl#13#39
Run DefenseR Def#11#10
Pass Rush DefPRush#46#27
Coverage DefCov#46#59

Rematch from Week 6
Georgia -21.0 (50.0)
Georgia won vs Auburn this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Auburn last year (31-13)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2023 (27-20)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2022 (42-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | UGA
Depth Chart: AUB | UGA
Rosters: AUB | UGA
(#7) Georgia Info
Power Rating: 26.03 #7
Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #3
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Georgia has lost 1 straight
Georgia has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia Notes
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne

Georgia Highlights
Georgia is Undefeated at Home

Georgia offense is efficent (#20)
Georgia offense is good in red zone (#15)
Georgia Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Georgia defense is really good in red zone (#94)
Georgia Front 7 is disruptive (#93)

Georgia Deficiencies
Georgia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Georgia Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#55)


  
Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne19931763%27132198.6
Hank Brown274363%403639.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter187120186.450
Payton Thorne11228322.531
Damari Alston5227635.336
Jeremiah Cobb2914204.927
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Cam Coleman37598816.263
Malcolm Simmons40451311.357
Rivaldo Fairweather31372212.043

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105
Jalen McLeod5614821
Keldric Faulk4511771
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen McLeod5614821
Keldric Faulk4511771
Demarcus Riddick275321
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kayin Lee320007
Jay Crawford150007
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105

Georgia's OC Mike Bobo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck29044865%348528127.8
Gunner Stockton456470%440116.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier13367185.040
Trevor Etienne (Tr)12260995.048
Dillon Bell9107111.933
Branson Robinson257332.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Arian Smith48817417.067
Dominic Lovett59607610.338
Dillon Bell43466410.867
Lawson Luckie24348314.537

View Georgia's Full Roster
Georgia's DC Glenn Schumann
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malaki Starks774003
C.J. Allen763054
Dan Jackson642003
Jalon Walker6111772
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chaz Chambliss4110720
Jalon Walker6111772
Mykel Williams219531
Damon Wilson Jr.226340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen763054
Julian Humphrey100004
Malaki Starks774003