Army at Notre Dame - 2024 Matchup Preview
Army logo Army Black Knights vs Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Notre Dame -14.5 (44.5) (-675)  Open: -15.5
Notre Dame 49 - Army: 14

 
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (32 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
ND 3rd straight Home Game
ARMY coming off BYE
Our Line: Notre Dame -17  (SP+ ND -15)

Projected Score: ARMY: 14 - ND: 31 (44)
ND Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
ARMY Travel: 634 miles
Fighting Irish (14 - 2) (13 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (34 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Army's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Army vs Lehigh-28
Sat 9/7 Army at Florida Atlantic+1.542.5W 24 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Army vs Rice-7.044.0W 37 - 14OY
Thu 9/26 Army at Temple-11.046.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 Army at Tulsa-13.550.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/12 Army vs UAB-27.055.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 10/19 Army vs East Carolina-17.554.0W 45 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Army vs Air Force-18.038.5W 20 - 3UN
Sat 11/9 Army at North Texas-6.568.0W 14 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Army vs Notre Dame+14.544.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Army vs UTSA-6.553.5W 29 - 24UN
Fri 12/6 Army vs Tulane+4.546.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 12/14 Army vs Navy-6.039.5
Sat 12/28 Army vs Louisiana Tech-15.044.5W 27 - 6UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Notre Dame at Texas A&M+3.047.0W 23 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Notre Dame vs Northern Illinois-28.546.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Notre Dame at Purdue-11.545.5W 66 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)-27.544.0W 28 - 3UN
Sat 9/28 Notre Dame vs Louisville-6.545.0W 31 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Notre Dame vs Stanford-22.545.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/19 Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech-14.049.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-14.050.5W 51 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Notre Dame vs Florida State-25.544.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 11/16 Notre Dame vs Virginia-20.551.0W 35 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Notre Dame vs Army-14.544.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 11/30 Notre Dame at USC-6.552.5W 49 - 35OY
Fri 12/20 Notre Dame vs Indiana-7.050.0W 27 - 17UY
Thu 1/2 Notre Dame vs Georgia-1.546.5W 23 - 10UY
Thu 1/9 Notre Dame vs Penn State+1.545.5W 27 - 24OY
Mon 1/20 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+8.545.5L 23 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 4, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)31.152% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)15.545% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)36.147% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)15.543% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense1431.132.350.7%4.470.619354278765.686%14%52%43%8%.32
ND Defense1615.51236.4%2.751.8 - - - - - 51%48%43%29%19%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense1415.57.843.4%2.571.4 - - - - - 47%52%45%43%14%.12
ND Offense1636.133.747%4.80.8173411811606.353%47%47%47%11%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army1432:4619.149%77%3.130.50.61.43.91.4029.4
Notre Dame1624:3416.839%76%4.842.40.81.842.1533.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense1486% (1)52% (7)49.9277.85.644 (2).3 (9)3.57 (5)86% (3)6% (2)0.98 (60)
ND Defense1651% (78)43% (73) - - - - .1 (58)2.9 (49)67% (29)10% (57)0.85 (12)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense1447% (32)45% (87) - - - - .14 (79)3.22 (100)67% (29)9% (92)0.94 (46)
ND Offense1653% (46)47% (26)28.6181.36.342 (3).36 (2)3.31 (24)73% (71)8% (26)1.3 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense1414% (134)43% (52)4.68.175.99.416.610 (127)4 (1).43 (8)1.9 (4)23% (1)32% (56).31 (80)2% (1)1.7 (134)
ND Defense1648% (59)29% (1) - - - - - - 18 (4)-.15 (1)1.6 (67)34% (29)27% (24).1 (2)8% (6)1.6 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense1452% (99)43% (88) - - - - - - 17 (5).15 (30)1.5 (25)32% (68)30% (57).29 (60)5% (96)2.1 (91)
ND Offense1647% (89)47% (21)14.922.4159.97.210.820 (58)6 (10).29 (50)1.3 (133)28% (19)32% (58).45 (22)3% (6)2.1 (50)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 5.53  #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97  #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96  #64
2024 Talent Rating: 172.00  #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2  #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: 5.53   Notre Dame: 24.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 9.2   Notre Dame: 23.9




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 24.28  #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52  #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27  #2
2024 Talent Rating: 960.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 54  #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9  #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1  #7

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 714
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.8

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 31
Army 14


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 25
Army 16

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Army 23
Notre Dame 23

Total Points: 46
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Notre Dame49Army14Notre Dame -14.5Notre Dame44.5Over
201611/12Notre Dame44Army6Notre Dame -11.5Notre Dame55.5Under
201011/20Notre Dame27Army3
200611/18Notre Dame41Army9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame421 Overs
Army001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#42) ARMY at (#5) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARMYND
Power RatePwr #42 #5
SP+SP+ #37 #8
Perf GradeGrade #6 #10
OffenseOff #1 #11
DefenseDef #79 #10
Spec TeamsST #57 #5
TalentTal #133 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #8

Army Notes
(12/14) Killed by Navy, offense was awful (2.9 ypc, 3 TO's)
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
Army on Offense
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #1 #10
SuccessSuc #6 #8
ExplosiveExp #132 #14
PPAPPA #10 #1
PowerPwr #9 #2
SP+SP+ #42 #7
Pts POPPO #19 #4
HavocHav #1 #25
Army Run Game
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffND Def
Run GameRun #9 #35
Run SuccessRSuc #7 #73
Run ExplRExp #60 #12
PPAExp #9 #58
Run BlockR Blk #1 -
OL YdsOLY #5 #49
Stuff RateStuff #1 #89
TackleTak -  #9
Army Pass Game
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffND Def
Pass GamePass #67 #2
Pass SuccessPSuc #52 #1
Pass ExplPExl #4 #67
PPAExp #8 #1
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #69 #15
F7 HavocF7 #2 #57
DB HavocDB #1 #6
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffARMY Def
Perf GradePerf #11 #79
SuccessSuc #22 #89
ExplosiveExp #35 #40
PPAPPA #8 #39
PowerPwr #24 #64
SP+SP+ #4 #33
Pts POPPO #5 #2
HavocHav #8 #100
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #4 #85
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #87
Run ExplRExp #1 #46
PPAExp #2 #79
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #100
Stuff RateStuff #36 #92
TackleTak -  #62
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #37 #68
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #88
Pass ExplPExl #133 #25
PPAExp #50 #30
Pass Block/RushP Blk #59 #104
F7 HavocF7 #26 #92
DB HavocDB #6 #96
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yankee Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 47° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Notre Dame -14.5 (44.5)
Notre Dame won vs Army this year (49-14)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Army last year (49-14)

  
ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily5410352%1007949.8
Dewayne Coleman111669%121107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily3111653325.342
Kanye Udoh1791117106.272
Noah Short7556927.661
Hayden Reed4020715.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Casey Reynolds19449323.650
Noah Short17318318.758
Cam Schurr783111.918
Hayden Reed663110.523

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas853012
Kalib Fortner7610343
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elo Modozie308671
Brett Gerena403310
Kyle Lewis254310
Kalib Fortner7610343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Shields101004
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard (Tr)26940367%28612187.1
Steven Angeli243667%268307.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1631124176.998
Riley Leonard (Tr)184906174.950
Jadarian Price12074676.270
Aneyas Williams3421926.458
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Greathouse42592414.154
Beaux Collins (Tr)41490312.053
Mitchell Evans4342139.833
Jordan Faison30356111.944

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kiser905231
Xavier Watts834049
Drayk Bowen784122
Adon Shuler593025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rylie Mills379840
Howard Cross III275431
Donovan Hinish344441
Junior Tuihalamaka326331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leonard Moore4820111
Xavier Watts834049
Christian Gray353009