(#24)Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -14.0 (50.5) (-490) Open: -12.5 | 51.5
Notre Dame 51 - Navy: 14
Fighting Irish (14 - 2) (13 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (46 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (46 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
ND 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Notre Dame -21.5 (SP+ ND -20.5)
Projected Score: ND: 38 - NAVY: 16 (54)
ND Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ND Travel: 545 miles
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Notre Dame -21.5 (SP+ ND -20.5)
Projected Score: ND: 38 - NAVY: 16 (54)
ND Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ND Travel: 545 miles
Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
| Notre Dame's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Notre Dame at Texas A&M | +3.0 | 47.0 | W 23 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Notre Dame vs Northern Illinois | -28.5 | 46.5 | L 14 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Notre Dame at Purdue | -11.5 | 45.5 | W 66 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Notre Dame vs Miami (OH) | -27.5 | 44.0 | W 28 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Notre Dame vs Louisville | -6.5 | 45.0 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Notre Dame vs Stanford | -22.5 | 45.5 | W 49 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech | -14.0 | 49.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Notre Dame vs Navy | -14.0 | 50.5 | W 51 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Notre Dame vs Florida State | -25.5 | 44.5 | W 52 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Notre Dame vs Virginia | -20.5 | 51.0 | W 35 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Notre Dame vs Army | -14.5 | 44.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Notre Dame at USC | -6.5 | 52.5 | W 49 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/20 | Notre Dame vs Indiana | -7.0 | 50.0 | W 27 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Thu 1/2 | Notre Dame vs Georgia | -1.5 | 46.5 | W 23 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Thu 1/9 | Notre Dame vs Penn State | +1.5 | 45.5 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Mon 1/20 | Notre Dame vs Ohio State | +8.5 | 45.5 | L 23 - 34 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Navy's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Navy vs Bucknell | -31.5 | 48.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Navy vs Temple | -11.5 | 43.5 | W 38 - 11 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Navy vs Memphis | +9.5 | 47.0 | W 56 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Navy at UAB | -4.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 18 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Navy at Air Force | -10.0 | 37.0 | W 34 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Navy vs Charlotte | -16.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Navy vs Notre Dame | +14.0 | 50.5 | L 14 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Navy at Rice | -12.5 | 49.0 | L 10 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Navy at South Florida | -4.5 | 59.5 | W 28 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Navy vs Tulane | +7.5 | 49.0 | L 0 - 35 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/29 | Navy at East Carolina | +2.5 | 54.0 | W 34 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 12/14 | Navy vs Army | +6.0 | 39.5 | ||||
| Fri 12/27 | Navy vs Oklahoma | -1.0 | 44.0 | W 21 - 20 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND | #8 (.32) | 47% (22) | 36.1 | 47% (26) | 3.31 (24) | 181 | 47% (21) | 160 | 4.8 (5) | #1 (-.02) | 36% (8) | 15.5 | 43% (73) | 29% (1) | 2.75 (4) | 42.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 31.3 | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 22.2 | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND | #8 (.32) | 47% (22) | 47% (26) | 3.31 (24) | 181 | 47% (21) | 160 | 4.8 (5) | #1 (-.02) | 36% (8) | 43% (73) | 29% (1) | 2.75 (4) | 42.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | ||
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND Offense | 16 | 36.1 | 46 | 47% | 4.8 | 0.8 | 17 | 341 | 181 | 160 | 6.3 | 53% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 11% | .32 |
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 22.2 | 25.6 | 41.2% | 3.48 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 46% | 37% | 14% | .1 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND Defense | 16 | 15.5 | 18.3 | 36.4% | 2.75 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 43% | 29% | 19% | -.02 |
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 31.3 | 38.8 | 44.2% | 4.39 | 1.1 | 16 | 347 | 231 | 117 | 5.5 | 74% | 26% | 46% | 39% | 11% | .31 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 16 | 24:34 | 16.8 | 39% | 76% | 4.8 | 42.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4 | 2.1 | 5 | 33.2 |
| Navy | 13 | 27:47 | 16.2 | 39% | 64% | 4.8 | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 31.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND Offense | 16 | 53% (46) | 47% (26) | 28.6 | 181.3 | 6.3 | 42 (3) | .36 (2) | 3.31 (24) | 73% (71) | 8% (26) | 1.3 (1) |
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 51% (77) | 46% (95) | - | - | - | - | .16 (89) | 3.27 (107) | 77% (89) | 9% (101) | 0.92 (39) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND Defense | 16 | 51% (78) | 43% (73) | - | - | - | - | .1 (58) | 2.9 (49) | 67% (29) | 10% (57) | 0.85 (12) |
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 74% (3) | 46% (43) | 42.3 | 230.7 | 5.5 | 35 (8) | .29 (10) | 3.27 (32) | 82% (15) | 8% (28) | 1.2 (7) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND Offense | 16 | 47% (89) | 47% (21) | 14.9 | 22.4 | 159.9 | 7.2 | 10.8 | 20 (58) | 6 (10) | .29 (50) | 1.3 (133) | 28% (19) | 32% (58) | .45 (22) | 3% (6) | 2.1 (50) |
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 48% (57) | 37% (24) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (5) | .07 (8) | 1.5 (51) | 31% (85) | 25% (8) | .2 (30) | 5% (89) | 2.2 (112) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND Defense | 16 | 48% (59) | 29% (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 (4) | -.15 (1) | 1.6 (67) | 34% (29) | 27% (24) | .1 (2) | 8% (6) | 1.6 (2) |
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 26% (132) | 39% (101) | 7.1 | 12.8 | 116.7 | 9.1 | 16.5 | 15 (98) | 6 (10) | .39 (15) | 2 (3) | 29% (26) | 27% (110) | .4 (37) | 3% (4) | 2.5 (2) |
Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 24.66 #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7
Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 24.66 #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7
Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.66 Navy: 2.85
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 23.9 Navy: 3.5
Notre Dame: 24.66 Navy: 2.85
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 23.9 Navy: 3.5
Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.85 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Navy's Power Rating: 2.85 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 46
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3
Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 46
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3
Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 38
Navy 16
Total Points: 54
Notre Dame 38
Navy 16
Total Points: 54
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Navy | 14 | Notre Dame | 51 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -14.0 | Notre Dame | 50.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 08/26 | Notre Dame | 42 | Navy | 3 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -20.5 | Notre Dame | 49.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Navy | 32 | Notre Dame | 35 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -17 | Navy | 40.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Notre Dame | 34 | Navy | 6 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -21 | Notre Dame | 47.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Notre Dame | 52 | Navy | 20 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -7.5 | Notre Dame | 55.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Navy | 22 | Notre Dame | 44 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -21.5 | Notre Dame | 55.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Notre Dame | 24 | Navy | 17 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -20.5 | Navy | 58.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Navy | 28 | Notre Dame | 27 | Navy | Navy -4.5 | Notre Dame | 63.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/10 | Notre Dame | 41 | Navy | 24 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -16 | Notre Dame | 59.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Navy | 39 | Notre Dame | 49 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -13.5 | Navy | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Notre Dame | 38 | Navy | 34 | Notre Dame | Notre Dame -17 | Navy | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/01 | Navy | 10 | Notre Dame | 50 | Notre Dame | ||||
| 2011 | 10/29 | Notre Dame | 56 | Navy | 14 | Notre Dame | ||||
| 2010 | 10/23 | Navy | 35 | Notre Dame | 17 | Navy | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Notre Dame | 21 | Navy | 23 | Navy | ||||
| 2008 | 11/15 | Navy | 21 | Notre Dame | 27 | Notre Dame | ||||
| 2007 | 11/03 | Notre Dame | 44 | Navy | 46 | Navy | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | Navy | 14 | Notre Dame | 38 | Notre Dame | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Notre Dame | 42 | Navy | 21 | Notre Dame | ||||
| 2004 | 10/16 | Navy | 9 | Notre Dame | 27 | Notre Dame | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | Notre Dame | 27 | Navy | 24 | Notre Dame | ||||
| 2002 | 11/09 | Navy | 23 | Notre Dame | 30 | Notre Dame | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | Notre Dame | 34 | Navy | 16 | Notre Dame | ||||
| 2000 | 10/13 | Notre Dame | 45 | Navy | 14 | Notre Dame |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 4 | 4 | 5 Overs |
| Notre Dame | 20 | 7 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 11 | 6 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 13 | 5 - 6 | 2 - 2 | 3 - 4 |
(#5) Notre Dame Info
Power Rating: 24.66 #5
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #8
Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 29%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Notre Dame has won 5 straight
Notre Dame has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 7 - 0 (3 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Notre Dame Highlights
Notre Dame is Undefeated away from Home
Notre Dame is Undefeated vs Spread away from Home
Notre Dame has Really Good Running Game (#126)
Notre Dame offense is efficent (#75)
Notre Dame has a top Offensive Line (#115)
Notre Dame offense is good in red zone (#22)
Notre Dame Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Notre Dame has a really good defense (#104)
Notre Dame defense does not give up big plays (#63)
Notre Dame defense is really good in red zone (#113)
Notre Dame has a good pass defense (#110)
Notre Dame Secondary is very good (#113)
Notre Dame has a great TO Margin (#54)
Notre Dame defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Notre Dame Deficiencies
Power Rating: 24.66 #5
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #8
Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 29%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Notre Dame has won 5 straight
Notre Dame has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 7 - 0 (3 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Notre Dame Highlights
Notre Dame is Undefeated away from Home
Notre Dame is Undefeated vs Spread away from Home
Notre Dame has Really Good Running Game (#126)
Notre Dame offense is efficent (#75)
Notre Dame has a top Offensive Line (#115)
Notre Dame offense is good in red zone (#22)
Notre Dame Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Notre Dame has a really good defense (#104)
Notre Dame defense does not give up big plays (#63)
Notre Dame defense is really good in red zone (#113)
Notre Dame has a good pass defense (#110)
Notre Dame Secondary is very good (#113)
Notre Dame has a great TO Margin (#54)
Notre Dame defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Notre Dame Deficiencies
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NAVY | ND |
| OverallOver | #16 | #8 |
| OffenseOff | #18 | #11 |
| DefenseDef | #23 | #8 |
| Special TeamsST | #3 | #5 |
| PassingPass | #98 | #30 |
| RushingRush | #28 | #4 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #16 | #12 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #26 | #54 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #25 | #53 |
| TacklingTkl | #14 | #8 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #29 | #28 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #83 | #15 |
| Coverage DefCov | #21 | #2 |
Rematch from Week 9
Notre Dame 14.0 (50.5)
Notre Dame won at Navy this year (51-14)
Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Navy last year (51-14)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2023 (42-3)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2022 (35-32)
Weather Forecast
Playing in MetLife Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ND | NAVY
Depth Chart: ND | NAVY
Rosters: ND | NAVY
(#53) Navy Info
Power Rating: 2.85 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has won 6 straight
Navy has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Navy Highlights
Navy is Undefeated vs Spread as Underdogs Away from Home
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)
Power Rating: 2.85 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has won 6 straight
Navy has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Navy Highlights
Navy is Undefeated vs Spread as Underdogs Away from Home
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Leonard (Tr) | 269 | 403 | 67% | 2861 | 21 | 8 | 7.1 |
| Steven Angeli | 24 | 36 | 67% | 268 | 3 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiyah Love | 163 | 1124 | 17 | 6.9 | 98 |
| Riley Leonard (Tr) | 184 | 906 | 17 | 4.9 | 50 |
| Jadarian Price | 120 | 746 | 7 | 6.2 | 70 |
| Aneyas Williams | 34 | 219 | 2 | 6.4 | 58 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Greathouse | 42 | 592 | 4 | 14.1 | 54 |
| Beaux Collins (Tr) | 41 | 490 | 3 | 12.0 | 53 |
| Mitchell Evans | 43 | 421 | 3 | 9.8 | 33 |
| Jordan Faison | 30 | 356 | 1 | 11.9 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kiser | 90 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Xavier Watts | 83 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| Drayk Bowen | 78 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Adon Shuler | 59 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylie Mills | 37 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Howard Cross III | 27 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Donovan Hinish | 34 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Junior Tuihalamaka | 32 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard Moore | 48 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 |
| Xavier Watts | 83 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| Christian Gray | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 80 | 139 | 58% | 1353 | 13 | 4 | 9.7 |
| Braxton Woodson | 18 | 36 | 50% | 243 | 2 | 2 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 176 | 1254 | 17 | 7.1 | 95 |
| Alex Tecza | 123 | 556 | 8 | 4.5 | 65 |
| Eli Heidenreich | 65 | 444 | 3 | 6.8 | 60 |
| Daba Fofana | 60 | 263 | 2 | 4.4 | 49 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Heidenreich | 39 | 671 | 6 | 17.2 | 74 |
| Brandon Chatman | 18 | 257 | 4 | 14.3 | 46 |
| Alex Tecza | 12 | 229 | 2 | 19.1 | 46 |
| Nathan Kent | 10 | 222 | 2 | 22.2 | 77 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Ramos | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Kyle Jacob | 102 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Rayuan Lane | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Reed | 49 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Landon Robinson | 61 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Ramos | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashaun Peele | 45 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Rayuan Lane | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Duhart | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |