Florida at Georgia - 2024 Matchup Preview
Florida logo Florida Gators vs Georgia BulldogsGeorgia logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -14.5 (52.5) (-700)  Open: -21.0
Georgia 34 - Florida: 20  (SEC)

 
Gators (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Rain Shower Predicted
Wind: 12.7 MPH
FLA coming off BYE
UGA coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -10.5  (SP+ UGA -11)

Projected Score: FLA: 22 - UGA: 32 (54)
UGA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
FLA Travel: 303 miles
Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Florida vs Miami+2.554.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 9/7 Florida vs Samford-38.555.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/14 Florida vs Texas A&M+4.547.0L 20 - 33ON
Sat 9/21 Florida at Mississippi State-6.558.0W 45 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Florida vs UCF+1.062.0W 24 - 13UY
Sat 10/12 Florida at Tennessee+13.554.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 10/19 Florida vs Kentucky+2.542.5W 48 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Florida vs Georgia+14.552.5L 20 - 34OY
Sat 11/9 Florida at Texas+24.548.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 11/16 Florida vs LSU+3.057.0W 27 - 16UY
Sat 11/23 Florida vs Ole Miss+13.057.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 11/30 Florida at Florida State-17.545.5W 31 - 11UY
Fri 12/20 Florida vs Tulane-10.050.5W 33 - 8UY

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Georgia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia vs Clemson-10.549.0W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia vs Tennessee Tech-54.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia at Kentucky-24.045.0W 13 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia at Alabama-2.050.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Georgia vs Auburn-21.050.0W 31 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia vs Mississippi State-34.053.5W 41 - 31ON
Sat 10/19 Georgia at Texas+4.057.0W 30 - 15UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Georgia vs Florida-14.552.5W 34 - 20ON
Sat 11/9 Georgia at Ole Miss-1.554.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia vs Tennessee-8.547.0W 31 - 17OY
Sat 11/23 Georgia vs Massachusetts-42.555.5W 59 - 21ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-17.548.5W 44 - 42ON
Sat 12/7 Georgia vs Texas+2.550.5W 22 - 19UY
Thu 1/2 Georgia vs Notre Dame+1.546.5L 10 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)28.345% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)23.149% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)31.546% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)20.639% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)45% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)49% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1328.327.543%4.171.4193891642264.654%46%45%41%16%.18
UGA Defense1420.621.238.8%3.221.4 - - - - - 49%51%39%38%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense1323.127.843.9%3.121.9 - - - - - 51%49%49%39%18%.14
UGA Offense1431.542.346.6%4.681.3213851212644.343%57%46%47%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1328:3519.239%47%5.9541.41.96.43.1130.2
Georgia1427:4320.641%75%5.451.11.31.46.12.6029.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1354% (42)45% (54)35.4163.74.626 (36).14 (63)3.04 (66)79% (27)9% (56)0.94 (82)
UGA Defense1449% (48)39% (34) - - - - .1 (59)2.81 (39)80% (107)12% (21)0.96 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1351% (71)49% (118) - - - - .13 (73)3.06 (78)67% (29)11% (37)0.84 (10)
UGA Offense1443% (112)46% (46)28.1120.64.324 (45).12 (76)2.91 (91)73% (67)9% (47)0.88 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1346% (91)41% (82)1626.1225.78.714.118 (68)14 (115).25 (73)1.6 (48)31% (54)28% (105).22 (107)7% (90)1.8 (118)
UGA Defense1451% (89)38% (37) - - - - - - 8 (93).17 (37)1.6 (59)35% (27)26% (13).23 (36)5% (110)2.1 (86)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1349% (67)39% (44) - - - - - - 14 (23).16 (34)1.6 (87)31% (86)37% (124).42 (108)7% (43)2 (58)
UGA Offense1457% (22)47% (16)22.634.4264.37.711.728 (15)13 (103).34 (31)1.5 (111)28% (15)36% (19).39 (47)7% (95)1.8 (127)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 12.61  #19
Florida's Offense Rating: 21.48  #52
Florida's Defense Rating: 7.04  #44
2024 Talent Rating: 930.00  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46%  #11
Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #37
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 12.61   Georgia: 23.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 13.8   Georgia: 24.3




Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 23.53  #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08  #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43  #25
2024 Talent Rating: 1150.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73  #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3  #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 32
Florida 22


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 29
Florida 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 31
Florida 25

Total Points: 56
Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Georgia34Florida20Georgia -14.5Florida52.5Over
202310/28Florida20Georgia43Georgia -14Georgia50.0Over
202210/29Georgia42Florida20Georgia -23Florida56.5Over
202110/30Florida7Georgia34Georgia -14Georgia50.0Under
202011/07Georgia28Florida44Georgia -3.5Florida54.0Over
201911/02Florida17Georgia24Georgia -6.5Georgia47.5Under
201810/27Georgia36Florida17Georgia -7Georgia53.0Push
201710/28Florida7Georgia42Georgia -13.5Georgia43.5Over
201610/29Georgia10Florida24Florida -7.5Florida43.0Under
201510/31Florida27Georgia3Florida -2.5Florida49.0Under
201411/01Georgia20Florida38Georgia -10Florida0
201311/02Florida20Georgia23Georgia -2.5Georgia0
201210/27Georgia17Florida9
201110/29Florida20Georgia24
201010/30Georgia31Florida34
200910/31Florida41Georgia17
200811/01Georgia10Florida49
200710/27Florida30Georgia42
200610/28Georgia14Florida21
200510/29Florida14Georgia10
200410/30Georgia31Florida24
200311/01Florida16Georgia13
200211/02Georgia13Florida20
200110/27Florida24Georgia10
200010/27Florida34Georgia23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia1265 Overs
Florida1364 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 142 - 102 - 40 - 6
Road Teams14 - 1110 - 26 - 04 - 2

(#19) FLA at (#7) UGA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLAUGA
Power RatePwr #19 #7
SP+SP+ #20 #6
Perf GradeGrade #29 #19
OffenseOff #25 #32
DefenseDef #63 #22
Spec TeamsST #50 #59
TalentTal #15 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #11 #3

Georgia Notes
(11/30) Mauled by GT. Beck/Refs great comeback. D bad
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne
Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
FLA OffUGA Def
Perf GradePerf #25 #22
SuccessSuc #64 #32
ExplosiveExp #93 #64
PPAPPA #72 #49
PowerPwr #52 #25
SP+SP+ #37 #9
Pts POPPO #46 #19
HavocHav #68 #57
Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
FLA OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #79 #12
Run SuccessRSuc #54 #34
Run ExplRExp #82 #53
PPAExp #63 #59
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLY #66 #39
Stuff RateStuff #77 #59
TackleTak -  #14
Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
FLA OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #62 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #82 #37
Pass ExplPExl #48 #59
PPAExp #73 #37
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #18 #51
F7 HavocF7 #56 #21
DB HavocDB #90 #110
Georgia on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatUGA OffFLA Def
Perf GradePerf #32 #63
SuccessSuc #25 #95
ExplosiveExp #97 #32
PPAPPA #37 #53
PowerPwr #13 #44
SP+SP+ #10 #23
Pts POPPO #12 #14
HavocHav #60 #36
Georgia Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffFLA Def
Run GameRun #24 #18
Run SuccessRSuc #46 #118
Run ExplRExp #109 #10
PPAExp #76 #73
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLY #91 #78
Stuff RateStuff #104 #84
TackleTak -  #66
Georgia Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatUGA OffFLA Def
Pass GamePass #20 #110
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #44
Pass ExplPExl #111 #87
PPAExp #31 #34
Pass Block/RushP Blk #12 #55
F7 HavocF7 #47 #37
DB HavocDB #95 #43
Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

FLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in EverBank Field
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 79° - Wind: 13 mph
Rain: 0.008
Rematch from Week 10
Georgia -14.5 (52.5)
Georgia won vs Florida this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Florida last year (34-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2023 (43-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2022 (42-20)

  
FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Graham Mertz729477%791628.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Montrell Johnson10059365.971
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger (Tr)39806420.777
Chimere Dike (Tr)42783218.644
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trikweze Bridges (Tr)681005
Shemar James644223
Jack Pyburn604100
Jordan Castell551009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Trikweze Bridges (Tr)681005
Jason Marshall Jr.202034

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck29044865%348528127.8
Gunner Stockton456470%440116.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier13367185.040
Trevor Etienne (Tr)12260995.048
Dillon Bell9107111.933
Branson Robinson257332.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Arian Smith48817417.067
Dominic Lovett59607610.338
Dillon Bell43466410.867
Lawson Luckie24348314.537

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malaki Starks774003
C.J. Allen763054
Dan Jackson642003
Jalon Walker6111772
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chaz Chambliss4110720
Jalon Walker6111772
Mykel Williams219531
Damon Wilson Jr.226340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen763054
Julian Humphrey100004
Malaki Starks774003