Florida at Georgia - 2024 Matchup Preview

Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -14.5 (52.5) (-700) Open: -21.0
Georgia 34 - Florida: 20 (SEC)

Gators (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA coming off BYE
UGA coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -10.5 (SP+ UGA -11)
Projected Score: FLA: 20 - UGA: 30 (50)
UGA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
FLA Travel: 63 miles

Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (35 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Florida vs Miami	+2.5	54.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/7	Florida vs Samford	-38.5	55.5	W 45 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/14	Florida vs Texas A&M	+4.5	47.0	L 20 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/21	Florida at Mississippi State	-6.5	58.0	W 45 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Florida vs UCF	+1.0	62.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Florida at Tennessee	+13.5	54.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Florida vs Kentucky	+2.5	42.5	W 48 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Florida vs Georgia	+14.5	52.5	L 20 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Florida at Texas	+24.5	48.5	L 17 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/16	Florida vs LSU	+3.0	57.0	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Florida vs Ole Miss	+13.0	57.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Florida at Florida State	-17.5	45.5	W 31 - 11	U	Y
Fri 12/20	Florida vs Tulane	-10.0	50.5	W 33 - 8	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Georgia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia vs Clemson	-10.5	49.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia vs Tennessee Tech	-54.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia at Kentucky	-24.0	45.0	W 13 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia at Alabama	-2.0	50.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Georgia vs Auburn	-21.0	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia vs Mississippi State	-34.0	53.5	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/19	Georgia at Texas	+4.0	57.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Georgia vs Florida	-14.5	52.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/9	Georgia at Ole Miss	-1.5	54.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Georgia vs Massachusetts	-42.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	48.5	W 44 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/7	Georgia vs Texas	+2.5	50.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Georgia vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	L 10 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#39 (.27)	44% (47)	21.6	43% (63)	3.11 (69)	152	45% (36)	257	4.7 (14)	#106 (.24)	38% (26)	24	36% (15)	40% (45)	4.08 (93)	49.6	1	0.6
UGA	#4 (.4)	53% (5)	32.1	51% (8)	3.34 (25)	191	54% (4)	305	5.02 (3)	#25 (.11)	38% (28)	17.6	45% (86)	34% (5)	3.45 (41)	42.9	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UGA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	12	21.6	13	43.9%	4.7	1	22	409	152	257	4.3	48%	52%	43%	45%	16%	.27
UGA Defense	14	17.6	14.1	38.2%	3.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	34%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	12	24	30.4	37.9%	4.08	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	36%	40%	16%	.24
UGA Offense	14	32.1	34.6	52.5%	5.02	1	26	496	191	305	5.3	49%	51%	51%	54%	12%	.4

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	12	33:06	21.6	37%	41%	6.6	49.6	1	0.6	4.9	1.8	0	26.4
Georgia	14	33:27	26	55%	73%	4.4	42.9	1	1.2	4.9	2	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	12	48% (88)	43% (63)	35.2	151.6	4.3	21 (54)	.17 (59)	3.11 (69)	72% (85)	12% (114)	1 (64)
UGA Defense	14	45% (12)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.02 (51)	66% (26)	9% (94)	1.03 (86)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	12	50% (71)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	.16 (84)	2.97 (44)	59% (8)	10% (62)	1.28 (132)
UGA Offense	14	49% (74)	51% (8)	35.8	191.1	5.3	40 (1)	.31 (5)	3.34 (25)	75% (58)	7% (19)	1.04 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	12	52% (40)	45% (36)	23.4	32.4	257.2	7.9	11	20 (70)	5 (6)	.37 (33)	1.6 (76)	32% (79)	30% (74)	.43 (38)	4% (13)	2.1 (48)
UGA Defense	14	54% (119)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.08 (6)	1.5 (37)	35% (35)	24% (7)	.14 (5)	7% (35)	2 (49)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	12	49% (71)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.35 (107)	1.9 (129)	34% (39)	28% (37)	.34 (82)	6% (82)	2.3 (120)
UGA Offense	14	51% (52)	54% (4)	23.4	32.6	305.3	9.4	13	29 (18)	7 (21)	.52 (7)	1.4 (120)	25% (5)	45% (2)	.7 (3)	5% (17)	2 (93)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 12.61 #19
Florida's Offense Rating: 21.48 #52
Florida's Defense Rating: 7.04 #44
2024 Talent Rating: 529.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 46% #11
Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #37
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 12.61 Georgia: 23.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 13.8 Georgia: 24.3

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 23.53 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
2024 Talent Rating: 729.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 30
Florida 20

Projected Total Points: 50

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.1

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Florida	20	Georgia	24	Georgia -7	Florida	50.5	Under
2024	11/02	Georgia	34	Florida	20	Georgia -14.5	Florida	52.5	Over
2023	10/28	Florida	20	Georgia	43	Georgia -14	Georgia	50.0	Over
2022	10/29	Georgia	42	Florida	20	Georgia -23	Florida	56.5	Over
2021	10/30	Florida	7	Georgia	34	Georgia -14	Georgia	50.0	Under
2020	11/07	Georgia	28	Florida	44	Georgia -3.5	Florida	54.0	Over
2019	11/02	Florida	17	Georgia	24	Georgia -6.5	Georgia	47.5	Under
2018	10/27	Georgia	36	Florida	17	Georgia -7	Georgia	53.0	Push
2017	10/28	Florida	7	Georgia	42	Georgia -13.5	Georgia	43.5	Over
2016	10/29	Georgia	10	Florida	24	Florida -7.5	Florida	43.0	Under
2015	10/31	Florida	27	Georgia	3	Florida -2.5	Florida	49.0	Under
2014	11/01	Georgia	20	Florida	38	Georgia -10	Florida	0
2013	11/02	Florida	20	Georgia	23	Georgia -2.5	Georgia	0
2012	10/27	Georgia	17	Florida	9
2011	10/29	Florida	20	Georgia	24
2010	10/30	Georgia	31	Florida	34
2009	10/31	Florida	41	Georgia	17
2008	11/01	Georgia	10	Florida	49
2007	10/27	Florida	30	Georgia	42
2006	10/28	Georgia	14	Florida	21
2005	10/29	Florida	14	Georgia	10
2004	10/30	Georgia	31	Florida	24
2003	11/01	Florida	16	Georgia	13
2002	11/02	Georgia	13	Florida	20
2001	10/27	Florida	24	Georgia	10
2000	10/27	Florida	34	Georgia	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	13	6	5 Overs
Florida	13	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 15	3 - 10	2 - 4	1 - 6
Road Teams	15 - 11	10 - 3	6 - 1	4 - 2

(#19) FLA at (#7) UGA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	UGA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#19	#7
SP+SP+	#20	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#29	#19
OffenseOff	#25	#32
DefenseDef	#63	#22
Spec TeamsST	#50	#59
TalentTal	#12	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#11	#3

Florida Injury Report

Georgia Notes(11/30) Mauled by GT. Beck/Refs great comeback. D bad
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne
(7/30) Only 4 road games, only Tenn test @ home.
Georgia Injury Report

Florida on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	UGA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#25	#22
SuccessSuc	#47	#28
ExplosiveExp	#61	#49
PPAPPA	#39	#25
PowerPwr	#52	#25
SP+SP+	#37	#9
Pts POPPO	#14	#41
HavocHav	#78	#67

Florida Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#79	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	#63	#86
Run ExplRExp	#64	#86
PPAExp	#59	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	#69	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#92	#29
TackleTak	-	#14

Florida Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#36	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#76	#37
PPAExp	#33	#6
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#18	#51
F7 HavocF7	#114	#94
DB HavocDB	#13	#35

Georgia on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#63
SuccessSuc	#5	#26
ExplosiveExp	#91	#133
PPAPPA	#4	#106
PowerPwr	#13	#44
SP+SP+	#10	#23
Pts POPPO	#3	#93
HavocHav	#12	#74

Georgia Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	#24	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#15
Run ExplRExp	#46	#132
PPAExp	#5	#84
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#44
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#56
TackleTak	-	#66

Georgia Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#110
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#45
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#129
PPAExp	#7	#107
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#55
F7 HavocF7	#19	#62
DB HavocDB	#17	#82

Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

FLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in EverBank Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Georgia -14.5 (52.5)
Georgia won vs Florida this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Florida last year (24-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2024 (34-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2023 (43-20)

FLA's OC Rob Sale (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D.J. Lagway	115	192	60%	1915	12	9	10.0
Graham Mertz	72	94	77%	791	6	2	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jadan Baugh	133	673	7	5.1	55
Montrell Johnson	100	593	6	5.9	71
Ja'Kobi Jackson	93	500	7	5.4	20
D.J. Lagway	51	101	0	2.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijhah Badger (Tr)	39	806	4	20.7	77
Chimere Dike (Tr)	42	783	2	18.6	44
Eugene Wilson	19	266	1	14.0	85
Hayden Hansen	15	207	1	13.8	40

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trikweze Bridges (Tr)	68	1	0	0	5
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3
Jack Pyburn	60	4	1	0	0
Jordan Castell	55	1	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyreak Sapp	46	13	7	5	0
George Gumbs	36	9	6	4	2
Caleb Banks	21	7	5	6	1
Jaden Robinson	52	4	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jordan Castell	55	1	0	9
Trikweze Bridges (Tr)	68	1	0	5
Jason Marshall Jr.	20	2	3	4

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	290	448	65%	3485	28	12	7.8
Gunner Stockton	45	64	70%	440	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Frazier	133	671	8	5.0	40
Trevor Etienne (Tr)	122	609	9	5.0	48
Dillon Bell	9	107	1	11.9	33
Branson Robinson	25	73	3	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Arian Smith	48	817	4	17.0	67
Dominic Lovett	59	607	6	10.3	38
Dillon Bell	43	466	4	10.8	67
Lawson Luckie	24	348	3	14.5	37

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	0	3
C.J. Allen	76	3	0	5	4
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	0	3
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chaz Chambliss	41	10	7	2	0
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2
Mykel Williams	21	9	5	3	1
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
C.J. Allen	76	3	5	4
Julian Humphrey	10	0	0	4
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	3