Georgia at Kentucky - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#6)Georgia Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -24 (45.0) (-2800) Open: -18.0
Georgia 13 - Kentucky: 12 (SEC)

Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia -17 (SP+ UGA -19)
Projected Score: UGA: 29 - UK: 12 (42)
UGA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
UGA Travel: 288 miles

Wildcats (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (73 - 65)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UGA Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia vs Clemson	-10.5	49.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia vs Tennessee Tech	-54.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia at Kentucky	-24.0	45.0	W 13 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia at Alabama	-2.0	50.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Georgia vs Auburn	-21.0	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia vs Mississippi State	-34.0	53.5	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/19	Georgia at Texas	+4.0	57.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Georgia vs Florida	-14.5	52.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/9	Georgia at Ole Miss	-1.5	54.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Georgia vs Massachusetts	-42.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	48.5	W 44 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/7	Georgia vs Texas	+2.5	50.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Georgia vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	L 10 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kentucky vs Southern Miss	-25.5	50.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-9.5	41.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kentucky vs Georgia	+24.0	45.0	L 12 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Kentucky vs Ohio	-19.0	42.0	W 41 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Kentucky at Ole Miss	+15.0	51.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-12.5	44.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/19	Kentucky at Florida	-2.5	42.5	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/26	Kentucky vs Auburn	-2.0	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/2	Kentucky at Tennessee	+17.5	45.5	L 18 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Kentucky vs Murray State	-41.5	54.5	W 48 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kentucky at Texas	+18.5	47.0	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kentucky vs Louisville	+3.5	48.5	L 14 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)	31.5	46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)	20.6	39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)	20.6	47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)	22.1	49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Offense	14	31.5	21.8	46.6%	4.68	1.3	21	385	121	264	4.3	43%	57%	46%	47%	15%	.24
UK Defense	12	22.1	17.6	46%	3.44	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	49%	42%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Defense	14	20.6	24	38.8%	3.22	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	38%	17%	.14
UK Offense	12	20.6	21.9	41.5%	3.49	1.9	19	331	146	185	4	54%	46%	47%	35%	19%	.09

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia	14	27:43	20.6	41%	75%	5.4	51.1	1.3	1.4	6.1	2.6	0	29.7
Kentucky	12	29:32	19.4	34%	44%	6.3	52.1	1.9	1.3	5.6	1.8	2	27

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Offense	14	43% (112)	46% (46)	28.1	120.6	4.3	24 (45)	.12 (76)	2.91 (91)	73% (67)	9% (47)	0.88 (109)
UK Defense	12	58% (129)	49% (122)	-	-	-	-	.14 (75)	3 (67)	78% (101)	12% (32)	0.88 (24)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Defense	14	49% (48)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	.1 (59)	2.81 (39)	80% (107)	12% (21)	0.96 (53)
UK Offense	12	54% (37)	47% (31)	36.7	146.4	4	11 (116)	.05 (107)	3.02 (71)	73% (71)	13% (120)	0.73 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Offense	14	57% (22)	47% (16)	22.6	34.4	264.3	7.7	11.7	28 (15)	13 (103)	.34 (31)	1.5 (111)	28% (15)	36% (19)	.39 (47)	7% (95)	1.8 (127)
UK Defense	12	42% (7)	42% (75)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.19 (46)	1.5 (27)	29% (109)	31% (83)	.3 (68)	5% (95)	2 (61)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Defense	14	51% (89)	38% (37)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.17 (37)	1.6 (59)	35% (27)	26% (13)	.23 (36)	5% (110)	2.1 (86)
UK Offense	12	46% (97)	35% (123)	13.9	26	184.8	7.1	13.3	15 (98)	17 (127)	.13 (117)	1.9 (10)	33% (92)	28% (104)	.18 (114)	7% (103)	2.1 (46)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.76 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.76 Kentucky: 6.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 24.3 Kentucky: 5.5

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 6.32 #54
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 16.88 #96
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 8.88 #62
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 28 #21
Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 29
Kentucky 12

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 16
Kentucky 14

Total Points: 30

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 23
Kentucky 22

Total Points: 45

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Georgia	35	Kentucky	14	Georgia -19.5	Georgia	48.5	Over
2024	09/14	Kentucky	12	Georgia	13	Georgia -24	Kentucky	45.0	Under
2023	10/07	Georgia	51	Kentucky	13	Georgia -14.5	Georgia	47.0	Over
2022	11/19	Kentucky	6	Georgia	16	Georgia -22.5	Kentucky	47.5	Under
2021	10/16	Georgia	30	Kentucky	13	Georgia -21.5	Kentucky	44.5	Under
2020	10/31	Kentucky	3	Georgia	14	Georgia -17	Kentucky	42.0	Under
2019	10/19	Georgia	21	Kentucky	0	Georgia -23.5	Kentucky	45.5	Under
2018	11/03	Kentucky	17	Georgia	34	Georgia -9.5	Georgia	47.5	Over
2017	11/18	Georgia	42	Kentucky	13	Georgia -23.5	Georgia	51.0	Over
2016	11/05	Kentucky	24	Georgia	27	Georgia -2.5	Georgia	52.0	Under
2015	11/07	Georgia	27	Kentucky	3	Georgia -17	Georgia	58.0	Under
2014	11/08	Kentucky	31	Georgia	63	Georgia -13	Georgia	0
2013	11/23	Georgia	59	Kentucky	17	Georgia -26	Georgia	0
2012	10/20	Kentucky	24	Georgia	29
2011	11/19	Georgia	19	Kentucky	10
2010	10/23	Kentucky	31	Georgia	44
2009	11/21	Georgia	27	Kentucky	34
2008	11/08	Kentucky	38	Georgia	42
2007	11/17	Georgia	24	Kentucky	13
2006	11/04	Kentucky	24	Georgia	20
2005	11/19	Georgia	45	Kentucky	13
2004	11/06	Kentucky	17	Georgia	62
2003	11/22	Georgia	30	Kentucky	10
2002	10/26	Kentucky	24	Georgia	52
2001	10/20	Georgia	43	Kentucky	29
2000	10/20	Kentucky	30	Georgia	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	2	5	4 Overs
Georgia	24	8	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 13	8 - 5	5 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 13	5 - 8	3 - 3	2 - 5

(#7) UGA at (#54) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UGA	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#7	#54
SP+SP+	#6	#45
Perf GradeGrade	#19	#83
OffenseOff	#32	#95
DefenseDef	#22	#75
Spec TeamsST	#59	#32
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#3	#21

Georgia Notes(11/30) Mauled by GT. Beck/Refs great comeback. D bad
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne
(7/30) Only 4 road games, only Tenn test @ home.
Georgia Injury Report

Kentucky Notes(11/23) 30 car, 21 yds vs Tex. QB Boley bad, Def fought
(10/30) UK on quit watch, bad body language past 2 L's
(10/27) Off broken, Haven't scored 21 pts in any SEC game
(10/16) Into UF wk, Stoops 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/13) Bad L (Vandy). Def good, QB v bad, Rgame Ok.
(9/28) Great W over Ole Miss. Rgame stopped, Pass good
(9/28) Run Def is great. Held Ole Miss 92 yds (3.2 ypc)
(9/15) OL/DL great vs UGA. Def good, Off bad, QB bad
(9/9) W/O OC Coen UKs Off has regressed badly twice
(9/8) 44 yds pass, 2 Int in bad L vs S Car. Rgame bad
(9/1) Def perfect vs S Miss. Eff off, QB Brock good start
(8/18) Starting RB Trayanum out for opener, poss more
Kentucky Injury Report

Georgia on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#75
SuccessSuc	#25	#111
ExplosiveExp	#97	#9
PPAPPA	#37	#62
PowerPwr	#13	#62
SP+SP+	#10	#26
Pts POPPO	#12	#31
HavocHav	#60	#56

Georgia Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#24	#113
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#122
Run ExplRExp	#109	#24
PPAExp	#76	#75
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#91	#67
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#48
TackleTak	-	#104

Georgia Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#55
Pass SuccessPSuc	#16	#75
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#27
PPAExp	#31	#46
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#12	#23
F7 HavocF7	#47	#32
DB HavocDB	#95	#95

Kentucky on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	UK Off	UGA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#95	#22
SuccessSuc	#89	#32
ExplosiveExp	#123	#64
PPAPPA	#118	#49
PowerPwr	#96	#25
SP+SP+	#88	#9
Pts POPPO	#104	#19
HavocHav	#121	#57

Kentucky Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	UK Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#31	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	#31	#34
Run ExplRExp	#133	#53
PPAExp	#107	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#71	#39
Stuff RateStuff	#78	#59
TackleTak	-	#14

Kentucky Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	UK Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#113	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#123	#37
Pass ExplPExl	#10	#59
PPAExp	#117	#37
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#116	#51
F7 HavocF7	#120	#21
DB HavocDB	#103	#110

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Georgia 24.0 (45.0)
Georgia won at Kentucky this year (13-12)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Kentucky last year (13-12)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2023 (51-13)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2022 (16-6)

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	290	448	65%	3485	28	12	7.8
Gunner Stockton	45	64	70%	440	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Frazier	133	671	8	5.0	40
Trevor Etienne (Tr)	122	609	9	5.0	48
Dillon Bell	9	107	1	11.9	33
Branson Robinson	25	73	3	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Arian Smith	48	817	4	17.0	67
Dominic Lovett	59	607	6	10.3	38
Dillon Bell	43	466	4	10.8	67
Lawson Luckie	24	348	3	14.5	37

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	0	3
C.J. Allen	76	3	0	5	4
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	0	3
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chaz Chambliss	41	10	7	2	0
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2
Mykel Williams	21	9	5	3	1
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
C.J. Allen	76	3	5	4
Julian Humphrey	10	0	0	4
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	3

UK's OC Bush Hamdan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brock Vandagriff (Tr)	125	218	57%	1593	10	8	7.3
Cutter Boley	26	53	49%	338	2	4	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamarion Wilcox	92	590	2	6.4	50
Demie Sumo	129	586	5	4.5	22
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	49	183	2	3.7	24
Brock Vandagriff (Tr)	90	131	0	1.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dane Key	47	715	2	15.2	42
Barion Brown	29	361	3	12.4	63
Jay Maclin	13	313	4	24.1	83
Demie Sumo	20	154	0	7.7	18

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamon Dumas-Johnson (Tr)	67	7	4	1	0
Jordan Lovett	63	1	0	0	1
Alex Afari Jr.	62	11	2	1	1
Zion Childress	55	6	1	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.J. Weaver	31	7	4	4	1
Jamon Dumas-Johnson (Tr)	67	7	4	1	0
Tre'Vonn Rybka	34	5	3	2	1
Octavious Oxendine	20	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Terhyon Nichols	10	0	0	5
Maxwell Hairston	19	1	1	4
J.Q. Hardaway	47	0	0	3