Georgia at Kentucky - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -24 (45.0) (-2800) Open: -18.0
Georgia 13 - Kentucky: 12 (SEC)

Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia -17 (SP+ UGA -19)
Projected Score: UGA: 31 - UK: 14 (48)
UGA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
UGA Travel: 288 miles

Wildcats (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (73 - 65)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UGA Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia vs Clemson	-10.5	49.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia vs Tennessee Tech	-54.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia at Kentucky	-24.0	45.0	W 13 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia at Alabama	-2.0	50.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Georgia vs Auburn	-21.0	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia vs Mississippi State	-34.0	53.5	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/19	Georgia at Texas	+4.0	57.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Georgia vs Florida	-14.5	52.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/9	Georgia at Ole Miss	-1.5	54.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Georgia vs Massachusetts	-42.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	48.5	W 44 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/7	Georgia vs Texas	+2.5	50.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Georgia vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	L 10 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kentucky vs Southern Miss	-25.5	50.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-9.5	41.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kentucky vs Georgia	+24.0	45.0	L 12 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Kentucky vs Ohio	-19.0	42.0	W 41 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Kentucky at Ole Miss	+15.0	51.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-12.5	44.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/19	Kentucky at Florida	-2.5	42.5	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/26	Kentucky vs Auburn	-2.0	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/2	Kentucky at Tennessee	+17.5	45.5	L 18 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Kentucky vs Murray State	-41.5	54.5	W 48 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kentucky at Texas	+18.5	47.0	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kentucky vs Louisville	+3.5	48.5	L 14 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#4 (.4)	53% (5)	31.5	51% (8)	3.34 (25)	191	54% (4)	305	5.02 (3)	#25 (.11)	38% (28)	20.6	45% (86)	34% (5)	3.45 (41)	42.9	1	1.2
UK	#49 (.22)	40% (93)	20.6	41% (88)	2.79 (118)	128	40% (83)	212	4.46 (23)	#50 (.16)	43% (87)	22.1	42% (56)	45% (116)	3.95 (84)	50.8	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Offense	14	31.5	21.8	52.5%	5.02	1	26	496	191	305	5.3	49%	51%	51%	54%	12%	.4
UK Defense	13	22.1	17.6	43.3%	3.95	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	45%	14%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Defense	14	20.6	24	38.2%	3.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	34%	16%	.11
UK Offense	13	20.6	21.9	40%	4.46	1.5	17	339	128	212	4.9	43%	55%	41%	40%	18%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia	14	33:27	26	55%	73%	4.4	42.9	1	1.2	4.9	2	2	29.2
Kentucky	13	27:34	16.9	38%	20%	6.1	50.8	1.5	1.4	5.5	2	6	29.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Offense	14	49% (74)	51% (8)	35.8	191.1	5.3	40 (1)	.31 (5)	3.34 (25)	75% (58)	7% (19)	1.04 (46)
UK Defense	13	48% (46)	42% (56)	-	-	-	-	.1 (40)	2.87 (29)	70% (48)	10% (75)	0.87 (18)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Defense	14	45% (12)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.02 (51)	66% (26)	9% (94)	1.03 (86)
UK Offense	13	43% (108)	41% (88)	26.1	127.7	4.9	18 (77)	.15 (71)	2.79 (118)	68% (106)	11% (79)	1.12 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Offense	14	51% (52)	54% (4)	23.4	32.6	305.3	9.4	13	29 (18)	7 (21)	.52 (7)	1.4 (120)	25% (5)	45% (2)	.7 (3)	5% (17)	2 (93)
UK Defense	13	51% (92)	45% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.23 (45)	1.4 (11)	31% (76)	30% (70)	.39 (104)	5% (114)	2.1 (75)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Defense	14	54% (119)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.08 (6)	1.5 (37)	35% (35)	24% (7)	.14 (5)	7% (35)	2 (49)
UK Offense	13	55% (26)	40% (83)	16.2	28.8	211.6	7.4	13	25 (37)	11 (68)	.32 (54)	1.7 (25)	35% (114)	28% (88)	.31 (77)	8% (113)	2.2 (19)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.76 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
2024 Talent Rating: 1150.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.76 Kentucky: 6.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 24.3 Kentucky: 5.5

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 6.32 #54
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 16.88 #96
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 8.88 #62
2024 Talent Rating: 830.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 28 #21
Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 31
Kentucky 14

Projected Total Points: 48

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Kentucky	12	Georgia	13	Georgia	Georgia -24	Kentucky	45.0	Under
2023	10/07	Georgia	51	Kentucky	13	Georgia	Georgia -14.5	Georgia	47.0	Over
2022	11/19	Kentucky	6	Georgia	16	Georgia	Georgia -22.5	Kentucky	47.5	Under
2021	10/16	Georgia	30	Kentucky	13	Georgia	Georgia -21.5	Kentucky	44.5	Under
2020	10/31	Kentucky	3	Georgia	14	Georgia	Georgia -17	Kentucky	42.0	Under
2019	10/19	Georgia	21	Kentucky	0	Georgia	Georgia -23.5	Kentucky	45.5	Under
2018	11/03	Kentucky	17	Georgia	34	Georgia	Georgia -9.5	Georgia	47.5	Over
2017	11/18	Georgia	42	Kentucky	13	Georgia	Georgia -23.5	Georgia	51.0	Over
2016	11/05	Kentucky	24	Georgia	27	Georgia	Georgia -2.5	Georgia	52.0	Under
2015	11/07	Georgia	27	Kentucky	3	Georgia	Georgia -17	Georgia	58.0	Under
2014	11/08	Kentucky	31	Georgia	63	Georgia	Georgia -13	Georgia	0
2013	11/23	Georgia	59	Kentucky	17	Georgia	Georgia -26	Georgia	0
2012	10/20	Kentucky	24	Georgia	29	Georgia
2011	11/19	Georgia	19	Kentucky	10	Georgia
2010	10/23	Kentucky	31	Georgia	44	Georgia
2009	11/21	Georgia	27	Kentucky	34	Kentucky
2008	11/08	Kentucky	38	Georgia	42	Georgia
2007	11/17	Georgia	24	Kentucky	13	Georgia
2006	11/04	Kentucky	24	Georgia	20	Kentucky
2005	11/19	Georgia	45	Kentucky	13	Georgia
2004	11/06	Kentucky	17	Georgia	62	Georgia
2003	11/22	Georgia	30	Kentucky	10	Georgia
2002	10/26	Kentucky	24	Georgia	52	Georgia
2001	10/20	Georgia	43	Kentucky	29	Georgia
2000	10/20	Kentucky	30	Georgia	34	Georgia

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	2	5	3 Overs
Georgia	23	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 12	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4

(#7) Georgia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.76 #7
Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9
Talent Rating: 1150.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #3
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Georgia Notes
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne

Georgia Ratings Matchup Kentucky

Power #7

#54

Off #13

#96

Def #25

#62

Talent #1

#26

SP+ #6

#45

SP+ Off #10

#88

SP+ Def #9

#26

Rematch from Week 3
Georgia 24.0 (45.0)
Georgia won at Kentucky this year (13-12)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Kentucky last year (13-12)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2023 (51-13)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2022 (16-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UGA | UK
Depth Chart: UGA | UK
Rosters: UGA | UK

(#54) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.32 #54
Offense Rating: 16.88 #96
Defense Rating: 8.88 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 830.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 28 #21
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kentucky Notes
(10/30) UK on quit watch, bad body language past 2 L's
(10/27) Off broken, Haven't scored 21 pts in any SEC game
(10/16) Into UF wk, Stoops 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/13) Bad L (Vandy). Def good, QB v bad, Rgame Ok.
(9/28) Great W over Ole Miss. Rgame stopped, Pass good
(9/28) Run Def is great. Held Ole Miss 92 yds (3.2 ypc)
(9/15) OL/DL great vs UGA. Def good, Off bad, QB bad
(9/9) W/O OC Coen UKs Off has regressed badly twice
(9/8) 44 yds pass, 2 Int in bad L vs S Car. Rgame bad
(9/1) Def perfect vs S Miss. Eff off, QB Brock good start

Georgia's OC Mike Bobo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	290	448	65%	3485	28	12	7.8
Gunner Stockton	45	64	70%	440	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Frazier	133	671	8	5.0	40
Trevor Etienne (Tr)	122	609	9	5.0	48
Dillon Bell	9	107	1	11.9	33
Branson Robinson	25	73	3	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dillon Bell	43	466	4	10.8	67
Lawson Luckie	24	348	3	14.5	37
Cash Jones	24	275	4	11.5	32
Oscar Delp	21	248	4	11.8	43

View Georgia's Full Roster

Georgia's DC Glenn Schumann

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Allen	76	3	0	5	4
KJ Bolden	59	2	1	1	1
Daylen Everette	58	2	1	1	3
Raylen Wilson	47	7	2	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	6	3	4	0
Gabe Harris	14	4	2	0	0
Raylen Wilson	47	7	2	1	1
Christen Miller	27	4	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
C.J. Allen	76	3	5	4
Julian Humphrey	10	0	0	4
Daniel Harris	22	1	0	3

Kentucky's OC Bush Hamdan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brock Vandagriff (Tr)	125	218	57%	1593	10	8	7.3
Cutter Boley	26	53	49%	338	2	4	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamarion Wilcox	92	590	2	6.4	50
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	49	183	2	3.7	24
Brock Vandagriff (Tr)	90	131	0	1.5	22
Jason Patterson	20	111	0	5.6	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dane Key	47	715	2	15.2	42
Barion Brown	29	361	3	12.4	63
Jay Maclin	13	313	4	24.1	83
Hardley Gilmore IV	6	153	1	25.5	52

View Kentucky's Full Roster

Kentucky's DC Brad White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamon Dumas-Johnson (Tr)	67	7	4	1	0
Jordan Lovett	63	1	0	0	1
Alex Afari Jr.	62	11	2	1	1
J.Q. Hardaway	47	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamon Dumas-Johnson (Tr)	67	7	4	1	0
Alex Afari Jr.	62	11	2	1	1
Keeshawn Silver	26	1	1	2	0
Steven Soles Jr.	5	2	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Terhyon Nichols	10	5
J.Q. Hardaway	47	3
DJ Waller Jr. (Tr)	13	2