Notre Dame at Purdue - 2024 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo (#8)Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -11.5 (45.5) (-270)  Open: -16.0
Notre Dame 66 - Purdue: 7

 
Fighting Irish (14 - 2) (13 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (46 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR coming off BYE
Our Line: Notre Dame -39  (SP+ ND -40)
Projected Score: ND: 43 - PUR: 4 (47)
ND Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
ND Travel: 94 miles
Boilermakers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Notre Dame at Texas A&M+3.047.0W 23 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Notre Dame vs Northern Illinois-28.546.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Notre Dame at Purdue-11.545.5W 66 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)-27.544.0W 28 - 3UN
Sat 9/28 Notre Dame vs Louisville-6.545.0W 31 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Notre Dame vs Stanford-22.545.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/19 Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech-14.049.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-14.050.5W 51 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Notre Dame vs Florida State-25.544.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 11/16 Notre Dame vs Virginia-20.551.0W 35 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Notre Dame vs Army-14.544.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 11/30 Notre Dame at USC-6.552.5W 49 - 35OY
Fri 12/20 Notre Dame vs Indiana-7.050.0W 27 - 17UY
Thu 1/2 Notre Dame vs Georgia-1.546.5W 23 - 10UY
Thu 1/9 Notre Dame vs Penn State+1.545.5W 27 - 24OY
Mon 1/20 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+8.545.5L 23 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Purdue's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Purdue vs Indiana State-35.552.5W 49 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Purdue vs Notre Dame+11.545.5L 7 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 Purdue at Oregon State+1.551.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 9/28 Purdue vs Nebraska+10.047.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 10/5 Purdue at Wisconsin+12.044.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 10/12 Purdue at Illinois+22.547.5L 49 - 50OY
Fri 10/18 Purdue vs Oregon+30.061.0L 0 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Purdue vs Northwestern-3.044.5L 20 - 26ON
Sat 11/9 Purdue at Ohio State+37.555.5L 0 - 45UN
Sat 11/16 Purdue vs Penn State+30.051.5L 10 - 49ON
Fri 11/22 Purdue at Michigan State+14.049.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Purdue at Indiana+28.556.5L 0 - 66ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)36.147% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)15.543% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)15.842% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)39.949% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense1636.14647%4.80.8173411811606.353%47%47%47%11%.32
PUR Defense1239.93449.3%4.820.4 - - - - - 53%47%49%50%12%.39
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1615.518.336.4%2.751.8 - - - - - 51%48%43%29%19%-.02
PUR Offense1215.81640.8%3.341.615299116184446%53%42%40%22%.11

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1624:3416.839%76%4.842.40.81.842.1533.2
Purdue1226:5014.631%28%5.551.81.60.45.21.8026.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1653% (46)47% (26)28.6181.36.342 (3).36 (2)3.31 (24)73% (71)8% (26)1.3 (1)
PUR Defense1253% (96)49% (120) - - - - .32 (134)3.39 (120)76% (79)8% (109)1.15 (124)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1651% (78)43% (73) - - - - .1 (58)2.9 (49)67% (29)10% (57)0.85 (12)
PUR Offense1246% (94)42% (90)28.8115.549 (125).04 (108)3.04 (65)59% (126)14% (128)0.8 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1647% (89)47% (21)14.922.4159.97.210.820 (58)6 (10).29 (50)1.3 (133)28% (19)32% (58).45 (22)3% (6)2.1 (50)
PUR Defense1247% (40)50% (129) - - - - - - 4 (125).48 (130)1.6 (88)28% (115)41% (134).63 (134)4% (125)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1648% (59)29% (1) - - - - - - 18 (4)-.15 (1)1.6 (67)34% (29)27% (24).1 (2)8% (6)1.6 (2)
PUR Offense1253% (40)40% (93)15.827.4183.96.711.713 (116)9 (48).16 (103)1.5 (92)32% (78)31% (72).49 (14)8% (118)2.1 (29)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 24.66  #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52  #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27  #2
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54%  #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9  #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1  #7

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.66   Purdue: -14.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 23.9   Purdue: -16.2




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -14.71  #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91  #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82  #134
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12  #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2  #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #110

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 46
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 7
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 43
Purdue 4

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Purdue 26
Notre Dame 16

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 39
Purdue 17

Total Points: 56
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Notre Dame56Purdue30Notre Dame -24.5Notre Dame51.5Over
202409/14Purdue7Notre Dame66Notre Dame -11.5Notre Dame45.5Over
202109/18Notre Dame27Purdue13Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame58.0Under
201409/13Notre Dame30Purdue14Notre Dame -29.5Purdue0
201309/14Purdue24Notre Dame31Notre Dame -21.5Purdue0
201209/08Notre Dame20Purdue17
201110/01Purdue10Notre Dame38
201009/04Notre Dame23Purdue12
200909/26Purdue21Notre Dame24
200809/27Notre Dame38Purdue21
200709/29Purdue33Notre Dame19
200609/30Notre Dame35Purdue21
200510/01Purdue28Notre Dame49
200410/02Notre Dame16Purdue41
200309/27Purdue23Notre Dame10
200209/07Notre Dame24Purdue17
200112/01Purdue18Notre Dame24
200009/15Notre Dame23Purdue21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue322 Overs
Notre Dame1531 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 73 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams7 - 112 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#5) ND at (#120) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDPUR
Power RatePwr #5 #120
SP+SP+ #8 #121
Perf GradeGrade #10 #123
OffenseOff #11 #91
DefenseDef #10 #132
Spec TeamsST #5 #66
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #8 #35
Purdue Notes
(12/8) Hired HC Barry Odom (UNLV)
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?
(10/3) Fired OC Harrell after 4 games
(9/28) Run D better vs Neb. Off was awful, esp run
(9/23) Run Def all 341 (6.0 ypc) @ Oreg St, Card awful
(9/15) Run Def awful, 364 (8.5 ypc), Off 25/38 (1.5) vs ND
Purdue Injury Report
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffPUR Def
Perf GradePerf #11 #132
SuccessSuc #22 #129
ExplosiveExp #35 #112
PPAPPA #8 #134
PowerPwr #24 #134
SP+SP+ #4 #110
Pts POPPO #5 #134
HavocHav #8 #125
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #4 #112
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #120
Run ExplRExp #1 #124
PPAExp #2 #134
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #120
Stuff RateStuff #36 #106
TackleTak -  #111
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #37 #134
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #129
Pass ExplPExl #133 #88
PPAExp #50 #130
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #97
F7 HavocF7 #26 #109
DB HavocDB #6 #125
Purdue on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatPUR OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #91 #10
SuccessSuc #96 #8
ExplosiveExp #117 #14
PPAPPA #112 #1
PowerPwr #94 #2
SP+SP+ #116 #7
Pts POPPO #115 #4
HavocHav #131 #25
Purdue Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
PUR OffND Def
Run GameRun #84 #35
Run SuccessRSuc #90 #73
Run ExplRExp #130 #12
PPAExp #108 #58
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLY #65 #49
Stuff RateStuff #97 #89
TackleTak -  #9
Purdue Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatPUR OffND Def
Pass GamePass #72 #2
Pass SuccessPSuc #93 #1
Pass ExplPExl #92 #67
PPAExp #103 #1
Pass Block/RushP Blk #99 #15
F7 HavocF7 #128 #57
DB HavocDB #118 #6
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 89° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Notre Dame 11.5 (45.5)
Notre Dame won at Purdue this year (66-7)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Purdue last year (66-7)

  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard (Tr)26940367%28612187.1
Steven Angeli243667%268307.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1631124176.998
Riley Leonard (Tr)184906174.950
Jadarian Price12074676.270
Aneyas Williams3421926.458
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Greathouse42592414.154
Beaux Collins (Tr)41490312.053
Mitchell Evans4342139.833
Jordan Faison30356111.944

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kiser905231
Xavier Watts834049
Drayk Bowen784122
Adon Shuler593025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rylie Mills379840
Howard Cross III275431
Donovan Hinish344441
Junior Tuihalamaka326331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leonard Moore4820111
Xavier Watts834049
Christian Gray353009

PUR's OC (Int) (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card14424858%1641976.6
Ryan Browne437657%532427.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee13868745.063
Reggie Love III (Tr)8337224.522
Ryan Browne5015503.123
Elijah Jackson697116.269
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Max Klare51685413.462
Jahmal Edrine23365215.953
Jaron Tibbs25305212.238
Devin Mockobee17170110.021

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Kevin Kane (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Yanni Karlaftis572121
Will Heldt5610550
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Will Heldt5610550
Nyland Green (Tr)232205
Cole Brevard196200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Nyland Green (Tr)232205
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)402014