Oklahoma State at Notre Dame - 2021 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo   Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, January 1st 2022 (1:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma State -1.5 (45.5) (-115)  Open: -2.5 | 45.0
Oklahoma State 37 - Notre Dame: 35  (PlayStation Fiesta Bowl)

 
Cowboys (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Mike Gundy (140 - 67)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0  (SP+ ND -0)

Projected Score: OKST: 15 - ND: 41 (56)
OKST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
OKST Travel: 879 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Irish (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (84 - 38)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Oklahoma State vs Missouri State-38.055.0W 23 - 16UN
Sat 9/11 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-11.551.0W 28 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Oklahoma State at Boise State+3.558.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 9/25 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State-6.047.5W 31 - 20OY
Sat 10/2 Oklahoma State vs Baylor-3.547.0W 24 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Oklahoma State at Texas+3.061.0W 32 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+7.547.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/30 Oklahoma State vs Kansas-28.554.5W 55 - 3OY
Sat 11/6 Oklahoma State at West Virginia-3.548.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Oklahoma State vs TCU-11.053.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 11/20 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech-10.055.0W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma-4.050.0W 37 - 33ON
Sat 12/4 Oklahoma State vs Baylor-7.045.0L 16 - 21UN
Sat 1/1 Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5W 37 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/5 Notre Dame at Florida State-7.053.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 Notre Dame vs Toledo-16.555.0W 32 - 29ON
Sat 9/18 Notre Dame vs Purdue-7.558.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/25 Notre Dame vs Wisconsin+6.043.5W 41 - 13OY
Sat 10/2 Notre Dame vs Cincinnati+2.550.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 Notre Dame at Virginia Tech+1.046.5W 32 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Notre Dame vs USC-8.059.5W 31 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Notre Dame vs North Carolina-3.563.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 11/6 Notre Dame vs Navy-21.047.5W 34 - 6UY
Sat 11/13 Notre Dame at Virginia-7.562.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech-18.057.5W 55 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Notre Dame at Stanford-20.553.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 1/1 Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State+1.545.5L 35 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST.1339%14.236%2.4718843%2393.31.137%33.340%34%3.0954.71.51.5
ND.2547%4248%3.2621147%2373.84.1339%17.639%40%2.83380.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1114.210.239.2%3.311.5244271882394.156%44%36%43%17%.13
ND Defense1217.61839.4%2.831.4 - - - - - 44%55%39%40%22%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1133.341.437.2%3.091.5 - - - - - 50%50%40%34%20%.1
ND Offense124244.747.2%3.840.924449211237556%44%48%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1129:5423.742%50%6.654.71.51.582.6232.6
Notre Dame1233:4924.249%65%4.4380.91.47.32.4229
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1156%36%45.9187.74.117.042.4778%12%1.04
ND Defense1244%39% - - - - .042.4371%14%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1150%40% - - - - .022.6663%14%0.99
ND Offense1256%48%42.2211.4533.163.2688%10%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1144%43%18.830.9239.17.712.71810.251.634%29%.285%2.1
ND Defense1255%40% - - - - - - 7.221.637%30%.348%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1150%34% - - - - - - 6.171.734%27%.176%2
ND Offense1244%47%19.330.2237.47.912.3153.371.629%36%.423%1.9

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oklahoma State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2  #12
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State:    Notre Dame: 8.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 17.2   Notre Dame: 17.4




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 8.7 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2021 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4  #11
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #20
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #15

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 41
Oklahoma State 15


Projected Total Points: 56
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202101/01Notre Dame35Oklahoma State37Oklahoma State -1.5Oklahoma State45.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame001 Overs
Oklahoma State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

Oklahoma State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Fiesta Bowl Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5W 37 - 35
2020It Bowl Oklahoma State vs Miami-2.558.5W 37 - 34
2019Texas Bowl Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M+4.555.5L 21 - 24
2018N/A Oklahoma State vs Missouri+9.572.5W 38 - 33
2017World Bowl Oklahoma State vs Virginia Tech-6.060.0W 30 - 21
2016Alamo Bowl Oklahoma State vs Colorado+2.064.0W 38 - 8
2015Sugar Bowl Oklahoma State vs Ole Miss+7.0L 20 - 48
Notre Dame Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Fiesta Bowl Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State+1.545.5L 35 - 37
2020CFP Semifinal Notre Dame vs Alabama+20.066.0L 14 - 31
2019World Bowl Notre Dame vs Iowa State-4.055.0W 33 - 9
2018CFP Semifinal Notre Dame vs Clemson+10.558.0L 3 - 30
2017Citrus Bowl Notre Dame vs LSU+2.052.0W 21 - 17
2015Fiesta Bowl Notre Dame vs Ohio State+6.0L 28 - 44
  
(#) OKST at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #11
Perf GradeGrade #13 #12
OffenseOff #49 #24
DefenseDef #4 #13
Spec TeamsST #8 #14
TalentTal #54 #12
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oklahoma State on Offense
CategoryCat
OKST OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #49 #13
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma State Run Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffND Def
Run GameRun #77 #25
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #7
Oklahoma State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffND Def
Pass GamePass #20 #17
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #44 #52
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffOKST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #4
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #4
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #51 #7
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #52
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #40 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #15 #36
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in State Farm Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Oklahoma State 1.5 (45.5)
Oklahoma State won at Notre Dame this year (37-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ND's OC Tommy Rees (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Marcus Freeman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD